Radford def. Bellarmine 3–2
Radford beat visiting Bellarmine 3-2 (25-16, 22-25, 17-25, 25-20, 15-9) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Macie Potter and Addison Cunnagin led Radford with 12 kills each; Bellarmine's Maddie Hagan had a match-high 14.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BELLAR | 16 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 2 |
| RADFRD | 25 | 22 | 17 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 9.4% to Radford — set 5, BELLAR 2-4 RADFRD. Kill by Lea Gage (set by Riley Greene). RADFRD win probability 58% → 68%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Bellarmine wins
Radford wins
- BELLAR break %
- 41.5% vs this opp
- RADFRD break %
- 41.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02
- 03BellarmineAce+8.0%
Bellarmine ace on Macie Potter
Set 2 · BELLAR 23-22 RADFRD · BELLAR 30% → 38%
- 04Maddie HaganKill+7.6%
Kill by Maddie Hagan (set by Payton Parsons)
Set 2 · BELLAR 24-22 RADFRD · BELLAR 38% → 46%
- 05RadfordAce+7.6%
Radford ace on Ava Long
Set 5 · BELLAR 2-6 RADFRD · RADFRD 76% → 84%
- 06Macie PotterKill+6.8%
Kill by Macie Potter (set by Lea Gage)
Set 5 · BELLAR 2-3 RADFRD · RADFRD 52% → 58%
- 07Maddie CarnesAttack error+6.5%
Attack error by Maddie Carnes
Set 5 · BELLAR 1-2 RADFRD · RADFRD 51% → 58%
- 08Natalie BlandKill+6.5%
Kill by Natalie Bland (set by Ava Long)
Set 5 · BELLAR 2-2 RADFRD · BELLAR 42% → 48%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 38 | .184 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 0 | 21 | .429 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | |
| 5 | 14 | 4 | 34 | .294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 9 | 44 | .068 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 5 | 8 | 2 | 17 | .353 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -.143 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 23 | 161 | .211 | 51 | 10 | 14 | 66 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 32 | .281 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | 12 | 4 | 42 | .190 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
| 5 | 11 | 8 | 26 | .115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | .077 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | .154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .667 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.000 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 21 | 147 | .218 | 49 | 12 | 5 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 104 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
16-25
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
25-17
Set 4
20-25
Set 5
9-15
Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = Bellarmine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Bellarmine
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%8/16 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 41%7/17 | 50%7/14 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 22%2/9 |
| 4 | 78%7/9 | 36%4/11 |
| 5 | 45%5/11 | 13%1/8 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 55%39/71 | 35%22/62 |
Radford
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73%8/11 | 40%4/10 |
| 2 | 44%7/16 | 56%10/18 |
| 3 | 78%7/9 | 42%5/12 |
| 4 | 78%7/9 | 22%2/9 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 33%3/9 |
| 6 | 50%5/10 | 62%8/13 |
| All | 65%40/62 | 45%32/71 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
199 rallies
| # | BELLAR-RADFRD | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Attack err | Mady Yaden | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Attack err | Mady Yaden | +2.5 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Attack err | Maddie Hagan | set Payton Parsons | +1.8 |
| 5 | 1-4 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +2.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +1.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Addison Cunnagin | +2.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Bad set | Natalie Bland | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | RADFRD | BELLAR×3 | Blocked | Maja Bochenek | blk Mary Herman | +1.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Mia Jannazzo | +2.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Blocked | Macie Potter | blk Erika Smith | +2.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +2.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Serve err | Radford | +2.1 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +2.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Kill | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +3.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Natalie Bland | +2.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | BELLAR | RADFRD×4 | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +2.2 |
| 18 | 8-10 | RADFRD | RADFRD×4 | Kill | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +3.1 |
| 19 | 8-11 | RADFRD | RADFRD×4 | Kill | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +2.9 |
| 20 | 8-12 | RADFRD | RADFRD×4 | Attack err | Erika Smith | +2.6 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | RADFRD | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Blocked | Taryn Roberts | blk Mary Herman | +2.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Mia Jannazzo | +3.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | BELLAR | RADFRD×3 | Serve err | Bellarmine | +2.4 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Blocked | Mady Yaden | blk Aubrey Hatch | +3.2 |
| 26 | 11-15 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Aubrey Hatch | +2.8 |
| 27 | 12-15 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.6 |
| 28 | 12-16 | BELLAR | RADFRD×6 | Blocked | Mady Yaden | blk Aubrey Hatch, Taryn Roberts | +2.0 |
| 29 | 12-17 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Ace | Radford | aced Natalie Bland | +2.3 |
| 30 | 12-18 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Ace | Radford | aced Mady Yaden | +1.6 |
| 31 | 12-19 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Attack err | Maddie Hagan | +1.1 | |
| 32 | 12-20 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +0.6 |
| 33 | 12-21 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Ace | Radford | aced Mady Yaden | +0.3 |
| 34 | 13-21 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +0.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.2 |
| 36 | 14-22 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Aubrey Hatch | set Lea Gage | +0.3 |
