Final · 5 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Butler def. Clemson 3–2

Butler won at Clemson 3-2 (25-22, 25-22, 22-25, 28-30, 15-11) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Sawyer Jones led Butler with 14 kills; Clemson's Maddie Anspaugh had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set12345Sets
BUTLER25252228153
CLEM22222530112

Win probability

Clemson above 50 · Butler below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+14.5% CLEMrally 225 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.5% to Clemson — set 4, BUTLER 28-30 CLEM. Attack error by Raegan Durbin. CLEM win probability 34% → 49%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUTLER 55.6%44.4% CLEM

Butler wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%

Clemson wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%
BUTLER break %
42.2% vs this opp
CLEM break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Raegan DurbinAttack error+14.5%

    Attack error by Raegan Durbin

    Set 4 · BUTLER 28-30 CLEM · CLEM 34% → 49%

  2. 02
    ButlerAce+13.0%

    Butler ace on McKenna Gildon

    Set 4 · BUTLER 24-24 CLEM · BUTLER 62% → 75%

  3. 03
    Lina MerzKill+12.9%

    Kill by Lina Merz (set by Katherine Sandt)

    Set 4 · BUTLER 26-27 CLEM · CLEM 21% → 34%

  4. 04
    Sawyer JonesAttack error+12.9%

    Attack error by Sawyer Jones

    Set 4 · BUTLER 28-29 CLEM · CLEM 21% → 34%

  5. 05

    Anika Groom stuffed by Sawyer Jones & Carly Slusser

    Set 4 · BUTLER 25-24 CLEM · BUTLER 75% → 88%

  6. 06

    Lina Merz stuffed by Raegan Durbin & Zoe McDonald

    Set 4 · BUTLER 28-27 CLEM · BUTLER 75% → 88%

  7. 07
    Zoe McDonaldBlock+11.6%

    Katherine Sandt stuffed by Zoe McDonald

    Set 5 · BUTLER 13-10 CLEM · BUTLER 80% → 92%

  8. 08
    Elise WardKill+11.1%

    Kill by Elise Ward (set by Sarah Kempf)

    Set 5 · BUTLER 8-6 CLEM · BUTLER 62% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Butleraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5121037.05412190031.515.5
511534.176102115010.511.5
55112.33300000010510
55213.23100130153.58.5
57525.080100000218
51011.00024111200002
514532.2810000008418
52021.00025111100003
5000–6211600002
3000–010000001
3000–000100000
25212.25000010010.55.5
Team totals6230168.190587764513016115
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514840.1500011000014
511328.28600020052.513.5
510318.38900000233.513.5
59626.11501230031.511.5
53213.07753101300004
5001.000002730000
5171247.10600020111.518.5
5000–221800002
5000–6121220001
5000–1001420000
2000–001100000
Team totals6434173.17362596373129110

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 BUTLER · CLEM 7

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 BUTLERCLEM 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 BUTLERCLEM 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 BUTLERCLEM 7

Set 4

28-30

Longest run 7 BUTLERCLEM 4

Set 5

15-11

Longest run 2 BUTLERCLEM 2

Bars above the line = Clemson leads, below = Butler leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Butler

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
38%5/13
2
82%9/11
36%5/14
3
90%9/10
50%9/18
4
60%9/15
50%9/18
5
67%8/12
47%7/15
6
38%5/13
33%3/9
All
61%49/80
44%38/87

Clemson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
60%9/15
2
64%9/14
53%10/19
3
45%9/20
0%0/9
4
53%9/17
18%2/11
5
54%7/13
36%5/14
6
75%6/8
42%5/12
All
56%49/87
39%31/80

