Louisville def. Missouri 3–1
(25-21, 22-25, 25-15, 25-17)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZZOU | 21 | 25 | 15 | 17 | 1 |
| LOUIS | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.0% to Missouri — set 2, MIZZOU 24-21 LOUIS. Kill by Grace O'Reilly (set by Sierra Dudley). LOUIS win probability 95% → 94%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Missouri wins
Louisville wins
- MIZZOU break %
- 34.9% vs this opp
- LOUIS break %
- 49.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Grace O'ReillyKill+1.0%
Kill by Grace O'Reilly (set by Sierra Dudley)
Set 2 · MIZZOU 24-21 LOUIS · MIZZOU 5% → 6%
- 02Lauren LarkinKill+1.0%
Kill by Lauren Larkin (set by Sierra Dudley)
Set 2 · MIZZOU 25-22 LOUIS · MIZZOU 6% → 7%
- 03Kimani JohnsonAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Kimani Johnson
Set 3 · MIZZOU 0-1 LOUIS · LOUIS 93% → 94%
- 04Lauren LarkinKill+0.9%
Kill by Lauren Larkin (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 2 · MIZZOU 23-20 LOUIS · MIZZOU 5% → 6%
- 05Nayelis CabelloAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Nayelis Cabello
Set 2 · MIZZOU 21-17 LOUIS · MIZZOU 5% → 6%
- 06Chloe MeesterAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Chloe Meester
Set 2 · MIZZOU 19-16 LOUIS · MIZZOU 4% → 4%
- 07
- 08Eva SmithKill+0.8%
Kill by Eva Smith (set by Nayelis Cabello)
Set 2 · MIZZOU 17-15 LOUIS · MIZZOU 3% → 3%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 55 | .127 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | 0 | 21 | .381 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 20 | .150 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 30 | .033 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | .143 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 25 | .280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 19 | 187 | .160 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 71 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 78 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 22 | 2 | 53 | .377 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | |
| 4 | 20 | 3 | 40 | .425 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 21.5 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 47 | .170 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 16 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 11 | .364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .100 | 59 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 72 | 16 | 178 | .315 | 65 | 3 | 7 | 86 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 97 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
21-25
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
15-25
Set 4
17-25
Bars above the line = Louisville leads, below = Missouri leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Missouri
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%10/18 | 33%4/12 |
| 2 | 41%9/22 | 33%5/15 |
| 3 | 47%9/19 | 18%2/11 |
| 4 | 41%7/17 | 38%5/13 |
| 5 | 64%7/11 | 53%8/15 |
| 6 | 67%6/9 | 46%6/13 |
| All | 50%48/96 | 38%30/79 |
Louisville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59%10/17 | 47%7/15 |
| 2 | 75%9/12 | 50%9/18 |
| 3 | 75%9/12 | 53%10/19 |
| 4 | 44%7/16 | 64%14/22 |
| 5 | 64%7/11 | 30%3/10 |
| 6 | 64%7/11 | 42%5/12 |
| All | 62%49/79 | 50%48/96 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
175 rallies
Rally log
| # | MIZZOU-LOUIS | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Maca Lobaglio | +0.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Maca Lobaglio | set Nina Mandovic | +0.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +0.3 |
| 8 | 3-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 9 | 3-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 10 | 3-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Kamden Schrand | +0.2 |
| 11 | 4-7 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Ceylin Kuyan | set Nina Mandovic | +0.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 13 | 4-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 14 | 4-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Hannah Kenny | +0.1 |
| 15 | 5-10 | LOUIS | MIZZOU×4 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.1 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | +0.2 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Eva Smith | set Nina Mandovic | +0.2 |
| 18 | 8-10 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Eva Smith | set Nina Mandovic | +0.3 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 20 | 9-11 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.3 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.5 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 23 | 11-12 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.4 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Ceylin Kuyan | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Maca Lobaglio | blk Chloe Meester, Addison Makun | +0.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nina Mandovic | +0.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Eva Smith | +0.2 |
| 28 | 12-16 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nina Mandovic | +0.2 |
| 29 | 13-16 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Nina Mandovic | +0.2 |
| 30 | 13-17 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 31 | 14-17 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Ceylin Kuyan | set Nina Mandovic | +0.2 |
| 32 | 14-18 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 33 | 15-18 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.2 |
| 34 | 15-19 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 35 | 15-20 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Zoey Matias | +0.2 |
| 36 | 16-20 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Ceylin Kuyan | set Nina Mandovic | +0.1 |
| 37 | 17-20 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.3 |
| 38 | 17-21 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 39 | 17-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Eva Smith | +0.2 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 41 | 18-23 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 42 | 18-24 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | LOUIS | MIZZOU×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Ceylin Kuyan | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 45 | 21-24 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.1 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Maca Lobaglio | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Payton Petersen | +0.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.2 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Ceylin Kuyan | +0.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Ceylin Kuyan | blk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.2 |
| 7 | 2-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 8 | 2-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Ceylin Kuyan | blk Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.1 |
| 9 | 2-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Ceylin Kuyan | +0.1 |
| 10 | 3-7 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Sierra Dudley | +0.1 |
| 11 | 3-8 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 12 | 4-8 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Sierra Dudley | +0.1 |
| 13 | 4-9 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 14 | 5-9 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.1 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Ace | MIZZOU server | aced Chloe Chicoine | +0.1 |
| 16 | 6-10 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 17 | 7-10 | LOUIS | MIZZOU×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Ace | MIZZOU server | aced Payton Petersen | +0.2 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Ceylin Kuyan | +0.3 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Attack err | Maca Lobaglio | blk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester | +0.2 |
