Final · 4 setsSun, Aug 30, 2026 · Neutral site

Creighton def. Southern California 3–1

Creighton beat Southern California 3-1 (23-25, 25-22, 25-21, 25-19) on Sun, Aug 30, 2026 at a neutral site. Creighton's Trinity Shadd-Ceres led with 13 kills, and Saige Damrow added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 30

Set1234Sets
USC252221191
CREIGH232525253

Win probability

Creighton above 50 · Southern California below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.6% CREIGHrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Creighton — set 3, USC 20-22 CREIGH. Attack error by Mia Tvrdy. CREIGH win probability 62% → 69%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 43.4%56.6% CREIGH

Southern California wins

3-0
9.9%
3-1
16.0%
3-2
17.5%

Creighton wins

3-0
15.5%
3-1
21.5%
3-2
19.6%
USC break %
39.8% vs this opp
CREIGH break %
41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mia TvrdyAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Mia Tvrdy

    Set 3 · USC 20-22 CREIGH · CREIGH 62% → 69%

  2. 02
    Leah FordKill+7.2%

    Kill by Leah Ford (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 1 · USC 25-23 CREIGH · USC 56% → 63%

  3. 03

    Kill by Adonia Faumuina (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 3 · USC 20-20 CREIGH · USC 37% → 44%

  4. 04

    Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Rayna Christianson)

    Set 3 · USC 20-23 CREIGH · CREIGH 69% → 75%

  5. 05
    Ayden AmesKill+5.4%

    Kill by Ayden Ames (set by Rayna Christianson)

    Set 3 · USC 20-21 CREIGH · CREIGH 56% → 62%

  6. 06
    Lilli EtterKill+5.4%

    Kill by Lilli Etter (set by Taylor Deckert)

    Set 1 · USC 24-22 CREIGH · USC 53% → 59%

  7. 07
    Jaya JohnsonAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Jaya Johnson

    Set 3 · USC 18-19 CREIGH · USC 32% → 37%

  8. 08
    London WijayKill+4.6%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 1 · USC 23-21 CREIGH · USC 52% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413640.17510171031.514.5
413428.3210029002114
49328.21410650031.510.5
47416.1880001006310
44112.250212001227
4104.250403170010.54.5
41011.0003021540001
3000–012100001
2114.000001120001
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5019134.231475174681179.587
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410432.1880127202112
48020.40010000132.510.5
46616.00010060111.57.5
4000–031400003
4012-.500001000000
4000–2600800000
413328.3570002100013
410116.5631001002111
46414.143000200217
4000–1943600004
4000–2021200000
Team totals5319128.2665089485210798

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 USC · CREIGH 7

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 USCCREIGH 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 USCCREIGH 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 USCCREIGH 7

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 USCCREIGH 6

Bars above the line = Creighton leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
56%9/16
2
73%8/11
43%6/14
3
43%6/14
38%5/13
4
46%6/13
33%3/9
5
63%5/8
14%1/7
6
42%5/12
0%0/5
All
52%38/73
38%24/64

