Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 9, 2026

Louisville def. Missouri 3–1

Louisville beat visiting Missouri 3-1 (25-21, 22-25, 25-15, 25-17) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026. Louisville's Chloe Chicoine led with 22 kills, and Payton Petersen added 28 digs.

Data through · final Sep 9

Set1234Sets
MIZZOU212515171
LOUIS252225253

Win probability

Louisville above 50 · Missouri below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.1% LOUISrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Louisville — set 3, MIZZOU 0-1 LOUIS. Attack error by Kimani Johnson. LOUIS win probability 92% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIZZOU 3.8%96.2% LOUIS

Missouri wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
2.4%

Louisville wins

3-0
59.2%
3-1
28.5%
3-2
8.5%
MIZZOU break %
34.4% vs this opp
LOUIS break %
47.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kimani JohnsonAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Kimani Johnson

    Set 3 · MIZZOU 0-1 LOUIS · LOUIS 92% → 93%

  2. 02

    Kill by Grace O'Reilly (set by Sierra Dudley)

    Set 2 · MIZZOU 24-21 LOUIS · MIZZOU 7% → 8%

  3. 03
    Chloe MeesterAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Chloe Meester

    Set 2 · MIZZOU 19-16 LOUIS · MIZZOU 4% → 6%

  4. 04
    Lauren LarkinKill+1.1%

    Kill by Lauren Larkin (set by Sierra Dudley)

    Set 2 · MIZZOU 25-22 LOUIS · MIZZOU 7% → 8%

  5. 05
    Nayelis CabelloAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Nayelis Cabello

    Set 2 · MIZZOU 21-17 LOUIS · MIZZOU 6% → 7%

  6. 06
    Lauren LarkinKill+1.1%

    Kill by Lauren Larkin (set by Nina Mandovic)

    Set 2 · MIZZOU 23-20 LOUIS · MIZZOU 6% → 7%

  7. 07
    Paige FelderAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Paige Felder

    Set 3 · MIZZOU 0-2 LOUIS · LOUIS 93% → 94%

  8. 08
    Eva SmithKill+0.9%

    Kill by Eva Smith (set by Nayelis Cabello)

    Set 2 · MIZZOU 17-15 LOUIS · MIZZOU 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412555.1270109010114
48021.38110010010.58.5
46320.15000140111.57.5
4205.40029101300003
35430.03300032010.55.5
34214.14310000010.54.5
43310.000000211014
4000–110600001
4000–2012700000
38125.280000200008
3001.0001110400001
1116.000000000001
Team totals4919187.160454271334578
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422253.37700012100022
420340.42500030111.521.5
414647.17000330031.515.5
49316.3750001004211
45111.36400000031.56.5
42110.1005901130031.53.5
4000–4211110002
4000–1102820001
4001.0001011300000
4000–001200000
Team totals7216178.3156537864114897

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MIZZOU · LOUIS 8

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 MIZZOULOUIS 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 MIZZOULOUIS 6

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 4 MIZZOULOUIS 8

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 MIZZOULOUIS 6

Bars above the line = Louisville leads, below = Missouri leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Missouri

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
33%4/12
2
41%9/22
33%5/15
3
47%9/19
18%2/11
4
41%7/17
38%5/13
5
64%7/11
53%8/15
6
67%6/9
46%6/13
All
50%48/96
38%30/79

