Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026 · Neutral site

Louisville def. Creighton 3–1

Louisville beat Creighton 3-1 (25-22, 27-25, 23-25, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. Louisville's Chloe Chicoine led with 21 kills, and Payton Petersen added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
CREIGH222525161
LOUIS252723253

Win probability

Louisville above 50 · Creighton below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.9% LOUISrally 188 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Louisville — set 2, CREIGH 25-26 LOUIS. Kill by Kalyssa Blackshear (set by Nayelis Cabello). LOUIS win probability 96% → 98%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CREIGH 4.2%95.8% LOUIS

Creighton wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
2.6%

Louisville wins

3-0
57.9%
3-1
28.9%
3-2
9.0%
CREIGH break %
34.8% vs this opp
LOUIS break %
47.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kalyssa Blackshear (set by Nayelis Cabello)

    Set 2 · CREIGH 25-26 LOUIS · LOUIS 96% → 98%

  2. 02

    Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Rayna Christianson)

    Set 2 · CREIGH 23-21 LOUIS · CREIGH 5% → 7%

  3. 03
    Rayna ChristiansonBad set+1.8%

    Bad set by Rayna Christianson

    Set 2 · CREIGH 23-23 LOUIS · LOUIS 94% → 96%

  4. 04

    Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Saige Damrow)

    Set 2 · CREIGH 24-23 LOUIS · CREIGH 4% → 6%

  5. 05
    Eloise BrandewieAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Eloise Brandewie

    Set 2 · CREIGH 24-24 LOUIS · LOUIS 94% → 96%

  6. 06
    LouisvilleService error+1.8%

    Louisville service error

    Set 2 · CREIGH 25-24 LOUIS · CREIGH 4% → 6%

  7. 07
    Chloe MeesterKill+1.8%

    Kill by Chloe Meester (set by Nayelis Cabello)

    Set 2 · CREIGH 25-25 LOUIS · LOUIS 94% → 96%

  8. 08
    Chloe MeesterBlock+1.4%

    Abbey Hayes stuffed by Chloe Meester

    Set 2 · CREIGH 25-27 LOUIS · LOUIS 98% → 99%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417849.18401014122321
411020.55010001052.513.5
410842.0480002200010
45317.118101201438
43210.100100300425
4000–2302900000
44113.23110050031.55.5
4001.0001831400003
4011-1.0003002500000
4011-1.000000700000
2000–001100000
Team totals5024154.16948457253181288
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421760.23300013000021
418037.48600020031.519.5
49618.1670010004211
4408.50000010233.57.5
42110.10052121200214
4001.0001221100002
410638.1050014112212
4000–1121100001
4000–4001520000
3000–013000001
Team totals6420172.2565851169431410100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CREIGH · LOUIS 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 CREIGHLOUIS 4

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 CREIGHLOUIS 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 CREIGHLOUIS 4

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 4 CREIGHLOUIS 4

Bars above the line = Louisville leads, below = Creighton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Creighton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
50%8/16
2
82%9/11
41%7/17
3
60%9/15
36%5/14
4
47%9/19
47%8/17
5
44%8/18
36%5/14
6
47%7/15
27%3/11
All
53%52/99
40%36/89

