FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMAC

0:3

HomeBIG-EAST

Butler def. Akron 3–0

(25-23, 25-21, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
AKRON	23	21	19	0
BUTLER	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BUTLER above 50 · AKRON below

Biggest swing: 6.4% to Butler — set 1, AKRON 23-25 BUTLER. Kill by Karen Dutro (set by Sarah Kempf). BUTLER win probability 73% → 79%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

AKRON 36.0%64.0% BUTLER

Akron wins

3-0

7.4%

3-1

12.9%

3-2

15.6%

Butler wins

3-0

19.4%

3-1

24.5%

3-2

20.0%

AKRON break %: 41.3% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Karen DutroKill+6.4%
Kill by Karen Dutro (set by Sarah Kempf)
Set 1 · AKRON 23-25 BUTLER · BUTLER 73% → 79%
02
Delaney GashAttack error+4.2%
Delaney Gash stuffed by Maria Nix & Carly Slusser
Set 1 · AKRON 17-18 BUTLER · BUTLER 63% → 67%
03
BUTLER serverAce+4.0%
Butler ace on Reilly Chausse
Set 1 · AKRON 17-19 BUTLER · BUTLER 67% → 71%
04
BUTLER serverAce+3.8%
Butler ace on Delaney Gash
Set 1 · AKRON 16-16 BUTLER · BUTLER 59% → 63%
05
Maria NixAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Maria Nix
Set 1 · AKRON 16-14 BUTLER · AKRON 40% → 44%
06
Chidera OzohKill+3.8%
Kill by Chidera Ozoh (set by Payton Evans)
Set 1 · AKRON 23-24 BUTLER · AKRON 23% → 27%
07
Chidera OzohKill+3.7%
Kill by Chidera Ozoh (set by Payton Evans)
Set 1 · AKRON 15-14 BUTLER · AKRON 36% → 40%
08
Chidera OzohAttack error+3.4%
Chidera Ozoh stuffed by Carly Slusser
Set 1 · AKRON 17-20 BUTLER · BUTLER 71% → 74%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Akronaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Delaney GashOH	3	8	3	33	.152	0	0	3	9	3	0	1	0.5	8.5
22Chidera OzohMB	3	6	3	11	.273	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
10Chiara GennariOH	3	7	2	12	.417	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	8
16Lyndi WolfMB	3	2	2	11	.000	0	1	1	1	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
14Lauren WilsonOH	3	4	4	19	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
4Clara ChristensenS	3	0	0	0	–	17	1	2	2	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
5Jordyn AeschlimanOH	3	1	3	10	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Vanessa Del RealL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	1	1	10	1	0	0	0	1
3Payton EvansS	3	0	2	3	-.667	8	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
7Reilly ChausseL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0
11Taylor DonovanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
9Jessie MusselmanOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	19	101	.089	27	3	9	38	6	2	12	8	63

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Carly SlusserMB	3	8	2	14	.429	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	10
16Elise WardOH	3	7	2	24	.208	2	1	2	7	1	0	0	0	8
8Raegan DurbinOH	3	4	5	13	-.077	0	2	3	8	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
11Sawyer JonesOH	3	5	2	16	.188	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
14Karen DutroMB	2	3	0	6	.500	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	4
9Kaylee FinneganS	2	0	0	1	.000	13	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
10Maria NixOH	3	6	5	16	.063	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
5Jersey LoyerDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	3	12	1	0	0	0	1
1Sarah KempfS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
3Chase LemmingOH	2	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
17Zoe McDonaldMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
4Ava HunterS	1	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
18Marin ThaxtonDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		40	17	105	.219	36	6	12	43	3	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 AKRON · BUTLER 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 AKRONBUTLER 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 AKRONBUTLER 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 AKRONBUTLER 4

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Akron leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Akron

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	56%9/16
2	67%8/12	33%4/12
3	58%7/12	0%0/8
4	78%7/9	0%0/7
5	35%6/17	36%4/11
6	60%6/10	40%4/10
All	57%42/74	33%21/64

