Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Radford def. UNC Asheville 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UNC Asheville 71.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Radford won at UNC Asheville 3-1 (20-25, 25-14, 25-20, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Radford's Macie Potter led with 15 kills, and Lea Gage added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
RADFRD202525253
UNC A251420201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Macie Potter hit .379 on 29 swings as Radford edged UNC Asheville.

The match turned once; each line shows Radford's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. UNC Asheville went in at 71% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Radford 13–12 UNC Asheville

    Up 13–12, Radford had 4 straight kills to make it 17–12. The match swung to Radford.

    Radford 39% → 55%

UNC Asheville above 50Radford belowMax swing 5.1%

RadfordUNC Asheville

Sideout %
Radford 65.0·UNC Asheville 54.3
Break %
Radford 45.7·UNC Asheville 35.0
Hitting
Radford .283·UNC Asheville .184
Longest run
Radford 6·UNC Asheville 7

Aubrey Hatch
2 kills inside the turning points, 6 K and .182 for the match (8.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNC Asheville above 50 · Radford below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.1% RADFRDrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.1% to Radford — set 4, RADFRD 13-9 UNC A. Radford ace on Sarah Wadsworth. UNC A win probability 21% → 16%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RADFRD 35.8%64.2% UNC A

Radford wins

3-0
7.4%
3-1
12.9%
3-2
15.5%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0
19.5%
3-1
24.6%
3-2
20.1%
RADFRD break %
39.5% vs this opp
UNC A break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    RadfordAce+5.1%

    Radford ace on Sarah Wadsworth

    Set 4 · RADFRD 13-9 UNC A · RADFRD 79% → 84%

  2. 02

    Sarah Wadsworth stuffed by Maja Bochenek & Olivia Ryno

    Set 4 · RADFRD 10-6 UNC A · RADFRD 77% → 82%

  3. 03
    Aubrey HatchKill+4.7%

    Kill by Aubrey Hatch (set by Alyssa Cadavid)

    Set 3 · RADFRD 15-12 UNC A · RADFRD 43% → 48%

  4. 04
    Lily BannisterAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Lily Bannister

    Set 4 · RADFRD 7-4 UNC A · RADFRD 72% → 76%

  5. 05
    RadfordAce+4.6%

    Radford ace on Izzy Perkins

    Set 4 · RADFRD 6-4 UNC A · RADFRD 67% → 72%

  6. 06

    Kill by Cadence Nichols (set by Addie Brookbank)

    Set 4 · RADFRD 11-9 UNC A · UNC A 20% → 25%

  7. 07
    Cadence NicholsAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Cadence Nichols

    Set 4 · RADFRD 14-9 UNC A · RADFRD 84% → 89%

  8. 08
    Aubrey HatchKill+4.4%

    Kill by Aubrey Hatch

    Set 3 · RADFRD 12-10 UNC A · RADFRD 37% → 42%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415429.37901011202117
48010.8000000014311
48017.4710012004210
46222.18201580031.58.5
4002.00014211700002
1013-.33300000010.50.5
47424.125100000218
4000–5111220001
4001.0002203500000
33212.083100100214
3000–023000002
1000–001000000
Team totals4713120.283437155671181095
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48532.0940267212212
48110.70000000031.59.5
46112.417023200219
47729.00001350010.58.5
46220.20000030010.56.5
4000–1902500000
49522.18200010010.59.5
4000–16131200001
4000–1001750000
2000–011000001
1000–000000000
Team totals4421125.18436718527110679

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Radford vs UNC Asheville

Season series · Radford leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 RADFRD · UNC A 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 RADFRDUNC A 7

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 6 RADFRDUNC A 2

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 RADFRDUNC A 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 3 RADFRDUNC A 3

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Radford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Radford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
53%9/17
2
67%10/15
38%6/16
3
82%9/11
50%10/20
4
62%8/13
47%7/15
5
47%8/17
53%9/17
6
78%7/9
22%2/9
All
65%52/80
46%43/94

UNC Asheville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
33%4/12
2
48%10/21
29%4/14
3
50%9/18
31%4/13
4
73%8/11
18%2/11
5
44%8/18
56%10/18
6
60%6/10
33%4/12
All
54%51/94
35%28/80

