Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 25, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Wichita St. def. Charlotte 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Wichita St. 73.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Wichita St. won at Charlotte 3-1 (25-17, 25-23, 21-25, 25-19) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Wichita St.'s Olivia Cohee and Maddie Wilson led with 13 kills each, and Gabi Maas added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set1234Sets
WICHST252521253
CHAR172325191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Wichita St. built it on runs.

Win probability never moved more than 4.5 points on one rally; Charlotte topped out at 27% in Set 1. Wichita St. went in as RallyIQ's 73% pick.

Wichita St.Charlotte
  • Longest run+1
    54

    Up 4–3 in the first set, Wichita St. scored 5 straight to make it 9–3. That set ended 25–17.

Charlotte above 50Wichita St. belowMax swing 4.5%

Wichita St.Charlotte

Hitting
Wichita St. .202·Charlotte .135
Aces
Wichita St. 4·Charlotte 4
Serve err
Wichita St. 6·Charlotte 7
Blocks
Wichita St. 9·Charlotte 130 BS · 18 BA vs 4 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Wichita St. 88·Charlotte 77

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Charlotte above 50 · Wichita St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.5% WICHSTrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Wichita St. — set 2, WICHST 25-23 CHAR. Kill by McKenzie Jones (set by Jordan Heatherly). CHAR win probability 10% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WICHST 73.7%26.3% CHAR

Wichita St. wins

3-0
26.0%
3-1
28.2%
3-2
19.5%

Charlotte wins

3-0
4.7%
3-1
9.1%
3-2
12.5%
WICHST break %
45.6% vs this opp
CHAR break %
40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by McKenzie Jones (set by Jordan Heatherly)

    Set 2 · WICHST 25-23 CHAR · WICHST 90% → 95%

  2. 02
    Maddie WilsonKill+3.5%

    Kill by Maddie Wilson (set by Sara Marinkovic)

    Set 2 · WICHST 24-22 CHAR · WICHST 89% → 92%

  3. 03

    Clara Briley stuffed by Olivia Cohee & Eva Krakowski

    Set 2 · WICHST 18-17 CHAR · WICHST 84% → 86%

  4. 04

    Kill by Sara Marinkovic (set by Chloe Maughan)

    Set 2 · WICHST 23-22 CHAR · CHAR 8% → 11%

  5. 05
    Olivia CoheeKill+2.9%

    Kill by Olivia Cohee (set by Milena Lopez)

    Set 2 · WICHST 17-17 CHAR · WICHST 81% → 84%

  6. 06
    Clara BrileyKill+2.8%

    Kill by Clara Briley (set by Harper Hall)

    Set 2 · WICHST 14-16 CHAR · CHAR 18% → 21%

  7. 07
    Grace HettAce+2.7%

    Ace by Grace Hett on Erin Lehman

    Set 2 · WICHST 19-17 CHAR · WICHST 86% → 89%

  8. 08
    Clara BrileyKill+2.6%

    Kill by Clara Briley (set by Milena Lopez)

    Set 4 · WICHST 17-15 CHAR · CHAR 6% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413641.171001103052.515.5
413229.37910020052.515.5
4111139.00000010100011
47120.30000040031.58.5
45111.36400000031.56.5
4000–26111800001
410431.1941003002111
4000–122700002
4001.00021121000001
23Gabi MaasL/DS
41011.0005002400001
Team totals6025173.2025546884018996
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410538.1320307102114
411733.12100020010.511.5
47334.118203121153.510.5
46119.26301150153.510.5
45320.100000001438
4112.00023022000001
46520.05000040010.56.5
4000–4011800000
4000–1600800000
1204.500000101013
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000010000
Team totals4825171.13545477744181384

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 WICHST · CHAR 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 WICHSTCHAR 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 WICHSTCHAR 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 WICHSTCHAR 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 WICHSTCHAR 3

Bars above the line = Charlotte leads, below = Wichita St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wichita St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
44%8/18
2
64%9/14
41%7/17
3
67%8/12
38%5/13
4
57%8/14
56%10/18
5
53%8/15
43%6/14
6
73%8/11
47%7/15
All
62%53/85
45%43/95