Louisville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
57%12/21
2
67%10/15
23%3/13
3
47%9/19
40%6/15
4
60%9/15
47%8/17
5
67%8/12
47%7/15
6
70%7/10
61%11/18
All
60%53/89
47%47/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#CREIGH-LOUISSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
20-2LOUISLOUISAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.4
31-2LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+0.3
41-3CREIGHLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
51-4LOUISLOUIS×3KillNayelis Cabelloset Abbey Hayes+0.4
61-5LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
72-5LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Ivy Leuck+0.2
83-5CREIGHCREIGHAttack errChloe Meester+0.4
93-6CREIGHLOUISKillNayelis Cabello+0.3
103-7LOUISLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
114-7LOUISCREIGHBlockedChloe Meesterblk Jaya Johnson, Eloise Brandewie+0.2
124-8CREIGHLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
134-9LOUISLOUISAttack errAbbey Hayes+0.2
145-9LOUISCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Ivy Leuck+0.2
155-10CREIGHLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
165-11LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errAbbey Hayes+0.2
175-12LOUISLOUIS×4AceLouisvilleaced Abbey Hayes+0.1
185-13LOUISLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
196-13LOUISCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson·
206-14CREIGHLOUISKillAddison Makunset Rayna Christianson·
217-14LOUISCREIGH×3Serve errLouisville·
228-14CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errChloe Chicoine+0.1
239-14CREIGHCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Saige Damrow+0.1
249-15CREIGHLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
259-16LOUISLOUIS×3Serve errLouisville+0.1
269-17LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedTrinity Shadd-Ceresblk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear+0.1
2710-17LOUISCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Rayna Christianson·
2810-18CREIGHLOUISServe errCreighton·
2911-18LOUISCREIGH×3Serve errLouisville·
3012-18CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errBrooke Bultema+0.1
3113-18CREIGHCREIGH×3AceCreighton+0.1
3213-19CREIGHLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3313-20LOUISLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3414-20LOUISCREIGHAttack errChloe Meester·
3514-21CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3615-21LOUISCREIGHServe errLouisville·
3715-22CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Payton Petersen·
3816-22LOUISCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Rayna Christianson·
3916-23CREIGHLOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello·
4017-23LOUISCREIGHBad setNayelis Cabello·
4118-23CREIGHCREIGHBlockedChloe Chicoineblk Ashlyn Paymal, Eloise Brandewie·
4218-24CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello·
4319-24LOUISCREIGH×4BlockedBrooke Bultemablk Eloise Brandewie·
4420-24CREIGHCREIGH×4Attack errKalyssa Blackshear·
4521-24CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedBrooke Bultemablk Trinity Shadd-Ceres+0.1
4622-24CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+0.3
4722-25CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
Set 2
11-0LOUISCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+0.3
21-1CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
32-1LOUISCREIGHBad setPayton Petersen+0.3
42-2CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
53-2LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+0.3
63-3CREIGHLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
74-3LOUISCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Ivy Leuck+0.3
84-4CREIGHLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
95-4LOUISCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Jaya Johnson+0.3
106-4CREIGHCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Ivy Leuck+0.6
116-5CREIGHLOUISServe errCreighton+0.3
126-6LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
137-6LOUISCREIGH×3Serve errLouisville+0.4
148-6CREIGHCREIGH×3KillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+0.6
159-6CREIGHCREIGH×3KillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+0.7
169-7CREIGHLOUIS×5Serve errCreighton+0.4
179-8LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.6
189-9LOUISLOUIS×5AceLouisvilleaced Abbey Hayes+0.5
199-10LOUISLOUIS×5BlockedAbbey Hayesblk Addison Makun+0.5
209-11LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
2110-11LOUISCREIGHServe errLouisville+0.3
2211-11CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Ayden Ames+0.5
2311-12CREIGHLOUISBlockedTrinity Shadd-Ceresblk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear+0.4
2412-12LOUISCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+0.4
2512-13CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
2613-13LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+0.4
2714-13CREIGHCREIGHAceCreightonaced Payton Petersen+0.7
2814-14CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
2915-14LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Ivy Leuck+0.6
3016-14CREIGHCREIGHAttack errBrooke Bultema+0.9
3116-15CREIGHLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
3216-16LOUISLOUISAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.8
3317-16LOUISCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Ivy Leuck+0.7
3418-16CREIGHCREIGHKillAyden Ames+1.1
3518-17CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.6
3619-17LOUISCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Ivy Leuck+0.9
3719-18CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
3820-18LOUISCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Rayna Christianson+0.9
3920-19CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
4021-19LOUISCREIGHBlockedChloe Chicoineblk Ashlyn Paymal, Ayden Ames+1.0
4121-20CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Payton Petersen+0.8
4221-21LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+1.3
4322-21LOUISCREIGHBlockedBrooke Bultemablk Trinity Shadd-Ceres+1.2
4423-21CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+1.9
4523-22CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.9
4623-23LOUISLOUISBad setRayna Christianson+1.8
4724-23LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Saige Damrow+1.8
