Louisville def. Creighton 3–1
(25-22, 27-25, 23-25, 25-16)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CREIGH | 22 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 1 |
| LOUIS | 25 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.4% to Creighton — set 2, CREIGH 23-21 LOUIS. Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Rayna Christianson). LOUIS win probability 97% → 95%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Creighton wins
Louisville wins
- CREIGH break %
- 34.9% vs this opp
- LOUIS break %
- 49.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Trinity Shadd-CeresKill+1.4%
Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Rayna Christianson)
Set 2 · CREIGH 23-21 LOUIS · CREIGH 3% → 5%
- 02Kalyssa BlackshearKill+1.4%
Kill by Kalyssa Blackshear (set by Nayelis Cabello)
Set 2 · CREIGH 25-26 LOUIS · LOUIS 97% → 99%
- 03Trinity Shadd-CeresKill+1.4%
Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Saige Damrow)
Set 2 · CREIGH 24-23 LOUIS · CREIGH 3% → 4%
- 04Eloise BrandewieAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Eloise Brandewie
Set 2 · CREIGH 24-24 LOUIS · LOUIS 96% → 97%
- 05LOUIS serverService error+1.4%
Louisville service error
Set 2 · CREIGH 25-24 LOUIS · CREIGH 3% → 4%
- 06Chloe MeesterKill+1.4%
Kill by Chloe Meester (set by Nayelis Cabello)
Set 2 · CREIGH 25-25 LOUIS · LOUIS 96% → 97%
- 07Rayna ChristiansonBad set+1.3%
Bad set by Rayna Christianson
Set 2 · CREIGH 23-23 LOUIS · LOUIS 96% → 97%
- 08Abbey HayesAttack error+1.0%
Abbey Hayes stuffed by Chloe Meester
Set 2 · CREIGH 25-27 LOUIS · LOUIS 99% → 100%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 49 | .184 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | |
| 4 | 11 | 0 | 20 | .550 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 8 | 42 | .048 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | .118 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 23 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | .231 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 24 | 154 | .169 | 48 | 4 | 5 | 72 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 88 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 21 | 7 | 60 | .233 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | |
| 4 | 18 | 0 | 37 | .486 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 19.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 18 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .100 | 52 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 38 | .105 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 20 | 172 | .256 | 58 | 5 | 11 | 69 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 100 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
25-27
Set 3
25-23
Set 4
16-25
Bars above the line = Louisville leads, below = Creighton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Creighton
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48%10/21 | 50%8/16 |
| 2 | 82%9/11 | 41%7/17 |
| 3 | 60%9/15 | 36%5/14 |
| 4 | 47%9/19 | 47%8/17 |
| 5 | 44%8/18 | 36%5/14 |
| 6 | 47%7/15 | 27%3/11 |
| All | 53%52/99 | 40%36/89 |
Louisville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%10/18 | 57%12/21 |
| 2 | 67%10/15 | 23%3/13 |
| 3 | 47%9/19 | 40%6/15 |
| 4 | 60%9/15 | 47%8/17 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 70%7/10 | 61%11/18 |
| All | 60%53/89 | 47%47/99 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
188 rallies
Rally log
| # | CREIGH-LOUIS | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +0.2 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CREIGH | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 5 | 1-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Abbey Hayes | +0.2 |
| 6 | 1-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 7 | 2-5 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Ivy Leuck | +0.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.3 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 11 | 4-7 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Jaya Johnson, Eloise Brandewie | +0.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 13 | 4-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Ivy Leuck | +0.1 |
| 15 | 5-10 | CREIGH | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 16 | 5-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Abbey Hayes | +0.1 |
| 18 | 5-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 19 | 6-13 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.0 |
| 20 | 6-14 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Rayna Christianson | +0.0 |
| 21 | 7-14 | LOUIS | CREIGH×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Saige Damrow | +0.1 |
| 24 | 9-15 | CREIGH | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 25 | 9-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.1 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | blk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.0 |
| 27 | 10-17 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Rayna Christianson | +0.0 |
| 28 | 10-18 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Serve err | CREIGH server | +0.0 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | LOUIS | CREIGH×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Team | +0.1 |
| 32 | 13-19 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 33 | 13-20 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 34 | 14-20 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 36 | 15-21 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Payton Petersen | +0.0 |
| 38 | 16-22 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Rayna Christianson | +0.0 |
| 39 | 16-23 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 40 | 17-23 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Bad set | Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | blk Ashlyn Paymal, Eloise Brandewie | +0.0 |
| 42 | 18-24 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | LOUIS | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | blk Eloise Brandewie | +0.0 |
| 44 | 20-24 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.0 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | blk Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.1 |
| 46 | 22-24 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +0.3 |
| 47 | 22-25 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Bad set | Payton Petersen | +0.2 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +0.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Ivy Leuck | +0.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Jaya Johnson | +0.2 |
| 10 | 6-4 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Ivy Leuck | +0.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Serve err | CREIGH server | +0.2 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | LOUIS | CREIGH×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.4 |
| 15 | 9-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.5 |
| 16 | 9-7 | CREIGH | LOUIS×5 | Serve err | CREIGH server | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Abbey Hayes | +0.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | blk Addison Makun | +0.3 |
| 20 | 9-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 21 | 10-11 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.2 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Ayden Ames | +0.4 |
| 23 | 11-12 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | blk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Ashlyn Paymal | set Rayna Christianson | +0.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 26 | 13-13 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +0.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Payton Petersen | +0.5 |
| 28 | 14-14 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 29 | 15-14 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Ivy Leuck | +0.4 |
| 30 | 16-14 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | +0.7 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 32 | 16-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Ivy Leuck | +0.5 |
| 34 | 18-16 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | +0.8 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 36 | 19-17 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Ivy Leuck | +0.7 |
