UCF vs TCU Volleyball: TCU Wins 3-1 (Oct 4, 2026)

Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: TCU 87.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

TCU beat visiting UCF 3-1 (25-8, 31-33, 25-19, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. TCU's Becca Kelley led with 21 kills, and Evan Hendrix added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 4

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
UCF	8	33	19	22	1
TCU	25	31	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

TCU broke it open with a 12–0 run in the first set.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.7 points, and UCF's high was 30% in Set 3. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave TCU 88% before first serve.

UCFTCU

Break %+16.1 pts
27.743.8
On serve: 46/105 against 23/83 (UCF sideout 56.2%).
Hitting+.125
.208.333
61 kills, 14 errors vs 55 kills, 23 errors.
Longest run+8
412
12 straight TCU points in the first set stretched a 10–6 lead to 22–6. The set finished 25–8.

TCU above 50UCF belowMax swing 5.7%

UCFTCU

Aces: UCF 3·TCU 12
Serve err: UCF 9·TCU 9
Blocks: UCF 6·TCU 10.51 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 19 BA
Digs: UCF 58·TCU 63

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

TCU above 50 · UCF below

Biggest swing: 5.7% to UCF — set 2, UCF 33-31 TCU. Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Abby Schomers). TCU win probability 88% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCF 13.6%86.4% TCU

UCF wins

3-0

2.0%

3-1

4.3%

3-2

7.3%

TCU wins

3-0

38.9%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.0%

UCF break %: 38.2% vs this opp
TCU break %: 46.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sasha CohenKill+5.7%
Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Abby Schomers)
Set 2 · UCF 33-31 TCU · UCF 12% → 18%
02
Kiki HorneKill+4.6%
Kill by Kiki Horne (set by Abby Schomers)
Set 2 · UCF 32-31 TCU · UCF 8% → 12%
03
Kinsley YoungKill+4.0%
Kill by Kinsley Young (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 3 · UCF 16-17 TCU · TCU 78% → 82%
04
TCUAce+3.9%
TCU ace on Avah Armour
Set 2 · UCF 25-26 TCU · TCU 91% → 95%
05
Nygeria HartBlock+3.9%
Reese Robins stuffed by Nygeria Hart
Set 4 · UCF 20-20 TCU · UCF 7% → 11%
06
Evan HendrixAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Evan Hendrix
Set 3 · UCF 12-9 TCU · UCF 27% → 30%
07
Becca KelleyKill+3.7%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Jalyn Gibson)
Set 4 · UCF 20-22 TCU · TCU 92% → 96%
08
Becca Kelley&De'Andrea McMillianBlock+3.5%
Ella Chapman stuffed by Becca Kelley & De'Andrea McMillian
Set 3 · UCF 13-13 TCU · TCU 75% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UCFaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Avah ArmourOH	4	16	5	49	.224	2	2	2	9	6	0	1	0.5	18.5
12Nygeria HartOH	4	11	11	34	.000	0	0	0	3	2	1	1	1.5	12.5
3Sasha CohenMB	4	7	3	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
8Ella ChapmanMB	4	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
1Abby SchomersS	4	2	0	8	.250	47	0	1	10	0	0	2	1	3
5Fallon StewartOH	4	0	1	3	-.333	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
14Kiki HorneOH	4	14	2	33	.364	0	1	0	9	1	0	1	0.5	15.5
9Alexa HaleyL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	12	2	0	0	0	0
2Sarah MendozaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	0	0
20Mikayla PorterS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Reese MooreL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		55	23	154	.208	52	3	9	58	12	1	10	6	82

TCUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Becca KelleyOH	4	21	6	42	.357	0	1	4	8	1	0	3	1.5	23.5
2Evan HendrixOH	4	18	5	45	.289	1	1	0	17	2	1	1	1.5	20.5
10Kinsley YoungMB	4	8	2	19	.316	0	2	1	1	0	0	4	2	12
5Jalyn GibsonOH	4	6	0	21	.286	4	2	2	5	0	0	4	2	10
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	4	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	4.5
17Rosemary ArcherS	4	2	0	4	.500	41	2	1	7	0	0	0	0	4
7Reese RobinsMB	4	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	3
0Alice VolpeL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	2	1	14	0	0	0	0	2
6Reese WilburnS	4	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
9Lauren MurphyOH	3	2	0	2	1.000	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
16Jaylen ClarkL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Mia LeeMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		61	14	141	.333	55	12	9	63	3	1	19	10.5	106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UCF · TCU 12

Set 1

8-25

Longest run 1 UCFTCU 12

Set 2

33-31

Longest run 4 UCFTCU 3

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 UCFTCU 3

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 UCFTCU 4

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UCF

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%12/32	23%3/13
2	58%11/19	8%1/13
3	63%10/16	45%9/20
4	69%9/13	29%4/14
5	82%9/11	25%3/12
6	57%8/14	27%3/11
All	56%59/105	28%23/83

TCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%12/14	44%8/18
2	58%11/19	58%15/26
3	69%11/16	42%8/19
4	91%10/11	41%7/17
5	62%8/13	25%3/12
6	80%8/10	38%5/13
All	72%60/83	44%46/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#	UCF-TCU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UCF	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
2	1-1	TCU	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Alexa Haley	+0.9
3	1-2	UCF	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
4	1-3	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Kinsley Young		+1.1
5	1-4	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
6	1-5	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
7	2-5	TCU	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
8	2-6	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
9	2-7	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
10	3-7	TCU	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.4
11	3-8	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
12	4-8	TCU	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.4
13	4-9	UCF	TCU	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
14	5-9	TCU	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.4
15	5-10	UCF	TCU	Attack err	Nygeria Hart		+0.5
16	6-10	TCU	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+0.5
17	6-11	UCF	TCU×12	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
18	6-12	TCU	TCU×12	Attack err	Nygeria Hart		+0.5
19	6-13	TCU	TCU×12	Ace	TCU	aced Avah Armour	+0.4
20	6-14	TCU	TCU×12	Attack err	Sasha Cohen		+0.2
21	6-15	TCU	TCU×12	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
22	6-16	TCU	TCU×12	Blocked	Avah Armour	blk Jalyn Gibson, Kinsley Young	+0.1
23	6-17	TCU	TCU×12	Attack err	Nygeria Hart		·
24	6-18	TCU	TCU×12	Blocked	Sasha Cohen	blk Kinsley Young, Evan Hendrix	·
25	6-19	TCU	TCU×12	Attack err	Avah Armour		·
26	6-20	TCU	TCU×12	Blocked	Nygeria Hart	blk Evan Hendrix	·
27	6-21	TCU	TCU×12	Kill	Evan Hendrix		·
28	6-22	TCU	TCU×12	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Rosemary Archer	·
29	7-22	TCU	UCF	Serve err	TCU		·
30	7-23	UCF	TCU	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Rosemary Archer	·
31	7-24	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU	aced Avah Armour	·
32	8-24	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	·
33	8-25	UCF	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	·
Set 2
1	1-0	TCU	UCF	Serve err	TCU		+0.7
2	1-1	UCF	TCU	Bad set	Abby Schomers		+0.6
3	2-1	TCU	UCF	Serve err	TCU		+0.7
4	3-1	UCF	UCF	Ace	UCF	aced Becca Kelley	+1.1
5	3-2	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
6	4-2	TCU	UCF×3	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+0.8
7	5-2	UCF	UCF×3	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Ella Chapman, Abby Schomers	+1.2
8	6-2	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+1.3
9	6-3	UCF	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
10	6-4	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+1.1
11	7-4	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.0
12	7-5	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
13	7-6	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU	aced Kiki Horne	+1.1
14	8-6	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.0
15	8-7	UCF	TCU	Serve err	UCF		+0.8
16	9-7	TCU	UCF	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.0
17	9-8	UCF	TCU	Serve err	UCF		+0.9
18	10-8	TCU	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+1.0
19	10-9	UCF	TCU	Blocked	Nygeria Hart	blk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian	+0.9
20	11-9	TCU	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.1
21	12-9	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.5
22	13-9	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Abby Schomers	set Avah Armour	+1.5
23	14-9	UCF	UCF×4	Ace	UCF	aced Evan Hendrix	+1.4
24	14-10	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
25	15-10	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.1
26	15-11	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
27	16-11	TCU	UCF	Serve err	TCU		+1.1
28	16-12	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
29	17-12	TCU	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+1.1
30	17-13	UCF	TCU×3	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+0.7
31	17-14	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+1.3
32	17-15	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU	aced Avah Armour	+1.5
33	18-15	TCU	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+1.5
34	19-15	UCF	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart		+1.8
35	19-16	UCF	TCU	Serve err	UCF		+0.9
36	19-17	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU	aced Alexa Haley	+1.6
37	20-17	TCU	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+1.6
38	20-18	UCF	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+1.1
39	20-19	TCU	TCU×3	Blocked	Nygeria Hart	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson	+2.0
40	20-20	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.2
41	21-20	TCU	UCF	Serve err	TCU		+2.0
42	22-20	UCF	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Avah Armour	+2.9
43	22-21	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.6
44	23-21	TCU	UCF	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+2.5
45	23-22	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.7
46	23-23	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU	aced Avah Armour	+3.4
47	24-23	TCU	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+3.4
48	24-24	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+3.4
49	25-24	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+3.4
50	25-25	UCF	TCU	Attack err	Avah Armour		+3.4
51	25-26	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU	aced Avah Armour	+3.9
52	26-26	TCU	UCF	Serve err	TCU		+2.8
53	26-27	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.8
54	27-27	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.8
55	27-28	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.8
56	28-28	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.8
57	28-29	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.8
58	29-29	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.8
59	29-30	UCF	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+2.8
60	30-30	TCU	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+2.8
61	30-31	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.8
62	31-31	TCU	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+2.8
63	32-31	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+4.6
