Butler def. Clemson 3–2
Butler won at Clemson 3-2 (25-22, 25-22, 22-25, 28-30, 15-11) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Sawyer Jones led Butler with 14 kills; Clemson's Maddie Anspaugh had a match-high 17.
Data through · final Aug 29
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUTLER | 25 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 15 | 3 |
| CLEM | 22 | 22 | 25 | 30 | 11 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 14.5% to Clemson — set 4, BUTLER 28-30 CLEM. Attack error by Raegan Durbin. CLEM win probability 34% → 49%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Butler wins
Clemson wins
- BUTLER break %
- 42.2% vs this opp
- CLEM break %
- 41.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Raegan DurbinAttack error+14.5%
Attack error by Raegan Durbin
Set 4 · BUTLER 28-30 CLEM · CLEM 34% → 49%
- 02ButlerAce+13.0%
Butler ace on McKenna Gildon
Set 4 · BUTLER 24-24 CLEM · BUTLER 62% → 75%
- 03Lina MerzKill+12.9%
Kill by Lina Merz (set by Katherine Sandt)
Set 4 · BUTLER 26-27 CLEM · CLEM 21% → 34%
- 04Sawyer JonesAttack error+12.9%
Attack error by Sawyer Jones
Set 4 · BUTLER 28-29 CLEM · CLEM 21% → 34%
- 05Sawyer Jones&Carly SlusserBlock+12.7%
Anika Groom stuffed by Sawyer Jones & Carly Slusser
Set 4 · BUTLER 25-24 CLEM · BUTLER 75% → 88%
- 06Raegan Durbin&Zoe McDonaldBlock+12.7%
Lina Merz stuffed by Raegan Durbin & Zoe McDonald
Set 4 · BUTLER 28-27 CLEM · BUTLER 75% → 88%
- 07Zoe McDonaldBlock+11.6%
Katherine Sandt stuffed by Zoe McDonald
Set 5 · BUTLER 13-10 CLEM · BUTLER 80% → 92%
- 08Elise WardKill+11.1%
Kill by Elise Ward (set by Sarah Kempf)
Set 5 · BUTLER 8-6 CLEM · BUTLER 62% → 73%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12 | 10 | 37 | .054 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 34 | .176 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 1 | 12 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 25 | .080 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 14 | 5 | 32 | .281 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 18 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| Team totals | 62 | 30 | 168 | .190 | 58 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 16 | 115 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 40 | .150 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | 11 | 3 | 28 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 18 | .389 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 26 | .115 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | .077 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 17 | 12 | 47 | .106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 34 | 173 | .173 | 62 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 110 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
28-30
Set 5
15-11
Bars above the line = Clemson leads, below = Butler leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Butler
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%9/19 | 38%5/13 |
| 2 | 82%9/11 | 36%5/14 |
| 3 | 90%9/10 | 50%9/18 |
| 4 | 60%9/15 | 50%9/18 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 38%5/13 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 61%49/80 | 44%38/87 |
Clemson
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60%9/15 | 60%9/15 |
| 2 | 64%9/14 | 53%10/19 |
| 3 | 45%9/20 | 0%0/9 |
| 4 | 53%9/17 | 18%2/11 |
| 5 | 54%7/13 | 36%5/14 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 42%5/12 |
| All | 56%49/87 | 39%31/80 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
225 rallies
| # | BUTLER-CLEM | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Raegan Durbin | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Blocked | Maria Nix | blk Lina Merz, Talea Mitchell | +2.6 |
| 3 | 0-3 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Ace | Clemson | aced Elise Ward | +2.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CLEM | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Maria Nix | set Sarah Kempf | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Attack err | Talea Mitchell | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Attack err | Talea Mitchell | +2.6 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +1.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CLEM | BUTLER×3 | Blocked | Anika Groom | blk Zoe McDonald, Maria Nix | +1.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Ace | Butler | aced Addi Rains | +2.7 |
| 10 | 6-4 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Attack err | Talea Mitchell | +2.7 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Talea Mitchell | set Katherine Sandt | +1.8 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CLEM | BUTLER | Attack err | Maddie Anspaugh | +1.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | BUTLER | CLEM×4 | Serve err | Butler | +1.9 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | CLEM | CLEM×4 | Attack err | Elise Ward | +2.9 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | CLEM | CLEM×4 | Blocked | Sawyer Jones | blk Alyssa Irwin, Maddie Anspaugh | +3.0 |
