Ohio vs Butler Volleyball: Butler Wins 3-0 (Sep 5, 2026)

FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

0:3

Butler beat visiting Ohio 3-0 (25-22, 25-14, 25-10) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Butler's Sawyer Jones led with 7 kills, and Jersey Loyer added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
OHIO	22	14	10	0
BUTLER	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Butler above 50 · Ohio below

Biggest swing: 6.7% to Butler — set 1, OHIO 22-24 BUTLER. Butler ace on Rowan Kelly. BUTLER win probability 71% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OHIO 34.2%65.8% BUTLER

Ohio wins

3-0

6.9%

3-1

12.2%

3-2

15.1%

Butler wins

3-0

20.5%

3-1

25.2%

3-2

20.1%

OHIO break %: 38.6% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
ButlerAce+6.7%
Butler ace on Rowan Kelly
Set 1 · OHIO 22-24 BUTLER · BUTLER 71% → 77%
02
OhioAce+6.1%
Ohio ace on Elise Ward
Set 1 · OHIO 22-22 BUTLER · OHIO 28% → 34%
03
Zoe McdonaldKill+5.0%
Kill by Zoe Mcdonald (set by Sarah Kempf)
Set 1 · OHIO 22-23 BUTLER · BUTLER 66% → 71%
04
Carly Slusser&Sawyer JonesBlock+4.6%
Carly Slusser stuffed by Carly Slusser & Sawyer Jones
Set 1 · OHIO 18-19 BUTLER · BUTLER 64% → 69%
05
Carly Slusser&Sawyer JonesBlock+4.4%
Torre Kildow stuffed by Carly Slusser & Sawyer Jones
Set 1 · OHIO 18-20 BUTLER · BUTLER 69% → 73%
06
Chase LemmingAttack error+4.3%
Attack error by Chase Lemming
Set 1 · OHIO 17-16 BUTLER · OHIO 34% → 39%
07
Rose MahinKill+3.5%
Kill by Rose Mahin (set by Lacy Marx)
Set 1 · OHIO 13-12 BUTLER · OHIO 34% → 38%
08
Zoe McdonaldBlock+3.5%
Emily Waddell stuffed by Zoe Mcdonald
Set 1 · OHIO 13-14 BUTLER · BUTLER 65% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ohioaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
17Bailey BlairOPP	3	5	7	22	-.091	2	1	2	6	0	0	0	6
4Torre KildowOH	3	6	5	18	.056	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	6
23Olivia GardnerMB	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
7Rose MahinOH	3	3	9	22	-.273	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	3
11Emily WaddellMB	3	1	1	11	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
18Lillie MeinhartS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
3Gentry BrownOH	3	3	2	10	.100	0	4	2	9	0	0	0	7
15Sierra EvansMB	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Cienna LapsleyMB	3	1	2	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
10Rowan KellyS	3	0	1	3	-.333	12	0	1	2	1	1	1	1
21Brooklyn ColeMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Bryn JankeS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Caroline CurranL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
16Darbi RickettsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
2Kendall HickeyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
22Lacy MarxL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	6	2	0	0	0
Team totals		24	27	100	-.030	24	5	9	37	8	1	1	46

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Zoe McdonaldMB	3	6	1	14	.357	0	2	2	4	0	2	3	3.5	11.5
11Sawyer JonesOH	3	7	3	13	.308	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
16Elise WardOH	3	3	0	18	.167	0	2	2	7	2	0	1	0.5	5.5
13Carly SlusserMB	3	2	0	7	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	4.5
9Kaylee FinneganS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
18Marin ThaxtonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	0
10Maria NixOH	3	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
3Chase LemmingOH	3	4	3	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Aesha VogtDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Jersey LoyerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	13	0	0	0	0	1
15Taylor WathenOH	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Ava HunterS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Ellery ReesMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Ellie BarkerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Karen DutroMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Lucy GrayOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Raegan DurbinOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Sarah KempfS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	8	77	.260	24	8	9	36	5	2	16	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 OHIO · BUTLER 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 OHIOBUTLER 3

