FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Colorado def. Wichita St. 3–0

(25-18, 25-21, 25-19)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
WICHST	18	21	19	0
COLO	25	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

COLO above 50 · WICHST below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Wichita St. — set 1, WICHST 17-18 COLO. Wichita St. ace on Ana Burilovic. COLO win probability 94% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WICHST 7.2%92.8% COLO

Wichita St. wins

3-0

0.9%

3-1

2.1%

3-2

4.2%

Colorado wins

3-0

50.0%

3-1

31.0%

3-2

11.9%

WICHST break %: 38.0% vs this opp
COLO break %: 49.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
WICHST serverAce+1.3%
Wichita St. ace on Ana Burilovic
Set 1 · WICHST 17-18 COLO · WICHST 6% → 7%
02
WICHST serverAce+1.3%
Wichita St. ace on Avery Bolles
Set 1 · WICHST 13-13 COLO · WICHST 7% → 8%
03
COLO serverService error+1.2%
Colorado service error
Set 1 · WICHST 18-21 COLO · COLO 94% → 95%
04
Lily DwinellKill+1.2%
Kill by Lily Dwinell
Set 1 · WICHST 18-20 COLO · COLO 93% → 94%
05
COLO serverAce+1.1%
Colorado ace on Team
Set 1 · WICHST 13-15 COLO · COLO 93% → 94%
06
Jenna CubbageKill+1.1%
Kill by Jenna Cubbage (set by Addie Oeth)
Set 1 · WICHST 18-19 COLO · WICHST 6% → 7%
07
Unlogged pointFeed gap+1.1%
Point Colorado (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · WICHST 17-19 COLO · COLO 93% → 94%
08
Unlogged pointFeed gap+1.0%
Point Wichita St. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · WICHST 12-13 COLO · WICHST 6% → 7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Wichita St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
24McKenzie JonesOH	3	9	7	28	.071	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
14Maddie WilsonMB	3	5	3	15	.133	0	1	1	3	0	2	1	7
3Olivia CoheeOH	3	4	2	17	.118	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	5
16Jordan HeatherlyS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	0	7	0	0	0	1
12Grace HettL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
9Elinor EngelMB	2	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
26Allie PaulsenMB	3	7	0	10	.700	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	7.5
7Jenna CubbageOH	3	4	7	20	-.150	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	4
4Addie OethS	3	0	0	0	–	14	3	0	2	0	0	0	3
22Brea MartinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Gabi MaasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	11	1	0	0	0
10Danielle MooreOPP	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		33	22	102	.108	30	6	3	33	7	6	3	58

Coloradohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ana BurilovicOH	3	16	2	35	.400	0	2	4	7	1	0	0	18
10Sydney JordanOH	3	6	0	15	.400	0	1	0	5	1	4	2	9
21Lily DwinellOH	3	7	5	19	.105	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	8.5
33Cayla PayneMB	3	6	2	9	.444	0	0	0	0	1	5	2.5	8.5
7Barbora RakauskaiteMB	3	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	2	0	5	2.5	4.5
2Jenna YlivainioS	3	2	0	5	.400	35	0	2	3	0	2	1	3
22Tinons Munar GalmesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	3	0	15	0	0	0	3
16Maria SplawskaMB	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Katie SalongaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
9Avery BollesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0
8Ines LosadaOH	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	1.5
20Peyton NealL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	12	93	.312	41	7	7	40	6	20	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 WICHST · COLO 7

Set 1*

18-25

Longest run 5 WICHSTCOLO 6

Set 2*

21-25

Longest run 4 WICHSTCOLO 6

Set 3*

19-25

Longest run 3 WICHSTCOLO 7

Bars above the line = Colorado leads, below = Wichita St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Wichita St.

No clean sets to split.

