UCF vs Arizona Volleyball: UCF Wins 3-0 (Nov 1, 2026)

FinalSun, Nov 1, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: UCF 57.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UCF won at Arizona 3-0 (25-20, 25-23, 25-23) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. UCF's Avah Armour led with 16 kills, and Alexa Haley added 21 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Nov 1

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UCF	25	25	25	3
ARIZ	20	23	23	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 15–19 in the second, UCF took the set and then the match.

The match turned twice. Numbers are UCF's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. UCF went in as RallyIQ's 58% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · UCF 16–16 Arizona
UCF scored 5 straight to go from 16–16 to a 21–16 lead.
UCF 57% → 73%
Turning point 2: Set 2 · UCF 22–22 Arizona
UCF closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–0.
UCF 73% → 90%

Arizona above 50UCF belowMax swing 8.7%

UCFArizona

Sideout %: UCF 58.8·Arizona 52.1
Break %: UCF 47.9·Arizona 41.2
Hitting: UCF .181·Arizona .086
Longest run: UCF 5·Arizona 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arizona above 50 · UCF below

Biggest swing: 8.7% to UCF — set 2, UCF 25-23 ARIZ. Kill by Nygeria Hart (set by Mikayla Porter). ARIZ win probability 18% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCF 59.3%40.7% ARIZ

UCF wins

3-0

16.8%

3-1

22.6%

3-2

19.9%

Arizona wins

3-0

9.0%

3-1

14.9%

3-2

16.8%

UCF break %: 44.1% vs this opp
ARIZ break %: 42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Nygeria HartKill+8.7%
Kill by Nygeria Hart (set by Mikayla Porter)
Set 2 · UCF 25-23 ARIZ · UCF 82% → 90%
02
Fallon StewartAce+7.1%
Ace by Fallon Stewart on Carlie Cisneros
Set 2 · UCF 23-22 ARIZ · UCF 73% → 80%
03
Avah ArmourKill+6.8%
Kill by Avah Armour (set by Mikayla Porter)
Set 2 · UCF 24-23 ARIZ · UCF 75% → 82%
04
Sasha CohenKill+5.9%
Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Mikayla Porter)
Set 2 · UCF 22-22 ARIZ · UCF 67% → 73%
05
Kennedy OsunsanmiKill+5.4%
Kill by Kennedy Osunsanmi (set by Gigi Whann)
Set 2 · UCF 20-22 ARIZ · ARIZ 31% → 36%
06
Destiny Ndam-SimpsonKill+5.2%
Kill by Destiny Ndam-Simpson (set by Kennedy Osunsanmi)
Set 2 · UCF 23-23 ARIZ · ARIZ 20% → 25%
07
Sasha CohenKill+4.7%
Kill by Sasha Cohen (set by Mikayla Porter)
Set 2 · UCF 20-20 ARIZ · UCF 69% → 73%
08
Kennedy OsunsanmiAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Kennedy Osunsanmi
Set 3 · UCF 24-22 ARIZ · UCF 94% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UCFaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Avah ArmourOH	3	16	6	44	.227	2	1	2	13	0	0	0	17
3Sasha CohenMB	3	7	1	19	.316	0	0	0	2	0	6	3	10
16Natasha CaseyOPP	3	6	4	20	.100	1	0	2	3	0	4	2	8
8Ella ChapmanMB	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
5Fallon StewartOH	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	1	0	7	0	0	0	1
20Mikayla PorterS	3	0	1	3	-.333	36	0	3	14	0	2	1	1
14Kiki HorneOH	3	10	4	42	.143	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	10.5
9Alexa HaleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	21	0	0	0	0
11Reese MooreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
2Sarah MendozaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	12	0	0	0	0
12Nygeria HartOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		44	18	144	.181	43	2	7	77	2	16	8	75

Arizonahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Carlie CisnerosOH	3	9	8	39	.026	0	0	1	14	1	0	0	0	9
18Destiny Ndam-SimpsonOH	3	8	8	44	.000	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
14Kennedy OsunsanmiOPP	3	7	1	27	.222	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	8
22Journey TuckerMB	3	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
7Harmony SampleS	3	0	0	4	.000	31	1	1	11	0	0	2	1	2
23Marina VoslooMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
8Kristen DearMB	3	6	3	15	.200	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	7
5Gigi WhannL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	27	0	0	0	0	0
1Maria Olga SiapaniS	2	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
21Hayden ReederOH	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
19Brookelyn HattonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		37	24	152	.086	36	2	3	74	2	1	10	6	66

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UCF · ARIZ 6

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 UCFARIZ 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 UCFARIZ 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 UCFARIZ 6

Bars above the line = Arizona leads, below = UCF leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UCF

