FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Radford def. Charleston So. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Radford 59.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Radford beat visiting Charleston So. 3-0 (25-17, 25-20, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Ela Shepherd led Radford with 12 kills; Charleston So.'s Brynn Minter had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
CHARSO1720220
RADFRD2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.435 and 12 kills for Ela Shepherd as Radford rolled past Charleston So.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.9 points. Charleston So. peaked at 43% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Radford at 60%.

Charleston So.Radford
  • Break %+14.1 pts
    31.145.2

    On serve: 33/73 against 19/61 (Charleston So. sideout 54.8%).

Radford above 50Charleston So. belowMax swing 2.9%

Charleston So.Radford

Hitting
Charleston So. .237·Radford .307
Aces
Charleston So. 4·Radford 4
Serve err
Charleston So. 8·Radford 8
Blocks
Charleston So. 4·Radford 50 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Charleston So. 45·Radford 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Radford above 50 · Charleston So. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.9% RADFRDrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.9% to Radford — set 1, CHARSO 8-9 RADFRD. Laila Hilton stuffed by Taryn Roberts & Macie Potter. RADFRD win probability 59% → 62%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHARSO 35.0%65.0% RADFRD

Charleston So. wins

3-0
7.1%
3-1
12.5%
3-2
15.3%

Radford wins

3-0
20.0%
3-1
24.9%
3-2
20.1%
CHARSO break %
40.1% vs this opp
RADFRD break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Laila Hilton stuffed by Taryn Roberts & Macie Potter

    Set 1 · CHARSO 8-9 RADFRD · RADFRD 59% → 62%

  2. 02
    Emma BednarekKill+2.9%

    Kill by Emma Bednarek (set by Cara McLean)

    Set 1 · CHARSO 7-6 RADFRD · CHARSO 40% → 43%

  3. 03
    Macie PotterKill+2.9%

    Kill by Macie Potter (set by Lea Gage)

    Set 1 · CHARSO 8-10 RADFRD · RADFRD 62% → 64%

  4. 04
    Taryn RobertsBlock+2.7%

    Dillia Lowry stuffed by Taryn Roberts

    Set 1 · CHARSO 9-12 RADFRD · RADFRD 65% → 67%

  5. 05
    Brynn MinterKill+2.7%

    Kill by Brynn Minter

    Set 1 · CHARSO 6-6 RADFRD · CHARSO 38% → 40%

  6. 06
    Charleston So.Service error+2.7%

    Charleston So. service error

    Set 2 · CHARSO 20-23 RADFRD · RADFRD 86% → 88%

  7. 07
    Charleston So.Ace+2.4%

    Charleston So. ace on Mia Jannazzo

    Set 1 · CHARSO 4-5 RADFRD · CHARSO 35% → 38%

  8. 08
    Addison CunnaginAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Addison Cunnagin

    Set 2 · CHARSO 20-22 RADFRD · CHARSO 12% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316333.3940003002117
35317.118001200216
32212.00001010031.54.5
3001.0001601900000
2115.000000200001
1102.500002000001
31011.0001020500003
3000–112910001
3000–301900000
2306.500100100003
2126-.16700110010.51.5
1307.429100330003
1113.000100000001
Team totals341293.237334845408459
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311635.1431127202113
312223.43510010010.512.5
310219.421014111010.511.5
36114.357000001228
3418.375020200217
31011.0002301300001
3000–2000600000
3000–2011410000
21110.000000000001
1304.750000000003
Team totals4813114.307474844418575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Charleston So. vs Radford

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CHARSO · RADFRD 4

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 CHARSORADFRD 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 CHARSORADFRD 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 CHARSORADFRD 4

Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = Charleston So. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Charleston So.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
0%0/5
2
50%5/10
17%1/6
3
57%4/7
55%6/11
4
57%4/7
64%7/11
5
67%4/6
0%0/4
6
30%3/10
0%0/4
All
52%25/48
34%14/41

