California vs Louisville Volleyball: Louisville Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 8, 2026ACCNX

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Louisville 98.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Louisville beat visiting California 3-1 (25-17, 25-17, 23-25, 25-18) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Kalyssa Blackshear and Brooke Bultema led Louisville with 13 kills each; California's Sawyer Thomsen had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 3, 9:20 PM CT · final Oct 8

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
CAL	17	17	25	18	1
LOUIS	25	25	23	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.290 to .130: Louisville outhit California.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.6 points, and California's high was 2% in Set 4. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Louisville at 99%.

CaliforniaLouisville

Break %+15.8 pts
24.440.2
On serve: 39/97 against 19/78 (California sideout 59.8%).
Hitting+.160
.130.290
47 kills, 11 errors vs 52 kills, 31 errors.
Longest run+3
36
Up 16–14 in the fourth set, Louisville scored 6 straight to make it 22–14. That set ended 25–18.

Louisville above 50California belowMax swing 0.6%

CaliforniaLouisville

Aces: California 2·Louisville 4
Serve err: California 12·Louisville 9
Blocks: California 8·Louisville 151 BS · 14 BA vs 7 BS · 16 BA
Digs: California 56·Louisville 55

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Louisville above 50 · California below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Louisville stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CAL 1.4%98.6% LOUIS

California wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.4%

3-2

1.0%

Louisville wins

3-0

70.5%

3-1

23.3%

3-2

4.8%

CAL break %: 31.4% vs this opp
LOUIS break %: 47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Californiaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Sawyer ThomsenMB	4	16	2	29	.483	0	0	1	2	0	0	4	2	18
13Abby ZimmermanOH	4	10	8	41	.049	1	2	3	10	0	0	4	2	14
5Cari BohmMB	4	9	7	24	.083	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
24Anna FloresS	4	5	2	10	.300	44	0	4	10	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
4Francesca PopescuDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	12	1	0	0	0	0
18Ashley LiOH	3	1	5	10	-.400	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
2Sophia JohnsonL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	4	0	0	14	0	0	0	0	0
7Siena MacCuddenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
10Dominique PhillsOH	3	5	1	15	.267	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
17Arissa CarbonaraOH	3	4	3	21	.048	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	5
11Grace AgolliOPP	2	2	3	10	-.100	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Elise LauL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	31	162	.130	51	2	12	56	4	1	14	8	77

Louisvillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
24Kalyssa BlackshearOPP	4	13	2	33	.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	4	17
44Brooke BultemaMB	4	13	1	16	.750	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	15.5
7Chloe ChicoineOH	4	9	3	34	.176	1	0	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
4Addison MakunMB	4	5	2	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	8.5
8Nayelis CabelloS	4	3	0	9	.333	37	1	0	15	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
3Kamden SchrandL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
2Chloe MeesterOH	4	4	3	21	.048	1	1	2	5	1	2	2	3	8
21Payton PetersenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	18	0	0	0	0	2
22Blair ThiebaudS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Hannah KennyS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	4	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	11	124	.290	41	4	9	55	2	7	16	15	98

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CAL · LOUIS 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 CALLOUIS 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 CALLOUIS 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 CALLOUIS 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 2 CALLOUIS 6

Bars above the line = Louisville leads, below = California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	48%12/25	23%3/13
2	69%11/16	25%4/16
3	69%9/13	27%4/15
4	82%9/11	36%5/14
5	47%9/19	25%3/12
6	62%8/13	0%0/8
All	60%58/97	24%19/78

