CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 8, 2026
App State logo

AwaySUN-BELT

3:1
Elon logo

HomeCAA

App State def. Elon 31

(22-25, 26-24, 26-24, 25-15)
Set1234Sets
APP ST222626253
ELON252424151

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ELON above 50 · APP ST below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100ELONAPP STBiggest swing +10.6% APP ST · S3 24-23rally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.6% to App State — set 3, APP ST 24-23 ELON. Kill by Lou Johnson (set by Raegan Richardson). ELON win probability 28%18%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

APP ST 84.4%15.6% ELON

App State wins

3-0
36.3%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
16.8%

Elon wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
8.2%
APP ST break %
44.4% vs this opp
ELON break %
36.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Lou JohnsonKill+10.6%

    Kill by Lou Johnson (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 3 · APP ST 24-23 ELON · APP ST 72%82%

  2. 02
    Alexandra SchultzAttack error+9.2%

    Attack error by Alexandra Schultz

    Set 2 · APP ST 26-24 ELON · APP ST 69%78%

  3. 03
    Cameron LanierAttack error+8.8%

    Cameron Lanier stuffed by Nevaeh Hays & Chelsea Gilmore

    Set 3 · APP ST 26-24 ELON · APP ST 82%91%

  4. 04
    Anna SewellKill+8.1%

    Kill by Anna Sewell (set by Kayla Palmer)

    Set 3 · APP ST 21-22 ELON · ELON 25%33%

  5. 05

    Kill by Raegan Richardson (set by Amelia Mancino)

    Set 2 · APP ST 24-23 ELON · APP ST 62%69%

  6. 06

    Kill by Cameron Lanier (set by April Rice)

    Set 2 · APP ST 24-24 ELON · ELON 31%38%

  7. 07

    Kill by Bella Hutchens (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 2 · APP ST 25-24 ELON · APP ST 62%69%

  8. 08
    Chelsea GilmoreAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Chelsea Gilmore

    Set 2 · APP ST 22-22 ELON · ELON 31%38%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419642.3100025102120
410114.6433220100031.513.5
410218.44400000031.511.5
46213.308000000639
2034-.750001100000
11110.000000120001
43417-.059511310004
42021.0006122500003
4000321610002
4000002100000
3205.40000000031.53.5
1024-.50000010010.50.5
1014-.250001000000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals5323134.22446610535018999
Elonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4171243.11610391010.517.5
413632.2190012000013
45319.10510010073.58.5
4309.333000002658
46416.12520110031.57.5
400017301000003
4215.2001900200002
4000020900002
4002.0005021410000
4011-1.000001410000
2000001120000
1214.250000010002
1011-1.00000010010.50.5
Team totals4829132.14445595462181188

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 APP ST · ELON 4

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 APP STELON 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 APP STELON 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 6 APP STELON 3

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 5 APP STELON 3

Bars above the line = Elon leads, below = App State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
53%10/19
2
50%10/20
35%6/17
3
71%10/14
9%1/11
4
82%9/11
47%8/17
5
80%8/10
47%7/15
6
62%8/13
58%11/19
All
63%56/89
44%43/98

Elon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
50%9/18
2
73%11/15
39%7/18
3
56%9/16
44%8/18
4
64%9/14
31%4/13
5
50%8/16
18%2/11
6
41%7/17
27%3/11
All
56%55/98
37%33/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

