Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026

Gardner-Webb def. UNC Asheville 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Gardner-Webb 50.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Gardner-Webb beat visiting UNC Asheville 3-2 (21-25, 20-25, 25-21, 25-16, 15-11) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Gardner-Webb's Sarina Galyean led with 15 kills, and Kiera Vazquez added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set12345Sets
UNC A25252116112
G WEBB21202525153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Gardner-Webb came back from 0–2 in sets and a 11% low point.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Gardner-Webb's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Gardner-Webb went in as RallyIQ's 51% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · UNC Asheville 0–0 Gardner-Webb

    UNC Asheville scored 3 straight to open the set 3–0. The match swung to UNC Asheville.

    Gardner-Webb 51% → 26%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · UNC Asheville 6–5 Gardner-Webb

    Down 5–6, Gardner-Webb scored 4 straight to lead 9–6. The match swung to Gardner-Webb.

    Gardner-Webb 41% → 81%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · UNC Asheville 10–12 Gardner-Webb

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Gardner-Webb, enough to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.

    Gardner-Webb 82% → >99%

Gardner-Webb above 50UNC Asheville belowMax swing 11.6%

UNC AshevilleGardner-Webb

Sideout %
UNC Asheville 61.9·Gardner-Webb 66.7
Break %
UNC Asheville 33.3·Gardner-Webb 38.1
Hitting
UNC Asheville .244·Gardner-Webb .248
Longest run
UNC Asheville 6·Gardner-Webb 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Gardner-Webb above 50 · UNC Asheville below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+11.6% G WEBBrally 204 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.6% to Gardner-Webb — set 5, UNC A 9-12 G WEBB. Kill by Milla Lugo (set by Olivia Lefebvre). G WEBB win probability 76% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC A 57.2%42.8% G WEBB

UNC Asheville wins

3-0
15.7%
3-1
21.7%
3-2
19.7%

Gardner-Webb wins

3-0
9.7%
3-1
15.8%
3-2
17.3%
UNC A break %
42.9% vs this opp
G WEBB break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Milla LugoKill+11.6%

    Kill by Milla Lugo (set by Olivia Lefebvre)

    Set 5 · UNC A 9-12 G WEBB · G WEBB 76% → 88%

  2. 02
    Milla LugoBlock+11.4%

    Cadence Nichols stuffed by Milla Lugo

    Set 5 · UNC A 6-7 G WEBB · G WEBB 49% → 60%

  3. 03

    Addie Brookbank stuffed by Samia Sayd & Milla Lugo

    Set 5 · UNC A 6-8 G WEBB · G WEBB 60% → 71%

  4. 04

    Nicole Osborne stuffed by Cadence Nichols & Lily Bannister

    Set 5 · UNC A 8-9 G WEBB · UNC A 25% → 35%

  5. 05
    Catherine HubiakService error+10.3%

    Service error by Catherine Hubiak

    Set 5 · UNC A 9-11 G WEBB · G WEBB 66% → 76%

  6. 06

    Kill by Caroline Franklin (set by Aleina Manaois)

    Set 5 · UNC A 5-5 G WEBB · G WEBB 39% → 49%

  7. 07

    Addie Brookbank stuffed by Samia Sayd & Milla Lugo

    Set 5 · UNC A 6-9 G WEBB · G WEBB 71% → 81%

  8. 08
    Addie BrookbankService error+9.4%

    Service error by Addie Brookbank

    Set 5 · UNC A 8-10 G WEBB · G WEBB 65% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513842.119123112010.515.5
514641.19500290010.514.5
511124.4170006004213
59316.3750000006312
58216.37511220132.511.5
5004.0003013600001
58214.42900030132.510.5
5004.0002624300002
5007.0000132310001
5000–001000000
2000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6322168.244587196352181198
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515533.3030003000015
510316.4380236004214
59219.3680001014312
54116.188100100215
5002.0001901800000
37421.143011400008
56018.333100200639
5004.00023111300001
5001.0002011510000
12Ella MossL/DS
5000–301800000
4000–100210000
3229.000010600003
1115.000000000001
1001.000000100000
1000–000100000
Team totals5418145.24850587171169106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNC Asheville vs Gardner-Webb

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UNC A · G WEBB 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 6 UNC AG WEBB 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 UNC AG WEBB 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 2 UNC AG WEBB 3

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 2 UNC AG WEBB 4

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 UNC AG WEBB 4

Bars above the line = Gardner-Webb leads, below = UNC Asheville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNC Asheville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%14/20
48%11/23
2
57%13/23
22%4/18
3
61%11/18
25%4/16
4
50%9/18
41%7/17
5
75%9/12
36%5/14
6
64%9/14
18%2/11
All
62%65/105
33%33/99