Louisville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
47%7/15
2
75%9/12
50%9/18
3
75%9/12
53%10/19
4
44%7/16
64%14/22
5
64%7/11
30%3/10
6
64%7/11
42%5/12
All
62%49/79
50%48/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#MIZZOU-LOUISSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
20-2LOUISLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
31-2LOUISMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Maca Lobaglio+0.3
42-2MIZZOUMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+0.5
52-3MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
63-3LOUISMIZZOUServe errLouisville+0.4
73-4MIZZOULOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand+0.3
83-5LOUISLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
93-6LOUISLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
103-7LOUISLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Kamden Schrand+0.3
114-7LOUISMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+0.2
124-8MIZZOULOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
134-9LOUISLOUIS×3KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
144-10LOUISLOUIS×3KillNayelis Cabelloset Hannah Kenny+0.2
155-10LOUISMIZZOU×4Serve errLouisville+0.1
166-10MIZZOUMIZZOU×4Attack errChloe Chicoine+0.2
177-10MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic+0.3
188-10MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic+0.4
198-11MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
209-11LOUISMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+0.3
2110-11MIZZOUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+0.6
2210-12MIZZOULOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
2311-12LOUISMIZZOUAttack errChloe Meester+0.4
2411-13MIZZOULOUIS×3Attack errCeylin Kuyan+0.4
2511-14LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedMaca Lobaglioblk Chloe Meester, Addison Makun+0.5
2611-15LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nina Mandovic+0.4
2712-15LOUISMIZZOUBlockedChloe Meesterblk Eva Smith+0.2
2812-16MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nina Mandovic+0.3
2913-16LOUISMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+0.2
3013-17MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
3114-17LOUISMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+0.2
3214-18MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
3315-18LOUISMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+0.2
3415-19MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
3515-20LOUISLOUISKillNayelis Cabelloset Zoey Matias+0.3
3616-20LOUISMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+0.1
3717-20MIZZOUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+0.3
3817-21MIZZOULOUIS×3KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
3917-22LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errEva Smith+0.2
4017-23LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
4118-23LOUISMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic·
4218-24MIZZOULOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello·
4319-24LOUISMIZZOU×3Serve errLouisville·
4420-24MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic·
4521-24MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errKalyssa Blackshear+0.1
4621-25MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
Set 2
11-0MIZZOUMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
21-1MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Meesterset Payton Petersen+0.2
32-1LOUISMIZZOUServe errLouisville+0.3
42-2MIZZOULOUIS×6KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
52-3LOUISLOUIS×6Attack errCeylin Kuyan+0.3
62-4LOUISLOUIS×6BlockedCeylin Kuyanblk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear+0.3
72-5LOUISLOUIS×6KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
82-6LOUISLOUIS×6BlockedCeylin Kuyanblk Kalyssa Blackshear+0.2
92-7LOUISLOUIS×6AceLouisvilleaced Ceylin Kuyan+0.1
103-7LOUISMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+0.1
113-8MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
124-8LOUISMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+0.1
134-9MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
145-9LOUISMIZZOUAttack errChloe Meester+0.1
156-9MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouriaced Chloe Chicoine+0.2
166-10MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
177-10LOUISMIZZOU×3Serve errLouisville+0.1
188-10MIZZOUMIZZOU×3AceMissouriaced Payton Petersen+0.3
199-10MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillCeylin Kuyan+0.4
209-11MIZZOULOUISBlockedMaca Lobaglioblk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester+0.2
2110-11LOUISMIZZOU×3KillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+0.3
2211-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedAddison Makunblk Lauren Larkin, Ceylin Kuyan+0.5
2312-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errKalyssa Blackshear+0.6
2412-12MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
2513-12LOUISMIZZOUServe errLouisville+0.5
2613-13MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
2714-13LOUISMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+0.5
2815-13MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Lauren Larkin+0.8
2915-14MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
3015-15LOUISLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
3116-15LOUISMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+0.6
3217-15MIZZOUMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Nayelis Cabello+0.9
3317-16MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
3418-16LOUISMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.7
3519-16MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errChloe Meester+1.1
3619-17MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.6
3720-17LOUISMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+0.9
3821-17MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errNayelis Cabello+1.1
3921-18MIZZOULOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
4022-18LOUISMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+0.8
