UCF vs Texas Tech Volleyball: UCF Wins 3-0 (Oct 23, 2026)

FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: UCF 80.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UCF won at Texas Tech 3-0 (25-13, 25-20, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. UCF's Avah Armour led with 15 kills, and Alexa Haley added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 4:15 PM CT · final Oct 23

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UCF	25	25	25	3
TXTECH	13	20	23	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Natasha Casey in a UCF rout.

Win probability never moved more than 2.4 points on one rally; Texas Tech topped out at 21% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UCF at 81%.

UCFTexas Tech

Break %+16.2 pts
50.734.5
37 of 73 on serve vs 20 of 58, so Texas Tech's sideout was 49.3%.
Hitting+.220
.283.063
37 K / 11 E against 32 K / 26 E.

Texas Tech above 50UCF belowMax swing 2.4%

UCFTexas Tech

Aces: UCF 8·Texas Tech 4
Serve err: UCF 8·Texas Tech 4
Blocks: UCF 10·Texas Tech 43 BS · 14 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs: UCF 29·Texas Tech 38

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Texas Tech above 50 · UCF below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to UCF — set 3, UCF 25-23 TXTECH. Ace by Natasha Casey. TXTECH win probability 2% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCF 82.6%17.4% TXTECH

UCF wins

3-0

34.3%

3-1

30.9%

3-2

17.5%

Texas Tech wins

3-0

2.7%

3-1

5.7%

3-2

9.0%

UCF break %: 45.7% vs this opp
TXTECH break %: 38.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Natasha CaseyAce+2.4%
Ace by Natasha Casey
Set 3 · UCF 25-23 TXTECH · UCF 98% → 100%
02
Avah ArmourAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Avah Armour
Set 2 · UCF 17-17 TXTECH · TXTECH 9% → 11%
03
Avah ArmourKill+2.2%
Kill by Avah Armour (set by Mikayla Porter)
Set 2 · UCF 19-17 TXTECH · UCF 90% → 92%
04
Aviya RussoAce+2.1%
Ace by Aviya Russo on Avah Armour
Set 3 · UCF 23-23 TXTECH · TXTECH 2% → 4%
05
Mikayla PorterAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Mikayla Porter
Set 2 · UCF 10-12 TXTECH · TXTECH 13% → 15%
06
Natasha CaseyKill+2.0%
Kill by Natasha Casey (set by Mikayla Porter)
Set 3 · UCF 24-23 TXTECH · UCF 96% → 98%
07
Gretchen SigmanAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Gretchen Sigman
Set 3 · UCF 22-21 TXTECH · UCF 95% → 97%
08
Kiki HorneKill+1.9%
Kill by Kiki Horne (set by Reese Moore)
Set 2 · UCF 12-12 TXTECH · UCF 87% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UCFaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Avah ArmourOH	3	15	2	37	.351	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	15
16Natasha CaseyOPP	3	4	2	11	.182	0	5	4	1	0	0	4	2	11
3Sasha CohenMB	3	5	0	11	.455	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
8Ella ChapmanMB	3	3	3	8	.000	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	6
20Mikayla PorterS	3	0	1	4	-.250	31	0	1	6	0	1	0	1	1
5Fallon StewartOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	0	0
14Kiki HorneOH	3	10	3	21	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
9Alexa HaleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	10	0	0	0	0	2
19Chloe AlbiezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Reese MooreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	11	92	.283	37	8	8	29	4	3	14	10	75

Texas Techhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Aviya RussoOH	3	6	6	22	.000	1	3	1	9	0	0	2	1	10
11Tatum JohnsonOH	3	5	2	8	.375	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
2Gretchen SigmanOH	3	4	3	9	.111	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4
10Katelyn CochranS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	0
5Elia DinsmoreOH	2	2	7	12	-.417	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3
13Shelby IgnashMB	2	2	2	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
6Kenna McKenzieOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
24Ava JohnsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
12Taylor CookS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
8Sara BowcuttOH	2	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	3	2	1	0	1	5
0Faith JordanMB	2	4	1	11	.273	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
21Emily ContrerasL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	26	95	.063	31	4	4	38	8	2	4	4	56

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UCF · TXTECH 3

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 4 UCFTXTECH 2

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 UCFTXTECH 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 UCFTXTECH 3

Bars above the line = Texas Tech leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UCF

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	50%6/12
2	53%8/15	47%7/15
3	75%6/8	50%6/12
4	67%6/9	60%9/15
5	100%5/5	38%3/8
6	50%5/10	55%6/11
All	66%38/58	51%37/73

