Cincinnati vs UCF Volleyball: Cincinnati Wins 3-0 (Oct 9)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: UCF 57.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cincinnati won at UCF 3-0 (25-22, 31-29, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Cincinnati's Sydney Nolan led with 21 kills, and Viktoria Ninova added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CINCY	25	31	25	3
UCF	22	29	18	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.432 on 44 swings: Sydney Nolan and Cincinnati edged UCF.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Cincinnati's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. UCF went in at 58% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Cincinnati 24–20 UCF
Down 20–24, UCF scored 4 straight to tie it at 24.
Cincinnati 83% → 65%
Turning point 2: Set 2 · Cincinnati 28–28 UCF
Cincinnati won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 31–29 and lead 2–0.
Cincinnati 65% → 84%

UCF above 50Cincinnati belowMax swing 11.3%

CincinnatiUCF

Sideout %: Cincinnati 60.6·UCF 51.9
Break %: Cincinnati 48.1·UCF 39.4
Hitting: Cincinnati .388·UCF .305
Longest run: Cincinnati 6·UCF 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UCF above 50 · Cincinnati below

Biggest swing: 11.3% to Cincinnati — set 2, CINCY 31-29 UCF. Avah Armour stuffed by Ligia Williams & Andi Spies. UCF win probability 27% → 16%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CINCY 45.9%54.1% UCF

Cincinnati wins

3-0

10.9%

3-1

17.0%

3-2

18.0%

UCF wins

3-0

14.3%

3-1

20.5%

3-2

19.3%

CINCY break %: 42.5% vs this opp
UCF break %: 43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ligia Williams&Andi SpiesBlock+11.3%
Avah Armour stuffed by Ligia Williams & Andi Spies
Set 2 · CINCY 31-29 UCF · CINCY 73% → 84%
02
Sydney NolanAttack error+11.0%
Attack error by Sydney Nolan
Set 2 · CINCY 24-24 UCF · UCF 24% → 35%
03
Sydney NolanKill+10.9%
Kill by Sydney Nolan (set by Andi Spies)
Set 2 · CINCY 30-29 UCF · CINCY 62% → 73%
04
Emma CookKill+10.6%
Kill by Emma Cook (set by Abby Schomers)
Set 2 · CINCY 28-29 UCF · UCF 35% → 46%
05
Sydney NolanKill+8.1%
Kill by Sydney Nolan (set by Andi Spies)
Set 2 · CINCY 25-24 UCF · CINCY 65% → 73%
06
Avah ArmourKill+8.1%
Kill by Avah Armour (set by Abby Schomers)
Set 2 · CINCY 25-25 UCF · UCF 27% → 35%
07
Sydney NolanKill+8.1%
Kill by Sydney Nolan (set by Andi Spies)
Set 2 · CINCY 26-25 UCF · CINCY 65% → 73%
08
Sarah MendozaKill+8.1%
Kill by Sarah Mendoza (set by Andi Spies)
Set 2 · CINCY 26-26 UCF · UCF 27% → 35%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Cincinnatiaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Sydney NolanOH	3	21	2	44	.432	0	1	2	2	0	0	2	1	23
7Andrea SimovskiOH	3	12	6	27	.222	0	1	0	8	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
5Lilian EntenmannMB	3	3	0	8	.375	0	1	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	7.5
8Ligia WilliamsOH	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
0Andi SpiesS	3	4	0	8	.500	44	0	0	7	0	0	2	1	5
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
11Nina ScruccaOPP	3	13	1	25	.480	0	1	1	4	0	0	4	2	16
9Kayla HostetlerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	3	11	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		57	10	121	.388	47	4	6	45	3	1	18	10	81

UCFhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Avah ArmourOH	3	19	5	44	.318	0	1	2	7	1	0	3	1.5	21.5
8Ella ChapmanMB	3	8	0	16	.500	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
3Sasha CohenMB	3	4	2	11	.182	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
5Fallon StewartOH	3	3	3	11	.000	1	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	4
1Abby SchomersS	3	1	0	2	.500	32	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	2
12Nygeria HartOH	2	2	2	6	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
14Kiki HorneOH	3	11	2	26	.346	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
2Sarah MendozaL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
9Alexa HaleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	17	0	0	0	0	1
20Mikayla PorterS	3	0	0	0	–	9	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
15Emma CookMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
19Chloe AlbiezOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	14	118	.305	46	3	4	49	4	1	12	7	69