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#RADFRD-UNC ASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNC AUNC A×3KillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+2.1
20-2UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Ashevilleaced Macie Potter+2.0
30-3UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Ashevilleaced Mia Jannazzo+1.8
41-3UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+1.2
51-4RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+1.3
62-4UNC ARADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+1.3
72-5RADFRDUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+1.3
83-5UNC ARADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+1.3
94-5RADFRDRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Mia Jannazzo+2.1
104-6RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+1.5
114-7UNC AUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.0
125-7UNC ARADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+1.3
135-8RADFRDUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.4
146-8UNC ARADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+1.4
156-9RADFRDUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.4
167-9UNC ARADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.4
177-10RADFRDUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.5
188-10UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+1.4
198-11RADFRDUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.5
209-11UNC ARADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+1.4
219-12RADFRDUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.6
2210-12UNC ARADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+1.5
2310-13RADFRDUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.6
2411-13UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+1.5
2511-14RADFRDUNC A×7KillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.7
2611-15UNC AUNC A×7BlockedMacie Potterblk Lydia Pate, Lily Bannister+2.0
2711-16UNC AUNC A×7KillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.5
2811-17UNC AUNC A×7BlockedAddison Cunnaginblk Sarah Wadsworth, Lydia Pate+1.1
2911-18UNC AUNC A×7KillSarah Wadsworthset Izzy Perkins+0.7
3011-19UNC AUNC A×7KillLily Bannister+0.4
3111-20UNC AUNC A×7KillLily Bannister+0.2
3212-20UNC ARADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+0.1
3312-21RADFRDUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.1
3413-21UNC ARADFRDBlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Ela Shepherd, Taryn Roberts·
3514-21RADFRDRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+0.1
3614-22RADFRDUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.1
3715-22UNC ARADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+0.1
3816-22RADFRDRADFRDAttack errAddie Brookbank+0.2
3916-23RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+0.2
4016-24UNC AUNC AAttack errEla Shepherd+0.1
4117-24UNC ARADFRD×4KillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage·
4218-24RADFRDRADFRD×4BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Maja Bochenek, Addison Cunnagin·
4319-24RADFRDRADFRD×4KillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+0.1
4420-24RADFRDRADFRD×4Bad setOlivia Callipo+0.2
4520-25RADFRDUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+0.3
Set 2
11-0RADFRDRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.8
22-0RADFRDRADFRDAceRadfordaced Izzy Perkins+1.9
32-1RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+1.3
43-1UNC ARADFRD×3Serve errUNC Asheville+1.4
54-1RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedLydia Pateblk Maja Bochenek+2.0
65-1RADFRDRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+2.0
75-2RADFRDUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Mia Jannazzo+1.2
86-2UNC ARADFRDAttack errSarah Wadsworth+1.4
96-3RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+1.2
107-3UNC ARADFRDAttack errLily Bannister+1.5
117-4RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+1.2
127-5UNC AUNC AAceUNC Asheville+1.9
138-5UNC ARADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+1.6
149-5RADFRDRADFRDAttack errLily Bannister+2.1
159-6RADFRDUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.3
1610-6UNC ARADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+1.6
1710-7RADFRDUNC ABlockedOlivia Rynoblk Sarah Wadsworth+1.3
1811-7UNC ARADFRDBlockedAlbertine van der Gootblk Taryn Roberts, Aubrey Hatch+1.6
1912-7RADFRDRADFRDAceRadfordaced Izzy Perkins+2.0
2012-8RADFRDUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.1
2112-9UNC AUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.9
2213-9UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+1.7
2314-9RADFRDRADFRDAttack errAddie Brookbank+2.1
2414-10RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+1.1
2515-10UNC ARADFRD×3Serve errUNC Asheville+1.5
2616-10RADFRDRADFRD×3Bad setOlivia Callipo+1.7
2717-10RADFRDRADFRD×3KillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.3
2817-11RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+0.5
2918-11UNC ARADFRDBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Addison Cunnagin, Maja Bochenek+0.8
3018-12RADFRDUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.5
3118-13UNC AUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.0
3219-13UNC ARADFRD×6Attack errLily Bannister+1.1
3320-13RADFRDRADFRD×6BlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Olivia Ryno, Taryn Roberts+1.0
3421-13RADFRDRADFRD×6BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Taryn Roberts, Macie Potter+0.5
3522-13RADFRDRADFRD×6KillMacie Potter+0.2
3623-13RADFRDRADFRD×6KillMacie Potterset Mia Jannazzo+0.1
3724-13RADFRDRADFRD×6Attack errSarah Wadsworth·
3824-14RADFRDUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen·
3925-14UNC ARADFRDKillOlivia Rynoset Lea Gage·
Set 3
10-1UNC AUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+3.0
21-1UNC ARADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+2.2