| 16 | 7-9 | CLEM | CLEM×4 | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | +3.0 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | CLEM | BUTLER×4 | Attack err | Maddie Anspaugh | +2.0 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | BUTLER | BUTLER×4 | Attack err | Alyssa Irwin | +3.1 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | BUTLER | BUTLER×4 | Bad set | Katherine Sandt | +3.1 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | BUTLER | BUTLER×4 | Blocked | Maddie Anspaugh | blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones | +3.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +2.1 |
| 22 | 11-11 | CLEM | CLEM | Ace | Clemson | aced Elise Ward | +3.2 |
| 23 | 12-11 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Ava Hunter | +2.4 |
| 24 | 12-12 | BUTLER | CLEM | Attack err | Zoe McDonald | +2.4 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Ava Hunter | +2.5 |
| 26 | 13-13 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Kill | Lina Merz | set Katherine Sandt | +2.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Kill | Talea Mitchell | set Katherine Sandt | +3.7 |
| 28 | 13-15 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Bad set | Sarah Kempf | +3.7 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Zoe McDonald | set Sarah Kempf | +2.4 |
| 30 | 15-15 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Kill | Maria Nix | set Sarah Kempf | +3.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | BUTLER | CLEM | Blocked | Elise Ward | blk Lina Merz, Talea Mitchell | +2.9 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CLEM | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Maria Nix | set Sarah Kempf | +2.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Carly Slusser | set Sarah Kempf | +4.3 |
| 34 | 18-16 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Elise Ward | set Jersey Loyer | +4.1 |
| 35 | 18-17 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +2.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | CLEM | CLEM | Kill | Talea Mitchell | set Katherine Sandt | +4.5 |
| 37 | 19-18 | CLEM | BUTLER×5 | Attack err | Katherine Sandt | +3.5 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | BUTLER | BUTLER×5 | Attack err | Maddie Anspaugh | +4.7 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | BUTLER | BUTLER×5 | Kill | Elise Ward | set Jersey Loyer | +4.0 |
| 40 | 22-18 | BUTLER | BUTLER×5 | Blocked | Maddie Anspaugh | blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones | +2.8 |
| 41 | 23-18 | BUTLER | BUTLER×5 | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +1.5 |
| 42 | 23-19 | BUTLER | CLEM | Attack err | Elise Ward | +0.4 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | CLEM | CLEM | Attack err | Elise Ward | +1.2 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +1.7 |
| 45 | 24-21 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +0.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | CLEM | CLEM | Blocked | Raegan Durbin | blk Lina Merz, Alyssa Irwin | +1.7 |
| 47 | 25-22 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Ava Hunter | +2.8 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CLEM | BUTLER | Serve err | Clemson | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUTLER | CLEM | Serve err | Butler | +1.7 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | CLEM | BUTLER | Attack err | Lina Merz | +1.7 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Carly Slusser | set Sarah Kempf | +1.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Blocked | Anika Groom | blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones | +2.4 |
| 7 | 4-3 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Talea Mitchell | set Katherine Sandt | +1.7 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CLEM | BUTLER×3 | Blocked | Talea Mitchell | blk Carly Slusser, Elise Ward | +1.8 |
| 9 | 6-3 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Blocked | Maddie Anspaugh | blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones | +2.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +2.1 |
| 11 | 7-4 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +1.4 |
| 12 | 8-4 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Ava Hunter | +1.5 |
| 13 | 8-5 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +1.4 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +1.6 |
| 15 | 9-6 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +1.4 |
| 16 | 9-7 | CLEM | CLEM | Attack err | Maria Nix | +2.3 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | CLEM | BUTLER | Attack err | Anika Groom | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Ace | Butler | aced Claire Luoma | +2.3 |
