Stony Brook vs Elon Volleyball: Elon Wins 3-1 (Oct 2, 2026)

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026FloSports

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Stony Brook 76.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Elon beat visiting Stony Brook 3-1 (25-17, 17-25, 25-10, 25-13) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Caroline Berlekamp led Elon with 12 kills; Stony Brook's Ella Sanders had a match-high 14.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
STONY	17	25	10	13	1
ELON	25	17	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Elon 23%. Elon won anyway.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Elon's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Stony Brook went in at 77% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 3 · Stony Brook 6–6 Elon
7 straight Elon points broke a 6–6 tie and made it 13–6. The match swung to Elon.
Elon 29% → 52%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Stony Brook 4–5 Elon
Elon scored 5 straight to stretch a 5–4 lead to 10–4.
Elon 65% → 87%

Elon above 50Stony Brook belowMax swing 4.8%

Stony BrookElon

Sideout %: Stony Brook 39.6·Elon 56.1
Break %: Stony Brook 43.9·Elon 60.4
Hitting: Stony Brook .038·Elon .227
Longest run: Stony Brook 4·Elon 8

Caroline Berlekamp
4 of her kills came in the stretches above. 12 K, .750, 13 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Elon above 50 · Stony Brook below

Biggest swing: 4.8% to Elon — set 4, STONY 4-7 ELON. Attack error by Mercedes Motton. ELON win probability 68% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONY 60.1%39.9% ELON

Stony Brook wins

3-0

17.2%

3-1

22.9%

3-2

19.9%

Elon wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.6%

3-2

16.6%

STONY break %: 45.8% vs this opp
ELON break %: 43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Mercedes MottonAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Mercedes Motton
Set 4 · STONY 4-7 ELON · ELON 68% → 73%
02
Ayanna Pierre LouisAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Ayanna Pierre Louis
Set 4 · STONY 4-8 ELON · ELON 73% → 78%
03
AaJaylah ZenoAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by AaJaylah Zeno
Set 4 · STONY 4-9 ELON · ELON 78% → 82%
04
Rayanne WheatBad set+4.4%
Bad set by Rayanne Wheat
Set 4 · STONY 0-3 ELON · ELON 67% → 71%
05
Ella SandersAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Ella Sanders
Set 4 · STONY 0-2 ELON · ELON 62% → 67%
06
Leimaile LasikeBad set+4.2%
Bad set by Leimaile Lasike
Set 4 · STONY 9-15 ELON · ELON 87% → 91%
07
AaJaylah ZenoAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by AaJaylah Zeno
Set 4 · STONY 4-10 ELON · ELON 82% → 87%
08
Cameron LanierAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Cameron Lanier
Set 4 · STONY 2-3 ELON · STONY 32% → 36%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Stony Brookaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Ella SandersOH	4	14	5	47	.191	0	2	0	13	1	1	0	1	17
6Leimaile LasikeMB	4	4	3	14	.071	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
5Damisi OsiboduMB	4	3	1	10	.200	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
7Ayanna Pierre LouisMB	4	1	4	14	-.214	0	0	0	6	0	2	1	2.5	3.5
3Carey-Jean BlockL/DS	4	1	0	8	.125	1	1	0	11	1	0	0	0	2
9Taryn SuS	3	1	0	2	.500	14	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
10Mercedes MottonMB	4	6	4	24	.083	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
18Zayda FuertezL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	1	1	21	1	0	0	0	1
17Ellery SingletonS	3	0	1	3	-.333	12	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	2
14Quinn AndersonOH	2	3	3	17	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
1Rayanne WheatS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2AaJaylah ZenoOH	1	1	4	9	-.333	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
12Avari AmstutzOH	1	1	4	8	-.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Hanna BerkefeltOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Madison CignaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	29	159	.038	34	7	6	60	5	3	6	6	65

Elonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Caroline BerlekampMB	4	12	0	16	.750	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	13
13Cameron LanierOH	4	11	8	42	.071	0	0	2	11	1	1	1	1.5	12.5
17Catherine RuckerMB	4	7	1	16	.375	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	8
5Allie SchultzOH	4	6	4	24	.083	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
7April RiceS	4	1	0	5	.200	18	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
19Lindsey MurphyL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	1	1	1	11	1	0	0	0	1
14Anna SewellOH	4	11	3	34	.235	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	12
12Kayla PalmerS	4	0	0	1	.000	18	2	1	13	0	0	0	0	2
4Casey BrowerL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	15	4	0	0	0	1
9Shannon O'LaughlinL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
10Caroline SmithOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Dani WallaceL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	16	141	.227	41	5	6	69	7	3	4	5	92

