Xavier vs Butler Volleyball: Xavier Wins 3-0 (Oct 7, 2026)

FinalWed, Oct 7, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Xavier 61.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 7, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Xavier won at Butler 3-0 (25-21, 25-18, 25-19) on Wed, Oct 7, 2026. Xavier's Catherine Flaharty led with 12 kills, and Kelsey Niesen added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 10, 6:30 PM CT · final Oct 7

Set	1	2	3	Sets
XAVIER	25	25	25	3
BUTLER	21	18	19	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.417 and 12 kills for Catherine Flaharty as Xavier rolled past Butler.

Win probability never moved more than 3.7 points on one rally; Butler topped out at 47% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Xavier at 61%.

XavierButler

Break %+15.4 pts
45.930.5
Points won on own serve: 34 of 74 vs 18 of 59. Butler sided out 54.1% of the time.
Hitting+.117
.340.223
Kills and errors: 47–13 vs 35–14.
Longest run+1
54
5 straight Xavier points in the first set turned an 8–10 deficit into a 13–10 lead. That set ended 25–21.

Butler above 50Xavier belowMax swing 3.7%

XavierButler

Aces: Xavier 6·Butler 4
Serve err: Xavier 6·Butler 5
Blocks: Xavier 5·Butler 10 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 2 BA
Digs: Xavier 40·Butler 31

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Butler above 50 · Xavier below

Biggest swing: 3.7% to Xavier — set 1, XAVIER 17-15 BUTLER. Attack error by Carly Slusser. BUTLER win probability 36% → 32%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

XAVIER 58.6%41.4% BUTLER

Xavier wins

3-0

16.5%

3-1

22.3%

3-2

19.8%

Butler wins

3-0

9.2%

3-1

15.2%

3-2

17.0%

XAVIER break %: 42.9% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Carly SlusserAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Carly Slusser
Set 1 · XAVIER 17-15 BUTLER · XAVIER 64% → 68%
02
ButlerAce+3.6%
Butler ace on Charlotte Moriarty
Set 1 · XAVIER 15-15 BUTLER · BUTLER 35% → 38%
03
Raegan DurbinAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Raegan Durbin
Set 1 · XAVIER 19-16 BUTLER · XAVIER 68% → 72%
04
Gabrielle SemonaKill+3.1%
Kill by Gabrielle Semona
Set 1 · XAVIER 11-10 BUTLER · XAVIER 61% → 64%
05
Raegan DurbinAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Raegan Durbin
Set 1 · XAVIER 10-10 BUTLER · XAVIER 58% → 61%
06
Macy HatkevichAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Macy Hatkevich
Set 1 · XAVIER 14-13 BUTLER · BUTLER 32% → 35%
07
XavierAce+3.0%
Xavier ace on Raegan Durbin
Set 1 · XAVIER 12-10 BUTLER · XAVIER 64% → 67%
08
Ava HunterBad set+3.0%
Bad set by Ava Hunter
Set 1 · XAVIER 24-21 BUTLER · XAVIER 73% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Xavieraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Catherine FlahartyOH	3	12	2	24	.417	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	13.5
4Charlotte MoriartyOH	3	11	4	28	.250	3	1	3	6	1	0	0	12
17Gabrielle SemonaMB	3	9	1	17	.471	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	10
16Margo KempMB	3	6	0	10	.600	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
15Ava TildenOH	3	5	4	14	.071	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	6
8Macy HatkevichS	3	4	2	7	.286	36	1	0	4	0	0	0	5
3Jamison GordonS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	6	0	0	0	2
11Kasey QuenichetL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	5	3	0	0	2
2Kelsey NiesenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	16	0	0	0	0
13Addison HaberthyS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	13	100	.340	42	6	6	40	4	10	5	75

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Raegan DurbinOH	3	11	4	24	.292	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	11
16Elise WardOH	3	7	3	19	.211	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	8
13Carly SlusserMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	2	0	1	1	1	0.5	7.5
3Chase LemmingOH	3	2	5	20	-.150	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
4Ava HunterS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
17Zoe McDonaldMB	2	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	4
10Maria NixOH	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
5Jersey LoyerDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	1	12	1	0	0	1
18Marin ThaxtonDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	1
1Sarah KempfS	2	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
14Karen DutroMB	1	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
6Aesha VogtDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kaylee FinneganS	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	14	94	.223	33	4	5	31	6	2	1	58