Colorado

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	WICHST-COLO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WICHST	COLO×3	Attack err	Maddie Wilson		+0.6
2	0-2	COLO	COLO×3	Serve err	COLO server		+0.7
3	0-3	COLO	COLO×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
4	1-3	COLO	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
5	1-4	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
6	2-4	COLO	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
7	2-5	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic		+0.5
8	2-6	COLO	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
9	3-6	COLO	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Addie Oeth	+0.4
10	4-6	WICHST	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
11	4-7	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Avery Bolles	+0.5
12	4-8	COLO	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.5
13	5-8	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Allie Paulsen		+0.4
14	5-9	WICHST	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
15	6-9	COLO	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
16	6-10	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
17	7-10	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Elinor Engel		+0.4
18	7-11	WICHST	COLO	Bad set	Maddie Wilson		+0.4
19	7-12	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Maddie Wilson		+0.4
20	8-12	COLO	WICHST	Attack err	Lily Dwinell		+0.3
21	8-13	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
22	9-13	COLO	WICHST×5	Serve err	COLO server		+0.3
23	10-13	WICHST	WICHST×5	Kill	Allie Paulsen		+0.6
24	11-13	WICHST	WICHST×5	Ace	WICHST server	aced Cayla Payne	+0.8
25	12-13	WICHST	WICHST×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.0
26	13-13	WICHST	WICHST×5	Ace	WICHST server	aced Avery Bolles	+1.3
27	13-14	WICHST	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic		+1.0
28	13-15	COLO	COLO×4	Ace	COLO server	aced Team	+1.1
29	13-16	COLO	COLO×4	Ace	COLO server	aced Allie Paulsen	+0.9
30	13-17	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+0.7
31	14-17	COLO	WICHST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.5
32	15-17	WICHST	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
33	15-18	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.8
34	16-18	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Allie Paulsen	set Addie Oeth	+0.7
35	17-18	WICHST	WICHST	Ace	WICHST server	aced Ana Burilovic	+1.3
36	17-19	WICHST	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
37	18-19	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Addie Oeth	+1.1
38	18-20	WICHST	COLO×6	Kill	Lily Dwinell		+1.2
39	18-21	COLO	COLO×6	Serve err	COLO server		+1.2
40	18-22	COLO	COLO×6	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.8
41	18-23	COLO	COLO×6	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
42	18-24	COLO	COLO×6	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+0.1
43	18-25	COLO	COLO×6	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.5
2	1-1	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
3	2-1	COLO	WICHST×4	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.5
4	3-1	WICHST	WICHST×4	Ace	WICHST server	aced Sydney Jordan	+0.7
5	4-1	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Olivia Cohee		+0.8
6	5-1	WICHST	WICHST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
7	5-2	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.5
8	6-2	COLO	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Addie Oeth	+0.7
9	6-3	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio		+0.6
10	6-4	COLO	COLO	Attack err	McKenzie Jones	blk Sydney Jordan, Cayla Payne	+0.7
11	7-4	COLO	WICHST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.7
12	7-5	WICHST	COLO×5	Serve err	WICHST server		+0.6
13	7-6	COLO	COLO×5	Ace	COLO server	aced Jenna Cubbage	+0.7
14	7-7	COLO	COLO×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.7
15	7-8	COLO	COLO×5	Bad set	Addie Oeth		+0.6
16	7-9	COLO	COLO×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
17	8-9	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Elinor Engel	set Addie Oeth	+0.5
18	8-10	WICHST	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
19	8-11	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+0.5
20	9-11	COLO	WICHST	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+0.4
21	9-12	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
22	10-12	COLO	WICHST×3	Serve err	COLO server		+0.4
23	11-12	WICHST	WICHST×3	Attack err	Barbora Rakauskaite		+0.7
24	12-12	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	Olivia Cohee		+0.8
25	12-13	WICHST	COLO×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
26	12-14	COLO	COLO×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.7
27	12-15	COLO	COLO×6	Kill	Ana Burilovic		+0.6
28	12-16	COLO	COLO×6	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
29	12-17	COLO	COLO×6	Ace	COLO server	aced Team	+0.3
30	12-18	COLO	COLO×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
31	13-18	COLO	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
32	13-19	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
33	14-19	COLO	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Addie Oeth	+0.1
34	14-20	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
35	15-20	COLO	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones		+0.1
36	16-20	WICHST	WICHST	Serve err	WICHST server		+0.2
37	16-21	WICHST	COLO	Serve err	WICHST server		+0.2
38	17-21	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Allie Paulsen	set Addie Oeth	+0.2
39	17-22	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan		+0.2
40	18-22	COLO	WICHST	Attack err	Lily Dwinell		+0.1
41	19-22	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee		+0.3
42	19-23	WICHST	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
43	19-24	COLO	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
44	20-24	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.0
45	21-24	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+0.1
46	21-25	WICHST	COLO	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	WICHST	WICHST×3	Attack err	Lily Dwinell		+0.3
2	2-0	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	Maddie Wilson		+0.3
3	3-0	WICHST	WICHST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
4	3-1	WICHST	COLO×7	Kill	Ana Burilovic		+0.2
5	3-2	COLO	COLO×7	Attack err	Maddie Wilson		+0.3
6	3-3	COLO	COLO×7	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage	blk Lily Dwinell, Cayla Payne	+0.3
7	3-4	COLO	COLO×7	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+0.3
8	3-5	COLO	COLO×7	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
9	3-6	COLO	COLO×7	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+0.2
10	3-7	COLO	COLO×7	Ace	COLO server	aced Gabi Maas	+0.2
11	4-7	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson		+0.1
12	4-8	WICHST	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
13	4-9	COLO	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
14	5-9	COLO	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
15	6-9	WICHST	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
16	6-10	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan		+0.1
17	7-10	COLO	WICHST	Attack err	Sydney Jordan		+0.1
18	7-11	WICHST	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
19	8-11	COLO	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
20	9-11	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Allie Paulsen		+0.2
21	9-12	WICHST	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
22	10-12	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Danielle Moore	set Addie Oeth	+0.2
23	11-12	WICHST	WICHST	Ace	WICHST server	aced Team	+0.3
24	11-13	WICHST	COLO×5	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
25	11-14	COLO	COLO×5	Kill	Ana Burilovic		+0.3
26	11-15	COLO	COLO×5	Attack err	McKenzie Jones	blk Barbora Rakauskaite, Lily Dwinell	+0.2
27	11-16	COLO	COLO×5	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
28	11-17	COLO	COLO×5	Ace	COLO server	aced Olivia Cohee	+0.1
29	12-17	COLO	WICHST	Attack err	Lily Dwinell		+0.1
30	12-18	WICHST	COLO×4	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
31	12-19	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+0.1
32	12-20	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.0
33	12-21	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.0
34	13-21	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.0
35	13-22	WICHST	COLO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
36	14-22	COLO	WICHST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
37	15-22	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.0
38	15-23	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic		+0.0
39	16-23	COLO	WICHST	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+0.0
40	17-23	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Ines Losada		+0.0
41	17-24	WICHST	COLO	Attack err	Danielle Moore		+0.0
42	18-24	COLO	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee		+0.0
43	19-24	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Maria Splawska		+0.0
44	19-25	WICHST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Wichita St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.