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Stony Brook vs Elon

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Stony Brook at Elon · Elon won 3-1This match
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Stony Brook at Elon · Stony Brook won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 STONY · ELON 8

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 STONYELON 7

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 STONYELON 3

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 2 STONYELON 8

Set 4

13-25

Longest run 2 STONYELON 5

Bars above the line = Elon leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stony Brook

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	40%4/10
2	64%7/11	50%7/14
3	43%6/14	53%8/15
4	25%6/24	25%2/8
5	31%5/16	40%4/10
6	50%5/10	44%4/9
All	40%36/91	44%29/66

Elon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	50%6/12
2	47%7/15	56%9/16
3	70%7/10	22%2/9
4	60%6/10	74%17/23
5	50%5/10	67%10/15
6	57%4/7	69%11/16
All	56%37/66	60%55/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

157 rallies

#	STONY-ELON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STONY	STONY	Kill	Leimaile Lasike	set Damisi Osibodu	+1.8
2	2-0	STONY	STONY	Ace	Stony Brook	aced Casey Brower	+1.7
3	2-1	STONY	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+1.3
4	3-1	ELON	STONY	Blocked	Cameron Lanier	blk Damisi Osibodu, Leimaile Lasike	+1.3
5	4-1	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+1.5
6	4-2	STONY	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+1.2
7	5-2	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+1.2
8	6-2	STONY	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+1.4
9	6-3	STONY	ELON	Attack err	Ayanna Pierre Louis		+1.0
10	7-3	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Zayda Fuertez	+1.1
11	8-3	STONY	STONY	Ace	Stony Brook	aced Anna Sewell	+1.2
12	8-4	STONY	ELON×3	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Kayla Palmer	+0.8
13	8-5	ELON	ELON×3	Blocked	Avari Amstutz	blk Caroline Berlekamp, Allie Schultz	+1.3
14	8-6	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Avari Amstutz		+1.6
15	9-6	ELON	STONY×3	Serve err	Elon		+1.3
16	10-6	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Allie Schultz		+1.5
17	11-6	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+1.2
18	11-7	STONY	ELON×3	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set Kayla Palmer	+0.8
19	11-8	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Casey Brower	+1.4
20	11-9	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Avari Amstutz		+1.7
21	12-9	ELON	STONY	Kill	Avari Amstutz	set Rayanne Wheat	+1.4
22	12-10	STONY	ELON×3	Kill	Anna Sewell	set April Rice	+1.4
23	12-11	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+2.2
24	12-12	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Avari Amstutz		+2.6
25	13-12	ELON	STONY	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+1.9
26	13-13	STONY	ELON×5	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+2.1
27	13-14	ELON	ELON×5	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set April Rice	+3.0
28	13-15	ELON	ELON×5	Bad set	Leimaile Lasike		+3.2
29	13-16	ELON	ELON×5	Blocked	Leimaile Lasike	blk Cameron Lanier	+3.2
30	13-17	ELON	ELON×5	Ace	Elon	aced Carey-Jean Block	+3.0
31	14-17	ELON	STONY	Kill	Taryn Su	set Carey-Jean Block	+1.7
32	15-17	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+2.7
33	15-18	STONY	ELON	Attack err	Leimaile Lasike		+2.7
34	16-18	ELON	STONY	Blocked	Allie Schultz	blk Ella Sanders	+2.1
35	17-18	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+3.3
36	17-19	STONY	ELON×7	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Kayla Palmer	+3.1
37	17-20	ELON	ELON×7	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+3.8
38	17-21	ELON	ELON×7	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+3.2
39	17-22	ELON	ELON×7	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+2.2
40	17-23	ELON	ELON×7	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+1.2
41	17-24	ELON	ELON×7	Kill	Catherine Rucker		+0.5