Texas Tech

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	42%5/12
2	47%7/15	47%7/15
3	50%6/12	22%2/9
4	50%5/10	40%4/10
5	50%5/10	0%0/5
6	50%5/10	29%2/7
All	49%36/73	34%20/58

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	UCF-TXTECH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Aviya Russo	+1.8
2	1-1	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.3
3	1-2	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Katelyn Cochran	+1.4
4	2-2	TXTECH	UCF×3	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Mikayla Porter	+1.3
5	3-2	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Tatum Johnson		+1.7
6	4-2	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.6
7	4-3	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Gretchen Sigman	set Katelyn Cochran	+1.2
8	4-4	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Elia Dinsmore	set Katelyn Cochran	+1.8
9	5-4	TXTECH	UCF×3	Attack err	Gretchen Sigman		+1.3
10	6-4	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Mikayla Porter	+1.7
11	7-4	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Shelby Ignash		+1.5
12	7-5	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Elia Dinsmore	set Katelyn Cochran	+1.0
13	8-5	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.1
14	9-5	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Elia Dinsmore	blk Kiki Horne, Sasha Cohen	+1.3
15	9-6	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Shelby Ignash	set Taylor Cook	+0.9
16	10-6	TXTECH	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+0.9
17	11-6	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.1
18	12-6	UCF	UCF×3	Blocked	Kenna McKenzie	blk Sasha Cohen, Kiki Horne	+0.8
19	12-7	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Shelby Ignash	set Taylor Cook	+0.5
20	13-7	TXTECH	UCF	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.6
21	13-8	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Aviya Russo	set Taylor Cook	+0.5
22	14-8	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+0.6
23	15-8	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Elia Dinsmore	blk Ella Chapman	+0.6
24	15-9	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Aviya Russo	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.3
25	15-10	TXTECH	TXTECH	Ace	Aviya Russo	aced Fallon Stewart	+0.6
26	16-10	TXTECH	UCF×4	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Mikayla Porter	+0.6
27	17-10	UCF	UCF×4	Ace	UCF		+0.5
28	18-10	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Elia Dinsmore		+0.3
29	19-10	UCF	UCF×4	Ace	UCF		+0.2
30	19-11	UCF	TXTECH	Serve err	UCF		+0.1
31	20-11	TXTECH	UCF×4	Attack err	Elia Dinsmore		+0.1
32	21-11	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Gretchen Sigman		+0.1
33	22-11	UCF	UCF×4	Blocked	Shelby Ignash	blk Kiki Horne, Ella Chapman	·
34	23-11	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Elia Dinsmore		·
35	23-12	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Gretchen Sigman	set Katelyn Cochran	·
36	23-13	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Taylor Cook	·
37	24-13	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	·
38	25-13	UCF	UCF	Ace	UCF		·
Set 2
1	0-1	UCF	TXTECH	Serve err	UCF		+1.0
2	0-2	TXTECH	TXTECH	Ace	Aviya Russo		+1.5
3	1-2	TXTECH	UCF	Serve err	Aviya Russo		+1.0
4	1-3	UCF	TXTECH	Attack err	Avah Armour		+1.1
5	2-3	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.0
6	2-4	UCF	TXTECH	Blocked	Ella Chapman	blk Elia Dinsmore	+1.1
7	3-4	TXTECH	UCF	Serve err	Texas Tech		+1.0
8	3-5	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Taylor Cook	+1.2
9	4-5	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Alexa Haley	+1.1
10	4-6	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Taylor Cook	+1.2
11	5-6	TXTECH	UCF×3	Blocked	Aviya Russo	blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey	+1.1
12	6-6	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Alexa Haley	+1.5
13	7-6	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+1.4
14	7-7	UCF	TXTECH	Serve err	UCF		+1.1
15	7-8	TXTECH	TXTECH	Blocked	Natasha Casey	blk Aviya Russo	+1.7
16	8-8	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.1
17	8-9	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Gretchen Sigman	set Katelyn Cochran	+1.3
18	9-9	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Mikayla Porter	+1.2
19	9-10	UCF	TXTECH	Serve err	UCF		+1.3
20	10-10	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Mikayla Porter	+1.2
21	10-11	UCF	TXTECH	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+1.4
22	10-12	TXTECH	TXTECH	Attack err	Mikayla Porter		+2.0
23	11-12	TXTECH	UCF×4	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.3
24	12-12	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Reese Moore	+1.9
25	13-12	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.8
26	14-12	UCF	UCF×4	Blocked	Elia Dinsmore	blk Mikayla Porter	+1.6
27	14-13	UCF	TXTECH	Serve err	Chloe Albiez		+1.2
28	15-13	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.2
29	16-13	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.5
30	16-14	UCF	TXTECH	Serve err	Mikayla Porter		+1.0
