Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Davidson def. Elon 3–1

Davidson won at Elon 3-1 (25-14, 25-22, 20-25, 25-17) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Davidson's Elena Garcia-Guerrios led with 17 kills, and Brooke Briscoe added 25 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
DAVID252520253
ELON142225171

Win probability

Elon above 50 · Davidson below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.0% ELONrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Elon — set 4, DAVID 15-15 ELON. Attack error by Ellie Ocampo. ELON win probability 13% → 17%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAVID 70.2%29.8% ELON

Davidson wins

3-0
23.4%
3-1
26.9%
3-2
19.9%

Elon wins

3-0
5.7%
3-1
10.4%
3-2
13.7%
DAVID break %
44.6% vs this opp
ELON break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ellie OcampoAttack error+4.0%

    Attack error by Ellie Ocampo

    Set 4 · DAVID 15-15 ELON · ELON 13% → 17%

  2. 02
    Mia CompasKill+3.9%

    Kill by Mia Compas (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 4 · DAVID 17-15 ELON · DAVID 86% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 4 · DAVID 18-15 ELON · DAVID 90% → 94%

  4. 04

    Ellie Ocampo stuffed by Anna Sewell & Catherine Rucker

    Set 4 · DAVID 15-14 ELON · ELON 9% → 13%

  5. 05
    Ylame DsamouAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Ylame Dsamou

    Set 4 · DAVID 6-7 ELON · ELON 16% → 19%

  6. 06
    Melanie TillesAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Melanie Tilles

    Set 4 · DAVID 13-12 ELON · ELON 10% → 13%

  7. 07
    Alexandra SchultzAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Alexandra Schultz

    Set 4 · DAVID 9-8 ELON · DAVID 83% → 86%

  8. 08
    Anna SewellAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Anna Sewell

    Set 4 · DAVID 16-15 ELON · DAVID 83% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417949.16312211012221
48433.12113114012213
47112.5003000024411
44311.091003501437
46719-.053000000006
4000–1810400001
48222.27300030153.511.5
4219.111231050010.53.5
4001.0002002530000
4000–000300000
1000–000000000
Team totals5227156.16048767036181595
Elonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415737.2160001312217
411839.07701252010.512.5
45116.250000300427
44317.05900020132.56.5
43317.000000710214
4000–14101000001
4113.0001512600002
4001.0003001110000
4001.0006001500000
32417-.118100100213
2000–000500000
Team totals4127148.0953934667214978

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 DAVID · ELON 6

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 6 DAVIDELON 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 DAVIDELON 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 DAVIDELON 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 4 DAVIDELON 3

Bars above the line = Elon leads, below = Davidson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
53%8/15
2
56%9/16
44%7/16
3
67%8/12
31%4/13
4
70%7/10
68%15/22
5
50%7/14
61%11/18
6
58%7/12
30%3/10
All
59%47/79
51%48/94

Elon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
33%4/12
2
60%9/15
47%8/17
3
42%8/19
38%5/13
4
41%7/17
33%4/12
5
41%7/17
22%2/9
6
60%6/10
56%9/16
All
49%46/94
41%32/79