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	0%0/8
2	80%8/10	53%9/17
3	100%7/7	46%6/13
4	64%7/11	22%2/9
5	67%6/9	50%6/12
6	60%6/10	60%9/15
All	67%43/64	43%32/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	AKRON-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Chiara Gennari	set Clara Christensen	+1.8
2	1-1	AKRON	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.7
3	1-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Delaney Gash	+2.3
4	1-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.2
5	2-3	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Chiara Gennari	set Clara Christensen	+1.6
6	2-4	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.7
7	3-4	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.7
8	3-5	AKRON	BUTLER	Attack err	Jordyn Aeschliman		+1.7
9	4-5	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Lyndi Wolf	set Payton Evans	+1.7
10	4-6	AKRON	BUTLER×3	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.8
11	4-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Chidera Ozoh		+2.2
12	4-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Delaney Gash		+2.0
13	5-8	BUTLER	AKRON×4	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.4
14	6-8	AKRON	AKRON×4	Ace	AKRON server	aced Jersey Loyer	+2.1
15	7-8	AKRON	AKRON×4	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Chiara Gennari, Chidera Ozoh	+2.5
16	8-8	AKRON	AKRON×4	Attack err	Maria Nix		+2.7
17	8-9	AKRON	BUTLER	Serve err	AKRON server		+2.1
18	8-10	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser		+2.7
19	9-10	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Chidera Ozoh	set Clara Christensen	+1.9
20	10-10	AKRON	AKRON	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+2.9
21	10-11	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+2.2
22	11-11	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Chiara Gennari	set Clara Christensen	+2.3
23	11-12	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.3
24	12-12	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Chiara Gennari	set Clara Christensen	+2.3
25	12-13	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.4
26	13-13	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+2.4
27	13-14	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.5
28	14-14	BUTLER	AKRON×3	Kill	Lyndi Wolf	set Payton Evans	+2.5
29	15-14	AKRON	AKRON×3	Kill	Chidera Ozoh	set Payton Evans	+3.7
30	16-14	AKRON	AKRON×3	Attack err	Maria Nix		+3.8
31	16-15	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+2.5
32	16-16	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Delaney Gash	+3.8
33	17-16	BUTLER	AKRON	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+3.1
34	17-17	AKRON	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+3.0
35	17-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Delaney Gash	blk Maria Nix, Carly Slusser	+4.2
36	17-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Reilly Chausse	+4.0
37	17-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Chidera Ozoh	blk Carly Slusser	+3.4
38	18-20	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+2.0
39	18-21	AKRON	BUTLER	Serve err	AKRON server		+2.6
40	19-21	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Chiara Gennari	set Clara Christensen	+2.0
41	19-22	AKRON	BUTLER	Attack err	Lauren Wilson		+2.8
42	20-22	BUTLER	AKRON	Bad set	Jersey Loyer		+1.9
43	20-23	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.9
44	21-23	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Lauren Wilson	set Vanessa Del Real	+1.7
45	21-24	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.9
46	22-24	BUTLER	AKRON	Attack err	Elise Ward	blk Jordyn Aeschliman, Lyndi Wolf	+1.2
47	23-24	AKRON	AKRON	Kill	Chidera Ozoh	set Payton Evans	+3.8
48	23-25	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+6.4
Set 2
1	1-0	AKRON	AKRON×3	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+2.1
2	2-0	AKRON	AKRON×3	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Chidera Ozoh	+2.1
3	3-0	AKRON	AKRON×3	Attack err	Carly Slusser		+2.1
4	3-1	AKRON	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Chiara Gennari	blk Raegan Durbin, Carly Slusser	+1.5
5	3-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.1
6	3-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Carly Slusser		+2.1
7	3-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.1
8	3-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Taylor Donovan	+2.0
9	4-5	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.5
10	5-5	AKRON	AKRON	Ace	AKRON server	aced Raegan Durbin	+2.2
11	5-6	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.6
12	5-7	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Chiara Gennari		+2.2
13	6-7	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Chiara Gennari	set Clara Christensen	+1.6
14	6-8	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.6
15	7-8	BUTLER	AKRON	Attack err	Maria Nix	blk Lauren Wilson, Lyndi Wolf	+1.6
16	7-9	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+1.7
17	8-9	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Jordyn Aeschliman	set Payton Evans	+1.7
18	8-10	AKRON	BUTLER×3	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.7
19	8-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Chidera Ozoh		+2.2
