App State def. Elon 3–1
(22-25, 26-24, 26-24, 25-15)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP ST | 22 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 3 |
| ELON | 25 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.6% to App State — set 3, APP ST 24-23 ELON. Kill by Lou Johnson (set by Raegan Richardson). ELON win probability 28% → 18%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
App State wins
Elon wins
- APP ST break %
- 44.4% vs this opp
- ELON break %
- 36.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Lou JohnsonKill+10.6%
Kill by Lou Johnson (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 3 · APP ST 24-23 ELON · APP ST 72% → 82%
- 02Alexandra SchultzAttack error+9.2%
Attack error by Alexandra Schultz
Set 2 · APP ST 26-24 ELON · APP ST 69% → 78%
- 03Cameron LanierAttack error+8.8%
Cameron Lanier stuffed by Nevaeh Hays & Chelsea Gilmore
Set 3 · APP ST 26-24 ELON · APP ST 82% → 91%
- 04Anna SewellKill+8.1%
Kill by Anna Sewell (set by Kayla Palmer)
Set 3 · APP ST 21-22 ELON · ELON 25% → 33%
- 05Raegan RichardsonKill+7.3%
Kill by Raegan Richardson (set by Amelia Mancino)
Set 2 · APP ST 24-23 ELON · APP ST 62% → 69%
- 06Cameron LanierKill+7.3%
Kill by Cameron Lanier (set by April Rice)
Set 2 · APP ST 24-24 ELON · ELON 31% → 38%
- 07Bella HutchensKill+7.3%
Kill by Bella Hutchens (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 2 · APP ST 25-24 ELON · APP ST 62% → 69%
- 08Chelsea GilmoreAttack error+7.2%
Attack error by Chelsea Gilmore
Set 2 · APP ST 22-22 ELON · ELON 31% → 38%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 19 | 6 | 42 | .310 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 1 | 14 | .643 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 13 | .308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -.750 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -.059 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 23 | 134 | .224 | 46 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 99 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 43 | .116 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 17.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 32 | .219 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | .105 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 16 | .125 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 17 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | .200 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 29 | 132 | .144 | 45 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 88 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
26-24
Set 3
26-24
Set 4
25-15
Bars above the line = Elon leads, below = App State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
App State
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52%11/21 | 53%10/19 |
| 2 | 50%10/20 | 35%6/17 |
| 3 | 71%10/14 | 9%1/11 |
| 4 | 82%9/11 | 47%8/17 |
| 5 | 80%8/10 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 62%8/13 | 58%11/19 |
| All | 63%56/89 | 44%43/98 |
Elon
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55%11/20 | 50%9/18 |
| 2 | 73%11/15 | 39%7/18 |
| 3 | 56%9/16 | 44%8/18 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 31%4/13 |
| 5 | 50%8/16 | 18%2/11 |
| 6 | 41%7/17 | 27%3/11 |
| All | 56%55/98 | 37%33/89 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
187 rallies
Rally log
| # | APP ST-ELON | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | APP ST | APP ST | Ace | APP ST server | aced Casey Brower | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ELON | APP ST | Serve err | ELON server | +1.0 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +1.1 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +1.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | APP ST | ELON×3 | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +1.1 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | ELON | ELON×3 | Ace | ELON server | aced Brooke Doherty | +1.8 |
| 8 | 3-5 | ELON | ELON×3 | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Casey Brower | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +1.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +1.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +1.2 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +1.5 |
| 13 | 6-7 | ELON | APP ST×4 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +1.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +1.9 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Lou Johnson, Raegan Richardson | +1.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +1.6 |
| 17 | 9-8 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +1.1 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Caroline Farthing | blk Caroline Berlekamp | +1.9 |
| 19 | 10-9 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +1.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +1.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | blk Alexandra Schultz, Caroline Berlekamp | +2.3 |
| 22 | 11-11 | ELON | APP ST×4 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +1.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Anna Sewell | +2.1 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Anna Sewell | blk Lou Johnson, Molly Teague | +1.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | MeMe Davis | set Kayla Palmer | +1.6 |
| 26 | 14-12 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +1.0 |
| 27 | 14-13 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Catherine Rucker | +1.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +1.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | APP ST | ELON | Attack err | Brooke Doherty | blk Catherine Rucker, Alexandra Schultz | +1.4 |
| 30 | 15-15 | ELON | ELON | Ace | ELON server | aced Brooke Doherty | +2.4 |
| 31 | 16-15 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +1.7 |
| 32 | 16-16 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +1.8 |
| 33 | 17-16 | ELON | APP ST×3 | Serve err | ELON server | +1.8 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.4 |
| 35 | 19-16 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set MeMe Davis | +1.9 |
| 36 | 19-17 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +1.1 |
| 37 | 20-17 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set MeMe Davis | +1.3 |
| 38 | 20-18 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Caroline Berlekamp | set April Rice | +1.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +1.4 |