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Xavier vs Butler

Season series · Xavier leads 2-0

Wed, Oct 7, 2026Xavier at Butler · Xavier won 3-0This match
Wed, Nov 4, 2026Butler at Xavier · Xavier won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 XAVIER · BUTLER 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 XAVIERBUTLER 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 XAVIERBUTLER 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 XAVIERBUTLER 4

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Xavier leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Xavier

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	64%7/11
2	83%5/6	50%5/10
3	83%5/6	17%1/6
4	100%4/4	50%4/8
5	57%4/7	50%4/8
6	44%4/9	33%2/6
All	68%27/40	47%23/49

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	31%5/16	29%2/7
2	100%5/5	38%3/8
3	50%4/8	17%1/6
4	80%4/5	20%1/5
5	44%4/9	20%1/5
6	67%4/6	56%5/9
All	53%26/49	33%13/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	XAVIER-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+2.4
2	1-1	XAVIER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.7
3	1-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Ava Tilden		+2.5
4	1-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Ava Tilden		+2.6
5	1-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Catherine Flaharty		+2.5
6	2-4	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.7
7	2-5	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.9
8	3-5	BUTLER	XAVIER	Serve err	Butler		+1.7
9	4-5	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+2.6
10	4-6	XAVIER	BUTLER	Attack err	Ava Tilden		+2.0
11	5-6	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.9
12	5-7	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+2.1
13	6-7	BUTLER	XAVIER	Blocked	Maria Nix	blk Ava Tilden, Margo Kemp	+1.9
14	6-8	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+2.1
15	6-9	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Marin Thaxton	+2.8
16	7-9	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.9
17	8-9	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Gabrielle Semona	set Macy Hatkevich	+2.8
18	8-10	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+2.2
19	9-10	BUTLER	XAVIER×5	Kill	Gabrielle Semona	set Macy Hatkevich	+2.1
20	10-10	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+3.0
21	11-10	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Kill	Gabrielle Semona		+3.1
22	12-10	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Ace	Xavier	aced Raegan Durbin	+3.0
23	13-10	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Kill	Gabrielle Semona	set Macy Hatkevich	+2.7
24	13-11	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+1.8
25	14-11	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+2.0
26	14-12	XAVIER	BUTLER	Serve err	Xavier		+1.8
27	14-13	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Macy Hatkevich		+3.0
28	15-13	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Gabrielle Semona	set Macy Hatkevich	+2.4
29	15-14	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+2.3
30	15-15	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Charlotte Moriarty	+3.6
31	16-15	BUTLER	XAVIER	Serve err	Butler		+2.8
32	17-15	XAVIER	XAVIER	Attack err	Carly Slusser		+3.7
33	17-16	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+2.5
34	18-16	BUTLER	XAVIER×5	Serve err	Butler		+2.8
35	19-16	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+3.4
36	20-16	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Ace	Xavier	aced Jersey Loyer	+2.6
37	21-16	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.8
38	22-16	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Kill	Margo Kemp		+1.0
39	22-17	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+0.3
40	22-18	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
41	23-18	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.0
42	23-19	XAVIER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
43	23-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Charlotte Moriarty		+1.1
44	23-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+2.3
45	24-21	BUTLER	XAVIER	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+3.0
46	25-21	XAVIER	XAVIER	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Catherine Flaharty, Gabrielle Semona	+1.5
Set 2
1	1-0	BUTLER	XAVIER×5	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.5
2	2-0	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Kill	Ava Tilden	set Charlotte Moriarty	+2.0
3	3-0	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Kill	Ava Tilden	set Kelsey Niesen	+1.9
4	4-0	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Attack err	Elise Ward		+1.8
5	5-0	XAVIER	XAVIER×5	Ace	Xavier	aced Zoe McDonald	+1.5
6	5-1	XAVIER	BUTLER	Serve err	Xavier		+1.0
7	6-1	BUTLER	XAVIER	Serve err	Butler		+1.1
8	6-2	XAVIER	BUTLER	Attack err	Charlotte Moriarty		+1.0
9	7-2	BUTLER	XAVIER	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+1.1
10	7-3	XAVIER	BUTLER	Serve err	Xavier		+1.0
11	8-3	BUTLER	XAVIER	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.2
12	8-4	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
13	9-4	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.2
14	10-4	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.3
15	10-5	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
16	10-6	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Gabrielle Semona		+1.4
17	11-6	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Gabrielle Semona	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.2
18	12-6	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.3
19	12-7	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
