Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayATLANTIC-10

3:1

HomeCAA

Davidson def. Elon 3–1

(25-14, 25-22, 20-25, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
DAVID	25	25	20	25	3
ELON	14	22	25	17	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ELON above 50 · DAVID below

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Elon — set 4, DAVID 15-15 ELON. Attack error by Ellie Ocampo. ELON win probability 8% → 11%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DAVID 84.8%15.2% ELON

Davidson wins

3-0

36.8%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.7%

Elon wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

4.9%

3-2

8.1%

DAVID break %: 45.7% vs this opp
ELON break %: 37.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ellie OcampoAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Ellie Ocampo
Set 4 · DAVID 15-15 ELON · ELON 8% → 11%
02
Mia CompasKill+2.8%
Kill by Mia Compas (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 4 · DAVID 17-15 ELON · DAVID 91% → 94%
03
Ellie OcampoAttack error+2.4%
Ellie Ocampo stuffed by Anna Sewell & Catherine Rucker
Set 4 · DAVID 15-14 ELON · ELON 6% → 8%
04
Ylame DsamouAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Ylame Dsamou
Set 4 · DAVID 6-7 ELON · ELON 10% → 12%
05
Meile SongailaKill+2.3%
Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 4 · DAVID 18-15 ELON · DAVID 94% → 96%
06
Alexandra SchultzAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Alexandra Schultz
Set 4 · DAVID 9-8 ELON · DAVID 89% → 92%
07
Melanie TillesAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Melanie Tilles
Set 4 · DAVID 13-12 ELON · ELON 6% → 8%
08
Anna SewellAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Anna Sewell
Set 4 · DAVID 16-15 ELON · DAVID 89% → 91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Davidsonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Elena Garcia-GuerriosOH	4	17	9	49	.163	1	2	2	11	0	1	2	2	21
15Meile SongailaOH	4	8	4	33	.121	1	3	1	14	0	1	2	2	13
14Mia CompasMB	4	7	1	12	.500	3	0	0	0	0	2	4	4	11
20Melanie TillesMB	4	4	3	11	.091	0	0	3	5	0	1	4	3	7
12Ellie OcampoOH	4	6	7	19	-.053	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
3Kinsey SmithS	4	0	0	0	–	18	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
5Ngodoo HarrisOH	4	8	2	22	.273	0	0	0	3	0	1	5	3.5	11.5
4Ylame DsamouS	4	2	1	9	.111	23	1	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Brooke BriscoeDS	4	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	25	3	0	0	0	0
1Adlee GrissettL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
9Cayla WeisnerMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	27	156	.160	48	7	6	70	3	6	18	15	95

Elonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Anna SewellOH	4	15	7	37	.216	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	2	17
13Cameron LanierOH	4	11	8	39	.077	0	1	2	5	2	0	1	0.5	12.5
17Catherine RuckerMB	4	5	1	16	.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	2	7
11Caroline BerlekampMB	4	4	3	17	.059	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
5Alexandra SchultzOH	4	3	3	17	.000	0	0	0	7	1	0	2	1	4
12Kayla PalmerS	4	0	0	0	–	14	1	0	10	0	0	0	0	1
7April RiceS	4	1	1	3	.000	15	1	2	6	0	0	0	0	2
4Casey BrowerL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	11	1	0	0	0	0
19Lindsey MurphyL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	6	0	0	15	0	0	0	0	0
2Ellen HuntOH	3	2	4	17	-.118	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	3
9Shannon O'LaughlinL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	27	148	.095	39	3	4	66	7	2	14	9	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 DAVID · ELON 6

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 6 DAVIDELON 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 DAVIDELON 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 DAVIDELON 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 4 DAVIDELON 3

Bars above the line = Elon leads, below = Davidson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Davidson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	53%8/15
2	56%9/16	44%7/16
3	67%8/12	31%4/13
4	70%7/10	68%15/22
5	50%7/14	61%11/18
6	58%7/12	30%3/10
All	59%47/79	51%48/94

Elon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	33%4/12
2	60%9/15	47%8/17
3	42%8/19	38%5/13
4	41%7/17	33%4/12
5	41%7/17	22%2/9
6	60%6/10	56%9/16
All	49%46/94	41%32/79