Gardner-Webb

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%14/22
42%8/19
2
81%13/16
30%6/20
3
71%12/17
45%10/22
4
64%9/14
33%5/15
5
60%9/15
53%10/19
6
60%9/15
10%1/10
All
67%66/99
38%40/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

204 rallies

#UNC A-G WEBBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Goot+1.8
21-1UNC AG WEBBServe errUNC Asheville+1.8
32-1G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.9
43-1UNC AUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.5
53-2UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Olivia Lefebvre+1.8
64-2G WEBBUNC AKillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+1.9
74-3UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Aleina Manaois+1.8
85-3G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.0
95-4UNC AG WEBBKillPeyton Sloneset Aleina Manaois+1.9
105-5G WEBBG WEBBKillPeyton Sloneset Aleina Manaois+2.7
116-5G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.1
126-6UNC AG WEBBKillPeyton Sloneset Aleina Manaois+2.1
136-7G WEBBG WEBBAttack errLily Bannister+2.9
147-7G WEBBUNC A×6Serve errGardner-Webb+2.1
158-7UNC AUNC A×6KillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+3.0
169-7UNC AUNC A×6Attack errPeyton Slone+2.9
1710-7UNC AUNC A×6KillLydia Pate+2.8
1811-7UNC AUNC A×6BlockedPeyton Sloneblk Lily Bannister, Lydia Pate+2.6
1912-7UNC AUNC A×6AceUNC Ashevilleaced Kiera Vazquez+2.2
2012-8UNC AG WEBBServe errUNC Asheville+1.3
2113-8G WEBBUNC A×3KillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.7
2214-8UNC AUNC A×3Attack errSarina Galyean+1.8
2315-8UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Asheville+1.4
2415-9UNC AG WEBB×3KillParker LaFontaineset Olivia Lefebvre+0.7
2515-10G WEBBG WEBB×3KillParker LaFontaineset Olivia Lefebvre+1.3
2615-11G WEBBG WEBB×3Bad setOlivia Callipo+1.8
2716-11G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.7
2816-12UNC AG WEBBKillParker LaFontaineset Sarah Wadsworth+1.3
2916-13G WEBBG WEBBAttack errAddie Brookbank+2.3
3017-13G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.1
3118-13UNC AUNC AAceUNC Asheville+2.3
3218-14UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Ella Moss+1.2
3319-14G WEBBUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+1.7
3420-14UNC AUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+1.5
3520-15UNC AG WEBB×3Serve errUNC Asheville+0.6
3620-16G WEBBG WEBB×3KillMilla Lugoset Aleina Manaois+1.4
3720-17G WEBBG WEBB×3Attack errCadence Nichols+2.1
3821-17G WEBBUNC AAttack errPeyton Slone+2.3
3921-18UNC AG WEBBKillPeyton Sloneset Aleina Manaois+1.4
4022-18G WEBBUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+2.2
4122-19UNC AG WEBBKillPeyton Sloneset Parker LaFontaine+1.3
4222-20G WEBBG WEBBAcePeyton Sloneaced Addie Brookbank+2.9
4323-20G WEBBUNC AServe errPeyton Slone+3.4
4424-20UNC AUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+2.6
4524-21UNC AG WEBBServe errUNC Asheville+0.6
4625-21G WEBBUNC AServe errGardner-Webb+1.3
Set 2
11-0UNC AUNC ABad setParker LaFontaine+2.5
21-1UNC AG WEBBServe errUNC Asheville+1.8
32-1G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.9
43-1UNC AUNC ABlockedCaroline Franklinblk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols+2.6
53-2UNC AG WEBBServe errUNC Asheville+1.8
64-2G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+1.9
75-2UNC AUNC AAceUNC Asheville+2.5
85-3UNC AG WEBB×3KillSarina Galyeanset Aleina Manaois+1.7
95-4G WEBBG WEBB×3KillSamia Saydset Aleina Manaois+2.6
105-5G WEBBG WEBB×3KillCaroline Franklinset Aleina Manaois+2.7
116-5G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+2.1
127-5UNC AUNC AAceAddie Brookbank+2.8
137-6UNC AG WEBBServe errAddie Brookbank+2.0
148-6G WEBBUNC A×3Serve errGardner-Webb+2.1
159-6UNC AUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Lydia Pate+2.8
1610-6UNC AUNC A×3BlockedMilla Lugoblk Lydia Pate+2.5
1710-7UNC AG WEBBServe errIzzy Perkins+1.6
1811-7G WEBBUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.9
1911-8UNC AG WEBBBad setLydia Pate+1.6
2012-8G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.9
2112-9UNC AG WEBBKillMilla Lugoset Olivia Lefebvre+1.7
2213-9G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.0
2313-10UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Olivia Lefebvre+1.7