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cincinnati vs UCF

Season series · Cincinnati leads 1-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026Cincinnati at UCF · Cincinnati won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 13, 2026UCF at CincinnatiPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CINCY · UCF 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 CINCYUCF 4

Set 2

31-29

Longest run 4 CINCYUCF 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 6 CINCYUCF 3

Bars above the line = UCF leads, below = Cincinnati leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cincinnati

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	57%8/14
2	50%7/14	30%3/10
3	58%7/12	46%6/13
4	70%7/10	63%12/19
5	70%7/10	36%4/11
6	64%7/11	42%5/12
All	61%43/71	48%38/79

UCF

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	38%5/13
2	64%7/11	46%6/13
3	33%7/21	36%4/11
4	64%7/11	46%6/13
5	64%7/11	36%4/11
6	55%6/11	30%3/10
All	52%41/79	39%28/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

150 rallies

#	CINCY-UCF	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UCF	UCF	Ace	UCF		+2.4
2	1-1	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Andi Spies		+1.8
3	1-2	CINCY	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.8
4	1-3	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+2.4
5	1-4	UCF	UCF×4	Ace	UCF	aced Andrea Simovski	+2.3
6	1-5	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Fallon Stewart	+2.1
7	2-5	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.4
8	2-6	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+1.6
9	3-6	UCF	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.4
10	4-6	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Avah Armour	blk Lilian Entenmann, Nina Scrucca	+2.2
11	5-6	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Viktoria Ninova	+2.5
12	6-6	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+2.7
13	6-7	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+2.0
14	7-7	UCF	CINCY×4	Serve err	UCF		+2.1
15	8-7	CINCY	CINCY×4	Ace	Cincinnati		+2.9
16	9-7	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+3.0
17	10-7	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+2.9
18	10-8	CINCY	UCF	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+1.9
19	11-8	UCF	CINCY×3	Blocked	Kiki Horne	blk Nina Scrucca, Ligia Williams	+2.2
20	12-8	CINCY	CINCY×3	Blocked	Sasha Cohen	blk Andrea Simovski, Ligia Williams	+2.7
21	13-8	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+2.4
22	13-9	CINCY	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+1.4
23	13-10	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Abby Schomers	+2.4
24	13-11	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Alexa Haley	+2.8
25	14-11	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Andi Spies		+2.4
26	14-12	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+2.1
27	15-12	UCF	CINCY	Blocked	Avah Armour	blk Ligia Williams, Andi Spies	+2.5
28	15-13	CINCY	UCF	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.1
29	16-13	UCF	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.6
30	17-13	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Andi Spies	+3.0
31	18-13	CINCY	CINCY×3	Blocked	Nygeria Hart	blk Sydney Nolan, Lilian Entenmann	+2.4
32	18-14	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.2
33	18-15	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.3
34	19-15	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.3
35	19-16	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.7
36	19-17	UCF	UCF	Ace	UCF	aced Viktoria Ninova	+3.1
37	20-17	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Andi Spies	+3.0
38	20-18	CINCY	UCF	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Ella Chapman	+2.3
39	21-18	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+3.2
40	21-19	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+2.3
41	22-19	UCF	CINCY×3	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+3.3
42	23-19	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams		+3.1
43	24-19	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.4
44	24-20	CINCY	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+0.3
45	24-21	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+0.8
46	24-22	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.9
47	25-22	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+3.3
Set 2
1	0-1	CINCY	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+1.9
2	0-2	UCF	UCF×3	Blocked	Ligia Williams	blk Ella Chapman, Avah Armour	+2.6
3	0-3	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Andi Spies	+2.5
4	1-3	UCF	CINCY	Attack err	Avah Armour		+1.7
5	1-4	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+1.8
6	2-4	UCF	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.7
7	3-4	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.6
8	4-4	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Avah Armour	blk Lilian Entenmann, Nina Scrucca	+2.8
9	5-4	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+3.0
10	5-5	CINCY	UCF×3	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+2.1
11	5-6	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Abby Schomers	set Viktoria Ninova	+3.0
12	5-7	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.9
13	6-7	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.1
14	6-8	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+2.2
15	6-9	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Emma Cook, Abby Schomers	+2.8
16	7-9	UCF	CINCY	Serve err	UCF		+1.9
17	7-10	CINCY	UCF	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.1
18	8-10	UCF	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+1.9
19	9-10	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+3.0
20	10-10	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Andrea Simovski		+3.3
21	10-11	CINCY	UCF	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.5
22	11-11	UCF	CINCY×4	Kill	Andi Spies		+2.5
