FinalWed, Sep 16, 2026

AwayBIG-EAST

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Nebraska def. Creighton 3–0

(25-13, 25-15, 25-19)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
CREIGH	13	15	19	0
NEB	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NEB above 50 · CREIGH below

Biggest swing: 0.2% to Creighton — set 2, CREIGH 9-8 NEB. Kill by Abbey Hayes (set by Ashlyn Paymal). NEB win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CREIGH 0.9%99.1% NEB

Creighton wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.6%

Nebraska wins

3-0

75.3%

3-1

20.4%

3-2

3.4%

CREIGH break %: 32.6% vs this opp
NEB break %: 50.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Abbey HayesKill+0.2%
Kill by Abbey Hayes (set by Ashlyn Paymal)
Set 2 · CREIGH 9-8 NEB · CREIGH 1% → 1%
02
Virginia AdrianoAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Virginia Adriano
Set 2 · CREIGH 11-11 NEB · CREIGH 0% → 1%
03
Trinity Shadd-CeresKill+0.1%
Kill by Trinity Shadd-Ceres (set by Ivy Leuck)
Set 2 · CREIGH 4-2 NEB · CREIGH 1% → 1%
04
Teraya SiglerKill+0.1%
Kill by Teraya Sigler (set by Olivia Mauch)
Set 2 · CREIGH 9-10 NEB · NEB 99% → 100%
05
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.1%
Point Nebraska (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · CREIGH 12-14 NEB · NEB 100% → 100%
06
Virginia AdrianoAttack error+0.1%
Virginia Adriano stuffed by Trinity Shadd-Ceres & Eloise Brandewie
Set 2 · CREIGH 12-12 NEB · CREIGH 0% → 1%
07
Virginia AdrianoAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Virginia Adriano
Set 2 · CREIGH 3-2 NEB · CREIGH 0% → 1%
08
Trinity Shadd-CeresAttack error+0.1%
Trinity Shadd-Ceres stuffed by Bergen Reilly & Andi Jackson
Set 2 · CREIGH 4-4 NEB · NEB 99% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Creightonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Trinity Shadd-CeresOH	3	4	7	28	-.107	0	1	2	1	1	0	2	1	6
22Ashlyn PaymalOH	3	5	2	18	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
9Ayden AmesMB	3	4	2	13	.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	6
10Eloise BrandewieMB	3	1	0	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	4
24Sydney BreissingerDS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	0
5Katie DaltonS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
6Jaya JohnsonMB	3	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	4
2Abbey HayesOH	3	1	5	12	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
13Saige DamrowL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	1	5	2	0	0	0	0
7Ivy LeuckS	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
19Nora WurtzMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Rayna ChristiansonS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		17	20	91	-.033	17	1	7	21	5	1	16	9	47

Nebraskahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
27Harper MurrayOH	3	8	9	30	-.033	0	3	2	6	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
15Andi JacksonMB	3	9	1	14	.571	1	0	3	3	0	1	5	3.5	12.5
3Virginia AdrianoOPP	3	8	5	21	.143	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
8Kenna CogillMB	3	8	0	11	.727	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	9
11Teraya SiglerOH	3	6	5	19	.053	1	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	6
2Bergen ReillyS	3	1	0	2	.500	33	0	1	11	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
6Laney ChoboyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
10Olivia MauchL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
18Ryan HunterOPP	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Campbell FlynnS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Keri LeimbachL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	21	99	.202	41	5	7	47	1	2	14	9	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 CREIGH · NEB 5

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 CREIGHNEB 4

Set 2*

15-25

Longest run 3 CREIGHNEB 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 CREIGHNEB 4

Bars above the line = Nebraska leads, below = Creighton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Creighton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%4/10	17%1/6
2	44%4/9	43%3/7
3	67%4/6	43%3/7
4	67%4/6	20%1/5
5	44%4/9	20%1/5
6	38%3/8	0%0/4
All	48%23/48	26%9/34

Nebraska

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	63%5/8
2	57%4/7	60%6/10
3	57%4/7	56%5/9
4	80%4/5	33%2/6
5	80%4/5	33%2/6
6	100%4/4	56%5/9
All	74%25/34	52%25/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