2413-11G WEBBG WEBBKillSamia Saydset Kadie Cardozo+2.7
2514-11G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.3
2614-12UNC AG WEBBServe errElise Jensen+2.1
2715-12G WEBBUNC A×4KillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+2.4
2816-12UNC AUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.9
2917-12UNC AUNC A×4BlockedPeyton Sloneblk Cadence Nichols, Lily Bannister+2.3
3018-12UNC AUNC A×4AceAddie Brookbankaced Kadie Cardozo+1.7
3118-13UNC AG WEBBKillCaroline Franklinset Aleina Manaois+0.8
3219-13G WEBBUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.2
3320-13UNC AUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.0
3420-14UNC AG WEBBKillSamia Saydset Aleina Manaois+0.4
3521-14G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.6
3621-15UNC AG WEBBBad setIzzy Perkins+0.3
3721-16G WEBBG WEBBAttack errLydia Pate+0.7
3822-16G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.9
3922-17UNC AG WEBBKillPeyton Slone+0.4
4023-17G WEBBUNC AAttack errSarina Galyean+0.7
4123-18UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Olivia Lefebvre+0.3
4223-19G WEBBG WEBBBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Caroline Franklin, Samia Sayd+0.7
4324-19G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+1.0
4424-20UNC AG WEBBKillCaroline Franklinset Aleina Manaois+0.2
4525-20G WEBBUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+0.6
Set 3
10-1G WEBBG WEBBAttack errSarah Wadsworth+1.7
21-1G WEBBUNC ABad setOlivia Lefebvre+1.3
31-2UNC AG WEBBKillCaroline Franklinset Olivia Lefebvre+1.3
42-2G WEBBUNC AKillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+1.3
52-3UNC AG WEBBAttack errAddie Brookbank+1.3
63-3G WEBBUNC ABlockedEmma Kerwinblk Albertine van der Goot+1.3
73-4UNC AG WEBBServe errElise Jensen+1.3
84-4G WEBBUNC AServe errGardner-Webb+1.3
94-5UNC AG WEBBKillEmma Kerwinset Kiera Vazquez+1.4
105-5G WEBBUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+1.4
116-5UNC AUNC ABlockedParker LaFontaineblk Sarah Wadsworth, Lydia Pate+1.9
126-6UNC AG WEBBServe errIzzy Perkins+1.4
137-6G WEBBUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.5
147-7UNC AG WEBB×3KillMilla Lugoset Olivia Lefebvre+1.4
157-8G WEBBG WEBB×3BlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Parker LaFontaine, Caroline Franklin+2.0
167-9G WEBBG WEBB×3KillParker LaFontaineset Ella Moss+2.0
178-9G WEBBUNC AServe errGardner-Webb+1.4
188-10UNC AG WEBB×3KillSarina Galyeanset Olivia Lefebvre+1.5
198-11G WEBBG WEBB×3AceAleina Manaoisaced Izzy Perkins+2.0
208-12G WEBBG WEBB×3BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Caroline Franklin, Samia Sayd+1.8
219-12G WEBBUNC AAttack errSarina Galyean+1.1
229-13UNC AG WEBBKillSamia Saydset Ella Moss+1.3
239-14G WEBBG WEBBBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Caroline Franklin, Samia Sayd+1.5
2410-14G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+0.9
2511-14UNC AUNC ABlockedCaroline Franklinblk Cadence Nichols, Addie Brookbank+1.5
2611-15UNC AG WEBBKillCaroline Franklinset Aleina Manaois+1.4
2711-16G WEBBG WEBBAttack errAddie Brookbank+1.5
2812-16G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+0.9
2912-17UNC AG WEBBKillSamia Saydset Aleina Manaois+1.1
3013-17G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.8
3114-17UNC AUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Peyton Slone+1.5
3214-18UNC AG WEBBKillPeyton Sloneset Aleina Manaois+1.5
3315-18G WEBBUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+1.1
3416-18UNC AUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+2.0
3516-19UNC AG WEBBServe errOlivia Callipo+1.9
3617-19G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.5
3717-20UNC AG WEBBAttack errNicole Osborne+2.0
3818-20G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+1.5
3919-20UNC AUNC ABlockedNicole Osborneblk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols+2.8
4019-21UNC AG WEBB×3Serve errOlivia Philpot+2.6
4119-22G WEBBG WEBB×3AceNicole Osborne+3.0
4219-23G WEBBG WEBB×3KillCaroline Franklinset Aleina Manaois+2.0
4320-23G WEBBUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+0.7
4421-23UNC AUNC AAttack errCaroline Franklin+1.8
4521-24UNC AG WEBBKillCaroline Franklinset Aleina Manaois+2.3
4621-25G WEBBG WEBBAceCaroline Franklinaced Addie Brookbank+1.2
Set 4
11-0UNC AUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+3.3