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

173 rallies

Rally log

#	DAVID-ELON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ELON	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Kayla Palmer	+1.6
2	1-1	ELON	DAVID	Serve err	ELON server		+1.1
3	1-2	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+1.2
4	2-2	ELON	DAVID	Bad set	Catherine Rucker		+1.1
5	2-3	DAVID	ELON	Serve err	DAVID server		+1.2
6	3-3	ELON	DAVID×6	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+1.1
7	4-3	DAVID	DAVID×6	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+1.5
8	5-3	DAVID	DAVID×6	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Mia Compas	+1.4
9	6-3	DAVID	DAVID×6	Kill	Ylame Dsamou	set Caroline Berlekamp	+1.2
10	7-3	DAVID	DAVID×6	Attack err	April Rice	blk Mia Compas	+1.0
11	8-3	DAVID	DAVID×6	Attack err	Caroline Berlekamp	blk Meile Songaila	+0.8
12	8-4	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Casey Brower	+0.5
13	8-5	ELON	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+1.0
14	9-5	ELON	DAVID	Attack err	Cameron Lanier	blk Ylame Dsamou, Ngodoo Harris	+0.7
15	10-5	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.9
16	10-6	DAVID	ELON	Serve err	DAVID server		+0.5
17	11-6	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Mia Compas	+0.6
18	12-6	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Cameron Lanier	blk Melanie Tilles, Ngodoo Harris	+0.6
19	12-7	DAVID	ELON	Kill	April Rice	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.4
20	13-7	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Melanie Tilles	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.5
21	14-7	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.5
22	14-8	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Kayla Palmer	+0.2
23	15-8	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.3
24	16-8	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Brooke Briscoe	+0.3
25	16-9	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Alexandra Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+0.1
26	17-9	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Kinsey Smith	+0.2
27	17-10	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+0.1
28	18-10	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+0.2
29	19-10	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.1
30	19-11	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+0.0
31	20-11	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.1
32	21-11	DAVID	DAVID	Bad set	Casey Brower		+0.0
33	21-12	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.0
34	22-12	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Brooke Briscoe	+0.0
35	23-12	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+0.0
36	23-13	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.0
37	23-14	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.0
38	24-14	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.0
39	25-14	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Alexandra Schultz	blk Melanie Tilles	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Alexandra Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+0.8
2	1-1	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Melanie Tilles	set Kinsey Smith	+0.8
3	1-2	DAVID	ELON	Serve err	DAVID server		+0.9
4	2-2	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.8
5	2-3	DAVID	ELON	Serve err	DAVID server		+0.9
6	3-3	ELON	DAVID×4	Serve err	ELON server		+0.8
7	4-3	DAVID	DAVID×4	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Ylame Dsamou	+1.1
8	5-3	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Ellen Hunt	blk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas	+1.0
9	6-3	DAVID	DAVID×4	Bad set	Casey Brower		+0.9
10	6-4	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Ellen Hunt	set Casey Brower	+0.6
11	6-5	ELON	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Casey Brower	+1.0
12	7-5	ELON	DAVID×5	Kill	Ylame Dsamou	set April Rice	+0.7
13	8-5	DAVID	DAVID×5	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+0.9
14	9-5	DAVID	DAVID×5	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.8
15	10-5	DAVID	DAVID×5	Ace	DAVID server	aced Cameron Lanier	+0.6
16	11-5	DAVID	DAVID×5	Ace	DAVID server	aced Cameron Lanier	+0.5
17	11-6	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	blk Caroline Berlekamp	+0.3
18	11-7	ELON	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.5
19	12-7	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.4
20	12-8	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.4
21	13-8	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.4
22	14-8	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Cameron Lanier	blk Elena Garcia-Guerrios	+0.5
23	14-9	DAVID	ELON×3	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.3
24	14-10	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+0.5
25	14-11	ELON	ELON×3	Ace	ELON server	aced Brooke Briscoe	+0.7
26	15-11	ELON	DAVID	Serve err	ELON server		+0.6
27	16-11	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Kinsey Smith	+0.7
28	16-12	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo		+0.4
29	16-13	ELON	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+0.8
30	17-13	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Melanie Tilles	set Kinsey Smith	+0.6
31	17-14	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+0.6
32	18-14	ELON	DAVID×4	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.7
33	19-14	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+0.6
34	20-14	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+0.4
35	21-14	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Caroline Berlekamp		+0.2
36	21-15	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set April Rice	+0.1
37	22-15	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Casey Brower	+0.1
38	23-15	DAVID	DAVID	Ace	DAVID server	aced Casey Brower	+0.1
39	23-16	DAVID	ELON×6	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	blk Caroline Berlekamp, Ellen Hunt	+0.0
40	23-17	ELON	ELON×6	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	blk Ellen Hunt, Catherine Rucker	+0.0
41	23-18	ELON	ELON×6	Attack err	Ngodoo Harris		+0.1
42	23-19	ELON	ELON×6	Bad set	Ylame Dsamou		+0.2
43	23-20	ELON	ELON×6	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.4
44	23-21	ELON	ELON×6	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set April Rice	+0.9
45	24-21	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Ylame Dsamou	+1.1
46	24-22	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier		+0.5
47	25-22	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Ylame Dsamou	+1.0
Set 3
1	0-1	ELON	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Kayla Palmer	+0.6