31-2RADFRDUNC A×3Serve errRadford+2.1
41-3UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Ashevilleaced Mia Jannazzo+2.9
51-4UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Asheville+2.6
62-4UNC ARADFRDAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+1.8
72-5RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+1.9
82-6UNC AUNC AAceUNC Asheville+2.4
93-6UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+1.5
104-6RADFRDRADFRDAttack errAddie Brookbank+2.6
114-7RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+1.9
125-7UNC ARADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.9
136-7RADFRDRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+3.1
146-8RADFRDUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+2.3
156-9UNC AUNC AKillLily Bannister+2.9
167-9UNC ARADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+2.0
178-9RADFRDRADFRDAttack errLily Bannister+3.2
188-10RADFRDUNC AAttack errMacie Potter+2.4
199-10UNC ARADFRD×4Serve errUNC Asheville+2.4
2010-10RADFRDRADFRD×4AceRadfordaced Izzy Perkins+3.8
2111-10RADFRDRADFRD×4KillOlivia Rynoset Lea Gage+4.2
2212-10RADFRDRADFRD×4KillAubrey Hatch+4.4
2312-11RADFRDUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+2.9
2413-11UNC ARADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+3.3
2513-12RADFRDUNC AKillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+2.9
2614-12UNC ARADFRD×4KillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+3.4
2715-12RADFRDRADFRD×4KillAubrey Hatchset Alyssa Cadavid+4.7
2816-12RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+4.3
2917-12RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+3.6
3017-13RADFRDUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+1.8
3117-14UNC AUNC ABlockedAubrey Hatchblk Cadence Nichols, Addie Brookbank+3.4
3218-14UNC ARADFRD×4Serve errUNC Asheville+3.2
3319-14RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+3.6
3420-14RADFRDRADFRD×4BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Macie Potter, Maja Bochenek+2.5
3521-14RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+1.5
3621-15RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+0.5
3721-16UNC AUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.1
3822-16UNC ARADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.4
3922-17RADFRDUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.6
4023-17UNC ARADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.2
4124-17RADFRDRADFRDAceRadfordaced Izzy Perkins+0.6
4224-18RADFRDUNC A×3Serve errRadford+0.1
4324-19UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.2
4424-20UNC AUNC A×3Attack errMacie Potter+0.5
4525-20UNC ARADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+0.9
Set 4
11-0RADFRDRADFRDKillOlivia Rynoset Mia Jannazzo+4.0
21-1RADFRDUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Lea Gage+2.7
32-1UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+2.9
42-2RADFRDUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+2.8
53-2UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+3.0
63-3RADFRDUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.9
74-3UNC ARADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+3.1
84-4RADFRDUNC AAttack errAddison Cunnagin+2.9
95-4UNC ARADFRD×3Serve errUNC Asheville+3.2
106-4RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Izzy Perkins+4.6
117-4RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errLily Bannister+4.7
127-5RADFRDUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+3.0
138-5UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+3.5
148-6RADFRDUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+3.0
159-6UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+3.6
1610-6RADFRDRADFRDBlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Maja Bochenek, Olivia Ryno+4.8
1710-7RADFRDUNC AKillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+2.8
1811-7UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+3.5
1911-8RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+2.9
2011-9UNC AUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Addie Brookbank+4.6
2112-9UNC ARADFRD×3Serve errUNC Asheville+3.9
2213-9RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Sarah Wadsworth+5.1
2314-9RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errCadence Nichols+4.5
2414-10RADFRDUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+2.4
2515-10UNC ARADFRD×3Serve errUNC Asheville+3.3
2616-10RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Sarah Wadsworth+3.7
2717-10RADFRDRADFRD×3KillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+2.7
2817-11RADFRDUNC AAttack errAddison Cunnagin+1.2
2917-12UNC AUNC AAttack errMacie Potter+2.4
3018-12UNC ARADFRDServe errUNC Asheville+2.5
3118-13RADFRDUNC A×3BlockedOlivia Rynoblk Cadence Nichols, Sarah Wadsworth+1.5
3218-14UNC AUNC A×3KillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+3.1
3318-15UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Ashevilleaced Macie Potter+4.2
3419-15UNC ARADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Olivia Ryno+4.1
3519-16RADFRDUNC AAttack errAubrey Hatch+2.9
3620-16UNC ARADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Mia Jannazzo+4.2
3720-17RADFRDUNC AServe errRadford+2.7
3821-17UNC ARADFRD×3KillAubrey Hatchset Mia Jannazzo+4.2
3922-17RADFRDRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+3.9
4023-17RADFRDRADFRD×3KillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+2.0
4123-18RADFRDUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.5
4223-19UNC AUNC ABlockedAddison Cunnaginblk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols+1.3
4324-19UNC ARADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+1.9
4424-20RADFRDUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+0.4
4525-20UNC ARADFRDKillMacie Potterset Addison Cunnagin+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Radford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).