Creighton def. Pepperdine 3–1
(25-22, 17-25, 25-18, 24-16)| Set | 1* | 2* | 3 | 4* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEPPER | 22 | 25 | 18 | 16 | 1 |
| CREIGH | 25 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 3 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 4.8% to Creighton — set 1, PEPPER 19-20 CREIGH. Creighton ace on Chloe Pravednikov. CREIGH win probability 64% → 69%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Pepperdine wins
Creighton wins
- PEPPER break %
- 40.8% vs this opp
- CREIGH break %
- 43.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01CREIGH serverAce+4.8%
Creighton ace on Chloe Pravednikov
Set 1 · PEPPER 19-20 CREIGH · CREIGH 64% → 69%
- 02CREIGH serverAce+4.5%
Creighton ace on Mariia Nikol dvornikova
Set 1 · PEPPER 19-21 CREIGH · CREIGH 69% → 74%
- 03Trinity Shadd-ceresKill+4.2%
Kill by Trinity Shadd-ceres (set by Jaya Johnson)
Set 1 · PEPPER 18-18 CREIGH · CREIGH 60% → 64%
- 04Trinity Shadd-ceresKill+3.8%
Kill by Trinity Shadd-ceres (set by Katie Dalton)
Set 1 · PEPPER 20-23 CREIGH · CREIGH 74% → 78%
- 05Irelynd LorenzenAttack error+3.7%
Irelynd Lorenzen stuffed by Eloise Brandewie
Set 1 · PEPPER 18-17 CREIGH · CREIGH 56% → 60%
- 06Trinity Shadd-ceresKill+3.6%
Kill by Trinity Shadd-ceres (set by Saige Damrow)
Set 1 · PEPPER 20-22 CREIGH · CREIGH 71% → 74%
- 07CREIGH serverService error+3.5%
Creighton service error
Set 1 · PEPPER 19-18 CREIGH · PEPPER 36% → 39%
- 08Maggie BeauerKill+3.4%
Kill by Maggie Beauer (set by Laine Briggs)
Set 1 · PEPPER 15-12 CREIGH · PEPPER 41% → 44%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 5 | 39 | .256 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 27 | .259 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .267 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | .444 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | -.250 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 47 | 18 | 133 | .218 | 45 | 4 | 11 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 81 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 2 | 36 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 34 | .206 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 4 | 9 | 1 | 20 | .400 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .227 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | .167 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .292 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 13 | 151 | .265 | 48 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 92 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
22-25
Set 2*
25-17
Set 3
18-25
Set 4*
16-24
Bars above the line = Creighton leads, below = Pepperdine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Pepperdine
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75%3/4 | 0%0/2 |
| 2 | 60%3/5 | 0%0/3 |
| 3 | 100%3/3 | 0%0/3 |
| 4 | 60%3/5 | 25%1/4 |
| 5 | 33%2/6 | 25%1/4 |
| 6 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| All | 64%16/25 | 11%2/18 |
Creighton
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100%3/3 | 25%1/4 |
| 2 | 100%3/3 | 40%2/5 |
| 3 | 75%3/4 | 0%0/3 |
| 4 | 75%3/4 | 40%2/5 |
| 5 | 100%2/2 | 67%4/6 |
| 6 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| All | 89%16/18 | 36%9/25 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
172 rallies
Rally log
| # | PEPPER-CREIGH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CREIGH | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | set Tristen Raymond | +1.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | +2.4 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Trinity Shadd-ceres | +2.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +1.6 |
| 5 | 4-1 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Maggie Beauer | +1.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +1.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +1.9 |
| 8 | 5-3 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +1.7 |
| 9 | 6-3 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Charis Kai | +1.9 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Katie Dalton | set Eloise Brandewie | +1.7 |
| 11 | 7-4 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | +2.0 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Attack err | Katie Dalton | set Sydney Breissinger | +1.8 |
| 13 | 8-5 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Attack err | Eloise Brandewie | +2.6 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +1.6 |
| 16 | 10-6 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +2.0 |
| 17 | 10-7 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Serve err | PEPPER server | +1.7 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +2.0 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Attack err | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +1.7 |
| 20 | 12-8 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +2.1 |
| 21 | 12-9 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Attack err | Mariia Nikol dvornikova | set Laine Briggs | +1.7 |
| 22 | 13-9 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +2.1 |
| 23 | 13-10 | PEPPER | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Mariia Nikol dvornikova | set Tristen Raymond | +1.7 |
| 24 | 13-11 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +2.8 |
| 25 | 13-12 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +3.1 |
| 26 | 14-12 | CREIGH | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | set Irelynd Lorenzen | +2.6 |
| 27 | 15-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Laine Briggs | +3.4 |
| 28 | 16-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +3.0 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | +2.5 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +1.3 |
| 31 | 17-14 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | blk Jaya Johnson | +2.4 |