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	45%5/11
2	78%7/9	53%8/15
3	64%7/11	13%1/8
4	40%6/15	45%5/11
5	86%6/7	63%10/16
6	60%6/10	50%6/12
All	59%40/68	48%35/73

Arizona

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	50%7/14
2	70%7/10	38%5/13
3	75%6/8	30%3/10
4	35%6/17	54%7/13
5	50%6/12	33%3/9
6	56%5/9	33%3/9
All	52%38/73	41%28/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	UCF-ARIZ	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ARIZ	ARIZ	Bad set	Mikayla Porter		+2.5
2	0-2	ARIZ	ARIZ	Ace	Arizona		+2.5
3	1-2	ARIZ	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Alexa Haley	+1.8
4	2-2	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+2.5
5	3-2	UCF	UCF×4	Bad set	Harmony Sample		+2.5
6	4-2	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Mikayla Porter	+2.4
7	4-3	UCF	ARIZ	Serve err	Natasha Casey		+1.8
8	5-3	ARIZ	UCF	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson		+1.9
9	5-4	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+1.8
10	5-5	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+2.6
11	6-5	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Mikayla Porter	+2.0
12	7-5	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Marina Vosloo		+2.6
13	7-6	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Marina Vosloo	set Harmony Sample	+1.9
14	8-6	ARIZ	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+2.0
15	9-6	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson		+2.5
16	10-6	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Alexa Haley	+2.3
17	10-7	UCF	ARIZ	Serve err	Mikayla Porter		+1.5
18	11-7	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.8
19	11-8	UCF	ARIZ	Attack err	Avah Armour		+1.6
20	12-8	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Mikayla Porter	+1.8
21	12-9	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+1.6
22	12-10	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Natasha Casey		+2.5
23	13-10	ARIZ	UCF	Serve err	Harmony Sample		+2.1
24	13-11	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+1.9
25	13-12	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Gigi Whann	+3.0
26	14-12	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Mikayla Porter	+2.5
27	14-13	UCF	ARIZ×3	Serve err	Avah Armour		+2.4
28	14-14	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+3.5
29	14-15	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+3.8
30	15-15	ARIZ	UCF	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+2.8
31	16-15	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+3.9
32	16-16	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+2.9
33	17-16	ARIZ	UCF×5	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+3.1
34	18-16	UCF	UCF×5	Blocked	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	blk Sasha Cohen, Kiki Horne	+4.0
35	19-16	UCF	UCF×5	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+3.5
36	20-16	UCF	UCF×5	Attack err	Kristen Dear		+2.8
37	21-16	UCF	UCF×5	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+1.9
38	21-17	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Harmony Sample	+0.8
39	22-17	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.3
40	23-17	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson		+0.9
41	23-18	UCF	ARIZ×3	Blocked	Fallon Stewart	blk Brookelyn Hatton, Harmony Sample	+0.2
42	23-19	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Blocked	Natasha Casey	blk Destiny Ndam-Simpson, Journey Tucker	+0.6
43	23-20	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Journey Tucker		+1.3
44	24-20	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.8
45	25-20	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Journey Tucker		+0.7
Set 2
1	1-0	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Hayden Reeder	blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey	+2.2
2	1-1	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Hayden Reeder	set Harmony Sample	+1.7
3	2-1	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Mikayla Porter	+1.7
4	3-1	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+2.2
5	3-2	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+1.6
6	4-2	ARIZ	UCF	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+1.7
7	4-3	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+1.7
8	4-4	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Avah Armour		+2.4
9	5-4	ARIZ	UCF×4	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.8
10	6-4	UCF	UCF×4	Blocked	Carlie Cisneros	blk Ella Chapman, Mikayla Porter	+2.4
11	7-4	UCF	UCF×4	Ace	Avah Armour	aced Hayden Reeder	+2.2
12	8-4	UCF	UCF×4	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+2.0
13	8-5	UCF	ARIZ	Attack err	Ella Chapman		+1.4
14	9-5	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.6
15	10-5	UCF	UCF	Kill	Sasha Cohen		+1.8
16	10-6	UCF	ARIZ	Attack err	Avah Armour		+1.2
17	10-7	ARIZ	ARIZ	Blocked	Kiki Horne	blk Journey Tucker, Harmony Sample	+1.9
18	11-7	ARIZ	UCF	Serve err	Kristen Dear		+1.6
19	11-8	UCF	ARIZ	Attack err	Natasha Casey		+1.4
20	11-9	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+2.3
21	12-9	ARIZ	UCF	Blocked	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	blk Natasha Casey, Sasha Cohen	+1.9
22	12-10	UCF	ARIZ×4	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+1.7
23	12-11	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+2.7
24	12-12	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Attack err	Avah Armour		+3.0