Creighton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%8/20
67%12/18
2
89%8/9
20%2/10
3
62%8/13
53%9/17
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
83%5/6
38%3/8
6
63%5/8
38%3/8
All
63%40/64
48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#USC-CREIGHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CREIGHUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.8
21-1USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+1.7
31-2CREIGHCREIGHKillJaya Johnson+2.6
42-2CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.8
52-3USCCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+1.8
63-3CREIGHUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Ayden Ames+1.8
73-4USCCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+1.8
84-4CREIGHUSC×3Serve errCreighton+1.8
95-4USCUSC×3Attack errAshlyn Paymal+2.8
106-4USCUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset London Wijay+2.9
116-5USCCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Ayden Ames+1.8
127-5CREIGHUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.0
137-6USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+1.9
147-7CREIGHCREIGHAttack errAdonia Faumuina+3.0
158-7CREIGHUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.1
169-7USCUSC×3Attack errJaya Johnson+3.1
1710-7USCUSC×3AceSouthern Californiaaced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+3.0
1810-8USCCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Katie Dalton+1.8
1911-8CREIGHUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.1
2011-9USCCREIGHAttack errAbigail Mullen+1.8
2111-10CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+3.1
2212-10CREIGHUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Taylor Deckert+2.3
2313-10USCUSC×3Bad setKatie Dalton+3.2
2414-10USCUSC×3BlockedAbbey Hayesblk London Wijay, Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy+2.9
2514-11USCCREIGH×3BlockedLondon Wijayblk Jaya Johnson+1.6
2614-12CREIGHCREIGH×3KillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+2.9
2714-13CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errMia Tvrdy+3.4
2815-13CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.6
2916-13USCUSCBlockedAbbey Hayesblk Lilli Etter, Mia Tvrdy+3.6
3016-14USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.0
3116-15CREIGH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.6
3217-15CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Taylor Deckert+2.9
3317-16USCCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+2.5
3418-16CREIGHUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+3.0
3518-17USCCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+2.6
3619-17CREIGHUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+3.2
3719-18USCCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+2.8
3820-18CREIGHUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+3.4
3920-19USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.9
4021-19CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Leah Ford+3.7
4121-20USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+3.0
4222-20CREIGHUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+4.1
4322-21USCCREIGHAttack errMia Tvrdy+3.1
4423-21CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+4.6
4523-22USCCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+3.2
4624-22CREIGHUSCKillLilli Etterset Taylor Deckert+5.4
4724-23USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.8
4825-23CREIGHUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+7.2
Set 2
11-0USCUSCBlockedNora Wurtzblk Leah Ford+2.8
22-0USCUSCKillTaliyah Hanksset Lilli Etter+2.8
32-1USCCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Katie Dalton+1.8
43-1CREIGHUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.0
53-2USCCREIGH×3Serve errSouthern California+1.9
63-3CREIGHCREIGH×3AceCreightonaced London Wijay+2.9
73-4CREIGHCREIGH×3AceCreightonaced Taylor Deckert+2.9
84-4CREIGHUSC×3Serve errCreighton+2.0
95-4USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+3.1
106-4USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+3.1
116-5USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.0
127-5CREIGHUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.2
137-6USCCREIGH×4KillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+2.0
147-7CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedLondon Wijayblk Eloise Brandewie, Ashlyn Paymal+3.2
157-8CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errAdonia Faumuina+3.2
167-9CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errAbigail Mullen+3.2
178-9CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.1
189-9USCUSCBlockedAshlyn Paymalblk Adonia Faumuina, Mia Tvrdy+3.3
199-10USCCREIGH×3Bad setLilli Etter+2.3
209-11CREIGHCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+3.4
219-12CREIGHCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+3.1
2210-12CREIGHUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.9
2310-13USCCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+2.2
2411-13CREIGHUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.9
2511-14USCCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Katie Dalton+2.2
2612-14CREIGHUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.0
2712-15USCCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+2.3
2813-15CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.0
2914-15USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Abbey Hayes+3.6
3014-16USCCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+2.7
3115-16CREIGHUSCServe errCreighton+2.5
3215-17USCCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+2.9
3316-17CREIGHUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.6
3416-18USCCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Rayna Christianson+3.0
3516-19CREIGHCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+3.9
3617-19CREIGHUSCKillLayli Ostovarset Lilli Etter+2.1
3717-20USCCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+2.8
3817-21CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errLayli Ostovar+3.0
3917-22CREIGHCREIGH×3KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+1.8
4018-22CREIGHUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.6
