Duquesne def. Elon 3–0
(25-18, 25-15, 25-14)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELON | 18 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| DUQSNE | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.2% to Elon — set 1, ELON 12-11 DUQSNE. Kill by Cameron Lanier (set by April Rice). DUQSNE win probability 94% → 93%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Elon wins
Duquesne wins
- ELON break %
- 36.4% vs this opp
- DUQSNE break %
- 48.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Cameron LanierKill+1.2%
Kill by Cameron Lanier (set by April Rice)
Set 1 · ELON 12-11 DUQSNE · ELON 6% → 7%
- 02Londyn StoneKill+1.0%
Kill by Londyn Stone (set by Chloe Wilmot)
Set 1 · ELON 12-13 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 94% → 95%
- 03Emersen SchromAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Emersen Schrom
Set 1 · ELON 11-11 DUQSNE · ELON 5% → 6%
- 04Cameron LanierKill+1.0%
Kill by Cameron Lanier (set by April Rice)
Set 1 · ELON 15-16 DUQSNE · ELON 4% → 5%
- 05Cameron LanierAttack error+0.9%
Cameron Lanier stuffed by Jordan Robertson
Set 1 · ELON 12-14 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 95% → 95%
- 06DUQSNE serverAce+0.8%
Duquesne ace on Shannon O'Laughlin
Set 1 · ELON 15-18 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 95% → 96%
- 07Cameron LanierKill+0.8%
Kill by Cameron Lanier (set by Kayla Palmer)
Set 1 · ELON 3-2 DUQSNE · ELON 5% → 6%
- 08Jordan RobertsonKill+0.8%
Kill by Jordan Robertson (set by Chloe Wilmot)
Set 1 · ELON 12-12 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 93% → 94%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 22 | .045 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 18 | .278 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 10 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 31 | .161 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 33 | 17 | 90 | .178 | 33 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 47 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 15 | 2 | 27 | .481 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | |
| 3 | 8 | 0 | 15 | .533 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 0 | 19 | .474 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | .625 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 42 | 4 | 78 | .487 | 40 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
18-25
Set 2
15-25
Set 3
14-25
Bars above the line = Duquesne leads, below = Elon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Elon
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%8/17 | 30%3/10 |
| 2 | 50%6/12 | 38%5/13 |
| 3 | 31%5/16 | 25%2/8 |
| 4 | 45%5/11 | 17%1/6 |
| 5 | 50%5/10 | 17%1/6 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 17%1/6 |
| All | 47%34/73 | 27%13/49 |
Duquesne
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73%8/11 | 40%4/10 |
| 2 | 58%7/12 | 56%9/16 |
| 3 | 67%6/9 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 100%5/5 | 72%13/18 |
| 5 | 71%5/7 | 44%4/9 |
| 6 | 100%5/5 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 73%36/49 | 53%39/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
122 rallies
Rally log
| # | ELON-DUQSNE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Kill | Jordan Robertson | set Delaney McIntosh | +0.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +0.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +0.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Lindsey Murphy | +0.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | DUQSNE | ELON | Serve err | DUQSNE server | +0.5 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.4 |
| 13 | 6-7 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +0.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set April Rice | +0.5 |
| 16 | 7-9 | ELON | DUQSNE | Attack err | Anna Sewell | +0.5 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | DUQSNE | ELON | Serve err | DUQSNE server | +0.5 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | ELON | DUQSNE | Serve err | ELON server | +0.5 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set Kayla Palmer | +0.6 |
| 20 | 9-11 | ELON | DUQSNE | Serve err | ELON server | +0.5 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | DUQSNE | ELON×3 | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +0.6 |
| 22 | 11-11 | ELON | ELON×3 | Attack err | Emersen Schrom | +1.0 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | ELON | ELON×3 | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +1.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | ELON | DUQSNE×3 | Kill | Jordan Robertson | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Chloe Wilmot | +1.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Jordan Robertson | +0.9 |
| 27 | 13-14 | DUQSNE | ELON | Serve err | DUQSNE server | +0.7 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | ELON | DUQSNE | Serve err | ELON server | +0.6 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Kill | Madeleine Bush | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.7 |
| 30 | 14-16 | DUQSNE | ELON | Serve err | DUQSNE server | +0.5 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +1.0 |
| 32 | 15-17 | ELON | DUQSNE×3 | Attack err | Anna Sewell | blk Madeleine Bush | +0.7 |
| 33 | 15-18 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Shannon O'Laughlin | +0.8 |
| 34 | 15-19 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Attack err | Anna Sewell | blk Simone Searles, Madeleine Bush | +0.6 |
| 35 | 16-19 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Casey Brower | +0.3 |
| 36 | 16-20 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Simone Searles | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.4 |
| 37 | 17-20 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.3 |
| 38 | 17-21 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Simone Searles | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.4 |
| 39 | 18-21 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +0.3 |
| 40 | 18-22 | ELON | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Simone Searles | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.4 |
| 41 | 18-23 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Delaney McIntosh | +0.3 |
| 42 | 18-24 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Delaney McIntosh | +0.1 |