| 32 | 18-14 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +2.4 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | PEPPER | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Katie Dalton | +1.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Chloe Pravednikov | +3.1 |
| 35 | 18-17 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Irelynd Lorenzen | blk Eloise Brandewie | +3.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Jaya Johnson | +4.2 |
| 37 | 19-18 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +3.5 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | PEPPER | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Chloe Pravednikov | set Laine Briggs | +3.3 |
| 39 | 19-20 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Chloe Pravednikov | +4.8 |
| 40 | 19-21 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Mariia Nikol dvornikova | +4.5 |
| 41 | 20-21 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Laine Briggs | +2.8 |
| 42 | 20-22 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Saige Damrow | +3.6 |
| 43 | 20-23 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +3.8 |
| 44 | 21-23 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +1.6 |
| 45 | 21-24 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Serve err | PEPPER server | +2.8 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | blk Tristen Raymond | +1.1 |
| 47 | 22-25 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Serve err | PEPPER server | +2.5 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Attack err | Jaya Johnson | +2.0 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Saige Damrow | +2.1 |
| 3 | 3-0 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.1 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +2.0 |
| 5 | 4-1 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Katie Dalton | +1.3 |
| 6 | 5-1 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | set Tristen Raymond | +1.5 |
| 7 | 5-2 | PEPPER | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +1.3 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Chloe Pravednikov | blk Katie Dalton, Ayden Ames | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +2.1 |
| 10 | 6-4 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +1.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +1.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +1.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +1.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Pravednikov | blk Eloise Brandewie, Katie Dalton | +2.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +1.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +1.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | PEPPER | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.4 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Mariia Nikol dvornikova | +2.3 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Mariia Nikol dvornikova | blk Eloise Brandewie, Jaya Johnson | +2.1 |
| 22 | 10-12 | CREIGH | PEPPER×5 | Serve err | CREIGH server | +1.4 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER×5 | Attack err | Jaya Johnson | +2.3 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER×5 | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-ceres | blk Maggie Beauer | +2.6 |
| 25 | 13-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER×5 | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +2.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER×5 | Kill | Tristen Raymond | set Laine Briggs | +3.0 |
| 27 | 14-13 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Serve err | PEPPER server | +2.0 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-ceres | blk Irelynd Lorenzen, Mariia Nikol dvornikova | +2.3 |
| 29 | 15-14 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Katie Dalton | +2.1 |
| 30 | 16-14 | CREIGH | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | +2.4 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Maggie Beauer | +3.1 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +2.7 |
| 33 | 18-15 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +1.5 |
| 34 | 19-15 | CREIGH | PEPPER×5 | Attack err | Ayden Ames | blk Ella Piskorz, Chloe Pravednikov | +2.1 |
| 35 | 20-15 | PEPPER | PEPPER×5 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +2.1 |
| 36 | 21-15 | PEPPER | PEPPER×5 | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | +1.4 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | PEPPER | PEPPER×5 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Charis Kai | +0.7 |
| 38 | 23-15 | PEPPER | PEPPER×5 | Attack err | Ava Testrake | +0.3 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +0.1 |
| 40 | 23-17 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | +0.2 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.3 |
| 42 | 25-17 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Attack err | Katie Dalton | +0.1 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +3.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +2.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | PEPPER | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +2.3 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | blk Katie Dalton, Eloise Brandewie | +3.0 |
| 5 | 1-4 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | +2.8 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +2.0 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +2.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Tristen Raymond | set Mariia Nikol dvornikova | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +3.1 |
| 10 | 4-6 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Serve err | PEPPER server | +2.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +2.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +2.4 |