122 rallies

Rally log

#	CREIGH-NEB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
2	1-1	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
3	1-2	CREIGH	NEB×3	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
4	1-3	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Ayden Ames	blk Andi Jackson, Harper Murray	+0.1
5	1-4	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		+0.1
6	2-4	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
7	2-5	CREIGH	NEB	Attack err	Saige Damrow	blk Andi Jackson	+0.1
8	2-6	NEB	NEB	Kill	Bergen Reilly	set Andi Jackson	+0.1
9	3-6	NEB	CREIGH	Serve err	NEB server		+0.0
10	4-6	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Teraya Sigler		+0.1
11	4-7	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
12	5-7	NEB	CREIGH	Serve err	NEB server		+0.1
13	5-8	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Kenna Cogill	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
14	6-8	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Teraya Sigler	blk Jaya Johnson, Eloise Brandewie	+0.1
15	6-9	CREIGH	NEB×3	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
16	6-10	NEB	NEB×3	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
17	6-11	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Abbey Hayes		+0.1
18	7-11	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Eloise Brandewie	set Katie Dalton	+0.0
19	7-12	CREIGH	NEB×3	Kill	Kenna Cogill	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
20	7-13	NEB	NEB×3	Kill	Harper Murray	set Teraya Sigler	+0.0
21	7-14	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		+0.0
22	8-14	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.0
23	8-15	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
24	8-16	NEB	NEB	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
25	9-16	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.0
26	9-17	CREIGH	NEB	Serve err	CREIGH server		+0.0
27	10-17	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Jaya Johnson	set Ivy Leuck	+0.0
28	10-18	CREIGH	NEB	Serve err	CREIGH server		+0.0
29	10-19	NEB	NEB	Attack err	Jaya Johnson		+0.0
30	11-19	NEB	CREIGH	Serve err	NEB server		+0.0
31	12-19	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Harper Murray	blk Eloise Brandewie	+0.0
32	12-20	CREIGH	NEB×4	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
33	12-21	NEB	NEB×4	Attack err	Abbey Hayes	blk Virginia Adriano	+0.0
34	12-22	NEB	NEB×4	Kill	Kenna Cogill	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
35	12-23	NEB	NEB×4	Attack err	Abbey Hayes		+0.0
36	13-23	NEB	CREIGH	Serve err	NEB server		+0.0
37	13-24	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Kenna Cogill	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
38	13-25	NEB	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NEB	NEB	Bad set	Katie Dalton		+0.1
2	1-1	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
3	1-2	CREIGH	NEB	Serve err	CREIGH server		+0.1
4	2-2	NEB	CREIGH×3	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Katie Dalton	+0.1
5	3-2	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Attack err	Virginia Adriano		+0.1
6	4-2	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Kill	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	set Ivy Leuck	+0.1
7	4-3	CREIGH	NEB×4	Serve err	CREIGH server		+0.1
8	4-4	NEB	NEB×4	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	blk Bergen Reilly, Andi Jackson	+0.1
9	4-5	NEB	NEB×4	Attack err	Jaya Johnson		+0.1
10	4-6	NEB	NEB×4	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		+0.1
11	5-6	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Harper Murray	blk Ayden Ames, Jaya Johnson	+0.1
12	6-6	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Harper Murray		+0.1
13	6-7	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
14	7-7	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Andi Jackson		+0.1
15	7-8	CREIGH	NEB	Serve err	CREIGH server		+0.1
16	8-8	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Harper Murray		+0.1
17	9-8	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Abbey Hayes	set Ashlyn Paymal	+0.2
18	9-9	CREIGH	NEB×3	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
19	9-10	NEB	NEB×3	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Olivia Mauch	+0.1
20	9-11	NEB	NEB×3	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
21	10-11	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Teraya Sigler		+0.1
22	11-11	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Virginia Adriano		+0.1
23	11-12	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Kenna Cogill	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
