FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arizona St. def. UCF 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Arizona St. 94.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arizona St. beat visiting UCF 3-0 (25-14, 25-16, 25-11) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Arizona St.'s Maeva Schalk led with 13 kills, and Isabella Costantini added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
UCF1416110
AZ ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Maeva Schalk hit .435 with 13 kills as Arizona St. rolled past UCF.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.0 points, and UCF's high was 7% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Arizona St. at 94%.

UCFArizona St.
  • Break %+35.3 pts
    20.956.2

    On serve: 41/73 against 9/43 (UCF sideout 43.8%).

  • Hitting+.399
    .034.433

    47 K / 8 E against 22 K / 19 E.

  • Longest run+6
    39

    Arizona St. scored 9 straight in the first set to go from 10–10 to a 19–10 lead. The set finished 25–14.

Arizona St. above 50UCF belowMax swing 1.0%

UCFArizona St.

Aces
UCF 1·Arizona St. 6
Serve err
UCF 3·Arizona St. 10
Blocks
UCF 2·Arizona St. 91 BS · 2 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
UCF 27·Arizona St. 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arizona St. above 50 · UCF below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.0% UCFrally 116 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.0% to UCF — set 1, UCF 10-10 AZ ST. Attack error by Ella Lomigora. AZ ST win probability 94% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCF 3.9%96.1% AZ ST

UCF wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.4%

Arizona St. wins

3-0
58.8%
3-1
28.6%
3-2
8.7%
UCF break %
35.5% vs this opp
AZ ST break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ella LomigoraAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Ella Lomigora

    Set 1 · UCF 10-10 AZ ST · UCF 6% → 7%

  2. 02
    Ella LomigoraKill+0.9%

    Kill by Ella Lomigora

    Set 1 · UCF 10-12 AZ ST · AZ ST 94% → 95%

  3. 03
    Avah ArmourKill+0.8%

    Kill by Avah Armour (set by Alexa Haley)

    Set 1 · UCF 8-9 AZ ST · UCF 5% → 6%

  4. 04
    Una VajagicAttack error+0.7%

    Attack error by Una Vajagic

    Set 1 · UCF 6-7 AZ ST · UCF 5% → 5%

  5. 05
    Arizona St.Ace+0.7%

    Arizona St. ace on Alexa Haley

    Set 1 · UCF 10-13 AZ ST · AZ ST 95% → 96%

  6. 06
    Noemie GloverKill+0.7%

    Kill by Noemie Glover (set by Isabella Costantini)

    Set 1 · UCF 10-11 AZ ST · AZ ST 93% → 94%

  7. 07

    Maeva Schalk stuffed by Mikayla Porter & Ella Chapman

    Set 2 · UCF 5-3 AZ ST · UCF 3% → 4%

  8. 08
    Sasha CohenKill+0.6%

    Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Mikayla Porter)

    Set 1 · UCF 9-10 AZ ST · UCF 5% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UCFaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35418.056000440005
34212.167000500004
33210.100000101014
33110.20000000010.53.5
3017-.143011100001
3035-.600180170010.50.5
37624.042000100007
3000–200220000
3000–101400000
2003.000000200000
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals221989.034211327612241
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311219.47404381010.515.5
312025.4802007004214
313323.4351016000013
3509.55600000153.58.5
3317.28639121000215
3316.333000001225
3000–012100001
3000–100100000
3000–200800000
3000–002100000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals47890.43345610421214975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 UCF · AZ ST 9

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 UCFAZ ST 9

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 UCFAZ ST 5

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 UCFAZ ST 5

Bars above the line = Arizona St. leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UCF

SlotSideout %Break %
1
29%6/21
25%2/8
2
60%6/10
14%1/7
3
60%6/10
40%4/10
4
35%6/17
0%0/6
5
50%4/8
14%1/7
6
57%4/7
20%1/5
All
44%32/73
21%9/43

Arizona St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
33%2/6
2
75%6/8
71%15/21
3
75%6/8
45%5/11
4
100%6/6
54%7/13
5
86%6/7
57%8/14
6
67%4/6
50%4/8
All
79%34/43
56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

