Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

North Texas def. Wichita St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Wichita St. 57.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Texas won at Wichita St. 3-1 (25-18, 19-25, 26-24, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. North Texas' Lillian Croshaw led with 16 kills, and Dakota Mitchell added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
NO TEX251926253
WICHST182524191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Wichita St. pushed; North Texas held.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are North Texas's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Wichita St. went in at 58% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · North Texas 20–18 Wichita St.

    Down 18–20, Wichita St. scored 3 straight to lead 21–20. The match swung to Wichita St.

    North Texas 57% → 38%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · North Texas 23–23 Wichita St.

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to North Texas, enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–1. The match swung to North Texas.

    North Texas 47% → 71%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · North Texas 0–0 Wichita St.

    North Texas scored 5 straight to open the set 5–0.

    North Texas 71% → 88%

Wichita St. above 50North Texas belowMax swing 13.9%

North TexasWichita St.

Sideout %
North Texas 63.2·Wichita St. 57.4
Break %
North Texas 42.6·Wichita St. 36.8
Hitting
North Texas .247·Wichita St. .173
Longest run
North Texas 6·Wichita St. 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Wichita St. above 50 · North Texas below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.9% NO TEXrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.9% to North Texas — set 3, NO TEX 26-24 WICHST. Attack error by McKenzie Jones. WICHST win probability 43% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO TEX 44.1%55.9% WICHST

North Texas wins

3-0
10.2%
3-1
16.3%
3-2
17.6%

Wichita St. wins

3-0
15.2%
3-1
21.2%
3-2
19.6%
NO TEX break %
42.1% vs this opp
WICHST break %
43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    McKenzie JonesAttack error+13.9%

    Attack error by McKenzie Jones

    Set 3 · NO TEX 26-24 WICHST · NO TEX 57% → 71%

  2. 02
    Jahniya JacksonKill+10.6%

    Kill by Jahniya Jackson (set by Sidney Soria)

    Set 3 · NO TEX 23-22 WICHST · NO TEX 44% → 54%

  3. 03
    McKenzie JonesKill+10.1%

    Kill by McKenzie Jones (set by Olivia Cohee)

    Set 3 · NO TEX 24-24 WICHST · WICHST 43% → 53%

  4. 04
    Jahniya JacksonKill+10.1%

    Kill by Jahniya Jackson (set by Sidney Soria)

    Set 3 · NO TEX 25-24 WICHST · NO TEX 47% → 57%

  5. 05
    Jahniya JacksonKill+10.1%

    Kill by Jahniya Jackson (set by Sidney Soria)

    Set 3 · NO TEX 24-23 WICHST · NO TEX 47% → 57%

  6. 06
    Jahniya JacksonAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Jahniya Jackson

    Set 3 · NO TEX 20-21 WICHST · WICHST 54% → 62%

  7. 07
    Maddie WilsonKill+7.5%

    Kill by Maddie Wilson (set by Jordan Heatherly)

    Set 3 · NO TEX 23-23 WICHST · WICHST 46% → 53%

  8. 08
    Sidney SoriaBad set+6.9%

    Bad set by Sidney Soria

    Set 3 · NO TEX 20-20 WICHST · WICHST 47% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416437.3240005002117
415544.22700081031.516.5
410833.06101111002112
48116.43800000052.510.5
47111.545002000218
4104.25034011000001
4000–011410001
4001.000000510000
4000–7021800000
34216.125000500004
3000–1701800000
Team totals6121162.2475828743014795
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414225.4800112004217
46326.11511090010.57.5
47425.12000030010.57.5
42112.083000000213
4000–2211900001
4000–001700000
416637.27000040031.517.5
48831.00000011010.58.5
4000–2300700000
23Gabi MaasL/DS
4000–6022610000
1016-.167000100000
Team totals5325162.1735235692012686

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

North Texas vs Wichita St.

Season series · North Texas leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NO TEX · WICHST 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 NO TEXWICHST 2

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 NO TEXWICHST 4

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 NO TEXWICHST 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 6 NO TEXWICHST 4

Bars above the line = Wichita St. leads, below = North Texas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
59%13/22
2
59%10/17
17%2/12
3
67%10/15
29%4/14
4
64%9/14
57%12/21
5
60%9/15
25%3/12
6
64%7/11
46%6/13
All
63%55/87
43%40/94