64	33-31	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+5.7
Set 3
1	0-1	UCF	TCU	Serve err	UCF		+1.4
2	1-1	TCU	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+1.6
3	1-2	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Jalyn Gibson	+1.5
4	2-2	TCU	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Fallon Stewart	+1.6
5	2-3	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.5
6	3-3	TCU	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+1.7
7	3-4	UCF	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+1.6
8	4-4	TCU	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+1.7
9	5-4	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.7
10	6-4	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+3.0
11	6-5	UCF	TCU	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
12	7-5	TCU	UCF	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+2.3
13	7-6	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
14	7-7	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU	aced Sarah Mendoza	+2.8
15	8-7	TCU	UCF	Serve err	TCU		+2.2
16	9-7	UCF	UCF	Ace	UCF	aced Evan Hendrix	+3.3
17	9-8	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.2
18	10-8	TCU	UCF	Bad set	Rosemary Archer		+2.6
19	10-9	UCF	TCU	Serve err	UCF		+2.2
20	11-9	TCU	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+2.7
21	12-9	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+3.8
22	12-10	UCF	TCU	Serve err	UCF		+2.3
23	12-11	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Nygeria Hart	blk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young	+3.4
24	13-11	TCU	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+2.9
25	13-12	UCF	TCU	Serve err	UCF		+2.5
26	13-13	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Ella Chapman	blk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian	+3.5
27	14-13	TCU	UCF	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+2.9
28	14-14	UCF	TCU	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+2.6
29	15-14	TCU	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+3.1
30	15-15	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.8
31	16-15	TCU	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+3.3
32	16-16	UCF	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.9
33	16-17	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+4.0
34	16-18	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Nygeria Hart		+3.5
35	17-18	TCU	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+2.5
36	17-19	UCF	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.7
37	17-20	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU	aced Nygeria Hart	+3.0
38	17-21	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
39	18-21	TCU	UCF	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+1.0
40	18-22	UCF	TCU×3	Kill	Rosemary Archer	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
41	18-23	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+1.0
42	18-24	TCU	TCU×3	Blocked	Nygeria Hart	blk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young	+0.3
43	19-24	TCU	UCF	Kill	Abby Schomers		+0.1
44	19-25	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.1
Set 4
1	0-1	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.5
2	1-1	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Alexa Haley	+1.2
3	1-2	UCF	TCU	Serve err	UCF		+1.1
4	2-2	TCU	UCF×4	Serve err	TCU		+1.2
5	3-2	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+1.9
6	4-2	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Kiki Horne		+2.1
7	5-2	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+2.3
8	5-3	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
9	5-4	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU	aced Avah Armour	+2.0
10	6-4	TCU	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+1.7
11	6-5	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.5
12	6-6	TCU	TCU	Kill	Rosemary Archer	set Alexa Haley	+2.0
13	7-6	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.6
14	8-6	UCF	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+2.4
15	8-7	UCF	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.6
16	8-8	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Evan Hendrix	+2.1
17	9-8	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.7
18	9-9	UCF	TCU×3	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+1.6
19	9-10	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Nygeria Hart		+2.1
20	9-11	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU	aced Nygeria Hart	+1.8
21	10-11	TCU	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+1.4
22	10-12	UCF	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Alice Volpe	+1.4
23	10-13	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU	aced Alexa Haley	+1.6
24	10-14	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Fallon Stewart		+1.3
25	11-14	TCU	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+0.8
26	11-15	UCF	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
27	12-15	TCU	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+0.9
28	12-16	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.0
29	12-17	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+1.0
30	13-17	TCU	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
31	14-17	UCF	UCF×3	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Sasha Cohen, Abby Schomers	+1.1
32	15-17	UCF	UCF×3	Blocked	Becca Kelley	blk Kiki Horne, Sasha Cohen	+1.7
33	15-18	UCF	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
34	16-18	TCU	UCF	Serve err	TCU		+1.3
35	16-19	UCF	TCU	Attack err	Sasha Cohen		+1.5
36	17-19	TCU	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+1.3
37	18-19	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Becca Kelley	blk Sasha Cohen, Avah Armour	+2.6
38	18-20	UCF	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+2.1
39	19-20	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.0
40	20-20	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Reese Robins	blk Nygeria Hart	+3.9
41	20-21	UCF	TCU×4	Serve err	UCF		+3.0
42	20-22	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Jalyn Gibson	+3.7
43	20-23	TCU	TCU×4	Blocked	Nygeria Hart	blk Jalyn Gibson, De'Andrea McMillian	+2.5
44	20-24	TCU	TCU×4	Blocked	Avah Armour	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson, Becca Kelley	+1.2
45	21-24	TCU	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.3
46	22-24	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Becca Kelley	blk Nygeria Hart, Ella Chapman	+1.0
47	22-25	UCF	TCU	Attack err	Avah Armour		+1.6

Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

TCU def. UCF 3–1

TCU broke it open with a 12–0 run in the first set.