Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026

Radford def. Bellarmine 3–2

Radford beat visiting Bellarmine 3-2 (25-16, 22-25, 17-25, 25-20, 15-9) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Macie Potter and Addison Cunnagin led Radford with 12 kills each; Bellarmine's Maddie Hagan had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set12345Sets
BELLAR1625252092
RADFRD25221725153

Win probability

Radford above 50 · Bellarmine below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+9.4% RADFRDrally 199 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Radford — set 5, BELLAR 2-4 RADFRD. Kill by Lea Gage (set by Riley Greene). RADFRD win probability 58% → 68%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELLAR 49.6%50.4% RADFRD

Bellarmine wins

3-0
12.4%
3-1
18.6%
3-2
18.7%

Radford wins

3-0
12.6%
3-1
18.9%
3-2
18.8%
BELLAR break %
41.5% vs this opp
RADFRD break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lea GageKill+9.4%

    Kill by Lea Gage (set by Riley Greene)

    Set 5 · BELLAR 2-4 RADFRD · RADFRD 58% → 68%

  2. 02
    Mady YadenAttack error+8.8%

    Attack error by Mady Yaden

    Set 5 · BELLAR 2-5 RADFRD · RADFRD 68% → 76%

  3. 03
    BellarmineAce+8.0%

    Bellarmine ace on Macie Potter

    Set 2 · BELLAR 23-22 RADFRD · BELLAR 30% → 38%

  4. 04
    Maddie HaganKill+7.6%

    Kill by Maddie Hagan (set by Payton Parsons)

    Set 2 · BELLAR 24-22 RADFRD · BELLAR 38% → 46%

  5. 05
    RadfordAce+7.6%

    Radford ace on Ava Long

    Set 5 · BELLAR 2-6 RADFRD · RADFRD 76% → 84%

  6. 06
    Macie PotterKill+6.8%

    Kill by Macie Potter (set by Lea Gage)

    Set 5 · BELLAR 2-3 RADFRD · RADFRD 52% → 58%

  7. 07
    Maddie CarnesAttack error+6.5%

    Attack error by Maddie Carnes

    Set 5 · BELLAR 1-2 RADFRD · RADFRD 51% → 58%

  8. 08
    Natalie BlandKill+6.5%

    Kill by Natalie Bland (set by Ava Long)

    Set 5 · BELLAR 2-2 RADFRD · BELLAR 42% → 48%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513638.18420114220215
59021.4290121050515
514434.29400040010.514.5
512944.0681002300012
58217.3531001012210
5127-.1434112130010.52.5
5000–064600006
5000–022200002
5000–000000000
5000–202430000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–4011930000
5000–000000000
Team totals5723161.2115110146612841095
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512332.28102111300014
512442.19010111110113
511826.1150000002112
53213.077132701228
5205.4004530150010.55.5
54213.154000101015
58012.66710010010.58.5
5022-1.0001312430003
5102.500000100001
5000–010100001
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
Team totals5321147.218491257210366104

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BELLAR · RADFRD 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 BELLARRADFRD 6

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 BELLARRADFRD 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 BELLARRADFRD 3

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 2 BELLARRADFRD 3

Set 5

9-15

Longest run 3 BELLARRADFRD 6

Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = Bellarmine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bellarmine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
42%5/12
2
41%7/17
50%7/14
3
70%7/10
22%2/9
4
78%7/9
36%4/11
5
45%5/11
13%1/8
6
63%5/8
38%3/8
All
55%39/71
35%22/62