Wichita St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
18%2/11
2
77%10/13
47%9/19
3
47%9/19
29%4/14
4
64%9/14
25%3/12
5
53%8/15
40%6/15
6
70%7/10
50%8/16
All
57%54/94
37%32/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#NO TEX-WICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WICHSTNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+1.9
21-1NO TEXWICHSTBlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Jenna Cubbage, Maddie Wilson+1.8
32-1WICHSTNO TEXAttack errMaddie Wilson+1.9
42-2NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.9
53-2WICHSTNO TEX×4Serve errWichita St.+1.9
64-2NO TEXNO TEX×4KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.6
75-2NO TEXNO TEX×4KillLoredana Fouonji+2.6
86-2NO TEXNO TEX×4Attack errMcKenzie Jones+2.4
96-3NO TEXWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Gabi Maas+1.6
107-3WICHSTNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+1.9
117-4NO TEXWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+1.6
127-5WICHSTWICHSTAttack errRyann Vik+2.5
138-5WICHSTNO TEXServe errWichita St.+2.1
148-6NO TEXWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.9
158-7WICHSTWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.7
169-7WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.2
179-8NO TEXWICHSTAttack errLillian Croshaw+2.1
1810-8WICHSTNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+2.3
1910-9NO TEXWICHSTServe errRyann Vik+2.1
2011-9WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.4
2111-10NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+2.2
2212-10WICHSTNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.4
2313-10NO TEXNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+3.1
2414-10NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errMcKenzie Jones+2.8
2514-11NO TEXWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Gabi Maas+1.8
2615-11WICHSTNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.2
2716-11NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.4
2816-12NO TEXWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+1.4
2917-12WICHSTNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+1.8
3017-13NO TEXWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.3
3118-13WICHSTNO TEXServe errGabi Maas+1.8
3218-14NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Addie Oeth+1.3
3319-14WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.8
3420-14NO TEXNO TEXAttack errMaddie Wilson+1.7
3520-15NO TEXWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+0.7
3620-16WICHSTWICHSTAceOlivia Coheeaced Reagan Bedell+1.5
3721-16WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Dakota Mitchell+1.7
3822-16NO TEXNO TEXAttack errMcKenzie Jones+1.3
3922-17NO TEXWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+0.4
4022-18WICHSTWICHSTAttack errJahniya Jackson+1.1
4123-18WICHSTNO TEX×3KillSidney Soriaset Dakota Mitchell+1.4
4224-18NO TEXNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+0.8
4325-18NO TEXNO TEX×3AceJahniya Jacksonaced McKenzie Jones+0.2
Set 2
10-1NO TEXWICHST×3KillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.9
20-2WICHSTWICHST×3KillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.6
30-3WICHSTWICHST×3KillJanaya Weitkemperset Gabi Maas+2.4
41-3WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.7
51-4NO TEXWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+1.8
62-4WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.8
73-4NO TEXNO TEXBlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Jahniya Jackson, Loredana Fouonji+2.6
83-5NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Addie Oeth+2.0
94-5WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.0
104-6NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+2.1
115-6WICHSTNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+2.0
125-7NO TEXWICHST×4KillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+2.1
135-8WICHSTWICHST×4KillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+2.7
145-9WICHSTWICHST×4AceMaddie Wilsonaced Alyssa Young+2.4
155-10WICHSTWICHST×4KillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+2.1
166-10WICHSTNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+1.4
177-10NO TEXNO TEXAttack errMcKenzie Jones+2.2
187-11NO TEXWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+1.9
198-11WICHSTNO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+1.7
208-12NO TEXWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.9
219-12WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.7
229-13NO TEXWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.0
239-14WICHSTWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Gabi Maas+2.2
2410-14WICHSTNO TEXServe errGabi Maas+1.3
2510-15NO TEXWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+1.7
2610-16WICHSTWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.7
2711-16WICHSTNO TEX×3Attack errJenna Cubbage+0.9
2812-16NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errOlivia Cohee+1.7
2913-16NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errJenna Cubbage+2.3
3013-17NO TEXWICHST×3Serve errNorth Texas+2.1
3113-18WICHSTWICHST×3Attack errLoredana Fouonji+2.2
3213-19WICHSTWICHST×3KillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.5
3314-19WICHSTNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+0.7
3415-19NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLoredana Fouonji+1.5
3516-19NO TEXNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+2.2
3616-20NO TEXWICHSTServe errNorth Texas+2.3
3716-21WICHSTWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+2.1
3817-21WICHSTNO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+0.9
3917-22NO TEXWICHSTAttack errReagan Bedell+1.4
4017-23WICHSTWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+0.9
4118-23WICHSTNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+0.2
4219-23NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+0.7
4319-24NO TEXWICHSTBlockedReagan Bedellblk Janaya Weitkemper, Eva Krakowski+1.0
4419-25WICHSTWICHSTBlockedReagan Bedellblk Janaya Weitkemper, Eva Krakowski+0.3
Set 3
10-1WICHSTWICHSTKillOlivia Cohee+3.2
21-1WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.4
31-2NO TEXWICHST×3Attack errLillian Croshaw+2.5