Louisville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%12/17	47%9/19
2	80%12/15	50%12/24
3	67%10/15	23%3/13
4	69%9/13	25%3/12
5	89%8/9	40%6/15
6	89%8/9	43%6/14
All	76%59/78	40%39/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#	CAL-LOUIS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
2	2-0	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Addison Makun	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Grace Agolli
3	2-1	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
4	2-2	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema
5	3-2	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores
6	3-3	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Grace Agolli
7	3-4	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman
8	4-4	LOUIS	CAL	Blocked	Chloe Chicoine	blk Cari Bohm, Abby Zimmerman
9	4-5	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Chloe Chicoine
10	4-6	LOUIS	LOUIS	Blocked	Cari Bohm	blk Chloe Meester
11	5-6	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
12	5-7	CAL	LOUIS	Bad set	Ashley Li
13	6-7	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores
14	6-8	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
15	7-8	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
16	7-9	CAL	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
17	7-10	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Addison Makun	set Nayelis Cabello
18	7-11	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Abby Zimmerman	blk Kalyssa Blackshear
19	7-12	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Chloe Chicoine, Addison Makun
20	8-12	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
21	8-13	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
22	9-13	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
23	9-14	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
24	10-14	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores
25	10-15	CAL	LOUIS	Attack err	Grace Agolli
26	11-15	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores
27	12-15	CAL	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Chloe Chicoine
28	12-16	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
29	12-17	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Addison Makun
30	13-17	LOUIS	CAL	Bad set	Chloe Meester
31	13-18	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Chloe Meester
32	14-18	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
33	14-19	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
34	14-20	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Addison Makun
35	15-20	LOUIS	CAL	Attack err	Addison Makun
36	15-21	CAL	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
37	15-22	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	Louisville	aced Grace Agolli
38	15-23	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman
39	16-23	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
40	17-23	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
41	17-24	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
42	17-25	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
Set 2
1	0-1	CAL	LOUIS×4	Serve err	California
2	0-2	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Abby Zimmerman	blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Brooke Bultema
3	0-3	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
4	0-4	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Ace	Louisville	aced Ashley Li
5	1-4	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
6	1-5	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
7	2-5	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
8	2-6	CAL	LOUIS	Bad set	Grace Agolli
9	3-6	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores
10	3-7	CAL	LOUIS	Blocked	Cari Bohm	blk Chloe Meester, Brooke Bultema
11	3-8	LOUIS	LOUIS	Blocked	Grace Agolli	blk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun
12	4-8	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
13	4-9	CAL	LOUIS	Attack err	Grace Agolli
14	5-9	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores
15	5-10	CAL	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Addison Makun
16	5-11	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Ace	Louisville	aced Francesca Popescu
17	5-12	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Addison Makun
18	5-13	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Attack err	Ashley Li
19	6-13	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
20	6-14	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
21	7-14	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
22	7-15	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
23	8-15	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
24	8-16	CAL	LOUIS×3	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
25	8-17	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Brooke Bultema
26	8-18	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Brooke Bultema
27	9-18	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores
28	10-18	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Chloe Meester
29	10-19	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
30	11-19	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores
31	11-20	CAL	LOUIS	Attack err	Arissa Carbonara
32	12-20	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Arissa Carbonara	set Anna Flores
33	12-21	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
34	13-21	LOUIS	CAL	Bad set	Nayelis Cabello
35	13-22	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
36	13-23	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Sawyer Thomsen
37	14-23	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson
38	14-24	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
39	15-24	LOUIS	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
40	16-24	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Dominique Phills	set Anna Flores
41	17-24	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
42	17-25	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
Set 3
1	1-0	LOUIS	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
2	2-0	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
3	3-0	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Chloe Chicoine
4	3-1	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
5	4-1	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
6	4-2	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
7	5-2	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Dominique Phills	set Anna Flores
8	5-3	CAL	LOUIS	Attack err	Dominique Phills
9	6-3	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores
10	6-4	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
11	6-5	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman
12	7-5	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
13	7-6	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Addison Makun	set Nayelis Cabello
14	8-6	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Abby Zimmerman
15	8-7	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
16	9-7	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
17	9-8	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Addison Makun	set Nayelis Cabello
18	9-9	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
19	10-9	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
20	10-10	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
21	11-10	LOUIS	CAL	Attack err	Cari Bohm
22	12-10	CAL	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Sophia Johnson
23	12-11	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
24	13-11	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Sophia Johnson
25	13-12	CAL	LOUIS×4	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
26	13-13	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Bad set	Anna Flores
27	13-14	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Attack err	Cari Bohm
28	13-15	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Attack err	Cari Bohm
29	14-15	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
30	14-16	CAL	LOUIS	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman
31	14-17	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
32	15-17	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
33	16-17	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Chloe Meester	blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen
34	16-18	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
35	16-19	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
36	17-19	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
37	17-20	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
38	18-20	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Dominique Phills	set Anna Flores
39	19-20	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Kalyssa Blackshear	blk Dominique Phills, Cari Bohm
40	19-21	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
41	20-21	LOUIS	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
42	21-21	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores
43	22-21	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	Abby Zimmerman	aced Hannah Kenny
44	22-22	CAL	LOUIS	Blocked	Cari Bohm	blk Nayelis Cabello
45	23-22	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Dominique Phills
46	24-22	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Brooke Bultema	blk Arissa Carbonara
47	24-23	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
48	25-23	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Francesca Popescu
Set 4
1	1-0	CAL	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
2	1-1	CAL	LOUIS×4	Serve err	California
3	1-2	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman
4	1-3	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Abby Zimmerman	blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Brooke Bultema
5	1-4	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Sawyer Thomsen	blk Brooke Bultema
6	2-4	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Arissa Carbonara	set Anna Flores
7	2-5	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
8	2-6	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
9	3-6	LOUIS	CAL	Blocked	Chloe Chicoine	blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen
10	3-7	CAL	LOUIS	Bad set	Siena MacCudden
11	4-7	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Dominique Phills	set Anna Flores
12	5-7	CAL	CAL	Ace	Abby Zimmerman	aced Chloe Meester
13	5-8	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
14	6-8	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores
15	7-8	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Chloe Meester	blk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores
16	7-9	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
17	8-9	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores
18	8-10	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
19	8-11	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Payton Petersen
20	9-11	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
21	9-12	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
22	9-13	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Arissa Carbonara
23	10-13	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
24	11-13	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Kalyssa Blackshear	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Abby Zimmerman
25	11-14	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
26	12-14	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
27	12-15	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
28	13-15	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Dominique Phills	set Sophia Johnson
29	13-16	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
30	14-16	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
31	14-17	CAL	LOUIS×6	Blocked	Cari Bohm	blk Addison Makun
32	14-18	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Blocked	Anna Flores	blk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester
33	14-19	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Blocked	Arissa Carbonara	blk Kalyssa Blackshear
34	14-20	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Attack err	Ashley Li
35	14-21	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Ace	Louisville	aced Arissa Carbonara
36	14-22	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Blocked	Cari Bohm	blk Chloe Meester
37	15-22	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Arissa Carbonara	set Anna Flores
38	15-23	CAL	LOUIS	Attack err	Anna Flores
39	16-23	LOUIS	CAL	Serve err	Louisville
40	17-23	CAL	CAL	Kill	Arissa Carbonara	set Anna Flores
41	17-24	CAL	LOUIS	Serve err	California
42	18-24	LOUIS	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores
43	18-25	CAL	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello

Score shown after each rally, California first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Louisville def. California 3–1

.290 to .130: Louisville outhit California.