42	17-25	ELON	ELON×7	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Allie Schultz	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	ELON	STONY×4	Serve err	Elon		+1.9
2	2-0	STONY	STONY×4	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+2.4
3	3-0	STONY	STONY×4	Kill	Leimaile Lasike	set Taryn Su	+2.2
4	4-0	STONY	STONY×4	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+1.9
5	4-1	STONY	ELON	Blocked	Ayanna Pierre Louis	blk Caroline Berlekamp, Cameron Lanier	+1.4
6	5-1	ELON	STONY×3	Kill	Leimaile Lasike	set Taryn Su	+1.5
7	6-1	STONY	STONY×3	Blocked	Cameron Lanier	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis	+1.7
8	7-1	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Allie Schultz		+1.4
9	7-2	STONY	ELON	Serve err	Stony Brook		+0.9
10	8-2	ELON	STONY	Serve err	Elon		+1.0
11	8-3	STONY	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Kayla Palmer	+0.9
12	8-4	ELON	ELON	Kill	Allie Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+1.5
13	9-4	ELON	STONY×3	Bad set	Casey Brower		+1.3
14	10-4	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Catherine Rucker		+1.4
15	11-4	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Ellery Singleton	+1.0
16	11-5	STONY	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Kayla Palmer	+0.6
17	11-6	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Quinn Anderson		+1.1
18	12-6	ELON	STONY×3	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Ellery Singleton	+1.0
19	13-6	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+1.0
20	14-6	STONY	STONY×3	Ace	Stony Brook	aced Casey Brower	+0.7
21	14-7	STONY	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+0.4
22	15-7	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+0.5
23	16-7	STONY	STONY	Blocked	Anna Sewell	blk Damisi Osibodu, Leimaile Lasike	+0.4
24	16-8	STONY	ELON	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+0.2
25	17-8	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+0.3
26	17-9	STONY	ELON	Serve err	Stony Brook		+0.2
27	18-9	ELON	STONY×3	Blocked	Cameron Lanier	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis	+0.3
28	19-9	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Ellery Singleton	+0.2
29	20-9	STONY	STONY×3	Ace	Stony Brook	aced Casey Brower	+0.1
30	20-10	STONY	ELON	Kill	April Rice		·
31	21-10	ELON	STONY	Blocked	Cameron Lanier	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton	·
32	21-11	STONY	ELON×3	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Kayla Palmer	·
33	21-12	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Quinn Anderson		·
34	21-13	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+0.1
35	22-13	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Ellery Singleton	+0.1
36	22-14	STONY	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	·
37	23-14	ELON	STONY	Attack err	Allie Schultz		+0.1
38	24-14	STONY	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Taryn Su	·
39	24-15	STONY	ELON×3	Blocked	Quinn Anderson	blk Allie Schultz	·
40	24-16	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	·
41	24-17	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Ella Sanders		·
42	25-17	ELON	STONY	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	·
Set 3
1	0-1	STONY	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	+2.2
2	0-2	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+3.1
3	1-2	ELON	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Taryn Su	+2.2
4	2-2	STONY	STONY	Ace	Stony Brook	aced Casey Brower	+2.9
5	2-3	STONY	ELON	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set Kayla Palmer	+2.4
6	2-4	ELON	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set April Rice	+3.3
7	3-4	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+2.3
8	4-4	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Ellery Singleton	+3.0
9	4-5	STONY	ELON	Serve err	Stony Brook		+2.5
10	4-6	ELON	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+3.4
11	5-6	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Ellery Singleton	+2.4
12	6-6	STONY	STONY	Ace	Stony Brook	aced Lindsey Murphy	+3.2
13	6-7	STONY	ELON×7	Kill	Catherine Rucker	set April Rice	+2.6