Charlotte

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%12/23
38%6/16
2
50%8/16
42%8/19
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
53%8/15
27%3/11
5
47%8/17
50%8/16
6
80%8/10
27%3/11
All
55%52/95
38%32/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#WICHST-CHARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CHARWICHSTBlockedMariam Mushkudianiblk Maddie Wilson, Jenna Cubbage+1.5
22-0WICHSTWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Maddie Wilson+1.8
32-1WICHSTCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+1.4
42-2CHARCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+2.0
53-2CHARWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+1.5
64-2WICHSTWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Harper Hall+1.9
74-3WICHSTCHARKillClara Brileyset Chloe Maughan+1.5
85-3CHARWICHST×5KillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+1.5
96-3WICHSTWICHST×5KillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+1.8
107-3WICHSTWICHST×5Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+1.6
118-3WICHSTWICHST×5BlockedMariam Mushkudianiblk Olivia Cohee, Eva Krakowski+1.3
129-3WICHSTWICHST×5Attack errClara Briley+1.1
139-4WICHSTCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.7
1410-4CHARWICHSTKillEva Krakowskiset Addie Oeth+0.8
1510-5WICHSTCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Milena Lopez+0.7
1611-5CHARWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Grace Hett+0.8
1711-6WICHSTCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Milena Lopez+0.7
1812-6CHARWICHSTAttack errElena Kovacevic+0.8
1912-7WICHSTCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Chloe Maughan+0.7
2013-7CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.8
2113-8WICHSTCHAR×3Attack errMcKenzie Jones+0.7
2213-9CHARCHAR×3KillClara Brileyset Sara Marinkovic+1.2
2313-10CHARCHAR×3KillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.6
2414-10CHARWICHST×3KillEva Krakowskiset Jordan Heatherly+1.4
2515-10WICHSTWICHST×3AceAddie Oethaced Sara Marinkovic+1.5
2616-10WICHSTWICHST×3Attack errClara Briley+1.1
2716-11WICHSTCHARBlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Jovana Antic, Clara Briley+0.6
2816-12CHARCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Jovana Antic+1.1
2917-12CHARWICHSTKillEva Krakowskiset Addie Oeth+1.1
3018-12WICHSTWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.0
3118-13WICHSTCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.5
3219-13CHARWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+0.7
3320-13WICHSTWICHSTBlockedElena Kovacevicblk Janaya Weitkemper, Maddie Wilson+0.6
3420-14WICHSTCHARKillClara Brileyset Milena Lopez+0.3
3521-14CHARWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+0.4
3622-14WICHSTWICHSTKillGabi Maasset Chloe Maughan+0.2
3722-15WICHSTCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Milena Lopez+0.1
3823-15CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.1
3923-16WICHSTCHARKillJovana Anticset Milena Lopez·
4024-16CHARWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+0.1
4124-17WICHSTCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall·
4225-17CHARWICHSTBlockedJovana Anticblk Jenna Cubbage, Olivia Cohee·
Set 2
11-0WICHSTWICHSTKillMaddie Wilson+1.5
22-0WICHSTWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Gabi Maas+1.5
32-1WICHSTCHAR×4KillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.1
42-2CHARCHAR×4KillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.6
52-3CHARCHAR×4Attack errMcKenzie Jones+1.8
62-4CHARCHAR×4Bad setJordan Heatherly+1.9
73-4CHARWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+1.3
83-5WICHSTCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.5
94-5CHARWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+1.4
105-5WICHSTWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+1.8
115-6WICHSTCHARServe errAddie Oeth+1.5
126-6CHARWICHSTBlockedClara Brileyblk Eva Krakowski, Janaya Weitkemper+1.4