21-1UNC AG WEBBKillMilla Lugoset Olivia Lefebvre+2.5
32-1G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+2.5
42-2UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Olivia Lefebvre+2.5
53-2G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Aleina Manaois+2.6
64-2UNC AUNC AAceElise Jensen+3.5
74-3UNC AG WEBBAttack errLily Bannister+2.5
85-3G WEBBUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+2.6
95-4UNC AG WEBBServe errAddie Brookbank+2.5
105-5G WEBBG WEBBKillMilla Lugoset Aleina Manaois+3.6
116-5G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Addie Brookbank+2.8
126-6UNC AG WEBBKillNicole Osborneset Samia Sayd+2.8
137-6G WEBBUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+2.8
147-7UNC AG WEBBAttack errLydia Pate+2.8
158-7G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+2.9
168-8UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Olivia Lefebvre+2.9
179-8G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+3.0
189-9UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Olivia Lefebvre+3.0
199-10G WEBBG WEBBKillSamia Saydset Aleina Manaois+4.2
2010-10G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+3.1
2110-11UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Aleina Manaois+3.2
2211-11G WEBBUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+3.2
2311-12UNC AG WEBB×4KillCaroline Franklinset Aleina Manaois+3.3
2411-13G WEBBG WEBB×4Attack errCadence Nichols+4.5
2511-14G WEBBG WEBB×4AceCaroline Franklin+4.2
2611-15G WEBBG WEBB×4Attack errSarah Wadsworth+3.7
2712-15G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+2.2
2812-16UNC AG WEBBBlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Milla Lugo, Samia Sayd+2.8
2913-16G WEBBUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+2.2
3013-17UNC AG WEBB×3KillNicole Osborneset Olivia Lefebvre+2.8
3113-18G WEBBG WEBB×3BlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Milla Lugo, Parker LaFontaine+3.0
3213-19G WEBBG WEBB×3Attack errSarah Wadsworth+2.1
3314-19G WEBBUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.0
3414-20UNC AG WEBB×3KillMilla Lugoset Olivia Lefebvre+1.5
3514-21G WEBBG WEBB×3KillSarina Galyeanset Kiera Vazquez+1.1
3614-22G WEBBG WEBB×3Serve errGardner-Webb+0.5
3715-22G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+0.1
3815-23UNC AG WEBBKillCaroline Franklinset Olivia Lefebvre+0.3
3915-24G WEBBG WEBBServe errGardner-Webb+0.1
4016-24G WEBBUNC AServe errGardner-Webb·
4116-25UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Aleina Manaois+1.2
Set 5
11-0UNC AUNC A×3BlockedSarina Galyeanblk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot+8.7
22-0UNC AUNC A×3Attack errMilla Lugo+8.6
33-0UNC AUNC A×3KillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+8.2
43-1UNC AG WEBBKillMilla Lugoset Olivia Lefebvre+5.4
54-1G WEBBUNC AAttack errSarina Galyean+6.2
64-2UNC AG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Olivia Lefebvre+5.5
74-3G WEBBG WEBBKillSarina Galyeanset Aleina Manaois+8.7
85-3G WEBBUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+7.2
95-4UNC AG WEBBServe errUNC Asheville+6.6
105-5G WEBBG WEBBKillCaroline Franklinset Aleina Manaois+10.1
116-5G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+7.9
126-6UNC AG WEBB×4Serve errUNC Asheville+7.9
136-7G WEBBG WEBB×4BlockedCadence Nicholsblk Milla Lugo+11.4
146-8G WEBBG WEBB×4BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Samia Sayd, Milla Lugo+11.2
156-9G WEBBG WEBB×4BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Samia Sayd, Milla Lugo+10.1
167-9G WEBBUNC AServe errGardner-Webb+6.0
178-9UNC AUNC ABlockedNicole Osborneblk Cadence Nichols, Lily Bannister+10.5
188-10UNC AG WEBBServe errAddie Brookbank+9.4
199-10G WEBBUNC AKillLily Bannisterset Elise Jensen+8.2
209-11UNC AG WEBBServe errCatherine Hubiak+10.3
219-12G WEBBG WEBBKillMilla Lugoset Olivia Lefebvre+11.6
2210-12G WEBBUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+5.7
2310-13UNC AG WEBBKillMilla Lugoset Olivia Lefebvre+8.9
2411-13G WEBBUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Olivia Callipo+5.0
2511-14UNC AG WEBBServe errSarah Wadsworth+9.1
2611-15G WEBBG WEBBAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+4.8

Score shown after each rally, UNC Asheville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).