187 rallies

Rally log

#APP ST-ELONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0APP STAPP STAceAPP ST serveraced Casey Brower+1.4
21-1APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+1.0
32-1ELONAPP STServe errELON server+1.0
42-2APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+1.1
53-2ELONAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.0
63-3APP STELON×3Attack errDelanie Grevengoed+1.1
73-4ELONELON×3AceELON serveraced Brooke Doherty+1.8
83-5ELONELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Casey Brower+2.0
94-5ELONAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.2
104-6APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+1.4
115-6ELONAPP STAttack errCameron Lanier+1.2
125-7APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.5
136-7ELONAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.3
147-7APP STAPP ST×4Attack errCameron Lanier+1.9
158-7APP STAPP ST×4Attack errCameron Lanierblk Lou Johnson, Raegan Richardson+1.8
169-7APP STAPP ST×4KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+1.6
179-8APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+1.1
189-9ELONELONAttack errCaroline Farthingblk Caroline Berlekamp+1.9
1910-9ELONAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.3
2010-10APP STELONKillAlexandra Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.4
2110-11ELONELONAttack errDelanie Grevengoedblk Alexandra Schultz, Caroline Berlekamp+2.3
2211-11ELONAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.4
2312-11APP STAPP ST×4Attack errAnna Sewell+2.1
2413-11APP STAPP ST×4Attack errAnna Sewellblk Lou Johnson, Molly Teague+1.9
2514-11APP STAPP ST×4KillMeMe Davisset Kayla Palmer+1.6
2614-12APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+1.0
2714-13ELONELONKillAnna Sewellset Catherine Rucker+1.9
2815-13ELONAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.4
2915-14APP STELONAttack errBrooke Dohertyblk Catherine Rucker, Alexandra Schultz+1.4
3015-15ELONELONAceELON serveraced Brooke Doherty+2.4
3116-15ELONAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.7
3216-16APP STELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+1.8
3317-16ELONAPP ST×3Serve errELON server+1.8
3418-16APP STAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.4
3519-16APP STAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+1.9
3619-17APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.1
3720-17ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+1.3
3820-18APP STELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.1
3921-18ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.4
4021-19APP STELON×3Attack errBella Hutchens+1.1
4121-20ELONELON×3Attack errMolly Teagueblk Alexandra Schultz, Caroline Berlekamp+2.5
4221-21ELONELON×3Attack errMolly Teague+3.8
4322-21ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.9
4422-22APP STELON×4KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+3.0
4522-23ELONELON×4KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+5.9
4622-24ELONELON×4KillAnna Sewellset Casey Brower+6.4
4722-25ELONELON×4KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+4.0
Set 2
10-1ELONELONAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+2.8
21-1ELONAPP STServe errELON server+1.8
31-2APP STELONKillAlexandra Schultzset Kayla Palmer+2.0
41-3ELONELONAttack errLou Johnson+3.2
52-3ELONAPP STAttack errCatherine Rucker+1.9
62-4APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+2.3
73-4ELONAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.0
83-5APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+2.3
94-5ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset MeMe Davis+2.1
104-6APP STELONKillApril Riceset Catherine Rucker+2.4
115-6ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.1
126-6APP STAPP STAttack errCameron Lanierblk Lou Johnson, Raegan Richardson+3.1
136-7APP STELON×3KillCaroline Berlekamp+2.3
146-8ELONELON×3KillAlexandra Schultzset Casey Brower+3.7
156-9ELONELON×3AceELON serveraced Bella Dafforn+3.9
167-9ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Amelia Mancino+2.3
177-10APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+2.8
188-10ELONAPP STAttack errAnna Sewell+2.3
199-10APP STAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+3.6
209-11APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+2.9
2110-11ELONAPP STServe errELON server+2.5
2210-12APP STELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+3.0
2311-12ELONAPP ST×4KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.6
2412-12APP STAPP ST×4Attack errAnna Sewell+3.9
2513-12APP STAPP ST×4KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+3.7
2614-12APP STAPP ST×4Attack errCatherine Rucker+3.3
2714-13APP STELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+2.2
2815-13ELONAPP STAttack errCameron Lanier+2.3
2915-14APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+2.3
3016-14ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+2.4
3116-15APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+2.4
3217-15ELONAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.6
3318-15APP STAPP ST×3AceAPP ST serveraced Lindsey Murphy+3.2
3419-15APP STAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.3
3519-16APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+1.2
3619-17ELONELONAttack errEva Goodson+2.7
3720-17ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.3
3820-18APP STELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.9
3920-19ELONELONAttack errAmelia Mancinoblk Alexandra Schultz, Catherine Rucker+4.1
4021-19ELONAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+3.4
4121-20APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+3.0
4222-20ELONAPP STAttack errAnna Sewell+3.7
4322-21APP STELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+3.1
4422-22ELONELONAttack errChelsea Gilmore+7.2
4523-22ELONAPP STServe errELON server+5.8
4623-23APP STELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+5.8
