Louisville vs Florida State Volleyball: Louisville Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026ACCNX

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Louisville 96.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Louisville won at Florida St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-13, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Louisville's Chloe Chicoine led with 10 kills, and Payton Petersen added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:10 PM CT · final Oct 23

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LOUIS	25	25	25	3
FSU	21	13	15	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No doubt about it: No. 3 Louisville over Florida St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.4 points. Florida St. peaked at 10% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Louisville at 97%.

LouisvilleFlorida St.

Break %+25.2 pts
50.725.5
37 of 73 on serve vs 13 of 51, so Florida St.'s sideout was 49.3%.
Hitting+.210
.210.000
35 kills, 14 errors vs 26 kills, 26 errors.
Longest run+3
74
7 straight Louisville points in the second set stretched a 9–6 lead to 16–6. Final score of the set: 25–13.

Florida St. above 50Louisville belowMax swing 1.4%

LouisvilleFlorida St.

Aces: Louisville 5·Florida St. 3
Serve err: Louisville 5·Florida St. 7
Blocks: Louisville 11.5·Florida St. 44 BS · 15 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Louisville 54·Florida St. 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Florida St. above 50 · Louisville below

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Louisville — set 1, LOUIS 19-19 FSU. Kill by Brooke Bultema (set by Kamden Schrand). FSU win probability 7% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOUIS 97.6%2.4% FSU

Louisville wins

3-0

65.1%

3-1

26.0%

3-2

6.5%

Florida St. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.6%

3-2

1.5%

LOUIS break %: 47.9% vs this opp
FSU break %: 33.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Brooke BultemaKill+1.4%
Kill by Brooke Bultema (set by Kamden Schrand)
Set 1 · LOUIS 19-19 FSU · LOUIS 93% → 95%
02
Chloe MeesterAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Chloe Meester
Set 1 · LOUIS 13-17 FSU · FSU 8% → 9%
03
Brooke Bultema&Chloe ChicoineBlock+1.4%
Kyleene Filimaua stuffed by Brooke Bultema & Chloe Chicoine
Set 1 · LOUIS 18-19 FSU · LOUIS 92% → 93%
04
Bailey HigginsAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Bailey Higgins
Set 1 · LOUIS 20-19 FSU · LOUIS 95% → 96%
05
Bailey HigginsKill+1.2%
Kill by Bailey Higgins (set by Emma Lilo)
Set 1 · LOUIS 11-14 FSU · FSU 6% → 7%
06
Kyleene FilimauaAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Kyleene Filimaua
Set 1 · LOUIS 16-18 FSU · LOUIS 91% → 92%
07
LouisvilleService error+1.2%
Louisville service error
Set 1 · LOUIS 16-19 FSU · FSU 8% → 9%
08
Victoria DavidAce+1.1%
Ace by Victoria David on Chloe Chicoine
Set 1 · LOUIS 11-13 FSU · FSU 5% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Louisvilleaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Chloe ChicoineOH	3	10	3	35	.200	2	1	0	11	1	1	2	2	13
44Brooke BultemaMB	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	6	12
2Chloe MeesterOH	3	8	4	23	.174	1	1	3	2	0	0	0	0	9
8Nayelis CabelloS	3	4	1	8	.375	20	0	0	12	0	0	4	2	6
24Kalyssa BlackshearOPP	3	4	3	16	.063	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
3Kamden SchrandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
4Addison MakunMB	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Hannah KennyS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	11	0	0	0	0	2
21Payton PetersenL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	1	1	13	1	0	0	0	1
22Blair ThiebaudS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	14	100	.210	34	5	5	54	3	4	15	11.5	75

Florida St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Nenu KpeaMB	3	7	5	17	.118	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
0Payton WhalenOH	3	7	5	21	.095	0	0	0	5	4	1	0	1	8
21Bailey HigginsOPP	3	4	3	20	.050	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	0	5
12Kyleene FilimauaOH	3	4	9	38	-.132	1	0	4	11	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
24Delaney EwingMB	3	4	2	11	.182	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
9Emma LiloS	3	0	0	4	.000	21	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
6Victoria DavidOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	4	1	0	0	0	2
18Maile ChanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
13Bennett RatermanMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Johanna SovaOPP	1	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Callie KiefferS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	26	114	.000	24	3	7	42	5	2	4	4	49