| 43 | 18-25 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Cameron Lanier | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set Kayla Palmer | +0.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Simone Searles | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | ELON | DUQSNE×3 | Kill | Simone Searles | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Shannon O'Laughlin | +0.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Bad set | April Rice | +0.4 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | DUQSNE | ELON | Serve err | DUQSNE server | +0.3 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | ELON | DUQSNE | Attack err | Anna Sewell | +0.3 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | DUQSNE | ELON | Serve err | DUQSNE server | +0.3 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | ELON | DUQSNE | Serve err | ELON server | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Casey Brower | +0.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +0.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Kayla Palmer | +0.2 |
| 15 | 6-9 | ELON | DUQSNE×3 | Serve err | ELON server | +0.2 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Attack err | Alexandra Schultz | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Simone Searles | +0.2 |
| 18 | 7-11 | DUQSNE | ELON | Serve err | DUQSNE server | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Simone Searles | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.1 |
| 20 | 7-13 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Lindsey Murphy | +0.1 |
| 21 | 8-13 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +0.1 |
| 22 | 8-14 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Delaney McIntosh | +0.1 |
| 23 | 9-14 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Caroline Berlekamp | set April Rice | +0.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +0.2 |
| 25 | 10-15 | ELON | DUQSNE×5 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×5 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.1 |
| 27 | 10-17 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×5 | Attack err | Caroline Berlekamp | blk Emersen Schrom | +0.1 |
| 28 | 10-18 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×5 | Kill | Chloe Wilmot | set Londyn Stone | +0.1 |
| 29 | 10-19 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×5 | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 30 | 11-19 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +0.0 |
| 31 | 11-20 | ELON | DUQSNE | Serve err | ELON server | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 11-21 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Casey Brower | +0.0 |
| 33 | 12-21 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +0.0 |
| 34 | 13-21 | ELON | ELON | Ace | ELON server | aced Emersen Schrom | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | ELON | DUQSNE | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Madeleine Bush | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 38 | 15-23 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set Kayla Palmer | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 40 | 15-25 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ELON | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Delaney McIntosh | +0.2 |
| 3 | 0-3 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Jordan Robertson | +0.1 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +0.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.1 |
| 7 | 2-5 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Simone Searles | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Kayla Palmer | +0.1 |
| 9 | 3-6 | ELON | DUQSNE×5 | Kill | Jordan Robertson | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.1 |
| 10 | 3-7 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×5 | Attack err | Alexandra Schultz | +0.1 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×5 | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Anna Sewell | +0.1 |
| 12 | 3-9 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×5 | Ace | DUQSNE server | aced Team | +0.1 |
| 13 | 3-10 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×5 | Kill | Jordan Robertson | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 14 | 4-10 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Caroline Berlekamp | set Kayla Palmer | +0.0 |
| 15 | 4-11 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Delaney McIntosh | +0.0 |
| 16 | 4-12 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Attack err | Ellen Hunt | +0.0 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +0.0 |
| 18 | 5-13 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Chloe Wilmot | set Londyn Stone | +0.0 |
| 19 | 5-14 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE | Kill | Madeleine Bush | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 20 | 6-14 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Caroline Berlekamp | set April Rice | +0.0 |
| 21 | 6-15 | ELON | DUQSNE×3 | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 22 | 6-16 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +0.0 | |
| 23 | 6-17 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Attack err | Ellen Hunt | +0.0 | |
| 24 | 7-17 | DUQSNE | ELON×3 | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set April Rice | +0.0 |
| 25 | 8-17 | ELON | ELON×3 | Ace | ELON server | aced Delaney McIntosh | +0.0 |
| 26 | 9-17 | ELON | ELON×3 | Attack err | Madeleine Bush | +0.0 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | ELON | DUQSNE×4 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Simone Searles, Madeleine Bush | +0.0 |
| 28 | 9-19 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Kayla Palmer | +0.0 |
| 29 | 9-20 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 30 | 9-21 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×4 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 31 | 10-21 | DUQSNE | ELON×4 | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.0 |
| 32 | 11-21 | ELON | ELON×4 | Attack err | Emersen Schrom | blk Catherine Rucker | +0.0 |
| 33 | 12-21 | ELON | ELON×4 | Attack err | Kaylie Baumgart | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | ELON | ELON×4 | Ace | ELON server | aced Londyn Stone | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | ELON | DUQSNE | Kill | Londyn Stone | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 36 | 14-22 | DUQSNE | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | ELON | DUQSNE×3 | Kill | Emersen Schrom | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Kill | Simone Searles | set Chloe Wilmot | +0.0 |
| 39 | 14-25 | DUQSNE | DUQSNE×3 | Attack err | Alexandra Schultz | +0.0 | |
Score shown after each rally, Elon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.