Louisville def. Rice 3–1
(25-14, 25-17, 24-26, 25-12)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOUIS | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 3 |
| RICE | 14 | 17 | 26 | 12 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 0.8% to Rice — set 3, LOUIS 24-26 RICE. Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Kaia Mateo). RICE win probability 1% → 2%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Louisville wins
Rice wins
- LOUIS break %
- 47.6% vs this opp
- RICE break %
- 31.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Sydnee PetersonKill+0.8%
Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Kaia Mateo)
Set 3 · LOUIS 24-26 RICE · RICE 1% → 2%
- 02RICE serverAce+0.5%
Rice ace on Chloe Meester
Set 3 · LOUIS 24-25 RICE · RICE 1% → 1%
- 03Hannah ShermanKill+0.5%
Kill by Hannah Sherman (set by Kaia Mateo)
Set 4 · LOUIS 1-0 RICE · LOUIS 98% → 99%
- 04Kalyssa BlackshearKill+0.4%
Kill by Kalyssa Blackshear (set by Nayelis Cabello)
Set 4 · LOUIS 2-0 RICE · LOUIS 99% → 99%
- 05Ashlyn SeayKill+0.4%
Kill by Ashlyn Seay (set by Mari Furoyama)
Set 3 · LOUIS 20-22 RICE · RICE 1% → 1%
- 06Chloe ChicoineKill+0.3%
Kill by Chloe Chicoine (set by Kamden Schrand)
Set 3 · LOUIS 22-22 RICE · LOUIS 99% → 99%
- 07Nayelis CabelloKill+0.3%
Kill by Nayelis Cabello (set by Amalia Simmons)
Set 3 · LOUIS 23-22 RICE · LOUIS 99% → 100%
- 08Ellie SchneiderAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Ellie Schneider
Set 4 · LOUIS 3-0 RICE · LOUIS 99% → 99%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 25 | .200 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 1 | 39 | .333 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 4 | 13 | 4 | 37 | .243 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | .750 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | .800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | .091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 16 | 135 | .304 | 48 | 11 | 6 | 61 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 99 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 47 | .043 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 24 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 29 | .069 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -.200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 40 | 25 | 140 | .107 | 36 | 3 | 5 | 54 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 69 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-14
Set 2
25-17
Set 3
24-26
Set 4
25-12
Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Louisville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%10/15 | 56%10/18 |
| 2 | 64%9/14 | 55%11/20 |
| 3 | 60%9/15 | 55%11/20 |
| 4 | 89%8/9 | 47%7/15 |
| 5 | 78%7/9 | 43%6/14 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 70%49/70 | 51%50/98 |
Rice
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31%9/29 | 33%4/12 |
| 2 | 90%9/10 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 38%9/24 | 40%6/15 |
| 4 | 57%8/14 | 31%4/13 |
| 5 | 54%7/13 | 22%2/9 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 13%1/8 |
| All | 49%48/98 | 30%21/70 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
168 rallies
Rally log
| # | LOUIS-RICE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Payton Petersen | +0.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Jordan Hummel | +0.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Payton Petersen | +0.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Kellen Dorotik | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 6 | 4-2 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | RICE | LOUIS×3 | Serve err | RICE server | +0.1 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Ashlyn Seay | +0.2 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 11 | 7-4 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 12 | 8-4 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 13 | 8-5 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.1 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 15 | 9-6 | LOUIS | RICE | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.1 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | RICE | LOUIS×8 | Serve err | RICE server | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Team | +0.1 |
| 18 | 12-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Chloe Chicoine | +0.1 |
| 19 | 13-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Addison Makun | +0.0 | |
| 20 | 14-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Payton Petersen | +0.0 |
| 21 | 15-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Payton Petersen | +0.0 |
| 22 | 16-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Payton Petersen | +0.0 |
| 23 | 17-6 | LOUIS | LOUIS×8 | Attack err | Kellen Dorotik | blk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester | +0.0 |
| 24 | 17-7 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Kellen Dorotik | set Kaia Mateo | +0.0 |
| 25 | 18-7 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 26 | 18-8 | LOUIS | RICE | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 27 | 18-9 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Kaia Mateo | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 28 | 19-9 | RICE | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 29 | 20-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Campbell Love | +0.0 |
| 30 | 21-9 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Sydnee Peterson | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 21-10 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Blair Thiebaud | blk Arissa Smith | +0.0 |