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 LOUIS · FSU 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 LOUISFSU 4

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 7 LOUISFSU 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 4 LOUISFSU 3

Bars above the line = Florida St. leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	54%7/13
2	58%7/12	46%6/13
3	55%6/11	40%4/10
4	86%6/7	33%3/9
5	86%6/7	67%12/18
6	100%5/5	50%5/10
All	75%38/51	51%37/73

Florida St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	13%1/8
2	60%6/10	42%5/12
3	60%6/10	33%3/9
4	50%6/12	33%3/9
5	33%6/18	14%1/7
6	50%5/10	0%0/6
All	49%36/73	25%13/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#	LOUIS-FSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	FSU	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing		+0.5
2	1-1	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Chloe Chicoine	+0.3
3	2-1	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.4
4	2-2	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.3
5	2-3	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Chloe Chicoine		+0.6
6	3-3	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.4
7	3-4	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.4
8	3-5	FSU	FSU	Blocked	Brooke Bultema	blk Payton Whalen	+0.7
9	4-5	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.4
10	5-5	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Nenu Kpea		+0.6
11	5-6	LOUIS	FSU	Attack err	Chloe Meester		+0.5
12	6-6	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Payton Petersen	+0.4
13	7-6	LOUIS	LOUIS	Blocked	Kyleene Filimaua	blk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear	+0.5
14	7-7	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+0.4
15	7-8	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Emma Lilo		+0.7
16	8-8	FSU	LOUIS	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+0.4
17	8-9	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+0.6
18	9-9	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.5
19	9-10	LOUIS	FSU	Serve err	Kamden Schrand		+0.6
20	10-10	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Kamden Schrand	+0.5
21	11-10	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Payton Whalen		+0.7
22	11-11	LOUIS	FSU×4	Attack err	Chloe Chicoine		+0.5
23	11-12	FSU	FSU×4	Attack err	Nayelis Cabello		+0.9
24	11-13	FSU	FSU×4	Ace	Victoria David	aced Chloe Chicoine	+1.1
25	11-14	FSU	FSU×4	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+1.2
26	12-14	FSU	LOUIS	Blocked	Payton Whalen	blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema	+0.7
27	12-15	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Kyleene Filimaua	+0.9
28	13-15	FSU	LOUIS	Attack err	Payton Whalen		+0.7
29	13-16	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+1.0
30	13-17	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Chloe Meester		+1.4
31	14-17	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Addison Makun	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.7
32	14-18	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+1.1
33	15-18	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.7
34	16-18	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+1.2
35	16-19	LOUIS	FSU	Serve err	Louisville		+1.2
36	17-19	FSU	LOUIS×5	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.8
37	18-19	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Blocked	Kyleene Filimaua	blk Brooke Bultema, Chloe Chicoine	+1.4
38	19-19	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Kamden Schrand	+1.4
39	20-19	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Attack err	Bailey Higgins		+1.3
40	21-19	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Blocked	Delaney Ewing	blk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear	+1.1
41	21-20	LOUIS	FSU	Blocked	Kalyssa Blackshear	blk Kyleene Filimaua, Delaney Ewing	+0.7
42	22-20	FSU	LOUIS×3	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.8
43	23-20	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	Louisville	aced Payton Whalen	+0.7
44	24-20	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Blocked	Kyleene Filimaua	blk Brooke Bultema, Nayelis Cabello, Chloe Chicoine	+0.3
45	24-21	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+0.1
46	25-21	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Chloe Chicoine	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	LOUIS	LOUIS	Ace	Louisville	aced Victoria David	+0.3
2	2-0	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Delaney Ewing		+0.2
3	2-1	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+0.2
4	3-1	FSU	LOUIS	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.1
5	4-1	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Kamden Schrand	+0.2
6	4-2	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.1
7	5-2	FSU	LOUIS×3	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.1
8	6-2	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	Louisville	aced Payton Whalen	+0.2