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

225 rallies

#BUTLER-CLEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BUTLERCLEM×3Attack errRaegan Durbin+1.8
20-2CLEMCLEM×3BlockedMaria Nixblk Lina Merz, Talea Mitchell+2.6
30-3CLEMCLEM×3AceClemsonaced Elise Ward+2.5
41-3CLEMBUTLER×3KillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+1.7
52-3BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errTalea Mitchell+2.5
63-3BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errTalea Mitchell+2.6
73-4BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.9
84-4CLEMBUTLER×3BlockedAnika Groomblk Zoe McDonald, Maria Nix+1.9
95-4BUTLERBUTLER×3AceButleraced Addi Rains+2.7
106-4BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errTalea Mitchell+2.7
116-5BUTLERCLEMKillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+1.8
127-5CLEMBUTLERAttack errMaddie Anspaugh+1.9
137-6BUTLERCLEM×4Serve errButler+1.9
147-7CLEMCLEM×4Attack errElise Ward+2.9
157-8CLEMCLEM×4BlockedSawyer Jonesblk Alyssa Irwin, Maddie Anspaugh+3.0
167-9CLEMCLEM×4KillMaddie Anspaugh+3.0
178-9CLEMBUTLER×4Attack errMaddie Anspaugh+2.0
189-9BUTLERBUTLER×4Attack errAlyssa Irwin+3.1
1910-9BUTLERBUTLER×4Bad setKatherine Sandt+3.1
2011-9BUTLERBUTLER×4BlockedMaddie Anspaughblk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones+3.1
2111-10BUTLERCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+2.1
2211-11CLEMCLEMAceClemsonaced Elise Ward+3.2
2312-11CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+2.4
2412-12BUTLERCLEMAttack errZoe McDonald+2.4
2513-12CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+2.5
2613-13BUTLERCLEM×3KillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+2.5
2713-14CLEMCLEM×3KillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+3.7
2813-15CLEMCLEM×3Bad setSarah Kempf+3.7
2914-15CLEMBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+2.4
3015-15BUTLERBUTLERKillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+3.8
3115-16BUTLERCLEMBlockedElise Wardblk Lina Merz, Talea Mitchell+2.9
3216-16CLEMBUTLER×3KillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+2.9
3317-16BUTLERBUTLER×3KillCarly Slusserset Sarah Kempf+4.3
3418-16BUTLERBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Jersey Loyer+4.1
3518-17BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+2.7
3618-18CLEMCLEMKillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+4.5
3719-18CLEMBUTLER×5Attack errKatherine Sandt+3.5
3820-18BUTLERBUTLER×5Attack errMaddie Anspaugh+4.7
3921-18BUTLERBUTLER×5KillElise Wardset Jersey Loyer+4.0
4022-18BUTLERBUTLER×5BlockedMaddie Anspaughblk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones+2.8
4123-18BUTLERBUTLER×5KillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+1.5
4223-19BUTLERCLEMAttack errElise Ward+0.4
4323-20CLEMCLEMAttack errElise Ward+1.2
4424-20CLEMBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+1.7
4524-21BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+0.5
4624-22CLEMCLEMBlockedRaegan Durbinblk Lina Merz, Alyssa Irwin+1.7
4725-22CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+2.8
Set 2
11-0CLEMBUTLERServe errClemson+1.7
21-1BUTLERCLEMServe errButler+1.7
32-1CLEMBUTLERAttack errLina Merz+1.7
42-2BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.7
53-2CLEMBUTLERKillCarly Slusserset Sarah Kempf+1.7
64-2BUTLERBUTLERBlockedAnika Groomblk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones+2.4
74-3BUTLERCLEMKillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+1.7
85-3CLEMBUTLER×3BlockedTalea Mitchellblk Carly Slusser, Elise Ward+1.8
96-3BUTLERBUTLER×3BlockedMaddie Anspaughblk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones+2.3
107-3BUTLERBUTLER×3KillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+2.1
117-4BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.4
128-4CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+1.5
138-5BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.4
149-5CLEMBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+1.6
159-6BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.4
169-7CLEMCLEMAttack errMaria Nix+2.3
1710-7CLEMBUTLERAttack errAnika Groom+1.8
1811-7BUTLERBUTLERAceButleraced Claire Luoma+2.3
1911-8BUTLERCLEM×3Attack errMaria Nix+1.4
2011-9CLEMCLEM×3KillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+2.4
2111-10CLEMCLEM×3Attack errElise Ward+2.8
2212-10CLEMBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+2.1
2313-10BUTLERBUTLERAceButleraced McKenna Gildon+2.8
2413-11BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.8
2514-11CLEMBUTLERKillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+2.0