41-3WICHSTWICHST×3BlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Maddie Wilson, Janaya Weitkemper+3.2
51-4WICHSTWICHST×3BlockedLillian Croshawblk Olivia Cohee, Maddie Wilson+3.1
62-4WICHSTNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.2
73-4NO TEXNO TEXAttack errJanaya Weitkemper+3.2
83-5NO TEXWICHSTServe errDakota Mitchell+2.5
93-6WICHSTWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+3.2
104-6WICHSTNO TEXServe errJordan Heatherly+2.2
114-7NO TEXWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+2.4
125-7WICHSTNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Olivia Branum+2.3
135-8NO TEXWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+2.5
146-8WICHSTNO TEX×4KillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+2.3
157-8NO TEXNO TEX×4Attack errMcKenzie Jones+3.5
168-8NO TEXNO TEX×4Attack errJenna Cubbage+3.8
179-8NO TEXNO TEX×4Attack errEva Krakowski+4.0
189-9NO TEXWICHST×3Serve errRyann Vik+3.0
199-10WICHSTWICHST×3Attack errJocelyn Jourdan+4.1
209-11WICHSTWICHST×3KillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+4.0
2110-11WICHSTNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+2.9
2210-12NO TEXWICHSTKillEva Krakowskiset Addie Oeth+3.1
2311-12WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.9
2411-13NO TEXWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+3.2
2512-13WICHSTNO TEXBad setAddie Oeth+3.0
2612-14NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Addie Oeth+3.3
2713-14WICHSTNO TEXBlockedOlivia Coheeblk Ryann Vik, Lillian Croshaw+3.1
2813-15NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+3.4
2914-15WICHSTNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+3.2
3014-16NO TEXWICHSTBlockedJahniya Jacksonblk McKenzie Jones, Maddie Wilson+3.6
3115-16WICHSTNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Olivia Branum+3.4
3216-16NO TEXNO TEXAttack errMcKenzie Jones+5.2
3316-17NO TEXWICHSTKillEva Krakowskiset Jordan Heatherly+4.1
3417-17WICHSTNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+4.1
3518-17NO TEXNO TEX×3BlockedMcKenzie Jonesblk Loredana Fouonji, Lillian Croshaw+6.0
3619-17NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+6.1
3719-18NO TEXWICHSTServe errSidney Soria+4.0
3820-18WICHSTNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+4.9
3920-19NO TEXWICHST×3KillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+4.2
4020-20WICHSTWICHST×3Bad setSidney Soria+6.9
4120-21WICHSTWICHST×3Attack errJahniya Jackson+7.6
4221-21WICHSTNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+5.7
4321-22NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Addie Oeth+6.5
4422-22WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+6.4
4523-22NO TEXNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+10.6
4623-23NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+7.5
4724-23WICHSTNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+10.1
4824-24NO TEXWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Olivia Cohee+10.1
4925-24WICHSTNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+10.1
5026-24NO TEXNO TEXAttack errMcKenzie Jones+13.9
Set 4
11-0NO TEXNO TEX×5BlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Loredana Fouonji, Reagan Bedell+3.6
22-0NO TEXNO TEX×5KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+3.6
33-0NO TEXNO TEX×5KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+3.6
44-0NO TEXNO TEX×5Bad setAddie Oeth+3.4
55-0NO TEXNO TEX×5KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+3.1
65-1NO TEXWICHSTAttack errLillian Croshaw+2.0
76-1WICHSTNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+2.4
86-2NO TEXWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.0
96-3WICHSTWICHSTAttack errJahniya Jackson+3.1
107-3WICHSTNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Dakota Mitchell+2.7
118-3NO TEXNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Dakota Mitchell+3.3
128-4NO TEXWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.1
138-5WICHSTWICHSTAttack errJahniya Jackson+3.2
149-5WICHSTNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+2.8
159-6NO TEXWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Gabi Maas+2.4
1610-6WICHSTNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Olivia Branum+2.8
1710-7NO TEXWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+2.5
1811-7WICHSTNO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+2.9
1911-8NO TEXWICHSTAttack errJocelyn Jourdan+2.5
2012-8WICHSTNO TEX×6KillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+3.0
2113-8NO TEXNO TEX×6Attack errJanaya Weitkemper+3.4
2214-8NO TEXNO TEX×6BlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Reagan Bedell, Loredana Fouonji+2.8
2315-8NO TEXNO TEX×6Attack errJenna Cubbage+2.2
2416-8NO TEXNO TEX×6BlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Loredana Fouonji, Reagan Bedell+1.6
2517-8NO TEXNO TEX×6KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.0
2617-9NO TEXWICHSTAttack errReagan Bedell+0.4
2717-10WICHSTWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Gabi Maas+0.9
2818-10WICHSTNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.0
2919-10NO TEXNO TEXAttack errOlivia Cohee+0.8
3019-11NO TEXWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+0.3
3120-11WICHSTNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+0.5
3220-12NO TEXWICHSTServe errDakota Mitchell+0.2
3320-13WICHSTWICHSTAceJordan Heatherlyaced Alessandra Romo+0.5
3421-13WICHSTNO TEX×3KillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+0.7
3522-13NO TEXNO TEX×3AceAlyssa Youngaced Gabi Maas+0.4
3623-13NO TEXNO TEX×3BlockedDanielle Mooreblk Ryann Vik, Jahniya Jackson+0.1
3723-14NO TEXWICHST×4Serve errAlyssa Young·
3823-15WICHSTWICHST×4Attack errJahniya Jackson+0.1
3923-16WICHSTWICHST×4KillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.1
4023-17WICHSTWICHST×4KillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+0.3
4124-17WICHSTNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+0.4
4224-18NO TEXWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.1
4324-19WICHSTWICHSTAttack errReagan Bedell+0.2
4425-19WICHSTNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+0.4

Score shown after each rally, North Texas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).