Radford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%5/5
70%7/10
2
83%5/6
38%3/8
3
45%5/11
50%5/10
4
36%4/11
43%3/7
5
100%4/4
43%3/7
6
100%4/4
33%2/6
All
66%27/41
48%23/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#CHARSO-RADFRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CHARSORADFRD×4KillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+1.7
20-2RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+2.3
30-3RADFRDRADFRD×4KillAddison Cunnaginset Mia Jannazzo+2.2
40-4RADFRDRADFRD×4KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.0
51-4RADFRDCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+1.4
62-4CHARSOCHARSOBlockedMaja Bochenekblk Dillia Lowry, Brynn Minter+2.1
72-5CHARSORADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+1.7
83-5RADFRDCHARSOAttack errAubrey Hatch+1.6
94-5CHARSOCHARSOAceCharleston So.aced Mia Jannazzo+2.4
104-6CHARSORADFRDServe errCharleston So.+1.8
115-6RADFRDCHARSO×3KillBrynn Minterset Tristin Sutton+1.8
126-6CHARSOCHARSO×3KillBrynn Minter+2.7
137-6CHARSOCHARSO×3KillEmma Bednarekset Cara McLean+2.9
147-7CHARSORADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+2.0
158-7RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Cara McLean+2.2
168-8CHARSORADFRD×3Attack errBrynn Minter+2.1
178-9RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedLaila Hiltonblk Taryn Roberts, Macie Potter+2.9
188-10RADFRDRADFRD×3KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.9
199-10RADFRDCHARSOKillLaila Hiltonset Presley Morris+2.0
209-11CHARSORADFRD×3Serve errCharleston So.+2.1
219-12RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedDillia Lowryblk Taryn Roberts+2.7
229-13RADFRDRADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Addison Cunnagin*+2.4
2310-13RADFRDCHARSOServe errRadford+1.5
2410-14CHARSORADFRDBad setTristin Sutton+1.8
2511-14RADFRDCHARSOServe errRadford+1.5
2611-15CHARSORADFRD×4KillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+1.8
2711-16RADFRDRADFRD×4KillAubrey Hatchset Alyssa Cadavid+2.0
2811-17RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+1.5
2911-18RADFRDRADFRD×4BlockedFaith Burchblk Maja Bochenek, Addison Cunnagin+1.0
3012-18RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Tristin Sutton+0.4
3113-18CHARSOCHARSOAttack errAddison Cunnagin+0.9
3213-19CHARSORADFRDServe errCharleston So.+1.0
3314-19RADFRDCHARSOServe errRadford+0.6
3415-19CHARSOCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Cara McLean+1.3
3515-20CHARSORADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.4
3615-21RADFRDRADFRDBad setCara McLean+1.2
3716-21RADFRDCHARSOKillCara McLeanset Naya Martinez+0.4
3816-22CHARSORADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+0.7
3917-22RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Laila Hilton+0.3
4017-23CHARSORADFRD×3Serve errCharleston So.+0.6
4117-24RADFRDRADFRD×3Bad setCara McLean+0.3
4217-25RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedSurima Akatblk Ela Shepherd, Taryn Roberts·
Set 2
11-0RADFRDCHARSOServe errRadford+1.6
21-1CHARSORADFRD×3KillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+1.6
31-2RADFRDRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.2
41-3RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errFaith Burch+2.2
52-3RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Tristin Sutton+1.5
62-4CHARSORADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+1.6
72-5RADFRDRADFRDBlockedFaith Burchblk Addison Cunnagin, Maja Bochenek+2.1
83-5RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Tristin Sutton+1.4
93-6CHARSORADFRDAttack errKylee Roberts+1.5
104-6RADFRDCHARSOServe errRadford+1.5
114-7CHARSORADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.6
124-8RADFRDRADFRDAceRadfordaced Presley Morris+2.0
135-8RADFRDCHARSOKillKylee Robertsset Cara McLean+1.3
145-9CHARSORADFRDServe errCharleston So.+1.4
155-10RADFRDRADFRDAttack errBrynn Minter+1.7
166-10RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Grace Smith+1.1
176-11CHARSORADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.3
186-12RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errDillia Lowry+1.4
196-13RADFRDRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.1
207-13RADFRDCHARSOAttack errEla Shepherd+0.6
217-14RADFRD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
228-14RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Tristin Sutton+0.6
239-14CHARSOCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+1.1
249-15CHARSORADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.0
2510-15RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Naya Martinez+0.7