| 37 | 14-23 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Kill | Lea Gage | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Blocked | Mia Jannazzo | blk Mary Herman | · |
| 39 | 15-24 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Bad set | Maddie Carnes | · | |
| 40 | 16-24 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | · |
| 41 | 16-25 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | · | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Blocked | Taryn Roberts | blk Mary Herman | +2.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Attack err | Mady Yaden | set Payton Parsons | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Attack err | Maddie Hagan | +2.6 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | BELLAR | RADFRD×3 | Attack err | Natalie Bland | set Payton Parsons | +1.9 |
| 7 | 3-4 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Ace | Radford | aced Payton Parsons | +2.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Ace | Radford | aced Payton Parsons | +2.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Serve err | Radford | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Attack err | Natalie Bland | +2.6 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +1.9 |
| 14 | 5-9 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Attack err | Natalie Bland | +2.5 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +1.5 |
| 16 | 7-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Taryn Roberts | +2.5 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +2.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Ace | Radford | +2.6 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +1.6 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Aubrey Hatch | set Lea Gage | +1.9 |
| 21 | 9-12 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +1.6 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +1.9 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Kill | Maja Bochenek | +2.2 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | RADFRD | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Maja Bochenek | set Lea Gage | +1.3 |
| 25 | 11-14 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Payton Parsons | +2.3 |
| 26 | 12-14 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Aubrey Hatch | +2.8 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Ace | Bellarmine | +3.3 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +2.6 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | +2.4 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Maja Bochenek | set Lea Gage | +2.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Payton Parsons | +2.5 |
| 32 | 16-16 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +4.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Maja Bochenek | set Lea Gage | +3.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +3.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | BELLAR | RADFRD×3 | Serve err | Bellarmine | +3.3 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Kill | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +4.5 |
| 37 | 17-20 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Ace | Radford | aced Ava Long | +4.0 |
| 38 | 18-20 | RADFRD | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +2.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +4.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | Macie Potter | +5.3 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +4.2 |
| 42 | 21-21 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | set Erika Smith | +4.1 |
| 43 | 21-22 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +4.8 |
| 44 | 22-22 | RADFRD | BELLAR×4 | Serve err | Radford | +4.6 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Macie Potter | +8.0 |
| 46 | 24-22 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Payton Parsons | +7.6 |
| 47 | 25-22 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Macie Potter | +4.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Kill | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +3.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Ace | Radford | aced Natalie Bland | +3.4 |
| 3 | 0-3 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Attack err | Maddie Carnes | +3.3 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Serve err | Radford | +2.2 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Addison Cunnagin | +3.3 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | BELLAR | RADFRD×3 | Kill | Katrina Miller | set Lea Gage | +2.5 |
| 7 | 2-5 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Blocked | Maddie Hagan | blk Maja Bochenek | +3.4 |
| 8 | 2-6 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Attack err | Mady Yaden | +3.1 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | RADFRD | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +2.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Mary Herman | set Mia Jannazzo | +3.2 |
| 11 | 5-6 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Macie Potter | +3.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Addison Cunnagin | +3.8 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | BELLAR | RADFRD×3 | Serve err | Bellarmine | +2.8 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Ace | Radford | aced Payton Parsons | +3.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +3.7 |
| 16 | 7-9 | RADFRD | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +2.4 |
| 17 | 8-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | +3.8 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +4.1 |
| 19 | 9-10 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Maja Bochenek | set Lea Gage | +3.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +3.0 |
| 21 | 10-11 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +3.1 |
| 22 | 11-11 | RADFRD | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +3.1 |
| 23 | 12-11 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | Aubrey Hatch | +4.6 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Blocked | Macie Potter | blk Erika Smith, Maddie Carnes | +4.5 |
| 25 | 13-12 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Taryn Roberts | +3.0 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +3.4 |
| 27 | 15-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | +4.4 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | +2.7 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Blocked | Taryn Roberts | blk Mary Herman | +3.2 |
| 30 | 17-13 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | Bellarmine | +3.9 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +2.1 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +2.8 |