4824-24CREIGHLOUISAttack errEloise Brandewie+1.8
4925-24LOUISCREIGHServe errLouisville+1.8
5025-25CREIGHLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.8
5125-26LOUISLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.9
5225-27LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedAbbey Hayesblk Chloe Meester+1.4
Set 3
11-0CREIGHCREIGHAttack errChloe Chicoine+0.2
22-0CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Rayna Christianson+0.2
32-1CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
43-1LOUISCREIGH×3KillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+0.2
54-1CREIGHCREIGH×3BlockedChloe Chicoineblk Ayden Ames, Ashlyn Paymal+0.3
65-1CREIGHCREIGH×3BlockedBrooke Bultemablk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Ayden Ames+0.3
75-2CREIGHLOUISAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.2
86-2LOUISCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+0.2
96-3CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
107-3LOUISCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+0.2
118-3CREIGHCREIGH×4AceCreightonaced Chloe Meester+0.3
129-3CREIGHCREIGH×4KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Ivy Leuck+0.3
1310-3CREIGHCREIGH×4KillJaya Johnsonset Eloise Brandewie+0.3
1410-4CREIGHLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
1510-5LOUISLOUIS×3AceLouisvilleaced Trinity Shadd-Ceres+0.3
1610-6LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.3
1711-6LOUISCREIGHServe errLouisville+0.3
1812-6CREIGHCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Ivy Leuck+0.4
1912-7CREIGHLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
2012-8LOUISLOUIS×4Bad setIvy Leuck+0.3
2112-9LOUISLOUIS×4BlockedEloise Brandewieblk Addison Makun+0.3
2212-10LOUISLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
2313-10LOUISCREIGHServe errLouisville+0.3
2414-10CREIGHCREIGHBlockedChloe Meesterblk Ayden Ames, Jaya Johnson+0.4
2514-11CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
2614-12LOUISLOUISBlockedAbbey Hayesblk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear+0.3
2715-12LOUISCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Ivy Leuck+0.3
2816-12CREIGHCREIGHAttack errChloe Chicoine+0.4
2916-13CREIGHLOUISServe errCreighton+0.2
3017-13LOUISCREIGHBlockedChloe Chicoineblk Ayden Ames, Ashlyn Paymal+0.3
3117-14CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
3218-14LOUISCREIGH×3Serve errLouisville+0.3
3319-14CREIGHCREIGH×3KillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+0.4
3420-14CREIGHCREIGH×3Attack errChloe Meester+0.3
3520-15CREIGHLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3621-15LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson+0.2
3721-16CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Payton Petersen+0.1
3821-17LOUISLOUISBlockedJaya Johnsonblk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester+0.2
3922-17LOUISCREIGHServe errLouisville+0.3
4023-17CREIGHCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Ivy Leuck+0.2
4123-18CREIGHLOUISAttack errSaige Damrow·
4223-19LOUISLOUISAttack errTrinity Shadd-Ceres+0.1
4324-19LOUISCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Ivy Leuck+0.2
4424-20CREIGHLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello·
4524-21LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Saige Damrow+0.1
4624-22LOUISLOUIS×4KillAddison Makun+0.3
4724-23LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.6
4825-23LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Ivy Leuck+1.1
Set 4
10-1LOUISLOUISAceLouisvilleaced Ayden Ames+0.9
20-2LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand+0.7
31-2LOUISCREIGHKillAshlyn Paymalset Rayna Christianson+0.6
41-3CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
52-3LOUISCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson+0.6
62-4CREIGHLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
72-5LOUISLOUIS×3AceLouisville+0.6
82-6LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errAshlyn Paymal+0.5
93-6LOUISCREIGH×4KillEloise Brandewieset Rayna Christianson+0.4
104-6CREIGHCREIGH×4KillEloise Brandewieset Ivy Leuck+0.7
115-6CREIGHCREIGH×4AceCreightonaced Payton Petersen+0.9
126-6CREIGHCREIGH×4BlockedBrooke Bultemablk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Eloise Brandewie+1.1
136-7CREIGHLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
146-8LOUISLOUIS×4BlockedEloise Brandewieblk Chloe Meester, Brooke Bultema+0.9
156-9LOUISLOUIS×4KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.8
166-10LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errSydney Breissinger+0.6
177-10LOUISCREIGHKillJaya Johnsonset Ivy Leuck+0.4
187-11CREIGHLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
197-12LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Hannah Kenny+0.4
207-13LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errAbbey Hayes+0.3
218-13LOUISCREIGHKillEloise Brandewieset Ivy Leuck+0.2
228-14CREIGHLOUISServe errCreighton+0.2
238-15LOUISLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
249-15LOUISCREIGHKillAbbey Hayesset Saige Damrow+0.1
259-16CREIGHLOUIS×3KillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
269-17LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
279-18LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errAbbey Hayes+0.1
2810-18LOUISCREIGHServe errLouisville·
2911-18CREIGHCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Ashlyn Paymal+0.1
3011-19CREIGHLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3112-19LOUISCREIGHKillAyden Amesset Rayna Christianson·
3212-20CREIGHLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3312-21LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello·
3413-21LOUISCREIGHKillTrinity Shadd-Ceresset Rayna Christianson·
3513-22CREIGHLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello·
3613-23LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Payton Petersen·
3713-24LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedTrinity Shadd-Ceresblk Brooke Bultema, Nayelis Cabello·
3814-24LOUISCREIGH×3BlockedChloe Meesterblk Jaya Johnson, Eloise Brandewie·
3915-24CREIGHCREIGH×3KillAbbey Hayesset Ivy Leuck·
4016-24CREIGHCREIGH×3KillAbbey Hayesset Ivy Leuck·
4116-25CREIGHLOUISBlockedAbbey Hayesblk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema·

Score shown after each rally, Creighton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).