2615-11BUTLERBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+2.5
2715-12BUTLERCLEMKillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+1.5
2816-12CLEMBUTLERBlockedMaddie Anspaughblk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones+1.8
2916-13BUTLERCLEMAttack errRaegan Durbin+1.5
3017-13CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+1.8
3118-13BUTLERBUTLERAceButleraced Addi Rains+2.0
3218-14BUTLERCLEMAttack errRaegan Durbin+1.0
3318-15CLEMCLEMBlockedRaegan Durbinblk Lina Merz, Alyssa Irwin+2.0
3419-15CLEMBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+1.9
3519-16BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.4
3619-17CLEMCLEMAttack errMaria Nix+2.8
3720-17CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+2.6
3820-18BUTLERCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+2.0
3921-18CLEMBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+2.7
4021-19BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.9
4122-19CLEMBUTLERKillCarly Slusserset Sarah Kempf+2.8
4223-19BUTLERBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Jersey Loyer+2.5
4323-20BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+0.8
4423-21CLEMCLEMAttack errSawyer Jones+2.3
4524-21CLEMBUTLERServe errClemson+2.9
4624-22BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.1
4725-22CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+2.7
Set 3
10-1BUTLERCLEM×3KillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.1
20-2CLEMCLEM×3KillMaddie Anspaughset Lucy Maloney+1.5
30-3CLEMCLEM×3Attack errRaegan Durbin+1.5
41-3CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+1.0
52-3BUTLERBUTLERAttack errMaddie Anspaugh+1.5
62-4BUTLERCLEMBlockedZoe McDonaldblk Alyssa Irwin+1.1
73-4CLEMBUTLER×3KillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+1.1
84-4BUTLERBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Sarah Kempf+1.6
95-4BUTLERBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Sarah Kempf+1.6
105-5BUTLERCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+1.1
116-5CLEMBUTLERServe errClemson+1.2
127-5BUTLERBUTLERBlockedAnika Groomblk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones+1.6
137-6BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.1
148-6CLEMBUTLERKillElise Wardset Ava Hunter+1.2
159-6BUTLERBUTLERBlockedTalea Mitchellblk Carly Slusser, Raegan Durbin+1.6
169-7BUTLERCLEMKillKatherine Sandtset Claire Luoma+1.0
1710-7CLEMBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+1.1
1811-7BUTLERBUTLERKillElise Wardset Ava Hunter+1.4
1911-8BUTLERCLEM×7KillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+0.9
2011-9CLEMCLEM×7BlockedSawyer Jonesblk Maddie Anspaugh+1.5
2111-10CLEMCLEM×7KillLina Merzset Claire Luoma+1.7
2211-11CLEMCLEM×7KillTalea Mitchell+1.9
2311-12CLEMCLEM×7AceClemsonaced Elise Ward+2.0
2411-13CLEMCLEM×7Bad setAva Hunter+2.0
2511-14CLEMCLEM×7BlockedRaegan Durbinblk Talea Mitchell, Lina Merz+1.9
2612-14CLEMBUTLER×5KillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+1.2
2713-14BUTLERBUTLER×5Bad setKatherine Sandt+1.9
2814-14BUTLERBUTLER×5AceButleraced Claire Luoma+2.1
2915-14BUTLERBUTLER×5Attack errMaddie Anspaugh+2.2
3016-14BUTLERBUTLER×5Attack errMaddie Anspaugh+2.2
3116-15BUTLERCLEM×3KillLina Merzset Claire Luoma+1.4
3216-16CLEMCLEM×3BlockedRaegan Durbinblk Alyssa Irwin+2.3
3316-17CLEMCLEM×3KillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+2.5
3417-17CLEMBUTLERServe errClemson+1.8
3517-18BUTLERCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+1.9
3618-18CLEMBUTLERBlockedMaddie Anspaughblk Maria Nix, Zoe McDonald+1.9
3719-18BUTLERBUTLERKillSarah Kempf+2.9
3819-19BUTLERCLEMServe errButler+2.0
3920-19CLEMBUTLERKillCarly Slusserset Sarah Kempf+2.2
4020-20BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+2.2
4121-20CLEMBUTLERBlockedAnika Groomblk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser+2.5
4221-21BUTLERCLEM×3KillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+2.4
4321-22CLEMCLEM×3KillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+4.0
4421-23CLEMCLEM×3Attack errSawyer Jones+3.9
4522-23CLEMBUTLERKillAva Hunter+2.0
4622-24BUTLERCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+3.3
4722-25CLEMCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+2.6
Set 4
10-1CLEMCLEMAceClemsonaced Elise Ward+3.2
21-1CLEMBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+2.3
31-2BUTLERCLEMServe errButler+2.4
42-2CLEMBUTLERServe errClemson+2.3
52-3BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+2.4
62-4CLEMCLEMKillKatherine Sandtset Lucy Maloney+3.4
73-4CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+2.3
84-4BUTLERBUTLERAttack errMaddie Anspaugh+3.4
94-5BUTLERCLEMServe errButler+2.5