| 19 | 11-8 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Maria Nix | +1.4 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Kill | Lina Merz | set Katherine Sandt | +2.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Elise Ward | +2.8 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Zoe McDonald | set Sarah Kempf | +2.1 |
| 23 | 13-10 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Ace | Butler | aced McKenna Gildon | +2.8 |
| 24 | 13-11 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +1.8 |
| 25 | 14-11 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Maria Nix | set Sarah Kempf | +2.0 |
| 26 | 15-11 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +2.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Talea Mitchell | set Katherine Sandt | +1.5 |
| 28 | 16-12 | CLEM | BUTLER | Blocked | Maddie Anspaugh | blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones | +1.8 |
| 29 | 16-13 | BUTLER | CLEM | Attack err | Raegan Durbin | +1.5 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Ava Hunter | +1.8 |
| 31 | 18-13 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Ace | Butler | aced Addi Rains | +2.0 |
| 32 | 18-14 | BUTLER | CLEM | Attack err | Raegan Durbin | +1.0 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | CLEM | CLEM | Blocked | Raegan Durbin | blk Lina Merz, Alyssa Irwin | +2.0 |
| 34 | 19-15 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +1.9 |
| 35 | 19-16 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +1.4 |
| 36 | 19-17 | CLEM | CLEM | Attack err | Maria Nix | +2.8 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Sarah Kempf | +2.6 |
| 38 | 20-18 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Lina Merz | set Katherine Sandt | +2.0 |
| 39 | 21-18 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Zoe McDonald | set Sarah Kempf | +2.7 |
| 40 | 21-19 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +1.9 |
| 41 | 22-19 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Carly Slusser | set Sarah Kempf | +2.8 |
| 42 | 23-19 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Jersey Loyer | +2.5 |
| 43 | 23-20 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +0.8 |
| 44 | 23-21 | CLEM | CLEM | Attack err | Sawyer Jones | +2.3 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | CLEM | BUTLER | Serve err | Clemson | +2.9 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +1.1 |
| 47 | 25-22 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Ava Hunter | +2.7 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +1.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Lucy Maloney | +1.5 |
| 3 | 0-3 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Raegan Durbin | +1.5 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Sarah Kempf | +1.0 |
| 5 | 2-3 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Attack err | Maddie Anspaugh | +1.5 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | BUTLER | CLEM | Blocked | Zoe McDonald | blk Alyssa Irwin | +1.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CLEM | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Maria Nix | set Sarah Kempf | +1.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Elise Ward | set Sarah Kempf | +1.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Elise Ward | set Sarah Kempf | +1.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +1.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CLEM | BUTLER | Serve err | Clemson | +1.2 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Blocked | Anika Groom | blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones | +1.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +1.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Elise Ward | set Ava Hunter | +1.2 |
| 15 | 9-6 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Blocked | Talea Mitchell | blk Carly Slusser, Raegan Durbin | +1.6 |
| 16 | 9-7 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Katherine Sandt | set Claire Luoma | +1.0 |
| 17 | 10-7 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +1.1 |
| 18 | 11-7 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Kill | Elise Ward | set Ava Hunter | +1.4 |
| 19 | 11-8 | BUTLER | CLEM×7 | Kill | Talea Mitchell | set Katherine Sandt | +0.9 |
| 20 | 11-9 | CLEM | CLEM×7 | Blocked | Sawyer Jones | blk Maddie Anspaugh | +1.5 |
| 21 | 11-10 | CLEM | CLEM×7 | Kill | Lina Merz | set Claire Luoma | +1.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | CLEM | CLEM×7 | Kill | Talea Mitchell | +1.9 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | CLEM | CLEM×7 | Ace | Clemson | aced Elise Ward | +2.0 |
| 24 | 11-13 | CLEM | CLEM×7 | Bad set | Ava Hunter | +2.0 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | CLEM | CLEM×7 | Blocked | Raegan Durbin | blk Talea Mitchell, Lina Merz | +1.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | CLEM | BUTLER×5 | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +1.2 |