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 OHIOBUTLER 5

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 3 OHIOBUTLER 6

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Ohio leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ohio

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	36%5/14	0%0/4
2	63%5/8	44%4/9
3	56%5/9	29%2/7
4	57%4/7	29%2/7
5	50%4/8	0%0/4
6	100%3/3	33%2/6
All	53%26/49	27%10/37

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	56%5/9
2	56%5/9	50%5/10
3	71%5/7	44%4/9
4	100%4/4	50%4/8
5	80%4/5	20%1/5
6	80%4/5	50%4/8
All	73%27/37	47%23/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#	OHIO-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Bailey Blair	blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones	+2.3
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones		+2.2
3	1-2	BUTLER	OHIO×3	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Lillie Meinhart	+1.5
4	2-2	OHIO	OHIO×3	Ace	Ohio	aced Elise Ward	+2.4
5	3-2	OHIO	OHIO×3	Ace	Ohio		+2.6
6	3-3	OHIO	BUTLER	Attack err	Rose Mahin	set Bailey Blair	+1.7
7	3-4	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+2.5
8	4-4	BUTLER	OHIO	Serve err	Butler		+1.7
9	4-5	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe Mcdonald	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.7
10	4-6	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Rose Mahin	blk Maria Nix, Zoe Mcdonald	+2.5
11	5-6	BUTLER	OHIO	Attack err	Zoe Mcdonald	set Lillie Meinhart	+1.6
12	6-6	OHIO	OHIO	Blocked	Maria Nix	blk Rowan Kelly	+2.6
13	6-7	OHIO	BUTLER	Attack err	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+1.8
14	7-7	BUTLER	OHIO	Serve err	Butler		+1.8
15	7-8	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.8
16	8-8	BUTLER	OHIO	Serve err	Butler		+1.9
17	8-9	OHIO	BUTLER	Attack err	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+1.9
18	9-9	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+2.0
19	9-10	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Carly Slusser	+2.0
20	9-11	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+2.8
21	10-11	BUTLER	OHIO	Attack err	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.8
22	10-12	OHIO	BUTLER	Blocked	Rose Mahin	blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones	+1.9
23	11-12	BUTLER	OHIO×3	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Lillie Meinhart	+1.9
24	12-12	OHIO	OHIO×3	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Lillie Meinhart	+3.2
25	13-12	OHIO	OHIO×3	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Lacy Marx	+3.5
26	13-13	OHIO	BUTLER	Attack err	Rose Mahin	set Lillie Meinhart	+2.3
27	13-14	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Emily Waddell	blk Zoe Mcdonald	+3.5
28	14-14	BUTLER	OHIO	Serve err	Butler		+2.4
29	14-15	OHIO	BUTLER	Serve err	Ohio		+2.4
30	15-15	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Emily Waddell	set Rowan Kelly	+2.5
31	15-16	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+2.5
32	16-16	BUTLER	OHIO	Attack err	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+2.6
33	17-16	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+4.3
34	17-17	OHIO	BUTLER	Serve err	Ohio		+2.8
35	18-17	BUTLER	OHIO	Attack err	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+3.1
36	18-18	OHIO	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.9
37	18-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones	+4.6
38	18-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Torre Kildow	blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones	+4.4
39	19-20	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Lillie Meinhart	+2.5
40	19-21	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+3.1
41	20-21	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Lillie Meinhart	+2.6
42	20-22	OHIO	BUTLER	Blocked	Rose Mahin	blk Zoe Mcdonald, Sawyer Jones	+3.4
43	21-22	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+2.7
44	22-22	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Ohio	aced Elise Ward	+6.1
45	22-23	OHIO	BUTLER×3	Kill	Zoe Mcdonald	set Sarah Kempf	+5.0
46	22-24	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Rowan Kelly	+6.7
47	22-25	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Maria Nix		+3.3
Set 2
1	0-1	OHIO	BUTLER×5	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.3
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Blocked	Cienna Lapsley	blk Zoe Mcdonald	+1.9
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Ace	Butler	aced Torre Kildow	+1.8
4	0-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.6
5	0-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+1.4
6	1-5	BUTLER	OHIO	Serve err	Butler		+0.8
7	2-5	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Ohio	aced Marin Thaxton	+1.5
8	2-6	OHIO	BUTLER×3	Serve err	Ohio		+1.1