31	17-14	TXTECH	UCF	Blocked	Aviya Russo	blk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen	+1.1
32	17-15	UCF	TXTECH×3	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Taylor Cook	+1.0
33	17-16	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Blocked	Natasha Casey	blk Faith Jordan, Aviya Russo	+1.8
34	17-17	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Attack err	Avah Armour		+2.3
35	18-17	TXTECH	UCF×4	Attack err	Aviya Russo		+1.7
36	19-17	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+2.2
37	20-17	UCF	UCF×4	Ace	Alexa Haley	aced Sara Bowcutt	+1.7
38	21-17	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Aviya Russo		+1.2
39	21-18	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Faith Jordan	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.6
40	22-18	TXTECH	UCF×3	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.9
41	23-18	UCF	UCF×3	Ace	Natasha Casey		+0.6
42	24-18	UCF	UCF×3	Ace	Natasha Casey	aced Emily Contreras	+0.2
43	24-19	UCF	TXTECH	Serve err	Natasha Casey		·
44	24-20	TXTECH	TXTECH	Blocked	Ella Chapman	blk Sara Bowcutt	+0.1
45	25-20	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Aviya Russo	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.7
2	1-1	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+0.5
3	2-1	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Faith Jordan	blk Ella Chapman	+0.7
4	2-2	UCF	TXTECH×3	Bad set	Avah Armour		+0.5
5	2-3	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Kill	Sara Bowcutt	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.8
6	2-4	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Kill	Gretchen Sigman	set Ava Johnson	+0.8
7	3-4	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Ella Chapman	+0.5
8	3-5	UCF	TXTECH	Serve err	Natasha Casey		+0.6
9	4-5	TXTECH	UCF	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.6
10	4-6	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.6
11	4-7	TXTECH	TXTECH	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+0.9
12	5-7	TXTECH	UCF	Attack err	Sara Bowcutt		+0.6
13	5-8	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Taylor Cook	+0.7
14	6-8	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Alexa Haley	+0.6
15	6-9	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Aviya Russo	set Taylor Cook	+0.7
16	7-9	TXTECH	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+0.6
17	8-9	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+0.9
18	9-9	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Kenna McKenzie		+0.9
19	9-10	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Taylor Cook	+0.7
20	10-10	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+0.6
21	10-11	UCF	TXTECH×3	Kill	Faith Jordan	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.7
22	10-12	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Kill	Faith Jordan	set Katelyn Cochran	+1.1
23	10-13	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Kill	Sara Bowcutt	set Ava Johnson	+1.1
24	11-13	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+0.7
25	11-14	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Sara Bowcutt	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.8
26	12-14	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+0.7
27	13-14	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Sara Bowcutt		+1.0
28	13-15	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Sara Bowcutt	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.9
29	13-16	TXTECH	TXTECH	Attack err	Ella Chapman		+1.2
30	14-16	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+0.7
31	14-17	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Taylor Cook	+0.9
32	15-17	TXTECH	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+0.7
33	16-17	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Tatum Johnson		+1.2
34	17-17	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Kenna McKenzie		+1.3
35	17-18	UCF	TXTECH×3	Kill	Aviya Russo	set Ava Johnson	+1.0
36	17-19	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+1.5
37	17-20	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Ace	Tatum Johnson	aced Avah Armour	+1.5
38	18-20	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+0.8
39	19-20	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Aviya Russo	blk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen	+1.4
40	19-21	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Aviya Russo	set Taylor Cook	+1.3
41	20-21	TXTECH	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Alexa Haley	+1.0
42	21-21	UCF	UCF×4	Blocked	Aviya Russo	blk Natasha Casey, Ella Chapman	+1.8
43	22-21	UCF	UCF×4	Attack err	Gretchen Sigman		+1.9
44	23-21	UCF	UCF×4	Ace	Alexa Haley	aced Sara Bowcutt	+1.6
45	23-22	UCF	TXTECH	Kill	Faith Jordan	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.9
46	23-23	TXTECH	TXTECH	Ace	Aviya Russo	aced Avah Armour	+2.1
47	24-23	TXTECH	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Mikayla Porter	+2.0
48	25-23	UCF	UCF	Ace	Natasha Casey		+2.4

Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UCF def. Texas Tech 3–0

5 aces from Natasha Casey in a UCF rout.