FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayCUSA

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

Wichita St. def. Missouri St. 3–0

(25-23, 25-22, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MO ST	23	22	16	0
WICHST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WICHST above 50 · MO ST below

Biggest swing: 10.1% to Wichita St. — set 1, MO ST 23-24 WICHST. Kill by McKenzie Jones (set by Jordan Heatherly). WICHST win probability 52% → 62%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MO ST 46.8%53.2% WICHST

Missouri St. wins

3-0

11.2%

3-1

17.4%

3-2

18.2%

Wichita St. wins

3-0

13.9%

3-1

20.1%

3-2

19.2%

MO ST break %: 40.7% vs this opp
WICHST break %: 41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
McKenzie JonesKill+10.1%
Kill by McKenzie Jones (set by Jordan Heatherly)
Set 1 · MO ST 23-24 WICHST · WICHST 52% → 62%
02
Jenna CubbageKill+9.9%
Kill by Jenna Cubbage (set by Jordan Heatherly)
Set 1 · MO ST 23-25 WICHST · WICHST 62% → 72%
03
Jenna CubbageKill+7.7%
Kill by Jenna Cubbage (set by Jordan Heatherly)
Set 1 · MO ST 23-23 WICHST · WICHST 44% → 52%
04
McKenzie JonesKill+6.6%
Kill by McKenzie Jones (set by Gabi Maas)
Set 2 · MO ST 21-22 WICHST · WICHST 70% → 77%
05
WICHST serverAce+6.3%
Wichita St. ace on Ashlyn Blazer
Set 2 · MO ST 21-23 WICHST · WICHST 77% → 83%
06
Danielle MooreAttack error+5.9%
Danielle Moore stuffed by Ashlyn Blazer & Hannah Redrow
Set 2 · MO ST 21-20 WICHST · MO ST 28% → 34%
07
Chloe JuddAttack error+5.1%
Chloe Judd stuffed by Maddie Wilson & Olivia Cohee
Set 2 · MO ST 22-24 WICHST · WICHST 80% → 85%
08
Halle KerkmanKill+4.7%
Kill by Halle Kerkman (set by Kya Johnson)
Set 2 · MO ST 19-19 WICHST · MO ST 24% → 28%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Missouri St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Chloe JuddMB	3	6	3	13	.231	0	0	2	2	0	3	1.5	7.5
18Hannah GardnerS	3	6	1	13	.385	16	0	1	12	0	3	1.5	7.5
12Hannah RedrowMB	3	4	3	15	.067	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
2Halle RillieS	3	1	0	2	.500	14	1	1	2	0	0	0	2
3Kya JohnsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	4	0	0	0	0
16Rilynn FinleyOH	1	1	3	9	-.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Ashlyn BlazerOH	3	8	3	23	.217	0	0	0	2	1	1	0.5	8.5
7Lexi WeinbergOPP	3	7	3	31	.129	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	7.5
8Brooke EslingerDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	14	0	0	0	1
10Riley OurthDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	9	1	0	0	0
6Halle KerkmanOH	2	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
9Neele'ge' SimsMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	18	121	.182	37	2	7	49	3	12	6	61

Wichita St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Maddie WilsonMB	3	14	0	21	.667	0	1	0	6	0	0	5	2.5	17.5
24McKenzie JonesOH	3	11	1	25	.400	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
3Olivia CoheeOH	3	8	4	25	.160	1	0	3	7	1	1	2	2	10
7Jenna CubbageOH	3	5	5	21	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
16Jordan HeatherlyS	3	0	0	2	.000	22	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	2
13Sophia GilbertMB	2	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
10Danielle MooreOPP	3	5	2	15	.200	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
4Addie OethS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
23Gabi MaasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	15	0	0	0	0	0
12Grace HettL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
26Allie PaulsenMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		46	13	119	.277	41	3	5	50	2	2	12	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 MO ST · WICHST 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 6 MO STWICHST 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 MO STWICHST 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 MO STWICHST 4

Bars above the line = Wichita St. leads, below = Missouri St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Missouri St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%8/23	30%3/10
2	35%6/17	27%3/11
3	75%6/8	25%2/8
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	60%6/10	33%3/9
6	86%6/7	60%9/15
All	51%38/74	37%23/62