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#DAVID-ELONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ELONELONKillCameron Lanierset Kayla Palmer+2.2
21-1ELONDAVIDServe errElon+1.6
31-2DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.7
42-2ELONDAVIDBad setCatherine Rucker+1.6
52-3DAVIDELONServe errDavidson+1.8
63-3ELONDAVID×6KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.7
74-3DAVIDDAVID×6Attack errAnna Sewell+2.2
85-3DAVIDDAVID×6KillMeile Songailaset Mia Compas+2.1
96-3DAVIDDAVID×6KillYlame Dsamouset Caroline Berlekamp+2.0
107-3DAVIDDAVID×6BlockedApril Riceblk Mia Compas+1.7
118-3DAVIDDAVID×6BlockedCaroline Berlekampblk Meile Songaila+1.5
128-4DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset Casey Brower+1.0
138-5ELONELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.6
149-5ELONDAVIDBlockedCameron Lanierblk Ylame Dsamou, Ngodoo Harris+1.3
1510-5DAVIDDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+1.5
1610-6DAVIDELONServe errDavidson+1.0
1711-6ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Mia Compas+1.1
1812-6DAVIDDAVIDBlockedCameron Lanierblk Melanie Tilles, Ngodoo Harris+1.2
1912-7DAVIDELONKillApril Riceset Ylame Dsamou+0.7
2013-7ELONDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou+0.9
2114-7DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.9
2214-8DAVIDELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+0.5
2315-8ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.6
2416-8DAVIDDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Brooke Briscoe+0.6
2516-9DAVIDELONKillAlexandra Schultzset Kayla Palmer+0.3
2617-9ELONDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+0.4
2717-10DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+0.3
2818-10ELONDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.4
2919-10DAVIDDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+0.3
3019-11DAVIDELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+0.1
3120-11ELONDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.2
3221-11DAVIDDAVIDBad setCasey Brower+0.1
3321-12DAVIDELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice·
3422-12ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe·
3523-12DAVIDDAVIDAttack errCameron Lanier·
3623-13DAVIDELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice·
3723-14ELONELONAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios·
3824-14ELONDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou·
3925-14DAVIDDAVIDBlockedAlexandra Schultzblk Melanie Tilles·
Set 2
10-1DAVIDELONKillAlexandra Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.4
21-1ELONDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.3
31-2DAVIDELONServe errDavidson+1.4
42-2ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.3
52-3DAVIDELONServe errDavidson+1.5
63-3ELONDAVID×4Serve errElon+1.4
74-3DAVIDDAVID×4KillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.8
85-3DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedEllen Huntblk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas+1.8
96-3DAVIDDAVID×4Bad setCasey Brower+1.6
106-4DAVIDELONKillEllen Huntset Casey Brower+1.1
116-5ELONELONKillCameron Lanierset Casey Brower+1.8
127-5ELONDAVID×5KillYlame Dsamouset April Rice+1.4
138-5DAVIDDAVID×5Attack errCameron Lanier+1.7
149-5DAVIDDAVID×5KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+1.5
1510-5DAVIDDAVID×5AceDavidsonaced Cameron Lanier+1.2
1611-5DAVIDDAVID×5AceDavidsonaced Cameron Lanier+1.0
1711-6DAVIDELONBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Caroline Berlekamp+0.6
1811-7ELONELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.1
1912-7ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+0.9
2012-8DAVIDELONAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.8
2113-8ELONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+0.9
2214-8DAVIDDAVIDBlockedCameron Lanierblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.0
2314-9DAVIDELON×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.6
2414-10ELONELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.1
2514-11ELONELON×3AceElonaced Brooke Briscoe+1.4
2615-11ELONDAVIDServe errElon+1.2
2716-11DAVIDDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+1.3
2816-12DAVIDELONAttack errEllie Ocampo+0.8
2916-13ELONELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.4
3017-13ELONDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.3
3117-14DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.1
3218-14ELONDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.3
3319-14DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errAnna Sewell+1.3
3420-14DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errAnna Sewell+0.8
3521-14DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errCaroline Berlekamp+0.5
3621-15DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+0.2
3722-15ELONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Casey Brower+0.3
3823-15DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Casey Brower+0.1
3923-16DAVIDELON×6BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Caroline Berlekamp, Ellen Hunt·
4023-17ELONELON×6BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Ellen Hunt, Catherine Rucker+0.1
4123-18ELONELON×6Attack errNgodoo Harris+0.2
4223-19ELONELON×6Bad setYlame Dsamou+0.4
4323-20ELONELON×6KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.8
4423-21ELONELON×6KillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+1.7
4524-21ELONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+2.1
4624-22DAVIDELONKillCameron Lanier+0.9
4725-22ELONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.9
Set 3
10-1ELONELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.1