4122-19MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.4
4222-20LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand+0.9
4323-20LOUISMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+1.1
4423-21MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
4524-21LOUISMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.1
4624-22MIZZOULOUISAttack errPaige Felder+0.4
4725-22LOUISMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+1.1
Set 3
10-1LOUISLOUISAttack errKimani Johnson+1.1
20-2LOUISLOUISAttack errPaige Felder+1.0
31-2LOUISMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+0.7
41-3MIZZOULOUIS×8KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
51-4LOUISLOUIS×8AceLouisvilleaced Ceylin Kuyan+0.8
61-5LOUISLOUIS×8KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.7
71-6LOUISLOUIS×8KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
81-7LOUISLOUIS×8KillChloe Chicoineset Nina Mandovic+0.4
91-8LOUISLOUIS×8KillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello+0.3
101-9LOUISLOUIS×8KillChloe Chicoine+0.2
111-10LOUISLOUIS×8AceLouisvilleaced Maizy Agnello+0.1
122-10LOUISMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic+0.1
132-11MIZZOULOUISServe errMissouri+0.1
143-11LOUISMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+0.1
153-12MIZZOULOUIS×5KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
163-13LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
173-14LOUISLOUIS×5KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello·
183-15LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Chicoine·
193-16LOUISLOUIS×5KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello·
204-16LOUISMIZZOU×4KillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley·
215-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillGrace O'Reillyset Ainoah Cruz·
226-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley·
237-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×4BlockedBrooke Bultemablk Maizy Agnello·
247-17MIZZOULOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello·
258-17LOUISMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley·
268-18MIZZOULOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello·
279-18LOUISMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Sierra Dudley·
289-19MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello·
2910-19LOUISMIZZOUAttack errKalyssa Blackshear·
3010-20MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello·
3111-20LOUISMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic·
3212-20MIZZOUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic·
3312-21MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello·
3412-22LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello·
3513-22LOUISMIZZOU×3KillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic·
3614-22MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errBrooke Bultema·
3715-22MIZZOUMIZZOU×3AceMissouriaced Payton Petersen·
3815-23MIZZOULOUIS×3KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello·
3915-24LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello·
4015-25LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedGrace O'Reillyblk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema·
Set 4
10-1MIZZOULOUISBad setMaizy Agnello+0.5
20-2LOUISLOUISAttack errMaizy Agnello+0.7
31-2LOUISMIZZOUKillNina Mandovicset Zoey Matias+0.5
41-3MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+0.5
51-4LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.6
62-4LOUISMIZZOUKillNina Mandovicset Ainoah Cruz+0.4
72-5MIZZOULOUIS×6Serve errMissouri+0.4
82-6LOUISLOUIS×6Attack errEva Smith+0.5
92-7LOUISLOUIS×6BlockedPaige Felderblk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema+0.4
102-8LOUISLOUIS×6BlockedEva Smithblk Brooke Bultema, Chloe Meester+0.3
112-9LOUISLOUIS×6KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
122-10LOUISLOUIS×6KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
133-10LOUISMIZZOUBlockedChloe Meesterblk Eva Smith, Maca Lobaglio+0.1
143-11MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
154-11LOUISMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Nina Mandovic+0.1
164-12MIZZOULOUIS×3BlockedMaizy Agnelloblk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun+0.1
174-13LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
184-14LOUISLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello·
195-14LOUISMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Nina Mandovic·
205-15MIZZOULOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello·
215-16LOUISLOUISAttack errMaizy Agnello·
226-16LOUISMIZZOUServe errLouisville·
237-16MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouriaced Kamden Schrand·
247-17MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand·
258-17LOUISMIZZOU×3Serve errLouisville·
269-17MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic·
2710-17MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errChloe Chicoine+0.1
2810-18MIZZOULOUISAttack errPaige Felder+0.1
2911-18LOUISMIZZOUBlockedBrooke Bultemablk Paige Felder·
3011-19MIZZOULOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3112-19LOUISMIZZOU×3KillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic·
3213-19MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errChloe Meester+0.1
3314-19MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Nina Mandovic+0.2
3414-20MIZZOULOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.2
3514-21LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3614-22LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errPaige Felder·
3715-22LOUISMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic·
3815-23MIZZOULOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello·
3915-24LOUISLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello·
4016-24LOUISMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Nina Mandovic·
4117-24MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errGrace O'Reilly·
4217-25MIZZOULOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello·

Score shown after each rally, Missouri first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).