Wichita St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	63%12/19
2	70%7/10	61%11/18
3	86%6/7	45%5/11
4	55%6/11	25%2/8
5	55%6/11	14%1/7
6	55%6/11	45%5/11
All	63%39/62	49%36/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	MO ST-WICHST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	WICHST	MO ST	Attack err	Olivia Cohee		+1.8
2	2-0	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Kya Johnson	+2.6
3	2-1	MO ST	WICHST×4	Serve err	MO ST server		+1.7
4	2-2	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.6
5	2-3	WICHST	WICHST×4	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+2.7
6	2-4	WICHST	WICHST×4	Attack err	Hannah Gardner	blk Jenna Cubbage, Maddie Wilson	+2.6
7	3-4	WICHST	MO ST	Serve err	WICHST server		+1.8
8	3-5	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.9
9	4-5	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Kya Johnson	+1.8
10	5-5	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Ashlyn Blazer	set Hannah Gardner	+2.8
11	5-6	MO ST	WICHST	Attack err	Lexi Weinberg		+2.0
12	6-6	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Ashlyn Blazer	set Hannah Gardner	+2.0
13	7-6	MO ST	MO ST	Ace	MO ST server	aced Team	+3.0
14	7-7	MO ST	WICHST	Attack err	Chloe Judd		+2.0
15	8-7	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Ashlyn Blazer	set Hannah Gardner	+2.1
16	8-8	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Sophia Gilbert	set Addie Oeth	+2.1
17	9-8	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Riley Ourth	+2.2
18	10-8	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+3.1
19	10-9	MO ST	WICHST×3	Serve err	MO ST server		+2.1
20	10-10	WICHST	WICHST×3	Bad set	Halle Rillie		+3.2
21	10-11	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Halle Rillie	+3.3
22	11-11	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+2.3
23	11-12	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.4
24	12-12	WICHST	MO ST	Serve err	WICHST server		+2.4
25	12-13	MO ST	WICHST	Serve err	MO ST server		+2.5
26	13-13	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+2.5
27	13-14	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.6
28	13-15	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Addie Oeth	+3.7
29	14-15	WICHST	MO ST	Serve err	WICHST server		+2.4
30	15-15	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Riley Ourth	+3.9
31	15-16	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Danielle Moore	set Addie Oeth	+2.9
32	16-16	WICHST	MO ST×6	Kill	Ashlyn Blazer	set Hannah Gardner	+2.8
33	17-16	MO ST	MO ST×6	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+4.4
34	18-16	MO ST	MO ST×6	Attack err	Sophia Gilbert	blk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner	+4.4
35	19-16	MO ST	MO ST×6	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+3.9
36	20-16	MO ST	MO ST×6	Ace	MO ST server	aced Olivia Cohee	+3.1
37	21-16	MO ST	MO ST×6	Attack err	Olivia Cohee	blk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd	+2.1
38	21-17	MO ST	WICHST	Serve err	MO ST server		+0.8
39	22-17	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+1.4
40	22-18	MO ST	WICHST×4	Kill	Danielle Moore	set Addie Oeth	+0.6
41	22-19	WICHST	WICHST×4	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+1.7
42	22-20	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.9
43	22-21	WICHST	WICHST×4	Attack err	Rilynn Finley	blk Maddie Wilson, McKenzie Jones	+4.6
44	23-21	WICHST	MO ST	Attack err	Olivia Cohee		+4.7
45	23-22	MO ST	WICHST×4	Serve err	MO ST server		+3.2
46	23-23	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+7.7
47	23-24	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+10.1
48	23-25	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+9.9
Set 2
1	0-1	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.7
2	0-2	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson		+2.4
3	1-2	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Ashlyn Blazer	set Hannah Gardner	+1.6
4	1-3	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.7
5	1-4	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.4
6	2-4	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Hannah Gardner	+1.5
7	2-5	MO ST	WICHST	Attack err	Ashlyn Blazer		+1.7
8	3-5	WICHST	MO ST×3	Kill	Halle Rillie	set Brooke Eslinger	+1.6
9	4-5	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+2.5
10	5-5	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Halle Kerkman	set Halle Rillie	+2.7
11	5-6	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.9
12	6-6	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+1.9
13	6-7	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Sophia Gilbert	set Addie Oeth	+2.0
14	7-7	WICHST	MO ST×3	Kill	Halle Kerkman	set Halle Rillie	+2.0
15	8-7	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+3.0
16	9-7	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Olivia Cohee	blk Halle Kerkman, Hannah Redrow	+3.0
17	9-8	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Addie Oeth	+1.9
18	10-8	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+2.1
19	11-8	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+2.9
20	11-9	MO ST	WICHST	Serve err	MO ST server		+1.8
21	12-9	WICHST	MO ST	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+2.1