24	12-12	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Virginia Adriano	blk Trinity Shadd-Ceres, Eloise Brandewie	+0.1
25	12-13	CREIGH	NEB×5	Attack err	Ashlyn Paymal	blk Kenna Cogill, Harper Murray	+0.1
26	12-14	NEB	NEB×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
27	12-15	NEB	NEB×5	Bad set	Katie Dalton		+0.1
28	12-16	NEB	NEB×5	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		+0.1
29	12-17	NEB	NEB×5	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
30	13-17	NEB	CREIGH	Serve err	NEB server		+0.0
31	13-18	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
32	13-19	NEB	NEB	Ace	NEB server	aced Sydney Breissinger	+0.0
33	14-19	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Ivy Leuck	+0.0
34	14-20	CREIGH	NEB×4	Serve err	CREIGH server		+0.0
35	14-21	NEB	NEB×4	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
36	14-22	NEB	NEB×4	Ace	NEB server	aced Saige Damrow	+0.0
37	14-23	NEB	NEB×4	Ace	NEB server	aced Trinity Shadd-Ceres	+0.0
38	15-23	NEB	CREIGH	Serve err	NEB server		+0.0
39	15-24	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
40	15-25	NEB	NEB	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CREIGH	NEB	Serve err	CREIGH server		+0.0
2	0-2	NEB	NEB	Attack err	Sydney Breissinger	blk Andi Jackson, Harper Murray	+0.0
3	1-2	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Harper Murray	blk Ashlyn Paymal, Ayden Ames	+0.0
4	2-2	CREIGH	CREIGH	Attack err	Harper Murray	blk Ayden Ames, Jaya Johnson	+0.0
5	2-3	CREIGH	NEB×3	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
6	2-4	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Ayden Ames	blk Andi Jackson, Bergen Reilly	+0.0
7	2-5	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres	blk Andi Jackson, Bergen Reilly	+0.0
8	3-5	NEB	CREIGH×4	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Rayna Christianson	+0.0
9	4-5	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Attack err	Harper Murray		+0.0
10	5-5	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Ace	CREIGH server	aced Harper Murray	+0.0
11	6-5	CREIGH	CREIGH×4	Attack err	Ryan Hunter	blk Jaya Johnson, Ayden Ames	+0.1
12	6-6	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Campbell Flynn	+0.0
13	6-7	NEB	NEB	Ace	NEB server	aced Saige Damrow	+0.0
14	7-7	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Jaya Johnson	set Rayna Christianson	+0.0
15	7-8	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Ryan Hunter	set Campbell Flynn	+0.0
16	8-8	NEB	CREIGH	Bad set	Campbell Flynn		+0.0
17	8-9	CREIGH	NEB×3	Kill	Kenna Cogill	set Campbell Flynn	+0.0
18	8-10	NEB	NEB×3	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
19	8-11	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Abbey Hayes	blk Virginia Adriano, Kenna Cogill	+0.0
20	9-11	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.0
21	9-12	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Olivia Mauch	+0.0
22	9-13	NEB	NEB	Attack err	Trinity Shadd-Ceres		+0.0
23	10-13	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Harper Murray	blk Eloise Brandewie, Ashlyn Paymal	+0.0
24	11-13	CREIGH	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Katie Dalton	+0.0
25	11-14	CREIGH	NEB×4	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
26	11-15	NEB	NEB×4	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
27	11-16	NEB	NEB×4	Kill	Harper Murray	set Olivia Mauch	+0.0
28	11-17	NEB	NEB×4	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
29	12-17	NEB	CREIGH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Paymal	set Katie Dalton	+0.0
30	13-17	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Attack err	Harper Murray		+0.0
31	14-17	CREIGH	CREIGH×3	Attack err	Virginia Adriano		+0.0
32	14-18	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
33	15-18	NEB	CREIGH	Kill	Ayden Ames	set Rayna Christianson	+0.0
34	15-19	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
35	16-19	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Teraya Sigler		+0.0
36	16-20	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
37	16-21	NEB	NEB	Attack err	Abbey Hayes		+0.0
38	17-21	NEB	CREIGH	Serve err	NEB server		+0.0
39	17-22	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
40	18-22	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Teraya Sigler		+0.0
41	18-23	CREIGH	NEB	Attack err	Ashlyn Paymal		+0.0
42	18-24	NEB	NEB	Kill	Kenna Cogill	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
43	19-24	NEB	CREIGH	Attack err	Virginia Adriano	blk Eloise Brandewie, Trinity Shadd-Ceres	+0.0
44	19-25	CREIGH	NEB	Kill	Kenna Cogill	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Creighton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.