FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayCAA

0:3

HomeMAC

Eastern Mich. def. Elon 3–0

(25-16, 26-24, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ELON	16	24	20	0
E MICH	25	26	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

E MICH above 50 · ELON below

Biggest swing: 5.0% to Elon — set 2, ELON 24-24 E MICH. Elon ace on Team. E MICH win probability 93% → 89%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ELON 18.3%81.7% E MICH

Elon wins

3-0

2.9%

3-1

6.0%

3-2

9.4%

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0

33.3%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

17.8%

ELON break %: 39.8% vs this opp
E MICH break %: 46.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
ELON serverAce+5.0%
Elon ace on Team
Set 2 · ELON 24-24 E MICH · ELON 7% → 11%
02
Anna SewellAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Anna Sewell
Set 2 · ELON 24-26 E MICH · E MICH 92% → 97%
03
Haley TroskyKill+3.8%
Kill by Haley Trosky (set by Lina Govoni)
Set 2 · ELON 24-25 E MICH · E MICH 89% → 92%
04
Haley TroskyKill+3.5%
Kill by Haley Trosky (set by Azra Eriç)
Set 2 · ELON 22-24 E MICH · E MICH 92% → 95%
05
Natalie SlusherKill+3.0%
Kill by Natalie Slusher (set by Lina Govoni)
Set 2 · ELON 22-23 E MICH · E MICH 89% → 92%
06
Catherine RuckerAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Catherine Rucker
Set 2 · ELON 20-21 E MICH · E MICH 88% → 91%
07
Natalie SlusherAttack error+2.6%
Natalie Slusher stuffed by Cameron Lanier & Catherine Rucker
Set 2 · ELON 22-22 E MICH · ELON 9% → 11%
08
Natalie SlusherKill+2.5%
Kill by Natalie Slusher (set by Lina Govoni)
Set 2 · ELON 21-22 E MICH · E MICH 89% → 91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Elonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Cameron LanierOH	3	11	5	33	.182	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
17Catherine RuckerMB	3	6	3	14	.214	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
11Caroline BerlekampMB	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	6
5Alexandra SchultzOH	3	2	3	14	-.071	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
19Lindsey MurphyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	11	2	0	0	0	2
12Kayla PalmerS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	1
14Anna SewellOH	3	6	4	23	.087	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	6
4Casey BrowerL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	12	1	0	0	0	1
7April RiceS	3	0	3	6	-.500	15	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
9Shannon O'LaughlinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	7	3	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	20	103	.087	26	5	4	41	9	2	6	5	60

Eastern Mich.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Haley TroskyOH	3	17	4	36	.361	0	0	0	5	0	1	1	1.5	18.5
18Azra EriçMB	3	5	3	16	.125	1	3	2	4	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
3Natalie SlusherOH	3	9	4	26	.192	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	9
17Taeley MahlerOH	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
5Maddie HermanMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
1Lina GovoniS	3	1	0	2	.500	34	1	0	7	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Mia SchaeferL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	7	0	0	0	0	2
12Olivia BeaudrieOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	3	3	1	0	0	0	2
16Surabhi SrinivasanDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	3	10	0	0	0	0	1
6Madelyn SipeDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	4	10	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	14	102	.284	39	9	12	48	5	1	10	6	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ELON · E MICH 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 ELONE MICH 6

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 4 ELONE MICH 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 ELONE MICH 5

Bars above the line = Eastern Mich. leads, below = Elon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Elon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	50%6/12
2	50%7/14	13%1/8
3	70%7/10	42%5/12
4	70%7/10	13%1/8
5	55%6/11	36%4/11
6	31%5/16	40%4/10
All	52%39/75	34%21/61