2	1-1	ELON	DAVID	Attack err	Anna Sewell	blk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Melanie Tilles	+0.4
3	1-2	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set Kayla Palmer	+0.4
4	1-3	ELON	ELON	Ace	ELON server	aced Brooke Briscoe	+0.7
5	2-3	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Meile Songaila	+0.4
6	2-4	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.5
7	3-4	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+0.4
8	4-4	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Caroline Berlekamp	blk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas	+0.6
9	4-5	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Alexandra Schultz	set April Rice	+0.5
10	5-5	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.4
11	6-5	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.6
12	6-6	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.4
13	6-7	ELON	ELON	Ace	ELON server	aced Brooke Briscoe	+0.7
14	7-7	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.5
15	7-8	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	blk Alexandra Schultz, Catherine Rucker	+0.5
16	7-9	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Melanie Tilles		+0.8
17	8-9	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Melanie Tilles	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.5
18	8-10	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+0.6
19	9-10	ELON	DAVID	Bad set	Ellen Hunt		+0.5
20	9-11	DAVID	ELON×3	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+0.6
21	9-12	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo		+0.9
22	9-13	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+0.9
23	10-13	ELON	DAVID	Serve err	ELON server		+0.5
24	11-13	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+0.8
25	11-14	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo		+0.7
26	12-14	ELON	DAVID	Attack err	Cameron Lanier	blk Mia Compas, Meile Songaila	+0.6
27	13-14	DAVID	DAVID	Ace	DAVID server	aced Alexandra Schultz	+0.9
28	13-15	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+0.7
29	13-16	ELON	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set April Rice	+1.0
30	14-16	ELON	DAVID	Attack err	Cameron Lanier	blk Mia Compas, Meile Songaila	+0.6
31	14-17	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.8
32	15-17	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.6
33	15-18	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Meile Songaila		+0.8
34	15-19	ELON	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+1.0
35	16-19	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.5
36	17-19	DAVID	DAVID	Ace	DAVID server	aced Anna Sewell	+0.9
37	17-20	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo	blk Anna Sewell, Catherine Rucker	+0.9
38	18-20	ELON	DAVID	Attack err	Ellen Hunt	blk Melanie Tilles, Elena Garcia-Guerrios	+0.7
39	19-20	DAVID	DAVID	Ace	DAVID server	aced Anna Sewell	+1.2
40	19-21	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Lindsey Murphy	+1.1
41	19-22	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Meile Songaila		+1.4
42	20-22	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+0.6
43	20-23	DAVID	ELON×3	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Lindsey Murphy	+1.1
44	20-24	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo	blk Alexandra Schultz, Caroline Berlekamp	+0.9
45	20-25	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Meile Songaila	blk Cameron Lanier, Caroline Berlekamp	+0.3
Set 4
1	1-0	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Elena Garcia-Guerrios	+1.7
2	2-0	DAVID	DAVID×3	Ace	DAVID server	aced Anna Sewell	+1.6
3	3-0	DAVID	DAVID×3	Bad set	Kayla Palmer		+1.4
4	3-1	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Kayla Palmer	+1.0
5	4-1	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Kinsey Smith	+1.0
6	5-1	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Ellen Hunt		+1.2
7	5-2	DAVID	ELON×3	Serve err	DAVID server		+0.8
8	5-3	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Ellen Hunt	+1.4
9	5-4	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Mia Compas		+1.7
10	6-4	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Mia Compas	+1.2
11	6-5	DAVID	ELON×3	Attack err	Meile Songaila		+1.3
12	6-6	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Lindsey Murphy	+2.1
13	6-7	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Ylame Dsamou		+2.4
14	7-7	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Ylame Dsamou	+1.6
15	7-8	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Ngodoo Harris	blk Anna Sewell	+1.8
16	8-8	ELON	DAVID×4	Kill	Mia Compas	set Ylame Dsamou	+1.7
17	9-8	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Alexandra Schultz		+2.2
18	10-8	DAVID	DAVID×4	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+2.0
19	11-8	DAVID	DAVID×4	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+1.8
20	11-9	DAVID	ELON	Attack err	Melanie Tilles		+1.2
21	12-9	ELON	DAVID	Attack err	Alexandra Schultz	blk Ngodoo Harris, Melanie Tilles	+1.3
22	13-9	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Kinsey Smith	+1.5
23	13-10	DAVID	ELON×3	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.9
24	13-11	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Ellen Hunt	set Lindsey Murphy	+1.7
25	13-12	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Melanie Tilles		+2.2
26	14-12	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+1.7
27	15-12	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Ellen Hunt		+2.0
28	15-13	DAVID	ELON×3	Serve err	DAVID server		+1.3
29	15-14	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo	blk Anna Sewell, Catherine Rucker	+2.4
30	15-15	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo		+3.0
31	16-15	ELON	DAVID×4	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+2.2
32	17-15	DAVID	DAVID×4	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+2.8
33	18-15	DAVID	DAVID×4	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+2.3
34	19-15	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Catherine Rucker	blk Mia Compas	+1.7
35	19-16	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Lindsey Murphy	+0.9
36	20-16	ELON	DAVID×4	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+1.2
37	21-16	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Anna Sewell	blk Ngodoo Harris	+1.1
38	22-16	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+0.5
39	23-16	DAVID	DAVID×4	Kill	Mia Compas	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.2
40	23-17	DAVID	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Lindsey Murphy	+0.0
41	24-17	ELON	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.1
42	25-17	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Davidson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.