14	6-8	ELON	ELON×7	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+3.6
15	6-9	ELON	ELON×7	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+3.7
16	6-10	ELON	ELON×7	Ace	Elon	aced Quinn Anderson	+3.7
17	6-11	ELON	ELON×7	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+3.5
18	6-12	ELON	ELON×7	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set Ellery Singleton	+3.1
19	6-13	ELON	ELON×7	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Lindsey Murphy	+2.6
20	7-13	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Ellery Singleton	+1.4
21	7-14	STONY	ELON×8	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set April Rice	+2.0
22	7-15	ELON	ELON×8	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp	set Kayla Palmer	+2.0
23	7-16	ELON	ELON×8	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Mercedes Motton	+1.4
24	7-17	ELON	ELON×8	Ace	Elon	aced Ella Sanders	+0.9
25	7-18	ELON	ELON×8	Ace	Elon	aced Zayda Fuertez	+0.6
26	7-19	ELON	ELON×8	Kill	Cameron Lanier		+0.3
27	7-20	ELON	ELON×8	Kill	Allie Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+0.1
28	7-21	ELON	ELON×8	Kill	Allie Schultz		+0.1
29	8-21	ELON	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Ellery Singleton	·
30	9-21	STONY	STONY	Kill	Leimaile Lasike	set Taryn Su	·
31	9-22	STONY	ELON	Serve err	Stony Brook		·
32	9-23	ELON	ELON	Bad set	Taryn Su		·
33	10-23	ELON	STONY	Serve err	Elon		·
34	10-24	STONY	ELON	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Kayla Palmer	·
35	10-25	ELON	ELON	Attack err	Leimaile Lasike		·
Set 4
1	0-1	ELON	ELON×3	Kill	Caroline Berlekamp		+4.0
2	0-2	ELON	ELON×3	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+4.2
3	0-3	ELON	ELON×3	Bad set	Rayanne Wheat		+4.4
4	1-3	ELON	STONY	Serve err	Elon		+3.0
5	2-3	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Cameron Lanier		+4.1
6	2-4	STONY	ELON	Kill	Allie Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+3.4
7	3-4	ELON	STONY	Kill	Carey-Jean Block	set Rayanne Wheat	+3.1
8	3-5	STONY	ELON	Serve err	Stony Brook		+3.5
9	4-5	ELON	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Ellery Singleton	+3.2
10	4-6	STONY	ELON×5	Kill	Anna Sewell	set Shannon O'Laughlin	+3.6
11	4-7	ELON	ELON×5	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+4.8
12	4-8	ELON	ELON×5	Attack err	Ayanna Pierre Louis		+4.8
13	4-9	ELON	ELON×5	Attack err	AaJaylah Zeno		+4.6
14	4-10	ELON	ELON×5	Attack err	AaJaylah Zeno		+4.2
15	5-10	ELON	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Ellery Singleton	+2.5
16	5-11	STONY	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	+3.2
17	6-11	ELON	STONY	Kill	AaJaylah Zeno	set Ellery Singleton	+2.4
18	6-12	STONY	ELON	Serve err	Stony Brook		+3.2
19	7-12	ELON	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Rayanne Wheat	+2.4
20	8-12	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+3.8
21	8-13	STONY	ELON	Attack err	Damisi Osibodu		+3.7
22	9-13	ELON	STONY	Attack err	Anna Sewell		+2.9
23	9-14	STONY	ELON×4	Kill	Allie Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+3.8
24	9-15	ELON	ELON×4	Bad set	Leimaile Lasike		+4.2
25	9-16	ELON	ELON×4	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set Catherine Rucker	+3.3
26	9-17	ELON	ELON×4	Kill	Allie Schultz	set Kayla Palmer	+2.4
27	10-17	ELON	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+1.1
28	11-17	STONY	STONY	Ace	Stony Brook	aced Cameron Lanier	+2.0
29	11-18	STONY	ELON	Attack err	Ellery Singleton		+2.4
30	11-19	ELON	ELON	Blocked	Ayanna Pierre Louis	blk Anna Sewell	+2.0
31	12-19	ELON	STONY	Serve err	Elon		+0.8
32	12-20	STONY	ELON×4	Kill	Anna Sewell	set April Rice	+1.4
33	12-21	ELON	ELON×4	Ace	Elon	aced AaJaylah Zeno	+1.0
34	12-22	ELON	ELON×4	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+0.4
35	12-23	ELON	ELON×4	Attack err	AaJaylah Zeno		+0.1
36	13-23	ELON	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Ellery Singleton	·
37	13-24	STONY	ELON	Kill	Cameron Lanier	set April Rice	·
38	13-25	ELON	ELON	Attack err	AaJaylah Zeno		·

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Elon def. Stony Brook 3–1

RallyIQ gave Elon 23%. Elon won anyway.