| 37 | 19-18 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 38 | 20-18 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Rayna Christianson | +0.7 |
| 39 | 20-19 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 40 | 21-19 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | blk Ashlyn Paymal, Ayden Ames | +0.8 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen | +0.6 |
| 42 | 21-21 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | blk Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.9 |
| 44 | 23-21 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +1.4 |
| 45 | 23-22 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.7 |
| 46 | 23-23 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Bad set | Rayna Christianson | +1.3 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Saige Damrow | +1.4 |
| 48 | 24-24 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Attack err | Eloise Brandewie | +1.4 | |
| 49 | 25-24 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Serve err | LOUIS server | +1.4 | |
| 50 | 25-25 | CREIGH | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.4 |
| 51 | 25-26 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.4 |
| 52 | 25-27 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | blk Chloe Meester | +1.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | +0.1 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Rayna Christianson | +0.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | LOUIS | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | blk Ayden Ames, Ashlyn Paymal | +0.2 |
| 6 | 5-1 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | blk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Ayden Ames | +0.2 |
| 7 | 5-2 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.1 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Ashlyn Paymal | set Rayna Christianson | +0.2 |
| 9 | 6-3 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 10 | 7-3 | LOUIS | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +0.2 |
| 11 | 8-3 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Chloe Meester | +0.2 |
| 12 | 9-3 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Ivy Leuck | +0.2 |
| 13 | 10-3 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Eloise Brandewie | +0.2 |
| 14 | 10-4 | CREIGH | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 15 | 10-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.2 |
| 16 | 10-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.2 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.2 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Ivy Leuck | +0.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | CREIGH | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 20 | 12-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Bad set | Ivy Leuck | +0.2 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Eloise Brandewie | blk Addison Makun | +0.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 23 | 13-10 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.2 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Ayden Ames, Jaya Johnson | +0.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | blk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Ivy Leuck | +0.2 |
| 28 | 16-12 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | +0.3 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Serve err | CREIGH server | +0.2 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | blk Ayden Ames, Ashlyn Paymal | +0.3 |
| 31 | 17-14 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 32 | 18-14 | LOUIS | CREIGH×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.3 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +0.3 |
| 34 | 20-14 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.3 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 36 | 21-15 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +0.2 |
| 37 | 21-16 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen | +0.1 |
| 38 | 21-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Jaya Johnson | blk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester | +0.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.2 | |
| 40 | 23-17 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Ivy Leuck | +0.2 |
| 41 | 23-18 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Attack err | Saige Damrow | +0.0 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | +0.1 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Ivy Leuck | +0.2 |
| 44 | 24-20 | CREIGH | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 45 | 24-21 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Saige Damrow | +0.1 |
| 46 | 24-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Addison Makun | +0.2 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 48 | 25-23 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Ivy Leuck | +0.9 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Ayden Ames | +0.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +0.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Ashlyn Paymal | set Rayna Christianson | +0.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | CREIGH | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Team | +0.5 |
| 8 | 2-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Ashlyn Paymal | +0.4 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | LOUIS | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Rayna Christianson | +0.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Ivy Leuck | +0.5 |
| 11 | 5-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Ace | CREIGH server | aced Payton Petersen | +0.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CREIGH | CREIGH×4 | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | blk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Eloise Brandewie | +0.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | CREIGH | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Eloise Brandewie | blk Chloe Meester, Brooke Bultema | +0.7 |
| 15 | 6-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Sydney Breissinger | +0.4 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Jaya Johnson | set Ivy Leuck | +0.3 |
| 18 | 7-11 | CREIGH | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 19 | 7-12 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Hannah Kenny | +0.3 |
| 20 | 7-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | +0.2 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Eloise Brandewie | set Ivy Leuck | +0.1 |
| 22 | 8-14 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Serve err | CREIGH server | +0.2 | |
| 23 | 8-15 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 24 | 9-15 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Saige Damrow | +0.1 |
| 25 | 9-16 | CREIGH | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 26 | 9-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 27 | 9-18 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | +0.0 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | CREIGH | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Ashlyn Paymal | +0.0 |
| 30 | 11-19 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 31 | 12-19 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Ayden Ames | set Rayna Christianson | +0.0 |
| 32 | 12-20 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 33 | 12-21 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 34 | 13-21 | LOUIS | CREIGH | Kill | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | set Rayna Christianson | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | CREIGH | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 36 | 13-23 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Payton Petersen | +0.0 |
| 37 | 13-24 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Trinity Shadd-Ceres | blk Brooke Bultema, Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | LOUIS | CREIGH×3 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Jaya Johnson, Eloise Brandewie | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Ivy Leuck | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | CREIGH | CREIGH×3 | Kill | Abbey Hayes | set Ivy Leuck | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | CREIGH | LOUIS | Attack err | Abbey Hayes | blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Creighton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.