| 40 | 21-19 | APP ST | ELON×3 | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +1.1 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | ELON | ELON×3 | Attack err | Molly Teague | blk Alexandra Schultz, Caroline Berlekamp | +2.5 |
| 42 | 21-21 | ELON | ELON×3 | Attack err | Molly Teague | +3.8 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.9 |
| 44 | 22-22 | APP ST | ELON×4 | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Kayla Palmer | +3.0 |
| 45 | 22-23 | ELON | ELON×4 | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set Kayla Palmer | +5.9 |
| 46 | 22-24 | ELON | ELON×4 | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Casey Brower | +6.4 |
| 47 | 22-25 | ELON | ELON×4 | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Kayla Palmer | +4.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +2.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | ELON | APP ST | Serve err | ELON server | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +2.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Lou Johnson | +3.2 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | Catherine Rucker | +1.9 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +2.3 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +2.0 |
| 8 | 3-5 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +2.3 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set MeMe Davis | +2.1 |
| 10 | 4-6 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | April Rice | set Catherine Rucker | +2.4 |
| 11 | 5-6 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Lou Johnson, Raegan Richardson | +3.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | APP ST | ELON×3 | Kill | Caroline Berlekamp | +2.3 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | ELON | ELON×3 | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Casey Brower | +3.7 |
| 15 | 6-9 | ELON | ELON×3 | Ace | ELON server | aced Bella Dafforn | +3.9 |
| 16 | 7-9 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Amelia Mancino | +2.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +2.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | Anna Sewell | +2.3 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +3.6 |
| 20 | 9-11 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +2.9 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | ELON | APP ST | Serve err | ELON server | +2.5 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Kayla Palmer | +3.0 |
| 23 | 11-12 | ELON | APP ST×4 | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +2.6 |
| 24 | 12-12 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Anna Sewell | +3.9 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +3.7 |
| 26 | 14-12 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Catherine Rucker | +3.3 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +2.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +2.3 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +2.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | +2.4 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +2.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | ELON | APP ST×3 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Lindsey Murphy | +3.2 |
| 34 | 19-15 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.3 |
| 35 | 19-16 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +1.2 |
| 36 | 19-17 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Eva Goodson | +2.7 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.3 |
| 38 | 20-18 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Kayla Palmer | +1.9 |
| 39 | 20-19 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Amelia Mancino | blk Alexandra Schultz, Catherine Rucker | +4.1 |
| 40 | 21-19 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Amelia Mancino | set Raegan Richardson | +3.4 |
| 41 | 21-20 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +3.0 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | Anna Sewell | +3.7 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set April Rice | +3.1 |
| 44 | 22-22 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Chelsea Gilmore | +7.2 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | ELON | APP ST | Serve err | ELON server | +5.8 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set April Rice | +5.8 |
| 47 | 24-23 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Amelia Mancino | +7.3 |
| 48 | 24-24 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +7.3 |
| 49 | 25-24 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +7.3 |
| 50 | 26-24 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Alexandra Schultz | +9.2 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Kayla Palmer | +1.9 |
| 2 | 0-2 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Caroline Berlekamp | +2.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | ELON | APP ST | Serve err | ELON server | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +2.1 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | ELON | APP ST | Serve err | ELON server | +1.9 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +2.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | April Rice | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set April Rice | +2.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Nevaeh Hays, Lou Johnson | +2.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set April Rice | +2.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | ELON | APP ST×4 | Serve err | ELON server | +2.0 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Bad set | April Rice | +2.8 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Bad set | Cameron Lanier | +2.5 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +1.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | ELON | APP ST×6 | Kill | Amelia Mancino | set Raegan Richardson | +1.7 |
| 17 | 10-7 | APP ST | APP ST×6 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | APP ST | APP ST×6 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +1.9 |
| 19 | 12-7 | APP ST | APP ST×6 | Attack err | Alexandra Schultz | +1.4 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | APP ST | APP ST×6 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Chelsea Gilmore, Raegan Richardson | +1.1 |