Eastern Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	57%8/14
2	64%7/11	30%3/10
3	78%7/9	50%7/14
4	70%7/10	13%1/8
5	70%7/10	42%5/12
6	56%5/9	71%12/17
All	66%40/61	48%36/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	ELON-E MICH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky		+1.5
2	1-1	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Kayla Palmer	+1.2
3	1-2	ELON	E MICH×3	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+1.2
4	1-3	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	E MICH server	aced Lindsey Murphy	+1.4
5	1-4	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Cameron Lanier	blk Maddie Herman, Taeley Mahler	+1.3
6	2-4	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.0
7	2-5	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+1.0
8	3-5	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.0
9	3-6	ELON	E MICH	Attack err	Caroline Berlekamp		+1.0
10	4-6	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.0
11	5-6	ELON	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+1.6
12	5-7	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+1.2
13	6-7	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Anna Sewell	+1.2
14	7-7	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+1.9
15	7-8	ELON	E MICH×6	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+1.4
16	7-9	E MICH	E MICH×6	Ace	E MICH server	aced Anna Sewell	+1.7
17	7-10	E MICH	E MICH×6	Attack err	Alexandra Schultz	blk Lina Govoni, Maddie Herman	+1.5
18	7-11	E MICH	E MICH×6	Attack err	Alexandra Schultz		+1.3
19	7-12	E MICH	E MICH×6	Attack err	Alexandra Schultz		+1.0
20	7-13	E MICH	E MICH×6	Ace	E MICH server	aced Anna Sewell	+0.8
21	8-13	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.5
22	8-14	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
23	8-15	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Lindsey Murphy	+0.5
24	9-15	E MICH	ELON	Attack err	Maddie Herman		+0.3
25	9-16	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+0.4
26	10-16	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.3
27	11-16	ELON	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.6
28	11-17	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
29	11-18	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Shannon O'Laughlin	+0.5
30	12-18	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.2
31	13-18	ELON	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+0.5
32	13-19	ELON	E MICH	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+0.5
33	14-19	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.4
34	15-19	ELON	ELON	Ace	ELON server	aced Natalie Slusher	+0.8
35	15-20	ELON	E MICH×4	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+0.8
36	15-21	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
37	15-22	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	Catherine Rucker	blk Haley Trosky, Azra Eriç	+0.3
38	15-23	E MICH	E MICH×4	Ace	E MICH server	aced Shannon O'Laughlin	+0.1
39	16-23	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set April Rice	+0.0
40	16-24	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+0.0
41	16-25	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	ELON	ELON	Ace	ELON server	aced Natalie Slusher	+1.3
2	1-1	ELON	E MICH	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+0.9
3	2-1	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+1.0
4	2-2	ELON	E MICH×4	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+0.9
5	2-3	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	Cameron Lanier	blk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç	+1.2
6	2-4	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+1.1
7	2-5	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	April Rice		+1.0
8	3-5	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set April Rice	+0.7
9	3-6	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+0.8
10	4-6	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.8
11	4-7	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Lina Govoni	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+0.8
12	4-8	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Anna Sewell	+0.9
13	5-8	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Kayla Palmer	+0.6
14	5-9	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
15	5-10	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Caroline Berlekamp		+0.7
16	6-10	E MICH	ELON×3	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+0.5
17	7-10	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Anna Sewell	set April Rice	+0.8
18	8-10	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+1.1
19	8-11	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.9
20	9-11	E MICH	ELON×4	Kill	Anna Sewell	set April Rice	+0.9
21	10-11	ELON	ELON×4	Ace	ELON server	aced Lina Govoni	+1.4
22	11-11	ELON	ELON×4	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+1.6
23	12-11	ELON	ELON×4	Attack err	Haley Trosky	blk Caroline Berlekamp, April Rice	+1.8
24	12-12	ELON	E MICH	Attack err	April Rice		+1.3
25	13-12	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+1.5
26	13-13	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+1.4
27	14-13	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set April Rice	+1.6
28	15-13	ELON	ELON	Kill	Alexandra Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+2.2
29	15-14	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+1.5
30	16-14	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Alexandra Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+1.8
31	16-15	ELON	E MICH	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+1.5
32	17-15	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+1.9
33	17-16	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+1.6
34	18-16	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+2.0
35	18-17	ELON	E MICH	Serve err	ELON server		+1.7
36	18-18	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+2.4
37	19-18	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+2.1
38	19-19	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+2.0
39	20-19	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+2.3
40	20-20	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+2.1
41	20-21	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Catherine Rucker		+3.0
42	21-21	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+2.3
43	21-22	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+2.5
44	22-22	E MICH	ELON	Attack err	Natalie Slusher	blk Cameron Lanier, Catherine Rucker	+2.6
45	22-23	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+3.0
46	22-24	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Azra Eriç	+3.5
47	23-24	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set April Rice	+1.5
48	24-24	ELON	ELON	Ace	ELON server	aced Team	+5.0
49	24-25	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+3.8
50	24-26	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+4.4
Set 3
1	0-1	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
2	1-1	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.5
3	2-1	ELON	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set April Rice	+0.7
4	2-2	ELON	E MICH	Attack err	April Rice	blk Haley Trosky	+0.5
5	3-2	E MICH	ELON	Attack err	Taeley Mahler	blk Catherine Rucker	+0.5
6	3-3	ELON	E MICH×3	Serve err	ELON server		+0.5
7	3-4	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Catherine Rucker	blk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç	+0.6
8	3-5	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
9	4-5	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Kayla Palmer	+0.4
10	4-6	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Madelyn Sipe	+0.4
11	4-7	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+0.5
12	5-7	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.4
13	5-8	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+0.4
14	6-8	E MICH	ELON	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+0.4
15	6-9	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.4
16	7-9	E MICH	ELON×3	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+0.4
17	8-9	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+0.6
18	9-9	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.7
19	9-10	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
20	10-10	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+0.6
21	10-11	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
22	10-12	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Casey Brower	+0.7
23	11-12	E MICH	ELON×4	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.5
24	12-12	ELON	ELON×4	Attack err	Maddie Herman		+0.8
25	13-12	ELON	ELON×4	Ace	ELON server	aced Olivia Beaudrie	+0.9
26	14-12	ELON	ELON×4	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+1.0
27	14-13	ELON	E MICH	Serve err	ELON server		+0.7
28	15-13	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Kayla Palmer	+0.8
29	15-14	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
30	16-14	E MICH	ELON	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+0.9
31	17-14	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Natalie Slusher	blk Caroline Berlekamp, Alexandra Schultz	+1.1
32	17-15	ELON	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
33	18-15	E MICH	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Kayla Palmer	+0.9
34	19-15	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Azra Eriç	blk Caroline Berlekamp	+1.1
35	19-16	ELON	E MICH×5	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
36	19-17	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+1.0
37	19-18	E MICH	E MICH×5	Ace	E MICH server	aced Shannon O'Laughlin	+1.2
38	19-19	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+1.3
39	19-20	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Maddie Herman		+1.3
40	20-20	E MICH	ELON	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.0
41	20-21	ELON	E MICH×5	Serve err	ELON server		+1.1
42	20-22	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+1.3
43	20-23	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.9
44	20-24	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+0.5
45	20-25	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Elon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.