21-1ELONDAVIDBlockedAnna Sewellblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Melanie Tilles+0.8
31-2DAVIDELONKillCaroline Berlekampset Kayla Palmer+0.8
41-3ELONELONAceElonaced Brooke Briscoe+1.1
52-3ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Meile Songaila+0.8
62-4DAVIDELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.9
73-4ELONDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.8
84-4DAVIDDAVIDBlockedCaroline Berlekampblk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas+1.1
94-5DAVIDELONKillAlexandra Schultzset April Rice+0.9
105-5ELONDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.8
116-5DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+1.1
126-6DAVIDELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.8
136-7ELONELONAceElonaced Brooke Briscoe+1.2
147-7ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+0.9
157-8DAVIDELONBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Alexandra Schultz, Catherine Rucker+0.9
167-9ELONELONAttack errMelanie Tilles+1.3
178-9ELONDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou+0.9
188-10DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.0
199-10ELONDAVIDBad setEllen Hunt+0.9
209-11DAVIDELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.1
219-12ELONELON×3Attack errEllie Ocampo+1.4
229-13ELONELON×3KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.3
2310-13ELONDAVIDServe errElon+0.8
2411-13DAVIDDAVIDAttack errCameron Lanier+1.3
2511-14DAVIDELONAttack errEllie Ocampo+1.1
2612-14ELONDAVIDBlockedCameron Lanierblk Mia Compas, Meile Songaila+0.9
2713-14DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Alexandra Schultz+1.4
2813-15DAVIDELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.2
2913-16ELONELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+1.6
3014-16ELONDAVIDBlockedCameron Lanierblk Mia Compas, Meile Songaila+1.0
3114-17DAVIDELONAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.3
3215-17ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+1.0
3315-18DAVIDELONAttack errMeile Songaila+1.3
3415-19ELONELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.5
3516-19ELONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+0.8
3617-19DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Anna Sewell+1.4
3717-20DAVIDELONBlockedEllie Ocampoblk Anna Sewell, Catherine Rucker+1.4
3818-20ELONDAVIDBlockedEllen Huntblk Melanie Tilles, Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.1
3919-20DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Anna Sewell+1.9
4019-21DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset Lindsey Murphy+1.8
4119-22ELONELONAttack errMeile Songaila+2.1
4220-22ELONDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.0
4320-23DAVIDELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Lindsey Murphy+1.7
4420-24ELONELON×3BlockedEllie Ocampoblk Alexandra Schultz, Caroline Berlekamp+1.3
4520-25ELONELON×3BlockedMeile Songailablk Cameron Lanier, Caroline Berlekamp+0.4
Set 4
11-0DAVIDDAVID×3KillEllie Ocamposet Elena Garcia-Guerrios+2.5
22-0DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Anna Sewell+2.4
33-0DAVIDDAVID×3Bad setKayla Palmer+2.2
43-1DAVIDELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.6
54-1ELONDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+1.6
65-1DAVIDDAVIDAttack errEllen Hunt+2.0
75-2DAVIDELON×3Serve errDavidson+1.4
85-3ELONELON×3KillAnna Sewellset Ellen Hunt+2.2
95-4ELONELON×3Attack errMia Compas+2.5
106-4ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Mia Compas+1.9
116-5DAVIDELON×3Attack errMeile Songaila+1.9
126-6ELONELON×3KillCameron Lanierset Lindsey Murphy+2.9
136-7ELONELON×3Attack errYlame Dsamou+3.1
147-7ELONDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+2.2
157-8DAVIDELONBlockedNgodoo Harrisblk Anna Sewell+2.4
168-8ELONDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+2.3
179-8DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errAlexandra Schultz+3.1
1810-8DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+2.9
1911-8DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+2.7
2011-9DAVIDELONAttack errMelanie Tilles+1.8
2112-9ELONDAVIDBlockedAlexandra Schultzblk Ngodoo Harris, Melanie Tilles+2.0
2213-9DAVIDDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+2.3
2313-10DAVIDELON×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.5
2413-11ELONELON×3KillEllen Huntset Lindsey Murphy+2.6
2513-12ELONELON×3Attack errMelanie Tilles+3.1
2614-12ELONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
2715-12DAVIDDAVIDAttack errEllen Hunt+3.0
2815-13DAVIDELON×3Serve errDavidson+2.0
2915-14ELONELON×3BlockedEllie Ocampoblk Anna Sewell, Catherine Rucker+3.4
3015-15ELONELON×3Attack errEllie Ocampo+4.0
3116-15ELONDAVID×4Attack errAnna Sewell+3.0
3217-15DAVIDDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+3.9
3318-15DAVIDDAVID×4KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+3.4
3419-15DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedCatherine Ruckerblk Mia Compas+2.7
3519-16DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset Lindsey Murphy+1.5
3620-16ELONDAVID×4KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.0
3721-16DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedAnna Sewellblk Ngodoo Harris+1.8
3822-16DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errAnna Sewell+1.0
3923-16DAVIDDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+0.4
4023-17DAVIDELONKillAnna Sewellset Lindsey Murphy+0.1
4124-17ELONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+0.2
4225-17DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou·

Score shown after each rally, Davidson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).