20	13-7	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.0
21	14-7	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Ava Tilden	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.0
22	14-8	XAVIER	BUTLER	Attack err	Ava Tilden		+0.5
23	15-8	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.7
24	15-9	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
25	16-9	BUTLER	XAVIER×3	Kill	Ava Tilden	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.7
26	17-9	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Ava Tilden, Margo Kemp	+0.6
27	18-9	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.4
28	18-10	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+0.1
29	19-10	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Margo Kemp	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.2
30	19-11	XAVIER	BUTLER	Blocked	Charlotte Moriarty	blk Maria Nix, Carly Slusser	+0.1
31	19-12	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Kasey Quenichet	+0.3
32	20-12	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Margo Kemp	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.3
33	20-13	XAVIER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.2
34	20-14	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Kasey Quenichet	+0.4
35	20-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Kasey Quenichet	+0.6
36	21-15	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.7
37	21-16	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
38	22-16	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.6
39	22-17	XAVIER	BUTLER	Attack err	Catherine Flaharty		+0.3
40	23-17	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Ava Tilden	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.5
41	23-18	XAVIER	BUTLER	Serve err	Xavier		+0.2
42	24-18	BUTLER	XAVIER	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Margo Kemp, Catherine Flaharty	+0.3
43	25-18	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Margo Kemp	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.9
2	1-1	BUTLER	XAVIER×3	Kill	Macy Hatkevich	set Charlotte Moriarty	+0.9
3	2-1	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Ava Tilden	+1.3
4	3-1	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+1.2
5	3-2	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.9
6	4-2	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Gabrielle Semona	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.9
7	5-2	XAVIER	XAVIER	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+1.2
8	5-3	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.8
9	6-3	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.9
10	7-3		XAVIER	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.1
11	7-4	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.7
12	8-4	BUTLER	XAVIER	Serve err	Butler		+0.8
13	8-5	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.7
14	9-5	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Macy Hatkevich	set Charlotte Moriarty	+0.8
15	9-6	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Jersey Loyer	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.7
16	10-6	BUTLER	XAVIER×3	Kill	Macy Hatkevich	set Kasey Quenichet	+0.8
17	11-6	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Catherine Flaharty, Gabrielle Semona	+1.0
18	12-6	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+0.8
19	12-7	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
20	13-7	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Gabrielle Semona	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.6
21	13-8	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Ava Hunter	+0.4
22	14-8	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.6
23	14-9	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+0.4
24	15-9	BUTLER	XAVIER×3	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.6
25	16-9	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Kill	Margo Kemp	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.5
26	17-9	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Ace	Xavier	aced Marin Thaxton	+0.4
27	17-10	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.2
28	17-11	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Macy Hatkevich		+0.3
29	18-11	BUTLER	XAVIER×4	Kill	Macy Hatkevich	set Charlotte Moriarty	+0.4
30	19-11	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Kill	Margo Kemp	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.3
31	20-11	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Bad set	Kaylee Finnegan		+0.2
32	21-11	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Ace	Xavier	aced Carly Slusser	+0.1
33	21-12	XAVIER	BUTLER	Serve err	Xavier		·
34	22-12	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	·
35	22-13	XAVIER	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Kaylee Finnegan	·
36	23-13	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Gabrielle Semona	set Macy Hatkevich	·
37	23-14	XAVIER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Ava Hunter	·
38	23-15	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Charlotte Moriarty		·
39	23-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	·
40	23-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.1
41	24-17	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.1
42	24-18	XAVIER	BUTLER	Serve err	Xavier		·
43	24-19	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.1
44	25-19	BUTLER	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Carly Slusser	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Xavier first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Xavier def. Butler 3–0

.417 and 12 kills for Catherine Flaharty as Xavier rolled past Butler.