Radford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
40%4/10
2
44%7/16
56%10/18
3
78%7/9
42%5/12
4
78%7/9
22%2/9
5
86%6/7
33%3/9
6
50%5/10
62%8/13
All
65%40/62
45%32/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#BELLAR-RADFRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1RADFRDRADFRDAttack errMady Yaden+2.5
20-2RADFRDRADFRDAttack errMady Yaden+2.5
31-2RADFRDBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.7
41-3BELLARRADFRDAttack errMaddie Haganset Payton Parsons+1.8
51-4RADFRDRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.5
62-4RADFRDBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+1.6
73-4BELLARBELLARAceBellarmineaced Addison Cunnagin+2.5
83-5BELLARRADFRDBad setNatalie Bland+1.9
94-5RADFRDBELLAR×3BlockedMaja Bochenekblk Mary Herman+1.8
105-5BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Mia Jannazzo+2.8
116-5BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedMacie Potterblk Erika Smith+2.9
126-6BELLARRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.0
137-6RADFRDBELLARServe errRadford+2.1
147-7BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.1
157-8RADFRDRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+3.0
168-8RADFRDBELLARKillErika Smithset Natalie Bland+2.1
178-9BELLARRADFRD×4KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.2
188-10RADFRDRADFRD×4KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+3.1
198-11RADFRDRADFRD×4KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+2.9
208-12RADFRDRADFRD×4Attack errErika Smith+2.6
219-12RADFRDBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.6
2210-12BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedTaryn Robertsblk Mary Herman+2.7
2311-12BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Mia Jannazzo+3.1
2411-13BELLARRADFRD×3Serve errBellarmine+2.4
2511-14RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedMady Yadenblk Aubrey Hatch+3.2
2611-15RADFRDRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Aubrey Hatch+2.8
2712-15RADFRDBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.6
2812-16BELLARRADFRD×6BlockedMady Yadenblk Aubrey Hatch, Taryn Roberts+2.0
2912-17RADFRDRADFRD×6AceRadfordaced Natalie Bland+2.3
3012-18RADFRDRADFRD×6AceRadfordaced Mady Yaden+1.6
3112-19RADFRDRADFRD×6Attack errMaddie Hagan+1.1
3212-20RADFRDRADFRD×6KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+0.6
3312-21RADFRDRADFRD×6AceRadfordaced Mady Yaden+0.3
3413-21RADFRDBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.1
3514-21BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.2
3614-22BELLARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+0.3
3714-23RADFRDRADFRDKillLea Gage+0.1
3815-23RADFRDBELLARBlockedMia Jannazzoblk Mary Herman·
3915-24BELLARRADFRDBad setMaddie Carnes·
4016-24RADFRDBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes·
4116-25BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine·
Set 2
11-0BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Bland+2.5
22-0BELLARBELLARBlockedTaryn Robertsblk Mary Herman+2.5
32-1BELLARRADFRDAttack errMady Yadenset Payton Parsons+1.7
42-2RADFRDRADFRDAttack errMaddie Hagan+2.6
53-2RADFRDBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.9
63-3BELLARRADFRD×3Attack errNatalie Blandset Payton Parsons+1.9
73-4RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Payton Parsons+2.7
83-5RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Payton Parsons+2.7
94-5RADFRDBELLARServe errRadford+1.8
104-6BELLARRADFRDKillAddison Cunnagin+2.0
114-7RADFRDRADFRDAttack errNatalie Bland+2.6
125-7RADFRDBELLARKillNatalie Bland+1.7
135-8BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+1.9
145-9RADFRDRADFRDAttack errNatalie Bland+2.5
156-9RADFRDBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.5
167-9BELLARBELLARAttack errTaryn Roberts+2.5
177-10BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.0
187-11RADFRDRADFRDAceRadford+2.6
198-11RADFRDBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.6
208-12BELLARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+1.9
219-12RADFRDBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+1.6
229-13BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+1.9
239-14RADFRDRADFRDKillMaja Bochenek+2.2
2410-14RADFRDBELLAR×4Attack errMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+1.3
2511-14BELLARBELLAR×4KillMaddie Haganset Payton Parsons+2.3
2612-14BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errAubrey Hatch+2.8
2713-14BELLARBELLAR×4AceBellarmine+3.3
2813-15BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+2.6
2914-15RADFRDBELLARKillMary Herman+2.4
3014-16BELLARRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+2.7
3115-16RADFRDBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Payton Parsons+2.5
3216-16BELLARBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+4.0
3316-17BELLARRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+3.1
3417-17RADFRDBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+3.0
3517-18BELLARRADFRD×3Serve errBellarmine+3.3
3617-19RADFRDRADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+4.5
3717-20RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Ava Long+4.0
3818-20RADFRDBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.1
3919-20BELLARBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+4.2
4020-20BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errMacie Potter+5.3
4120-21BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+4.2
4221-21RADFRDBELLARKillMary Hermanset Erika Smith+4.1
4321-22BELLARRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+4.8
4422-22RADFRDBELLAR×4Serve errRadford+4.6
4523-22BELLARBELLAR×4AceBellarmineaced Macie Potter+8.0
4624-22BELLARBELLAR×4KillMaddie Haganset Payton Parsons+7.6
4725-22BELLARBELLAR×4AceBellarmineaced Macie Potter+4.2
Set 3
10-1RADFRDRADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+3.4
20-2RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Natalie Bland+3.4
30-3RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errMaddie Carnes+3.3
41-3RADFRDBELLARServe errRadford+2.2
52-3BELLARBELLARAttack errAddison Cunnagin+3.3
62-4BELLARRADFRD×3KillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+2.5
72-5RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedMaddie Haganblk Maja Bochenek+3.4
82-6RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errMady Yaden+3.1
93-6RADFRDBELLAR×4KillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+2.0
104-6BELLARBELLAR×4KillMary Hermanset Mia Jannazzo+3.2
115-6BELLARBELLAR×4AceBellarmineaced Macie Potter+3.5