9	7-2	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Blocked	Nenu Kpea	blk Brooke Bultema	+0.1
10	7-3	LOUIS	FSU×3	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.1
11	7-4	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.1
12	7-5	FSU	FSU×3	Ace	Florida St.	aced Payton Petersen	+0.2
13	8-5	FSU	LOUIS	Attack err	Payton Whalen		+0.1
14	9-5	LOUIS	LOUIS	Blocked	Payton Whalen	blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema	+0.2
15	9-6	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.1
16	10-6	FSU	LOUIS×7	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
17	11-6	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Payton Petersen	+0.1
18	12-6	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+0.1
19	13-6	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Ace	Louisville	aced Payton Whalen	+0.1
20	14-6	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	·
21	15-6	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Kill	Addison Makun	set Nayelis Cabello	·
22	16-6	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	·
23	16-7	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	·
24	17-7	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	·
25	17-8	LOUIS	FSU	Attack err	Kalyssa Blackshear		·
26	18-8	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Payton Petersen	·
27	18-9	LOUIS	FSU	Serve err	Louisville		·
28	19-9	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	·
29	20-9	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Kamden Schrand	·
30	20-10	LOUIS	FSU	Attack err	Kalyssa Blackshear		·
31	21-10	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	·
32	21-11	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	·
33	22-11	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	·
34	22-12	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Victoria David	·
35	23-12	FSU	LOUIS	Blocked	Kyleene Filimaua	blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema	·
36	24-12	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	·
37	24-13	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	·
38	25-13	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Chloe Meester	·
Set 3
1	1-0	FSU	LOUIS	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.1
2	1-1	LOUIS	FSU	Attack err	Addison Makun		+0.1
3	1-2	FSU	FSU	Ace	Florida St.		+0.2
4	2-2	FSU	LOUIS	Bad set	Emma Lilo		+0.1
5	3-2	LOUIS	LOUIS	Blocked	Nenu Kpea	blk Brooke Bultema	+0.1
6	3-3	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.1
7	4-3	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
8	4-4	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.1
9	5-4	FSU	LOUIS×3	Blocked	Bailey Higgins	blk Chloe Chicoine	+0.1
10	6-4	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Nenu Kpea		+0.1
11	7-4	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Kyleene Filimaua		+0.1
12	7-5	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.1
13	8-5	FSU	LOUIS	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.1
14	9-5	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Bailey Higgins		+0.1
15	9-6	LOUIS	FSU	Serve err	Louisville		+0.1
16	10-6	FSU	LOUIS	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.1
17	10-7	LOUIS	FSU	Attack err	Chloe Meester		+0.1
18	11-7	FSU	LOUIS	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.1
19	11-8	LOUIS	FSU	Serve err	Louisville		+0.1
20	12-8	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
21	13-8	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Kamden Schrand	+0.1
22	13-9	LOUIS	FSU×3	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	·
23	13-10	FSU	FSU×3	Blocked	Chloe Chicoine	blk Johanna Sova, Nenu Kpea	+0.1
24	13-11	FSU	FSU×3	Blocked	Brooke Bultema	blk Nenu Kpea	+0.1
25	14-11	FSU	LOUIS	Attack err	Johanna Sova		+0.1
26	15-11	LOUIS	LOUIS	Blocked	Kyleene Filimaua	blk Brooke Bultema	+0.1
27	15-12	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Callie Kieffer	+0.1
28	16-12	FSU	LOUIS×3	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
29	17-12	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Nenu Kpea		+0.1
30	18-12	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	Louisville	aced Payton Whalen	·
31	18-13	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Callie Kieffer	·
32	19-13	FSU	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	·
33	20-13	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	·
34	21-13	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Payton Petersen	·
35	22-13	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Attack err	Johanna Sova		·
36	22-14	LOUIS	FSU	Attack err	Chloe Meester		·
37	23-14	FSU	LOUIS	Bad set	Payton Whalen		·
38	24-14	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Payton Petersen	·
39	24-15	LOUIS	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	·
40	25-15	FSU	LOUIS	Kill	Addison Makun	set Blair Thiebaud	·

Score shown after each rally, Louisville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Louisville def. Florida St. 3–0

No doubt about it: No. 3 Louisville over Florida St.