23	12-11	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+3.7
24	13-11	CINCY	CINCY×4	Ace	Cincinnati		+3.7
25	14-11	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+3.6
26	14-12	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.3
27	15-12	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.7
28	15-13	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.3
29	16-13	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.8
30	16-14	CINCY	UCF×3	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+2.4
31	16-15	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+3.8
32	16-16	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+4.3
33	17-16	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+3.4
34	18-16	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+4.7
35	18-17	CINCY	UCF	Serve err	Cincinnati		+3.0
36	19-17	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+3.7
37	20-17	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca		+4.5
38	20-18	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Sarah Mendoza	+2.5
39	21-18	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+3.5
40	21-19	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Abby Schomers	+2.5
41	22-19	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+3.6
42	22-20	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.4
43	23-20	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Andi Spies	set Alexa Haley	+3.8
44	24-20	CINCY	CINCY	Blocked	Sasha Cohen	blk Sydney Nolan, Lilian Entenmann	+3.0
45	24-21	CINCY	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+0.6
46	24-22	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Sarah Mendoza	+2.0
47	24-23	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Abby Schomers	+4.8
48	24-24	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+11.0
49	25-24	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+8.1
50	25-25	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+8.1
51	26-25	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+8.1
52	26-26	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Sarah Mendoza	set Andi Spies	+8.1
53	27-26	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+8.1
54	27-27	CINCY	UCF	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Abby Schomers, Emma Cook	+8.1
55	28-27	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+8.1
56	28-28	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+8.1
57	28-29	UCF	UCF	Kill	Emma Cook	set Abby Schomers	+10.6
58	29-29	UCF	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+7.8
59	30-29	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+10.9
60	31-29	CINCY	CINCY×3	Blocked	Avah Armour	blk Ligia Williams, Andi Spies	+11.3
Set 3
1	0-1	UCF	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Abby Schomers	+1.9
2	1-1	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+1.4
3	2-1	CINCY	CINCY	Bad set	Abby Schomers		+2.0
4	2-2	CINCY	UCF	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.5
5	2-3	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Abby Schomers	+2.0
6	3-3	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Andi Spies	+1.5
7	4-3	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.1
8	4-4	CINCY	UCF	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Avah Armour, Sasha Cohen	+1.5
9	5-4	UCF	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+1.6
10	6-4	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Fallon Stewart	blk Lilian Entenmann, Nina Scrucca	+2.2
11	7-4	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Nygeria Hart		+2.2
12	8-4	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Viktoria Ninova	+2.0
13	8-5	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.3
14	9-5	UCF	CINCY	Serve err	UCF		+1.5
15	9-6	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Fallon Stewart	set Mikayla Porter	+1.3
16	9-7	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+2.1
17	10-7	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+1.7
18	11-7	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Avah Armour	+2.2
19	11-8	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Mikayla Porter	+1.3
20	11-9	UCF	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+2.1
21	12-9	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+1.8
22	13-9	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+2.2
23	13-10	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.4
24	14-10	UCF	CINCY	Serve err	UCF		+1.7
25	15-10	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.9
26	15-11	CINCY	UCF	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.1
27	16-11	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.4
28	16-12	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Fallon Stewart	set Mikayla Porter	+1.1
29	17-12	UCF	CINCY×6	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+1.4
30	18-12	CINCY	CINCY×6	Blocked	Fallon Stewart	blk Lilian Entenmann	+1.5
31	19-12	CINCY	CINCY×6	Ace	Cincinnati		+1.0
32	20-12	CINCY	CINCY×6	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+0.6
33	21-12	CINCY	CINCY×6	Bad set	Mikayla Porter		+0.3
34	22-12	CINCY	CINCY×6	Attack err	Fallon Stewart		+0.1
35	22-13	CINCY	UCF	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Avah Armour, Ella Chapman	·
36	22-14	UCF	UCF	Kill	Fallon Stewart	set Alexa Haley	+0.1
37	23-14	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+0.1
38	23-15	CINCY	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	·
39	23-16	UCF	UCF×3	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Kiki Horne, Ella Chapman	+0.1
40	23-17	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Ella Chapman		+0.1
41	24-17	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+0.2
42	24-18	CINCY	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	·
43	25-18	UCF	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Cincinnati first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Cincinnati def. UCF 3–0

.432 on 44 swings: Sydney Nolan and Cincinnati edged UCF.