2610-16CHARSORADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+1.0
2711-16RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Cara McLean+0.7
2811-17CHARSORADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.0
2912-17RADFRDCHARSOKillGrace Smithset Cara McLean+0.7
3012-18CHARSORADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+0.9
3112-19RADFRDRADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+0.8
3213-19RADFRDCHARSOKillSurima Akatset Cara McLean+0.3
3313-20CHARSORADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+0.5
3414-20RADFRDCHARSO×4KillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+0.3
3515-20CHARSOCHARSO×4Attack errEla Shepherd+0.7
3616-20CHARSOCHARSO×4BlockedAddison Cunnaginblk Dillia Lowry, Faith Burch+1.1
3717-20CHARSOCHARSO×4Attack errTaryn Roberts+1.7
3817-21CHARSORADFRDServe errCharleston So.+1.8
3918-21RADFRDCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+1.2
4018-22CHARSORADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.8
4119-22RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Tristin Sutton+1.0
4220-22CHARSOCHARSOAttack errAddison Cunnagin+2.4
4320-23CHARSORADFRD×3Serve errCharleston So.+2.7
4420-24RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errKylee Roberts+2.0
4520-25RADFRDRADFRD×3KillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+0.6
Set 3
10-1CHARSORADFRDServe errCharleston So.+1.0
21-1RADFRDCHARSOKillDillia Lowryset Tristin Sutton+1.0
31-2CHARSORADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.0
42-2RADFRDCHARSO×4KillDillia Lowryset Tristin Sutton+1.0
53-2CHARSOCHARSO×4AceCharleston So.aced Addison Cunnagin+1.5
64-2CHARSOCHARSO×4Attack errAddison Cunnagin+1.5
75-2CHARSOCHARSO×4KillBrynn Minterset Emersyn Reiter+1.5
85-3CHARSORADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Ela Shepherd+1.0
95-4RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Emersyn Reiter+1.5
105-5RADFRDRADFRD×3KillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.5
116-5RADFRDCHARSO×4BlockedMacie Potterblk Kylee Roberts, Faith Burch+1.2
127-5CHARSOCHARSO×4Attack errMacie Potter+1.6
138-5CHARSOCHARSO×4AceCharleston So.aced Addison Cunnagin+1.6
149-5CHARSOCHARSO×4KillGrace Smithset Naya Martinez+1.5
159-6CHARSORADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Alyssa Cadavid+0.9
169-7RADFRDRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.5
1710-7RADFRDCHARSOKillEmersyn Reiterset Cara McLean+1.2
1810-8CHARSORADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+1.1
1911-8RADFRDCHARSOServe errRadford+1.2
2011-9CHARSORADFRD×4KillKatrina Millerset Mia Jannazzo+1.1
2111-10RADFRDRADFRD×4KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.7
2211-11RADFRDRADFRD×4KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.8
2311-12RADFRDRADFRD×4AceRadfordaced Emersyn Reiter+1.8
2412-12RADFRDCHARSOServe errRadford+1.3
2512-13CHARSORADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+1.4
2613-13RADFRDCHARSOAttack errAddison Cunnagin+1.4
2713-14CHARSORADFRD×3KillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+1.4
2813-15RADFRDRADFRD×3KillEla Shepherdset Alyssa Cadavid+1.9
2913-16RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errBrynn Minter+1.8
3014-16RADFRDCHARSOKillEmersyn Reiterset Tristin Sutton+1.1
3115-16CHARSOCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+1.9
3215-17CHARSORADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Alyssa Cadavid+1.5
3315-18RADFRDRADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Alyssa Cadavid+1.9
3416-18RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Tristin Sutton+1.1
3517-18CHARSOCHARSOAceCharleston So.aced Macie Potter+2.0
3617-19CHARSORADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+1.7
3717-20RADFRDRADFRDAceMaja Bochenekaced Emersyn Reiter+2.1
3818-20RADFRDCHARSOKillBrynn Minterset Cara McLean+1.2
3918-21CHARSORADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Alyssa Cadavid+1.6
4019-21RADFRDCHARSOKillGrace Smithset Cara McLean+1.1
4119-22CHARSORADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+1.6
4220-22RADFRDCHARSOServe errMacie Potter+1.1
4320-23CHARSORADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.7
4421-23RADFRDCHARSOKillEmersyn Reiterset Tristin Sutton+1.0
4521-24CHARSORADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.7
4622-24RADFRDCHARSOAttack errAddison Cunnagin+0.7
4722-25CHARSORADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Alyssa Cadavid+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Charleston So. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).