| 21 | 14-7 | APP ST | APP ST×6 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Cameron Lanier | +0.7 |
| 22 | 14-8 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +0.4 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | Anna Sewell | +0.5 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Alexandra Schultz | set Kayla Palmer | +0.3 |
| 25 | 15-10 | ELON | ELON | Bad set | Lou Johnson | +0.8 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set MeMe Davis | +0.7 |
| 27 | 16-11 | APP ST | ELON | Bad set | MeMe Davis | +0.5 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.7 |
| 29 | 17-12 | APP ST | ELON | Attack err | Amelia Mancino | +0.5 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Nevaeh Hays | set Casey Brower | +1.1 |
| 31 | 18-13 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Amelia Mancino | set Raegan Richardson | +1.0 |
| 32 | 18-14 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Catherine Rucker | set April Rice | +0.7 |
| 33 | 18-15 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +1.7 |
| 34 | 19-15 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Amelia Mancino | +1.5 |
| 35 | 19-16 | APP ST | ELON×3 | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +1.1 |
| 36 | 19-17 | ELON | ELON×3 | Attack err | Chelsea Gilmore | +2.5 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | ELON | ELON×3 | Ace | ELON server | aced Bella Hutchens | +3.8 |
| 38 | 20-18 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +3.0 |
| 39 | 20-19 | APP ST | ELON | Attack err | Raegan Richardson | blk Caroline Berlekamp | +2.8 |
| 40 | 21-19 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set MeMe Davis | +3.3 |
| 41 | 21-20 | APP ST | ELON×3 | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | blk Caroline Berlekamp, Alexandra Schultz | +2.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | ELON | ELON×3 | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Casey Brower | +6.2 |
| 43 | 21-22 | ELON | ELON×3 | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Kayla Palmer | +8.1 |
| 44 | 22-22 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Amelia Mancino | +5.1 |
| 45 | 22-23 | APP ST | ELON | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | blk Catherine Rucker, Alexandra Schultz | +6.8 |
| 46 | 23-23 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set MeMe Davis | +6.1 |
| 47 | 24-23 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +10.6 |
| 48 | 24-24 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +7.0 |
| 49 | 25-24 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +7.0 |
| 50 | 26-24 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | blk Nevaeh Hays, Chelsea Gilmore | +8.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | blk Caroline Berlekamp, Alexandra Schultz | +2.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +2.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Amelia Mancino | +1.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Alexandra Schultz | +2.1 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set Alexandra Schultz | +1.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Nevaeh Hays | set Raegan Richardson | +1.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Anna Sewell | set Kayla Palmer | +1.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Nevaeh Hays | set Raegan Richardson | +1.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | +2.0 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | APP ST | ELON | Serve err | APP ST server | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | ELON | APP ST×5 | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Bella Dafforn | +1.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Kill | MeMe Davis | set Raegan Richardson | +1.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Catherine Rucker | blk Chelsea Gilmore, Bella Hutchens | +1.7 |
| 14 | 9-5 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +1.4 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | +1.1 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | APP ST | ELON | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +0.7 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | ELON | ELON | Kill | April Rice | set Cameron Lanier | +1.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | ELON | APP ST×5 | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +1.0 |
| 19 | 12-7 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Bella Dafforn | +1.1 |
| 20 | 13-7 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +0.8 | |
| 21 | 14-7 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.6 |
| 22 | 15-7 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Catherine Rucker | blk Lou Johnson, Bella Hutchens | +0.4 |
| 23 | 15-8 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +0.2 |
| 24 | 16-8 | ELON | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Bella Dafforn | +0.2 |
| 25 | 17-8 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Lindsey Murphy | blk Nevaeh Hays, Lou Johnson | +0.2 |
| 26 | 17-9 | APP ST | ELON×3 | Kill | Cameron Lanier | set April Rice | +0.1 |
| 27 | 17-10 | ELON | ELON×3 | Ace | ELON server | aced Amelia Mancino | +0.2 |
| 28 | 17-11 | ELON | ELON×3 | Attack err | Lou Johnson | +0.3 | |
| 29 | 18-11 | ELON | APP ST | Attack err | Cameron Lanier | +0.3 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Ellen Hunt | +0.2 | |
| 31 | 19-12 | APP ST | ELON | Attack err | Amelia Mancino | blk Caroline Berlekamp, Cameron Lanier | +0.1 |
| 32 | 19-13 | ELON | ELON | Attack err | Amelia Mancino | blk Caroline Berlekamp, Ellen Hunt | +0.2 |
| 33 | 20-13 | ELON | APP ST | Serve err | ELON server | +0.3 | |
| 34 | 21-13 | APP ST | APP ST | Ace | APP ST server | aced Danielle Wallace | +0.2 |
| 35 | 21-14 | APP ST | ELON | Kill | Caroline Smith | set Kayla Palmer | +0.1 |
| 36 | 21-15 | ELON | ELON | Kill | Caroline Smith | set Kayla Palmer | +0.2 |
| 37 | 22-15 | ELON | APP ST×4 | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +0.2 |
| 38 | 23-15 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Caroline Smith | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 24-15 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Danielle Wallace | +0.0 |
| 40 | 25-15 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Caroline Smith | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, App State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.