116 rallies

#UCF-AZ STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UCFAZ ST×4KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.5
20-2AZ STAZ ST×4AceArizona St.aced Avah Armour+0.6
30-3AZ STAZ ST×4BlockedSasha Cohenblk Ella Lomigora+0.5
40-4AZ STAZ ST×4AceArizona St.aced Avah Armour+0.4
51-4AZ STUCFKillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+0.3
61-5UCFAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.3
72-5AZ STUCFAttack errMaeva Schalk+0.3
83-5UCFUCFAceNatasha Caseyaced Una Vajagic+0.5
93-6UCFAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.4
104-6AZ STUCFKillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+0.4
114-7UCFAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.4
125-7AZ STUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter+0.4
136-7UCFUCFAttack errUna Vajagic+0.7
146-8UCFAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.5
156-9AZ STAZ STBlockedMikayla Porterblk Una Vajagic, Ella Lomigora+0.6
167-9AZ STUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter+0.4
178-9UCFUCFKillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+0.8
188-10UCFAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.5
199-10AZ STUCFKillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter+0.6
2010-10UCFUCFAttack errElla Lomigora+1.0
2110-11UCFAZ ST×9KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.7
2210-12AZ STAZ ST×9KillElla Lomigora+0.9
2310-13AZ STAZ ST×9AceArizona St.aced Alexa Haley+0.7
2410-14AZ STAZ ST×9AceArizona St.aced Avah Armour+0.5
2510-15AZ STAZ ST×9KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.4
2610-16AZ STAZ ST×9Attack errAvah Armour+0.3
2710-17AZ STAZ ST×9BlockedAvah Armourblk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora+0.2
2810-18AZ STAZ ST×9Serve errUna Vajagic+0.1
2910-19AZ STAZ ST×9KillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
3011-19AZ STUCFServe errUna Vajagic·
3111-20UCFAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini·
3212-20AZ STUCFKillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter·
3312-21UCFAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
3413-21AZ STUCFServe errArizona St.·
3513-22UCFAZ ST×3KillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini·
3613-23AZ STAZ ST×3KillIsabella Costantiniset Faith Frame·
3713-24AZ STAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini·
3814-24AZ STUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter·
3914-25UCFAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
Set 2
10-1AZ STAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Faith Frame+0.4
21-1AZ STUCFServe errArizona St.+0.3
32-1UCFUCFKillFallon Stewartset Mikayla Porter+0.5
42-2UCFAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.4
52-3AZ STAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Isabella Costantini+0.5
63-3AZ STUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+0.4
74-3UCFUCF×3KillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter+0.6
85-3UCFUCF×3BlockedMaeva Schalkblk Mikayla Porter, Ella Chapman+0.7
95-4UCFAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.4
105-5AZ STAZ STBlockedFallon Stewartblk Noemie Glover, Zoey Burgess+0.6
116-5AZ STUCFKillFallon Stewartset Sarah Mendoza+0.5
126-6UCFAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.4
136-7AZ STAZ STAttack errKiki Horne+0.5
147-7AZ STUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter+0.4
157-8UCFAZ ST×3KillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.4
167-9AZ STAZ ST×3BlockedKiki Horneblk Isabella Costantini, Zoey Burgess+0.5
177-10AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errKiki Horne+0.4
188-10AZ STUCFServe errArizona St.+0.3
198-11UCFAZ STServe errMikayla Porter+0.3
209-11AZ STUCFKillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+0.3
2110-11UCFUCFAttack errUna Vajagic+0.5
2210-12UCFAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.4
2311-12AZ STUCFKillFallon Stewartset Alexa Haley+0.4
2411-13UCFAZ STServe errNatasha Casey+0.4
2512-13AZ STUCFKillFallon Stewartset Mikayla Porter+0.4
2612-14UCFAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.4
2712-15AZ STAZ STBlockedFallon Stewartblk Noemie Glover, Zoey Burgess+0.5
2813-15AZ STUCFServe errArizona St.+0.3
2913-16UCFAZ ST×5KillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.4
3013-17AZ STAZ ST×5KillIsabella Costantini+0.4
3113-18AZ STAZ ST×5Attack errKiki Horne+0.3
3213-19AZ STAZ ST×5AceArizona St.aced Alexa Haley+0.2
3313-20AZ STAZ ST×5KillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.1
3414-20AZ STUCFServe errUna Vajagic·
3514-21UCFAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.1
3615-21AZ STUCFKillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter·
3715-22UCFAZ ST×3KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
3815-23AZ STAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Ella Lewis·
3915-24AZ STAZ ST×3KillIsabella Costantiniset Noemie Glover·
4016-24AZ STUCFBlockedIsabella Costantiniblk Sasha Cohen·
4116-25UCFAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini·
Set 3
10-1UCFAZ ST×4KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
20-2AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errMikayla Porter+0.2
30-3AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errElla Chapman+0.1
40-4AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errNatasha Casey+0.1
51-4AZ STUCFServe errArizona St.+0.1
61-5UCFAZ ST×4KillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.1
71-6AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errAvah Armour+0.1
81-7AZ STAZ ST×4BlockedAvah Armourblk Noemie Glover, Zoey Burgess+0.1
91-8AZ STAZ ST×4KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
102-8AZ STUCFServe errArizona St.·
113-8UCFUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter+0.1
123-9UCFAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.1
133-10AZ STAZ STAttack errKiki Horne+0.1
144-10AZ STUCFAttack errKiylah Presley·
154-11UCFAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini·
165-11AZ STUCFKillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter·
175-12UCFAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
185-13AZ STAZ STAttack errKiki Horne·
196-13AZ STUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter·
206-14UCFAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Maeva Schalk·
216-15AZ STAZ STAceArizona St.aced Avah Armour·
227-15AZ STUCFServe errIsabella Costantini·
237-16UCFAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Isabella Costantini·
248-16AZ STUCFServe errArizona St.·
258-17UCFAZ STServe errSarah Mendoza·
269-17AZ STUCFAttack errMaeva Schalk·
279-18UCFAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
289-19AZ STAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
2910-19AZ STUCFKillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter·
3010-20UCFAZ ST×5KillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
3110-21AZ STAZ ST×5BlockedSasha Cohenblk Zoey Burgess·
3210-22AZ STAZ ST×5KillUna Vajagicset Noemie Glover·
3310-23AZ STAZ ST×5KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
3410-24AZ STAZ ST×5KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
3511-24AZ STUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter·
3611-25UCFAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini·

Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).