| 13 | 5-8 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Ace | CREIGH server | aced TEAM | +3.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +2.1 |
| 15 | 6-9 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +2.3 |
| 16 | 7-9 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +2.2 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Katie Dalton | set Sydney Breissinger | +2.3 |
| 18 | 8-10 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Attack err | Mariia Nikol dvornikova | set Eliya Dev | +2.4 |
| 20 | 9-11 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +2.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Katie Dalton | +2.5 |
| 22 | 10-12 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +2.3 |
| 23 | 10-13 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Serve err | PEPPER server | +2.5 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Attack err | Eloise Brandewie | set Katie Dalton | +2.4 |
| 25 | 11-14 | PEPPER | CREIGH×3 | Serve err | PEPPER server | +2.6 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Ella Piskorz | blk Trinity Shadd-ceres | +3.1 |
| 27 | 11-16 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced TEAM | +2.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Tristen Raymond | set Mariia Nikol dvornikova | +1.4 |
| 29 | 12-17 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Katie Dalton | +1.8 |
| 30 | 13-17 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Tristen Raymond | set Mariia Nikol dvornikova | +1.3 |
| 31 | 13-18 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +1.8 |
| 32 | 14-18 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +1.3 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | set Tristen Raymond | +1.7 |
| 34 | 15-19 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +1.2 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Katie Dalton | +1.7 |
| 36 | 16-20 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | set Tristen Raymond | +1.1 |
| 37 | 16-21 | PEPPER | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Katie Dalton | +1.6 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Ella Piskorz | +1.2 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | +0.5 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.1 |
| 41 | 18-23 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Trinity Shadd-ceres | +0.3 |
| 42 | 18-24 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Katie Dalton | +0.5 |
| 43 | 18-25 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Mariia Nikol dvornikova | +0.1 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.0 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Katie Dalton | +2.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Katie Dalton | +1.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Maggie Beauer | +1.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +2.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +2.0 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Kill | Ella Piskorz | +2.9 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | PEPPER | CREIGH×6 | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Katie Dalton | +2.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH×6 | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +2.8 |
| 11 | 4-7 | CREIGH | CREIGH×6 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Mariia Nikol dvornikova | +2.6 |
| 12 | 4-8 | CREIGH | CREIGH×6 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +2.3 |
| 13 | 4-9 | CREIGH | CREIGH×6 | Kill | Ayden Ames | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | CREIGH | CREIGH×6 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Eliya Dev | +1.6 |
| 15 | 5-10 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Tristen Raymond | +1.0 |
| 16 | 5-11 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +1.2 |
| 17 | 5-12 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Charis Kai | +1.3 |
| 18 | 6-12 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | set Tristen Raymond | +0.7 |
| 19 | 7-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | +1.3 | |
| 20 | 7-13 | PEPPER | CREIGH×4 | Serve err | PEPPER server | +1.2 | |
| 21 | 7-14 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +1.2 |
| 22 | 7-15 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Laine Briggs | +0.8 |
| 23 | 7-16 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Laine Briggs | +0.5 |
| 24 | 8-16 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | set Trinity Shadd-ceres | +0.2 |
| 25 | 8-17 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.3 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Serve err | CREIGH server | +0.2 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Katie Dalton | +0.3 |
| 28 | 10-18 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +0.2 |
| 29 | 11-18 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.4 |
| 30 | 11-19 | PEPPER | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Katie Dalton | +0.4 |
| 31 | 11-20 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | +0.3 | |
| 32 | 11-21 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 12-21 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 12-22 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Ayden Ames | +0.1 |
| 35 | 13-22 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Tristen Raymond | +0.0 |
| 36 | 14-22 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 14-23 | PEPPER | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Katie Dalton | +0.1 |
| 38 | 14-24 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-ceres | set Katie Dalton | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | CREIGH | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Tristen Raymond | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Laine Briggs | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Pepperdine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.