4724-23ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Amelia Mancino+7.3
4824-24APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+7.3
4925-24ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+7.3
5026-24APP STAPP STAttack errAlexandra Schultz+9.2
Set 3
10-1APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+1.9
20-2ELONELONKillCaroline Berlekamp+2.9
31-2ELONAPP STServe errELON server+1.8
41-3APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+2.1
52-3ELONAPP STServe errELON server+1.9
62-4APP STELONKillAlexandra Schultzset Kayla Palmer+2.2
73-4ELONAPP STAttack errApril Rice+1.9
83-5APP STELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+2.2
94-5ELONAPP STAttack errCameron Lanierblk Nevaeh Hays, Lou Johnson+2.0
104-6APP STELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+2.3
115-6ELONAPP ST×4Serve errELON server+2.0
126-6APP STAPP ST×4Attack errCameron Lanier+3.0
137-6APP STAPP ST×4Bad setApril Rice+2.8
148-6APP STAPP ST×4Bad setCameron Lanier+2.5
158-7APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.8
169-7ELONAPP ST×6KillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.7
1710-7APP STAPP ST×6KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.3
1811-7APP STAPP ST×6KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.9
1912-7APP STAPP ST×6Attack errAlexandra Schultz+1.4
2013-7APP STAPP ST×6Attack errCameron Lanierblk Chelsea Gilmore, Raegan Richardson+1.1
2114-7APP STAPP ST×6AceAPP ST serveraced Cameron Lanier+0.7
2214-8APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+0.4
2315-8ELONAPP STAttack errAnna Sewell+0.5
2415-9APP STELONKillAlexandra Schultzset Kayla Palmer+0.3
2515-10ELONELONBad setLou Johnson+0.8
2616-10ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset MeMe Davis+0.7
2716-11APP STELONBad setMeMe Davis+0.5
2817-11ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.7
2917-12APP STELONAttack errAmelia Mancino+0.5
3017-13ELONELONKillNevaeh Haysset Casey Brower+1.1
3118-13ELONAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.0
3218-14APP STELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+0.7
3318-15ELONELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.7
3419-15ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Amelia Mancino+1.5
3519-16APP STELON×3KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.1
3619-17ELONELON×3Attack errChelsea Gilmore+2.5
3719-18ELONELON×3AceELON serveraced Bella Hutchens+3.8
3820-18ELONAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+3.0
3920-19APP STELONAttack errRaegan Richardsonblk Caroline Berlekamp+2.8
4021-19ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset MeMe Davis+3.3
4121-20APP STELON×3Attack errBella Hutchensblk Caroline Berlekamp, Alexandra Schultz+2.9
4221-21ELONELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Casey Brower+6.2
4321-22ELONELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+8.1
4422-22ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Amelia Mancino+5.1
4522-23APP STELONAttack errBella Hutchensblk Catherine Rucker, Alexandra Schultz+6.8
4623-23ELONAPP STKillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+6.1
4724-23APP STAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+10.6
4824-24APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+7.0
4925-24ELONAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+7.0
5026-24APP STAPP STAttack errCameron Lanierblk Nevaeh Hays, Chelsea Gilmore+8.8
Set 4
10-1ELONELONAttack errBella Hutchensblk Caroline Berlekamp, Alexandra Schultz+2.1
20-2ELONELONAttack errBella Hutchens+2.3
31-2ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Amelia Mancino+1.4
42-2APP STAPP STAttack errAlexandra Schultz+2.1
52-3APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset Alexandra Schultz+1.5
63-3ELONAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.4
73-4APP STELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.6
84-4ELONAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.4
95-4APP STAPP STKillChelsea Gilmore+2.0
105-5APP STELONServe errAPP ST server+1.5
116-5ELONAPP ST×5KillRaegan Richardsonset Bella Dafforn+1.4
127-5APP STAPP ST×5KillMeMe Davisset Raegan Richardson+1.9
138-5APP STAPP ST×5Attack errCatherine Ruckerblk Chelsea Gilmore, Bella Hutchens+1.7
149-5APP STAPP ST×5Attack errCameron Lanier+1.4
1510-5APP STAPP ST×5KillChelsea Gilmore+1.1
1610-6APP STELONAttack errBella Hutchens+0.7
1710-7ELONELONKillApril Riceset Cameron Lanier+1.3
1811-7ELONAPP ST×5KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.0
1912-7APP STAPP ST×5KillBella Hutchensset Bella Dafforn+1.1
2013-7APP STAPP ST×5Attack errCameron Lanier+0.8
2114-7APP STAPP ST×5KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.6
2215-7APP STAPP ST×5Attack errCatherine Ruckerblk Lou Johnson, Bella Hutchens+0.4
2315-8APP STELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.2
2416-8ELONAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Bella Dafforn+0.2
2517-8APP STAPP STAttack errLindsey Murphyblk Nevaeh Hays, Lou Johnson+0.2
2617-9APP STELON×3KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.1
2717-10ELONELON×3AceELON serveraced Amelia Mancino+0.2
2817-11ELONELON×3Attack errLou Johnson+0.3
2918-11ELONAPP STAttack errCameron Lanier+0.3
3019-11APP STAPP STAttack errEllen Hunt+0.2
3119-12APP STELONAttack errAmelia Mancinoblk Caroline Berlekamp, Cameron Lanier+0.1
3219-13ELONELONAttack errAmelia Mancinoblk Caroline Berlekamp, Ellen Hunt+0.2
3320-13ELONAPP STServe errELON server+0.3
3421-13APP STAPP STAceAPP ST serveraced Danielle Wallace+0.2
3521-14APP STELONKillCaroline Smithset Kayla Palmer+0.1
3621-15ELONELONKillCaroline Smithset Kayla Palmer+0.2
3722-15ELONAPP ST×4KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.2
3823-15APP STAPP ST×4Attack errCaroline Smith+0.1
3924-15APP STAPP ST×4AceAPP ST serveraced Danielle Wallace+0.0
4025-15APP STAPP ST×4AceAPP ST serveraced Caroline Smith+0.0

Score shown after each rally, App State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.