20	8-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.9
21	9-12	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Delaney Gash	set Payton Evans	+1.2
22	9-13	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.4
23	10-13	BUTLER	AKRON×3	Bad set	Kaylee Finnegan		+1.2
24	11-13	AKRON	AKRON×3	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+2.1
25	12-13	AKRON	AKRON×3	Kill	Chidera Ozoh	set Clara Christensen	+2.5
26	12-14	AKRON	BUTLER	Serve err	AKRON server		+2.0
27	12-15	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Lauren Wilson		+2.4
28	13-15	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Lauren Wilson	set Clara Christensen	+1.6
29	14-15	AKRON	AKRON	Attack err	Elise Ward	blk Lyndi Wolf, Chiara Gennari	+2.7
30	14-16	AKRON	BUTLER	Bad set	Clara Christensen		+2.2
31	15-16	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Chiara Gennari	set Clara Christensen	+2.1
32	15-17	AKRON	BUTLER	Serve err	AKRON server		+2.3
33	16-17	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Lauren Wilson	set Clara Christensen	+2.1
34	16-18	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+2.4
35	17-18	BUTLER	AKRON	Attack err	Maria Nix	blk Lyndi Wolf	+2.2
36	17-19	AKRON	BUTLER×4	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Sarah Kempf	+2.6
37	17-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Delaney Gash	+3.0
38	17-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+2.2
39	17-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+1.4
40	18-22	BUTLER	AKRON	Attack err	Chase Lemming	blk Chidera Ozoh, Clara Christensen	+0.5
41	19-22	AKRON	AKRON	Kill	Chidera Ozoh	set Clara Christensen	+1.3
42	19-23	AKRON	BUTLER	Serve err	AKRON server		+1.5
43	20-23	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Delaney Gash	set Clara Christensen	+0.7
44	21-23	AKRON	AKRON	Attack err	Carly Slusser		+1.9
45	21-24	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.6
46	21-25	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Lauren Wilson		+1.3
Set 3
1	1-0	BUTLER	AKRON×3	Kill	Delaney Gash	set Reilly Chausse	+0.9
2	2-0	AKRON	AKRON×3	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+1.2
3	3-0	AKRON	AKRON×3	Kill	Delaney Gash	set Clara Christensen	+1.2
4	3-1	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
5	4-1	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.9
6	4-2	AKRON	BUTLER	Serve err	AKRON server		+0.9
7	4-3	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Delaney Gash		+1.2
8	5-3	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.0
9	5-4	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.9
10	6-4	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.0
11	6-5	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin		+0.9
12	7-5	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Lauren Wilson	set Payton Evans	+1.0
13	7-6	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.0
14	8-6	BUTLER	AKRON×3	Kill	Chidera Ozoh	set Clara Christensen	+1.1
15	9-6	AKRON	AKRON×3	Kill	Delaney Gash		+1.4
16	10-6	AKRON	AKRON×3	Attack err	Maria Nix	blk Delaney Gash, Chidera Ozoh	+1.3
17	10-7	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Elise Ward	+0.9
18	11-7	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.0
19	11-8	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.9
20	12-8	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Delaney Gash	set Clara Christensen	+1.0
21	12-9	AKRON	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Jordyn Aeschliman		+0.9
22	12-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Payton Evans		+1.4
23	12-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Lyndi Wolf	blk Zoe McDonald	+1.5
24	13-11	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Delaney Gash	set Payton Evans	+1.3
25	13-12	AKRON	BUTLER×3	Serve err	AKRON server		+1.1
26	13-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+1.7
27	13-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Payton Evans		+1.7
28	14-14	BUTLER	AKRON	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+1.3
29	15-14	AKRON	AKRON	Ace	AKRON server	aced Elise Ward	+1.9
30	15-15	AKRON	BUTLER×4	Serve err	AKRON server		+1.3
31	15-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+1.9
32	15-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Jordyn Aeschliman		+1.8
33	15-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Lauren Wilson	blk Maria Nix, Zoe McDonald	+1.6
34	16-18	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.0
35	16-19	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
36	17-19	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.0
37	17-20	AKRON	BUTLER	Kill	Ava Hunter	set Elise Ward	+1.3
38	18-20	BUTLER	AKRON	Kill	Delaney Gash	set Clara Christensen	+1.0
39	18-21	AKRON	BUTLER	Serve err	AKRON server		+1.3
40	18-22	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+1.3
41	19-22	BUTLER	AKRON	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.5
42	19-23	AKRON	BUTLER×3	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+0.9
43	19-24	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Lyndi Wolf		+0.5
44	19-25	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Vanessa Del Real	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Akron first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.