| 32 | 22-10 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 33 | 22-11 | LOUIS | RICE | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 23-11 | RICE | LOUIS | Attack err | Ellie Schneider | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 23-12 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Savannah Skopal | +0.0 |
| 36 | 24-12 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 37 | 24-13 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Addison Makun | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 24-14 | RICE | RICE | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Ellie Schneider, Sydnee Peterson | +0.0 |
| 39 | 25-14 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Addison Makun | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Jordan Hummel | +0.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ellie Schneider | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | RICE | RICE | Ace | RICE server | aced Chloe Chicoine | +0.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | RICE | RICE | Attack err | Elli Strecker | blk Arissa Smith | +0.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | RICE | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Sydnee Peterson | +0.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +0.2 |
| 10 | 6-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Sydnee Peterson | +0.1 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Sydnee Peterson | +0.1 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | LOUIS | RICE×3 | Attack err | Elli Strecker | blk Sydnee Peterson | +0.1 |
| 13 | 7-6 | RICE | RICE×3 | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 14 | 7-7 | RICE | RICE×3 | Kill | Kaia Mateo | +0.2 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Elli Strecker | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Arissa Smith | +0.1 |
| 17 | 9-8 | RICE | LOUIS | Serve err | RICE server | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Ellie Schneider | +0.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.1 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Ellie Schneider | +0.1 |
| 22 | 11-11 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | set Kaia Mateo | +0.2 |
| 23 | 12-11 | RICE | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 24 | 13-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Ellie Schneider | +0.2 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen | +0.1 |
| 26 | 14-12 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | +0.1 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Kellen Dorotik | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 29 | 16-13 | RICE | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Ashlyn Seay | blk Elli Strecker | +0.1 |
| 30 | 17-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Campbell Love | +0.1 |
| 31 | 18-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Sydnee Peterson | blk Elli Strecker, Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 32 | 19-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Savannah Skopal | +0.0 |
| 33 | 19-14 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Arissa Smith | set Savannah Skopal | +0.0 |
| 34 | 19-15 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Amalia Simmons | set Savannah Skopal | +0.0 |
| 35 | 20-15 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Amalia Simmons | set Savannah Skopal | +0.0 |
| 37 | 21-16 | RICE | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Elli Strecker | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 38 | 22-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Hannah Sherman | +0.0 |
| 39 | 23-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Amalia Simmons | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 23-17 | LOUIS | RICE | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 42 | 25-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Ashlyn Seay | blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Hannah Sherman | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Kellen Dorotik | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 3 | 1-2 | RICE | LOUIS | Attack err | Kellen Dorotik | +0.1 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Payton Petersen | +0.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | LOUIS | RICE | Bad set | Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | RICE | RICE | Ace | RICE server | aced Kamden Schrand | +0.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +0.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Arissa Smith | set Savannah Skopal | +0.1 |
| 9 | 3-6 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Savannah Skopal | +0.1 |
| 10 | 4-6 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Elli Strecker | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 11 | 4-7 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Savannah Skopal | +0.1 |
| 12 | 4-8 | RICE | RICE | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.2 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Elli Strecker | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 14 | 5-9 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Amalia Simmons | set Savannah Skopal | +0.1 |