| 27 | 13-14 | BUTLER | BUTLER×5 | Bad set | Katherine Sandt | +1.9 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | BUTLER | BUTLER×5 | Ace | Butler | aced Claire Luoma | +2.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | BUTLER | BUTLER×5 | Attack err | Maddie Anspaugh | +2.2 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | BUTLER | BUTLER×5 | Attack err | Maddie Anspaugh | +2.2 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Kill | Lina Merz | set Claire Luoma | +1.4 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Blocked | Raegan Durbin | blk Alyssa Irwin | +2.3 |
| 33 | 16-17 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Kill | Lina Merz | set Katherine Sandt | +2.5 |
| 34 | 17-17 | CLEM | BUTLER | Serve err | Clemson | +1.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Lina Merz | set Katherine Sandt | +1.9 |
| 36 | 18-18 | CLEM | BUTLER | Blocked | Maddie Anspaugh | blk Maria Nix, Zoe McDonald | +1.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Kill | Sarah Kempf | +2.9 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | BUTLER | CLEM | Serve err | Butler | +2.0 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Carly Slusser | set Sarah Kempf | +2.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +2.2 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CLEM | BUTLER | Blocked | Anika Groom | blk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser | +2.5 |
| 42 | 21-21 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +2.4 |
| 43 | 21-22 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +4.0 |
| 44 | 21-23 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Sawyer Jones | +3.9 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Ava Hunter | +2.0 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Lina Merz | set Katherine Sandt | +3.3 |
| 47 | 22-25 | CLEM | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +2.6 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CLEM | CLEM | Ace | Clemson | aced Elise Ward | +3.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +2.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | BUTLER | CLEM | Serve err | Butler | +2.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | CLEM | BUTLER | Serve err | Clemson | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +2.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | CLEM | CLEM | Kill | Katherine Sandt | set Lucy Maloney | +3.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Ava Hunter | +2.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Attack err | Maddie Anspaugh | +3.4 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | BUTLER | CLEM | Serve err | Butler | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Sarah Kempf | +2.5 |
| 11 | 5-6 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +2.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CLEM | BUTLER | Attack err | Anika Groom | +2.6 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | BUTLER | CLEM | Serve err | Butler | +2.7 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | CLEM | BUTLER | Attack err | Lina Merz | +2.6 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +2.7 |
| 16 | 7-9 | CLEM | CLEM | Kill | Lina Merz | set Claire Luoma | +3.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | CLEM | BUTLER | Serve err | Clemson | +2.6 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | BUTLER | CLEM | Serve err | Butler | +2.9 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | CLEM | CLEM | Ace | Clemson | aced Elise Ward | +3.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +2.4 |
| 21 | 9-12 | BUTLER | CLEM×4 | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Claire Luoma | +2.8 |
| 22 | 9-13 | CLEM | CLEM×4 | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +3.6 |
| 23 | 9-14 | CLEM | CLEM×4 | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +3.0 |
| 24 | 9-15 | CLEM | CLEM×4 | Kill | Katherine Sandt | set Addi Rains | +2.4 |
| 25 | 10-15 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Raegan Durbin | set Ava Hunter | +1.2 |
| 26 | 11-15 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Blocked | Alyssa Irwin | blk Zoe McDonald, Raegan Durbin | +2.3 |
| 27 | 11-16 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Raegan Durbin | +2.2 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | CLEM | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.3 | |||
| 29 | 11-18 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +1.6 |
| 30 | 12-18 | CLEM | BUTLER×4 | Kill | Zoe McDonald | set Sarah Kempf | +0.7 |
| 31 | 13-18 | BUTLER | BUTLER×4 | Blocked | Alyssa Irwin | blk Zoe McDonald, Chase Lemming | +1.5 |