25	12-13	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Blocked	Avah Armour	blk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Journey Tucker	+3.2
26	13-13	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Mikayla Porter	+2.4
27	13-14	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+2.5
28	14-14	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+2.5
29	14-15	UCF	ARIZ	Serve err	Natasha Casey		+2.6
30	15-15	ARIZ	UCF	Attack err	Kristen Dear		+2.6
31	15-16	UCF	ARIZ×4	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+2.8
32	15-17	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Blocked	Mikayla Porter	blk Kristen Dear	+3.7
33	15-18	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+3.5
34	15-19	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Harmony Sample	+2.9
35	16-19	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.6
36	17-19	UCF	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+2.9
37	17-20	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Harmony Sample	+2.9
38	18-20	ARIZ	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+2.2
39	19-20	UCF	UCF×3	Blocked	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	blk Sasha Cohen, Nygeria Hart	+3.9
40	20-20	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+4.7
41	20-21	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+4.1
42	20-22	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Gigi Whann	+5.4
43	21-22	ARIZ	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+3.2
44	22-22	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Sasha Cohen	set Mikayla Porter	+5.9
45	23-22	UCF	UCF×3	Ace	Fallon Stewart	aced Carlie Cisneros	+7.1
46	23-23	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Kennedy Osunsanmi	+5.2
47	24-23	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+6.8
48	25-23	UCF	UCF	Kill	Nygeria Hart	set Mikayla Porter	+8.7
Set 3
1	1-0	ARIZ	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.0
2	2-0	UCF	UCF×3	Attack err	Journey Tucker		+1.4
3	3-0	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.3
4	3-1	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+0.9
5	4-1	ARIZ	UCF	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+1.0
6	4-2	UCF	ARIZ	Serve err	Avah Armour		+0.9
7	5-2	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Alexa Haley	+1.0
8	5-3	UCF	ARIZ×6	Attack err	Sasha Cohen		+1.0
9	5-4	ARIZ	ARIZ×6	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+1.4
10	5-5	ARIZ	ARIZ×6	Attack err	Kiki Horne		+1.5
11	5-6	ARIZ	ARIZ×6	Ace	Arizona		+1.6
12	5-7	ARIZ	ARIZ×6	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Harmony Sample	+1.6
13	5-8	ARIZ	ARIZ×6	Bad set	Mikayla Porter		+1.6
14	6-8	ARIZ	UCF	Attack err	Kristen Dear		+1.1
15	7-8	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Carlie Cisneros	blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey	+1.6
16	7-9	UCF	ARIZ	Serve err	Mikayla Porter		+1.3
17	8-9	ARIZ	UCF	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson		+1.2
18	9-9	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+1.7
19	9-10	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Harmony Sample	+1.4
20	10-10	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Avah Armour	+1.3
21	11-10	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson		+1.8
22	11-11	UCF	ARIZ×3	Attack err	Natasha Casey		+1.4
23	11-12	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+1.9
24	11-13	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Blocked	Avah Armour	blk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Journey Tucker	+2.0
25	12-13	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Natasha Casey	set Avah Armour	+1.4
26	13-13	UCF	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Alexa Haley	+2.0
27	13-14	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+1.6
28	14-14	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Mikayla Porter	+1.6
29	14-15	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+1.7
30	15-15	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Kiki Horne	set Mikayla Porter	+1.6
31	15-16	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Harmony Sample	+1.8
32	15-17	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Maria Olga Siapani	+2.3
33	16-17	ARIZ	UCF	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+1.6
34	17-17	UCF	UCF	Blocked	Carlie Cisneros	blk Sasha Cohen, Natasha Casey	+2.4
35	17-18	UCF	ARIZ	Serve err	Mikayla Porter		+2.0
36	18-18	ARIZ	UCF×3	Serve err	Carlie Cisneros		+1.9
37	19-18	UCF	UCF×3	Kill	Avah Armour	set Natasha Casey	+2.7
38	20-18	UCF	UCF×3	Bad set	Harmony Sample		+2.6
39	20-19	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+1.8
40	21-19	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+2.2
41	21-20	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+1.8
42	22-20	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Ella Chapman	set Mikayla Porter	+2.4
43	22-21	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+1.9
44	22-22	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+3.7
45	23-22	ARIZ	UCF	Kill	Avah Armour	set Mikayla Porter	+3.4
46	24-22	UCF	UCF	Attack err	Kennedy Osunsanmi		+4.2
47	24-23	UCF	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Gigi Whann	+1.8
48	25-23	ARIZ	UCF	Blocked	Carlie Cisneros	blk Mikayla Porter, Ella Chapman	+4.1

Score shown after each rally, UCF first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UCF def. Arizona 3–0

Down 15–19 in the second, UCF took the set and then the match.