| 15 | 6-9 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 16 | 6-10 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 17 | 7-10 | RICE | LOUIS | Serve err | RICE server | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ellie Schneider | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 19 | 8-11 | RICE | LOUIS | Attack err | Kellen Dorotik | +0.1 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Sydnee Peterson | +0.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Kellen Dorotik | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | RICE | RICE | Serve err | RICE server | +0.2 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | RICE | LOUIS | Attack err | Sydnee Peterson | +0.1 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Amalia Simmons | set Savannah Skopal | +0.1 |
| 25 | 11-14 | RICE | LOUIS | Serve err | RICE server | +0.1 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Amalia Simmons | set Savannah Skopal | +0.2 |
| 27 | 12-15 | RICE | LOUIS | Attack err | Ashlyn Seay | +0.1 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Ashlyn Seay | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Mari Furoyama | +0.2 |
| 30 | 14-16 | RICE | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Kellen Dorotik | blk Elli Strecker, Chloe Meester | +0.1 |
| 31 | 15-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Ashlyn Seay | blk Hannah Sherman, Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Kellen Dorotik | blk Hannah Sherman, Chloe Meester | +0.2 |
| 33 | 17-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.2 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | set Kaia Mateo | +0.2 |
| 36 | 18-18 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 37 | 18-19 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Kellen Dorotik | set Kaia Mateo | +0.2 |
| 38 | 19-19 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.2 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +0.2 |
| 41 | 20-21 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.2 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Ashlyn Seay | set Mari Furoyama | +0.4 |
| 43 | 21-22 | RICE | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 44 | 22-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +0.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Amalia Simmons | +0.3 |
| 46 | 23-23 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Elli Strecker | +0.2 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 48 | 24-24 | LOUIS | RICE×3 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Amalia Simmons | +0.2 |
| 49 | 24-25 | RICE | RICE×3 | Ace | RICE server | aced Chloe Meester | +0.5 |
| 50 | 24-26 | RICE | RICE×3 | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | set Kaia Mateo | +0.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Hannah Sherman | set Kaia Mateo | +0.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.4 |
| 3 | 3-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Attack err | Ellie Schneider | +0.3 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Sydnee Peterson | +0.2 |
| 5 | 5-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Hannah Sherman | +0.2 | |
| 6 | 6-0 | LOUIS | LOUIS×6 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Payton Petersen | +0.1 |
| 7 | 6-1 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Kellen Dorotik | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 8 | 7-1 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 9 | 7-2 | LOUIS | RICE×3 | Bad set | Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | RICE | RICE×3 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Amalia Simmons | +0.2 |
| 11 | 7-4 | RICE | RICE×3 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Arissa Smith, Sydnee Peterson | +0.2 |
| 12 | 8-4 | RICE | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 13 | 9-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.2 |
| 14 | 10-4 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Arissa Smith | blk Brooke Bultema | +0.1 |
| 15 | 10-5 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Arissa Smith | set Savannah Skopal | +0.1 |
| 16 | 11-5 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 17 | 11-6 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Arissa Smith | set Savannah Skopal | +0.1 |
| 18 | 12-6 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | LOUIS | RICE | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.1 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 21 | 14-7 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Sydnee Peterson | +0.1 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | LOUIS | RICE | Bad set | Payton Petersen | +0.0 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | RICE | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 24 | 15-9 | LOUIS | RICE | Kill | Kellen Dorotik | set Kaia Mateo | +0.0 |
| 25 | 15-10 | RICE | RICE | Kill | Sydnee Peterson | set Kaia Mateo | +0.1 |
| 26 | 16-10 | RICE | LOUIS | Attack err | Kellen Dorotik | +0.1 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 28 | 17-11 | LOUIS | RICE | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | blk Arissa Smith, Kellen Dorotik | +0.0 |
| 29 | 18-11 | RICE | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 30 | 19-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Sydnee Peterson | +0.0 |
| 31 | 20-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Sydnee Peterson | +0.0 |
| 32 | 21-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 33 | 21-12 | LOUIS | RICE | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 22-12 | RICE | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 35 | 23-12 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Declan Eastman | +0.0 |
| 36 | 24-12 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Amalia Simmons | blk Chloe Meester, Brooke Bultema | +0.0 |
| 37 | 25-12 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Louisville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.