9	2-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+1.4
10	2-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Cienna Lapsley	blk Elise Ward, Zoe Mcdonald	+1.2
11	3-8	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Rowan Kelly	+0.6
12	3-9	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
13	3-10	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Rose Mahin		+0.9
14	4-10	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Olivia Gardner	set Rowan Kelly	+0.5
15	4-11	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
16	5-11	BUTLER	OHIO	Serve err	Butler		+0.4
17	5-12	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
18	6-12	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.4
19	6-13	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.6
20	7-13	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.4
21	7-14	OHIO	BUTLER	Serve err	Ohio		+0.5
22	8-14	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.4
23	9-14	OHIO	OHIO	Ace	Ohio	aced Marin Thaxton	+0.8
24	9-15	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe Mcdonald	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.7
25	10-15	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Rowan Kelly	+0.5
26	10-16	OHIO	BUTLER	Serve err	Ohio		+0.7
27	10-17	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe Mcdonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.7
28	11-17	BUTLER	OHIO	Serve err	Butler		+0.3
29	11-18	OHIO	BUTLER	Serve err	Ohio		+0.4
30	11-19	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser		+0.4
31	12-19	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Rose Mahin	set Bailey Blair	+0.1
32	12-20	OHIO	BUTLER×5	Serve err	Ohio		+0.2
33	12-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Ace	Butler	aced Lacy Marx	+0.1
34	12-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+0.1
35	12-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	·
36	12-24	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Torre Kildow		·
37	13-24	BUTLER	OHIO	Serve err	Butler		·
38	14-24	OHIO	OHIO	Kill	Cienna Lapsley	set Rowan Kelly	·
39	14-25	OHIO	BUTLER	Attack err	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	·
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Gentry Brown		+1.1
2	0-2		BUTLER	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.1
3	1-2	BUTLER	OHIO×3	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.7
4	2-2	OHIO	OHIO×3	Kill	Sierra Evans	set Lillie Meinhart	+1.2
5	3-2	OHIO	OHIO×3	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+1.2
6	3-3	OHIO	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.8
7	4-3	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Bailey Blair	set Lillie Meinhart	+0.9
8	4-4	OHIO	BUTLER×5	Serve err	Ohio		+0.8
9	4-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.2
10	4-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+1.2
11	4-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Torre Kildow		+1.1
12	4-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×5	Attack err	Bailey Blair		+1.0
13	5-8	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Bailey Blair*	+0.6
14	5-9	OHIO	BUTLER×3	Kill	Zoe Mcdonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.7
15	5-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Caroline Curran	+0.8
16	5-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Zoe Mcdonald		+0.6
17	6-11	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Torre Kildow	set Rowan Kelly	+0.3
18	6-12	OHIO	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
19	6-13	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Caroline Curran	+0.5
20	6-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Lacy Marx	+0.3
21	6-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Maria Nix		+0.2
22	7-15	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Rowan Kelly	+0.1
23	7-16	OHIO	BUTLER×3	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.1
24	7-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Rose Mahin	+0.1
25	7-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Rowan Kelly		+0.1
26	8-18	BUTLER	OHIO	Kill	Gentry Brown	set Kendall Hickey	·
27	9-18	OHIO	OHIO	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		·
28	9-19	OHIO	BUTLER×6	Blocked	Rose Mahin	blk Carly Slusser, Chase Lemming	·
29	9-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Gentry Brown		·
30	9-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Ace	Butler	aced Kendall Hickey	·
31	9-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	·
32	9-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Rose Mahin		·
33–34	10-24		OHIO · BUTLER	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
35	10-25	OHIO	BUTLER	Serve err	Ohio		·

Score shown after each rally, Ohio first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Butler def. Ohio 3–0