126-6BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errAddison Cunnagin+3.8
136-7BELLARRADFRD×3Serve errBellarmine+2.8
146-8RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Payton Parsons+3.9
156-9RADFRDRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+3.7
167-9RADFRDBELLAR×3KillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+2.4
178-9BELLARBELLAR×3KillMaddie Hagan+3.8
189-9BELLARBELLAR×3KillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+4.1
199-10BELLARRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+3.0
2010-10RADFRDBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+3.0
2110-11BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+3.1
2211-11RADFRDBELLAR×3Attack errTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+3.1
2312-11BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errAubrey Hatch+4.6
2413-11BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedMacie Potterblk Erika Smith, Maddie Carnes+4.5
2513-12BELLARRADFRDKillTaryn Roberts+3.0
2614-12RADFRDBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+3.4
2715-12BELLARBELLARKillMary Herman+4.4
2815-13BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potter+2.7
2916-13RADFRDBELLARBlockedTaryn Robertsblk Mary Herman+3.2
3017-13BELLARBELLARAceBellarmine+3.9
3117-14BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+2.1
3218-14RADFRDBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.8
3319-14BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.0
34–3520-15BELLAR · RADFRD
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
3621-15BELLARBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.8
3722-15BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedAddison Cunnaginblk Erika Smith, Maddie Hagan+0.9
3822-16BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+0.2
3923-16RADFRDBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.5
4023-17BELLARRADFRDKillRiley Greeneset Lea Gage+0.1
4124-17RADFRDBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Natalie Bland+0.3
4225-17BELLARBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.1
Set 4
10-1BELLARRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+2.4
20-2RADFRDRADFRDKillRiley Greeneset Lea Gage+3.4
31-2RADFRDBELLARBad setLea Gage+2.3
41-3BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.5
51-4RADFRDRADFRDAttack errNatalie Bland+3.3
62-4RADFRDBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+2.2
72-5BELLARRADFRDKillRiley Greeneset Lea Gage+2.4
83-5RADFRDBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.2
94-5BELLARBELLARAttack errMia Jannazzo+3.5
104-6BELLARRADFRDKillRiley Greeneset Lea Gage+2.6
115-6RADFRDBELLARBlockedTaryn Robertsblk Natalie Bland+2.5
125-7BELLARRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.7
135-8RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedErika Smithblk Addison Cunnagin+3.6
145-9RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedMady Yadenblk Aubrey Hatch, Taryn Roberts+3.3
156-9RADFRDBELLARKillErika Smithset Mady Yaden+2.1
167-9BELLARBELLARAceBellarmineaced Mia Jannazzo+3.4
177-10BELLARRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.7
188-10RADFRDBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.5
198-11BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potter+2.8
208-12RADFRDRADFRDKillRiley Greeneset Lea Gage+3.5
219-12RADFRDBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.1
229-13BELLARRADFRDKillRiley Greeneset Lea Gage+2.5
2310-13RADFRDBELLARKillMary Herman+2.1
2410-14BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.6
2511-14RADFRDBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.2
2611-15BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+2.6
2712-15RADFRDBELLARAttack errAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.2
2812-16BELLARRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Mia Jannazzo+2.7
2913-16RADFRDBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Ava Long+2.2
3013-17BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+2.8
3114-17RADFRDBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.1
3215-17BELLARBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+3.9
3315-18BELLARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Addison Cunnagin+3.5
3416-18RADFRDBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.9
3517-18BELLARBELLARAceBellarmine+5.1
3617-19BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+4.3
3717-20RADFRDRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+5.3
3818-20RADFRDBELLARServe errRadford+2.9
3918-21BELLARRADFRDBlockedNatalie Blandblk Lea Gage, Riley Greene+4.0
4018-22RADFRDRADFRDKillRiley Greeneset Lea Gage+4.0
4119-22RADFRDBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+1.6
4219-23BELLARRADFRDKillRiley Greeneset Lea Gage+2.7
4319-24RADFRDRADFRDAceRadfordaced Ava Long+1.7
4420-24RADFRDBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.3
4520-25BELLARRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+2.0
Set 5
1–21-1BELLAR · RADFRD
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
31-2BELLARRADFRDAttack errMaddie Carnesset Lea Gage+6.5
42-2RADFRDBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Ava Long+6.5
52-3BELLARRADFRD×6KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+6.8
62-4RADFRDRADFRD×6KillLea Gageset Riley Greene+9.4
72-5RADFRDRADFRD×6Attack errMady Yaden+8.8
82-6RADFRDRADFRD×6AceRadfordaced Ava Long+7.6
92-7RADFRDRADFRD×6KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+6.0
102-8RADFRDRADFRD×6Attack errMady Yaden+4.4
113-8RADFRDBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.0
123-9BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+3.0
134-9RADFRDBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.8
144-10BELLARRADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+2.8
154-11RADFRDRADFRD×3KillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+2.2
164-12RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Mady Yaden+1.0
175-12RADFRDBELLAR×3KillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.3
186-12BELLARBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.7
197-12BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedTaryn Robertsblk Natalie Bland+1.3
207-13BELLARRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.8
217-14RADFRDRADFRDAttack errNatalie Bland+0.8
228-14RADFRDBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.1
239-14BELLARBELLARAttack errTaryn Roberts+0.3
249-15BELLARRADFRDServe errBellarmine+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Bellarmine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).