| 32 | 14-18 | BUTLER | BUTLER×4 | Attack err | Anika Groom | +2.1 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | BUTLER | BUTLER×4 | Kill | Chase Lemming | set Sarah Kempf | +3.0 |
| 34 | 15-19 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +2.9 |
| 35 | 15-20 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Bad set | Sarah Kempf | +2.9 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Maria Nix | +1.8 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | CLEM | BUTLER×3 | Serve err | Clemson | +0.7 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Attack err | Talea Mitchell | +1.6 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | BUTLER | BUTLER×3 | Kill | Chase Lemming | set Maria Nix | +2.5 |
| 40 | 18-22 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Chase Lemming | +2.9 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Carly Slusser | +2.3 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Chase Lemming | +0.9 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | CLEM | BUTLER×7 | Kill | Maria Nix | set Sarah Kempf | +0.1 |
| 44 | 20-24 | BUTLER | BUTLER×7 | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +0.4 |
| 45 | 21-24 | BUTLER | BUTLER×7 | Kill | Elise Ward | set Jersey Loyer | +1.0 |
| 46 | 22-24 | BUTLER | BUTLER×7 | Bad set | Katherine Sandt | +2.3 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | BUTLER | BUTLER×7 | Kill | Elise Ward | +5.5 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | BUTLER | BUTLER×7 | Ace | Butler | aced McKenna Gildon | +13.0 |
| 49 | 25-24 | BUTLER | BUTLER×7 | Blocked | Anika Groom | blk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser | +12.7 |
| 50 | 25-25 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Lina Merz | set Katherine Sandt | +9.0 |
| 51 | 26-25 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Elise Ward | set Raegan Durbin | +9.0 |
| 52 | 26-26 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +9.0 |
| 53 | 26-27 | CLEM | CLEM | Kill | Lina Merz | set Katherine Sandt | +12.9 |
| 54 | 27-27 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Elise Ward | set Ava Hunter | +9.2 |
| 55 | 28-27 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Blocked | Lina Merz | blk Raegan Durbin, Zoe McDonald | +12.7 |
| 56 | 28-28 | BUTLER | CLEM×3 | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +9.0 |
| 57 | 28-29 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Sawyer Jones | +12.9 | |
| 58 | 28-30 | CLEM | CLEM×3 | Attack err | Raegan Durbin | +14.5 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Jersey Loyer | +8.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Talea Mitchell | set Katherine Sandt | +6.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CLEM | BUTLER | Serve err | Clemson | +6.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +6.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Ava Hunter | +6.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Kill | Sawyer Jones | set Jersey Loyer | +9.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +6.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Chase Lemming | set Ava Hunter | +6.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +6.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CLEM | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Claire Luoma | +10.2 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Zoe McDonald | set Sarah Kempf | +7.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Talea Mitchell | set Katherine Sandt | +7.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Maria Nix | set Sarah Kempf | +8.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Kill | Elise Ward | set Sarah Kempf | +11.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Anika Groom | set Katherine Sandt | +7.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Carly Slusser | set Sarah Kempf | +8.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +7.5 |
| 18 | 10-8 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Ava Hunter | set Elise Ward | +9.0 |
| 19 | 10-9 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Maddie Anspaugh | set Katherine Sandt | +7.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Chase Lemming | set Ava Hunter | +9.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +8.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | CLEM | BUTLER | Kill | Chase Lemming | set Ava Hunter | +10.8 |
| 23 | 13-10 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Blocked | Katherine Sandt | blk Zoe McDonald | +11.6 |
| 24 | 13-11 | BUTLER | CLEM | Kill | Alyssa Irwin | set Katherine Sandt | +4.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | CLEM | BUTLER | Serve err | Clemson | +8.4 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | BUTLER | BUTLER | Ace | Butler | aced McKenna Gildon | +4.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Butler first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).