| 21 | 10-11 | LOUIS | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Maca Lobaglio | set Nina Mandovic | +0.2 |
| 22 | 11-11 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Addison Makun | blk Lauren Larkin, Ceylin Kuyan | +0.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.5 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.4 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Sierra Dudley | +0.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Lauren Larkin | +0.7 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 30 | 15-15 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Sierra Dudley | +0.5 |
| 32 | 17-15 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.8 |
| 33 | 17-16 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 34 | 18-16 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +0.6 |
| 35 | 19-16 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.9 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 37 | 20-17 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.7 |
| 38 | 21-17 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Attack err | Nayelis Cabello | +0.9 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 40 | 22-18 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Maca Lobaglio | set Nina Mandovic | +0.7 |
| 41 | 22-19 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 42 | 22-20 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +0.7 |
| 43 | 23-20 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Nina Mandovic | +0.9 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +1.0 |
| 46 | 24-22 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Attack err | Paige Felder | +0.3 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Sierra Dudley | +1.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Kimani Johnson | +1.0 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Paige Felder | +0.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Kimani Johnson | set Nina Mandovic | +0.6 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.6 |
| 5 | 1-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Ceylin Kuyan | +0.7 |
| 6 | 1-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 7 | 1-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 8 | 1-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nina Mandovic | +0.3 |
| 9 | 1-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 10 | 1-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | +0.1 | |
| 11 | 1-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Maizy Agnello | +0.1 |
| 12 | 2-10 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Nina Mandovic | +0.1 |
| 13 | 2-11 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Serve err | MIZZOU server | +0.1 | |
| 14 | 3-11 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Nina Mandovic | +0.1 |
| 15 | 3-12 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 16 | 3-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 17 | 3-14 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 18 | 3-15 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | +0.0 | |
| 19 | 3-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×5 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 20 | 4-16 | LOUIS | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Sierra Dudley | +0.0 |
| 21 | 5-16 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Ainoah Cruz | +0.0 |
| 22 | 6-16 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +0.0 |
| 23 | 7-16 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | blk Maizy Agnello | +0.0 |
| 24 | 7-17 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 25 | 8-17 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +0.0 |
| 26 | 8-18 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 27 | 9-18 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Maizy Agnello | set Sierra Dudley | +0.0 |
| 28 | 9-19 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 29 | 10-19 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 10-20 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 31 | 11-20 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 32 | 12-20 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 33 | 12-21 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 34 | 12-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | LOUIS | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 36 | 14-22 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Ace | MIZZOU server | aced Payton Petersen | +0.0 |
| 38 | 15-23 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 40 | 15-25 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Grace O'Reilly | blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema | +0.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Bad set | Maizy Agnello | +0.5 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Maizy Agnello | +0.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Nina Mandovic | set Zoey Matias | +0.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 5 | 1-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Nina Mandovic | set Ainoah Cruz | +0.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×6 | Serve err | MIZZOU server | +0.4 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Eva Smith | +0.4 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Paige Felder | blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema | +0.3 |
| 10 | 2-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Eva Smith | blk Brooke Bultema, Chloe Meester | +0.2 |
| 11 | 2-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 12 | 2-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 13 | 3-10 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Eva Smith, Maca Lobaglio | +0.1 |
| 14 | 3-11 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 15 | 4-11 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Nina Mandovic | +0.1 |
| 16 | 4-12 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Maizy Agnello | blk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun | +0.1 |
| 17 | 4-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 18 | 4-14 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 19 | 5-14 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Maizy Agnello | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 20 | 5-15 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 21 | 5-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Maizy Agnello | +0.0 | |
| 22 | 6-16 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 23 | 7-16 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Ace | MIZZOU server | aced Kamden Schrand | +0.0 |
| 24 | 7-17 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +0.0 |
| 25 | 8-17 | LOUIS | MIZZOU×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 27 | 10-17 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | +0.1 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Attack err | Paige Felder | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | blk Paige Felder | +0.0 |
| 30 | 11-19 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 31 | 12-19 | LOUIS | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 32 | 13-19 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Nina Mandovic | +0.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | MIZZOU | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 35 | 14-21 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 36 | 14-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Paige Felder | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 38 | 15-23 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | LOUIS | MIZZOU | Kill | Maizy Agnello | set Nina Mandovic | +0.0 |
| 41 | 17-24 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Attack err | Grace O'Reilly | +0.0 | |
| 42 | 17-25 | MIZZOU | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Missouri first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.