| 33 | 19-14 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +3.0 |
| 34–35 | 20-15 | BELLAR · RADFRD | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.7 | |||
| 36 | 21-15 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +1.8 |
| 37 | 22-15 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Blocked | Addison Cunnagin | blk Erika Smith, Maddie Hagan | +0.9 |
| 38 | 22-16 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.2 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +0.5 |
| 40 | 23-17 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Riley Greene | set Lea Gage | +0.1 |
| 41 | 24-17 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Natalie Bland | +0.3 |
| 42 | 25-17 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.1 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +2.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Kill | Riley Greene | set Lea Gage | +3.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Bad set | Lea Gage | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +2.5 |
| 5 | 1-4 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Attack err | Natalie Bland | +3.3 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +2.2 |
| 7 | 2-5 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Riley Greene | set Lea Gage | +2.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +2.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Mia Jannazzo | +3.5 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Riley Greene | set Lea Gage | +2.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Blocked | Taryn Roberts | blk Natalie Bland | +2.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | BELLAR | RADFRD×3 | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +2.7 |
| 13 | 5-8 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Blocked | Erika Smith | blk Addison Cunnagin | +3.6 |
| 14 | 5-9 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Blocked | Mady Yaden | blk Aubrey Hatch, Taryn Roberts | +3.3 |
| 15 | 6-9 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Mady Yaden | +2.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Mia Jannazzo | +3.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +2.7 |
| 18 | 8-10 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +2.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | +2.8 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Kill | Riley Greene | set Lea Gage | +3.5 |
| 21 | 9-12 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +2.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Riley Greene | set Lea Gage | +2.5 |
| 23 | 10-13 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | +2.1 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +2.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +2.2 |
| 26 | 11-15 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +2.6 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Attack err | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +2.2 |
| 28 | 12-16 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Mia Jannazzo | +2.7 |
| 29 | 13-16 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Ava Long | +2.2 |
| 30 | 13-17 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +2.8 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +2.1 |
| 32 | 15-17 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +3.9 |
| 33 | 15-18 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Addison Cunnagin | +3.5 |
| 34 | 16-18 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +2.9 |
| 35 | 17-18 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | Bellarmine | +5.1 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +4.3 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +5.3 |
| 38 | 18-20 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Serve err | Radford | +2.9 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Blocked | Natalie Bland | blk Lea Gage, Riley Greene | +4.0 |
| 40 | 18-22 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Kill | Riley Greene | set Lea Gage | +4.0 |
| 41 | 19-22 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +1.6 |
| 42 | 19-23 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Riley Greene | set Lea Gage | +2.7 |
| 43 | 19-24 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Ace | Radford | aced Ava Long | +1.7 |
| 44 | 20-24 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 45 | 20-25 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +2.0 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1–2 | 1-1 | BELLAR · RADFRD | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 3 | 1-2 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Attack err | Maddie Carnes | set Lea Gage | +6.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Ava Long | +6.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | BELLAR | RADFRD×6 | Kill | Macie Potter | set Lea Gage | +6.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Kill | Lea Gage | set Riley Greene | +9.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Attack err | Mady Yaden | +8.8 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Ace | Radford | aced Ava Long | +7.6 |
| 9 | 2-7 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +6.0 |
| 10 | 2-8 | RADFRD | RADFRD×6 | Attack err | Mady Yaden | +4.4 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +2.0 |
| 12 | 3-9 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.8 |
| 14 | 4-10 | BELLAR | RADFRD×3 | Kill | Taryn Roberts | set Lea Gage | +2.8 |
| 15 | 4-11 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Kill | Aubrey Hatch | set Lea Gage | +2.2 |
| 16 | 4-12 | RADFRD | RADFRD×3 | Ace | Radford | aced Mady Yaden | +1.0 |
| 17 | 5-12 | RADFRD | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 18 | 6-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.7 |
| 19 | 7-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Blocked | Taryn Roberts | blk Natalie Bland | +1.3 |
| 20 | 7-13 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Kill | Addison Cunnagin | set Lea Gage | +1.8 |
| 21 | 7-14 | RADFRD | RADFRD | Attack err | Natalie Bland | +0.8 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | RADFRD | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.1 |
| 23 | 9-14 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Taryn Roberts | +0.3 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | BELLAR | RADFRD | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.6 | |
Score shown after each rally, Bellarmine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).