22	13-9	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Riley Ourth	+2.7
23	13-10	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.6
24	13-11	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.7
25	14-11	WICHST	MO ST	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+2.2
26	14-12	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.9
27	15-12	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Ashlyn Blazer	set Halle Rillie	+2.3
28	15-13	MO ST	WICHST	Serve err	MO ST server		+2.0
29	15-14	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Chloe Judd		+3.4
30	16-14	WICHST	MO ST	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage	blk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd	+2.7
31	16-15	MO ST	WICHST×5	Attack err	Halle Kerkman		+2.4
32	16-16	WICHST	WICHST×5	Attack err	Hannah Redrow	blk Sophia Gilbert	+4.0
33	16-17	WICHST	WICHST×5	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Addie Oeth	+4.2
34	16-18	WICHST	WICHST×5	Attack err	Halle Kerkman		+4.1
35	16-19	WICHST	WICHST×5	Kill	Danielle Moore	set Addie Oeth	+3.6
36	17-19	WICHST	MO ST×3	Kill	Halle Kerkman	set Halle Rillie	+2.0
37	18-19	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Halle Kerkman	set Hannah Gardner	+3.8
38	19-19	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Halle Kerkman	set Kya Johnson	+4.7
39	19-20	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Danielle Moore	set Addie Oeth	+3.6
40	20-20	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+3.6
41	21-20	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Danielle Moore	blk Ashlyn Blazer, Hannah Redrow	+5.9
42	21-21	MO ST	WICHST×3	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Addie Oeth	+4.0
43	21-22	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Gabi Maas	+6.6
44	21-23	WICHST	WICHST×3	Ace	WICHST server	aced Ashlyn Blazer	+6.3
45	22-23	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+3.1
46	22-24	MO ST	WICHST	Attack err	Chloe Judd	blk Maddie Wilson, Olivia Cohee	+5.1
47	22-25	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+3.9
Set 3
1	0-1	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.6
2	1-1	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Ashlyn Blazer	set Hannah Gardner	+1.1
3	1-2	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Olivia Cohee	+1.1
4	1-3	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Lexi Weinberg		+1.6
5	2-3	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Ashlyn Blazer	set Hannah Gardner	+1.1
6	3-3	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd		+1.6
7	3-4	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.2
8	3-5	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Ashlyn Blazer	blk Allie Paulsen, McKenzie Jones	+1.6
9	4-5	WICHST	MO ST	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+1.1
10	4-6	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Gabi Maas	+1.2
11	4-7	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Allie Paulsen		+1.6
12	5-7	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Halle Kerkman	set Halle Rillie	+1.0
13	6-7	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Halle Rillie	+1.7
14	6-8	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Gabi Maas	+1.2
15	7-8	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+1.2
16	7-9	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Grace Hett	+1.3
17	8-9	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Halle Kerkman	set Hannah Gardner	+1.2
18	8-10	MO ST	WICHST×4	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Addie Oeth	+1.3
19	8-11	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Hannah Gardner	+1.8
20	8-12	WICHST	WICHST×4	Attack err	Ashlyn Blazer	blk Maddie Wilson, McKenzie Jones	+1.6
21	8-13	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.3
22	9-13	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.7
23	10-13	MO ST	MO ST	Bad set	Jordan Heatherly		+1.3
24	10-14	MO ST	WICHST	Attack err	Lexi Weinberg	blk Olivia Cohee	+1.1
25	10-15	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.3
26	11-15	WICHST	MO ST	Serve err	WICHST server		+0.7
27	12-15	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+1.4
28	12-16	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.2
29	12-17	WICHST	WICHST	Ace	WICHST server	aced Team	+1.3
30	13-17	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.7
31	13-18	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.9
32	14-18	WICHST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.6
33	14-19	MO ST	WICHST	Kill	Danielle Moore	set Gabi Maas	+0.9
34	15-19	WICHST	MO ST	Serve err	WICHST server		+0.6
35	15-20	MO ST	WICHST	Attack err	Hannah Redrow		+0.9
36	15-21	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Gabi Maas	+0.8
37	16-21	WICHST	MO ST	Attack err	Danielle Moore	blk Lexi Weinberg, Hannah Redrow	+0.3
38	16-22	MO ST	WICHST×4	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Addie Oeth	+0.5
39	16-23	WICHST	WICHST×4	Ace	WICHST server	aced Riley Ourth	+0.3
40	16-24	WICHST	WICHST×4	Attack err	Hannah Redrow	blk Olivia Cohee, Maddie Wilson	+0.1
41	16-25	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Missouri St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.