105-5CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+2.5
115-6BUTLERCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+2.6
126-6CLEMBUTLERAttack errAnika Groom+2.6
136-7BUTLERCLEMServe errButler+2.7
147-7CLEMBUTLERAttack errLina Merz+2.6
157-8BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+2.7
167-9CLEMCLEMKillLina Merzset Claire Luoma+3.9
178-9CLEMBUTLERServe errClemson+2.6
188-10BUTLERCLEMServe errButler+2.9
198-11CLEMCLEMAceClemsonaced Elise Ward+3.8
209-11CLEMBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+2.4
219-12BUTLERCLEM×4KillMaddie Anspaughset Claire Luoma+2.8
229-13CLEMCLEM×4KillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+3.6
239-14CLEMCLEM×4KillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+3.0
249-15CLEMCLEM×4KillKatherine Sandtset Addi Rains+2.4
2510-15CLEMBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Ava Hunter+1.2
2611-15BUTLERBUTLERBlockedAlyssa Irwinblk Zoe McDonald, Raegan Durbin+2.3
2711-16BUTLERCLEM×3Attack errRaegan Durbin+2.2
2811-17CLEM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
2911-18CLEMCLEM×3KillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.6
3012-18CLEMBUTLER×4KillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+0.7
3113-18BUTLERBUTLER×4BlockedAlyssa Irwinblk Zoe McDonald, Chase Lemming+1.5
3214-18BUTLERBUTLER×4Attack errAnika Groom+2.1
3315-18BUTLERBUTLER×4KillChase Lemmingset Sarah Kempf+3.0
3415-19BUTLERCLEM×3KillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+2.9
3515-20CLEMCLEM×3Bad setSarah Kempf+2.9
3615-21CLEMCLEM×3Attack errMaria Nix+1.8
3716-21CLEMBUTLER×3Serve errClemson+0.7
3817-21BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errTalea Mitchell+1.6
3918-21BUTLERBUTLER×3KillChase Lemmingset Maria Nix+2.5
4018-22BUTLERCLEM×3Attack errChase Lemming+2.9
4118-23CLEMCLEM×3Attack errCarly Slusser+2.3
4218-24CLEMCLEM×3Attack errChase Lemming+0.9
4319-24CLEMBUTLER×7KillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+0.1
4420-24BUTLERBUTLER×7KillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+0.4
4521-24BUTLERBUTLER×7KillElise Wardset Jersey Loyer+1.0
4622-24BUTLERBUTLER×7Bad setKatherine Sandt+2.3
4723-24BUTLERBUTLER×7KillElise Ward+5.5
4824-24BUTLERBUTLER×7AceButleraced McKenna Gildon+13.0
4925-24BUTLERBUTLER×7BlockedAnika Groomblk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser+12.7
5025-25BUTLERCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+9.0
5126-25CLEMBUTLERKillElise Wardset Raegan Durbin+9.0
5226-26BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+9.0
5326-27CLEMCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+12.9
5427-27CLEMBUTLERKillElise Wardset Ava Hunter+9.2
5528-27BUTLERBUTLERBlockedLina Merzblk Raegan Durbin, Zoe McDonald+12.7
5628-28BUTLERCLEM×3KillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+9.0
5728-29CLEMCLEM×3Attack errSawyer Jones+12.9
5828-30CLEMCLEM×3Attack errRaegan Durbin+14.5
Set 5
11-0BUTLERBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Jersey Loyer+8.7
21-1BUTLERCLEMKillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+6.2
32-1CLEMBUTLERServe errClemson+6.4
42-2BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+6.5
53-2CLEMBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Ava Hunter+6.7
64-2BUTLERBUTLERKillSawyer Jonesset Jersey Loyer+9.2
74-3BUTLERCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+6.2
85-3CLEMBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Ava Hunter+6.8
95-4BUTLERCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+6.4
105-5CLEMCLEMKillAnika Groomset Claire Luoma+10.2
116-5CLEMBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+7.7
126-6BUTLERCLEMKillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+7.7
137-6CLEMBUTLERKillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+8.1
148-6BUTLERBUTLERKillElise Wardset Sarah Kempf+11.1
158-7BUTLERCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+7.2
169-7CLEMBUTLERKillCarly Slusserset Sarah Kempf+8.4
179-8BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+7.5
1810-8CLEMBUTLERKillAva Hunterset Elise Ward+9.0
1910-9BUTLERCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+7.8
2011-9CLEMBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Ava Hunter+9.8
2111-10BUTLERCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+8.2
2212-10CLEMBUTLERKillChase Lemmingset Ava Hunter+10.8
2313-10BUTLERBUTLERBlockedKatherine Sandtblk Zoe McDonald+11.6
2413-11BUTLERCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt+4.6
2514-11CLEMBUTLERServe errClemson+8.4
2615-11BUTLERBUTLERAceButleraced McKenna Gildon+4.4

Score shown after each rally, Butler first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).