4119-22USCUSC×3Attack errJaya Johnson+1.6
4220-22USCUSC×3Attack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+2.9
4320-23USCCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+3.1
4421-23CREIGHUSCKillTaylor Deckert+1.7
4521-24USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+3.1
4622-24CREIGHUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.1
4722-25USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.8
Set 3
10-1CREIGHCREIGH×4AceCreightonaced Taylor Deckert+3.4
20-2CREIGHCREIGH×4KillJaya Johnsonset Eloise Brandewie+3.3
30-3CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errAbigail Mullen+3.2
40-4CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedLondon Wijayblk Jaya Johnson, Eloise Brandewie+2.9
51-4CREIGHUSC×5KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.8
62-4USCUSC×5KillAbigail Mullenset Leah Ford+3.0
73-4USCUSC×5Bad setKatie Dalton+3.4
84-4USCUSC×5BlockedAbbey Hayesblk Mia Tvrdy, Abigail Mullen+3.6
95-4USCUSC×5AceSouthern California+3.8
105-5USCCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+2.5
116-5CREIGHUSCServe errCreighton+2.7
126-6USCCREIGH×7KillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+2.6
136-7CREIGHCREIGH×7KillAbbey Hayesset Rayna Christianson+3.9
146-8CREIGHCREIGH×7AceCreightonaced Layli Ostovar+3.8
156-9CREIGHCREIGH×7BlockedMia Tvrdyblk Ayden Ames, Abbey Hayes+3.6
166-10CREIGHCREIGH×7BlockedLondon Wijayblk Ashlyn Paymal, Ayden Ames+3.2
176-11CREIGHCREIGH×7AceCreightonaced Layli Ostovar+2.7
186-12CREIGHCREIGH×7KillAbbey Hayesset Saige Damrow+2.2
197-12CREIGHUSCServe errCreighton+1.1
207-13USCCREIGHBlockedLondon Wijayblk Ayden Ames, Abbey Hayes+1.5
217-14CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+1.6
228-14CREIGHUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.8
238-15USCCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+1.0
249-15CREIGHUSCServe errCreighton+0.7
259-16USCCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+1.0
2610-16CREIGHUSC×4BlockedTrinity Shadd-Ceresblk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina+0.7
2711-16USCUSC×4Attack errJaya Johnson+1.4
2812-16USCUSC×4BlockedEloise Brandewieblk Leah Ford, London Wijay+2.1
2913-16USCUSC×4Bad setKatie Dalton+2.8
3013-17USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.5
3113-18CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+2.7
3214-18CREIGHUSC×3Serve errCreighton+1.3
3315-18USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.8
3416-18USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Adonia Faumuina+3.8
3516-19USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+3.3
3617-19CREIGHUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.6
3718-19USCUSCAttack errJaya Johnson+5.2
3818-20USCCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Katie Dalton+4.3
3919-20CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+3.7
4020-20USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+7.1
4120-21USCCREIGH×4KillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+5.4
4220-22CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errMia Tvrdy+7.6
4320-23CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+5.8
4420-24CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Saige Damrow+3.0
4521-24CREIGHUSCAttack errAshlyn Paymal+0.6
4621-25USCCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+1.4
Set 4
11-0USCUSCAceSouthern California+3.3
21-1USCCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Katie Dalton+2.2
31-2CREIGHCREIGHAttack errLondon Wijay+3.3
42-2CREIGHUSCServe errCreighton+2.2
52-3USCCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+2.3
62-4CREIGHCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+3.3
73-4CREIGHUSCServe errCreighton+2.2
84-4USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+3.4
94-5USCCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+2.4
105-5CREIGHUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.4
116-5USCUSC×3Bad setRayna Christianson+3.7
127-5USCUSC×3BlockedAshlyn Paymalblk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy+3.7
137-6USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.4
148-6CREIGHUSCAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+2.6
158-7USCCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+2.4
169-7CREIGHUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.7
179-8USCCREIGH×6KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+2.5
189-9CREIGHCREIGH×6AceCreightonaced Taylor Deckert+4.0
199-10CREIGHCREIGH×6Attack errLeah Ford+4.1
209-11CREIGHCREIGH×6KillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+4.0
219-12CREIGHCREIGH×6AceCreightonaced Taylor Deckert+3.7
229-13CREIGHCREIGH×6Attack errAdonia Faumuina+3.2
2310-13CREIGHUSCAttack errJaya Johnson+1.8
2411-13USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Abbey Hayes+3.3
2511-14USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.6
2612-14CREIGHUSCAttack errAbbey Hayes+2.3
2712-15USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.7
2813-15CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.4
2913-16USCCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Rayna Christianson+2.8
3014-16CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.4
3114-17USCCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+2.9
3215-17CREIGHUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.4
3315-18USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+3.0
3416-18CREIGHUSCBlockedJaya Johnsonblk Adonia Faumuina, Mia Tvrdy+2.5
3516-19USCCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+3.1
3617-19CREIGHUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.5
3717-20USCCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Katie Dalton+3.3
3817-21CREIGHCREIGHBlockedAbigail Mullenblk Ayden Ames+3.6
3918-21CREIGHUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.5
4018-22USCCREIGHServe errSouthern California+2.4
4119-22CREIGHUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.3
4219-23USCCREIGH×3KillAbbey Hayesset Jaya Johnson+2.2
4319-24CREIGHCREIGH×3KillAyden Amesset Katie Dalton+1.4
4419-25CREIGHCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Katie Dalton+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).