137-6WICHSTWICHSTKillEva Krakowskiset Addie Oeth+1.8
147-7WICHSTCHAR×3KillSofia Locadiaset Milena Lopez+1.4
157-8CHARCHAR×3KillSara Marinkovicset Milena Lopez+2.0
167-9CHARCHAR×3BlockedOlivia Coheeblk Elena Kovacevic, Sofia Locadia+2.1
178-9CHARWICHSTAttack errSara Marinkovic+1.5
188-10WICHSTCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Milena Lopez+1.7
199-10CHARWICHSTServe errChloe Maughan+1.5
209-11WICHSTCHARKillJovana Anticset Milena Lopez+1.8
219-12CHARCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+2.3
2210-12CHARWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+1.5
2310-13WICHSTCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.8
2410-14CHARCHARKillClara Brileyset Sara Marinkovic+2.3
2511-14CHARWICHST×4Serve errSara Marinkovic+1.4
2612-14WICHSTWICHST×4KillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+2.1
2713-14WICHSTWICHST×4Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+2.3
2814-14WICHSTWICHST×4KillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+2.5
2914-15WICHSTCHARAttack errMcKenzie Jones+2.1
3014-16CHARCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+2.8
3115-16CHARWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+1.9
3215-17WICHSTCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+2.3
3316-17CHARWICHST×4KillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.0
3417-17WICHSTWICHST×4KillOlivia Coheeset Milena Lopez+2.9
3518-17WICHSTWICHST×4BlockedClara Brileyblk Olivia Cohee, Eva Krakowski+2.9
3619-17WICHSTWICHST×4AceGrace Hettaced Erin Lehman+2.7
3719-18WICHSTCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+1.9
3820-18CHARWICHST×3KillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+2.2
3921-18WICHSTWICHST×3Attack errSofia Locadia+2.4
4022-18WICHSTWICHST×3KillMaddie Wilsonset Janaya Weitkemper+1.7
4122-19WICHSTCHARKillHarper Hallset Harper Hall+0.8
4222-20CHARCHARBlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Sara Marinkovic, Jovana Antic+1.7
4323-20CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Addie Oeth+2.0
4423-21WICHSTCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+1.2
4523-22CHARCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Chloe Maughan+2.9
4624-22CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Sara Marinkovic+3.5
4724-23WICHSTCHARAttack errMcKenzie Jones+2.0
4825-23CHARWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+4.5
Set 3
10-1CHARCHARBlockedMaddie Wilsonblk Jovana Antic+0.9
20-2CHARCHARBlockedMcKenzie Jonesblk Jovana Antic, Sara Marinkovic+1.0
31-2CHARWICHSTServe errHarper Hall+0.7
41-3WICHSTCHARBlockedMcKenzie Jonesblk Mariam Mushkudiani, Jovana Antic+0.8
52-3CHARWICHSTServe errSara Marinkovic+0.7
62-4WICHSTCHAR×3Attack errMcKenzie Jones+0.8
72-5CHARCHAR×3BlockedMcKenzie Jonesblk Sofia Locadia+1.1
82-6CHARCHAR×3AceJovana Anticaced Olivia Cohee+1.0
93-6CHARWICHSTServe errJovana Antic+0.7
103-7WICHSTCHARServe errGrace Hett+0.8
113-8CHARCHARAttack errOlivia Cohee+1.0
124-8CHARWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Gabi Maas+0.6
135-8WICHSTWICHSTAttack errClara Briley+0.9
145-9WICHSTCHAR×3Attack errJanaya Weitkemper+0.9
155-10CHARCHAR×3AceClara Brileyaced Olivia Cohee+1.0
165-11CHARCHAR×3AceClara Brileyaced Olivia Cohee+0.9
176-11CHARWICHST×4KillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+0.6
187-11WICHSTWICHST×4KillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+0.9
198-11WICHSTWICHST×4BlockedSofia Locadiablk Olivia Cohee, Maddie Wilson+1.0
209-11WICHSTWICHST×4Attack errSara Marinkovic+1.1
219-12WICHSTCHARBlockedJenna Cubbageblk Sofia Locadia, Sara Marinkovic+1.0
2210-12CHARWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+0.8
2310-13WICHSTCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Milena Lopez+1.0
2410-14CHARCHARAttack errOlivia Cohee+1.3
2511-14CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.8
2612-14WICHSTWICHSTAttack errSara Marinkovic+1.2
2712-15WICHSTCHARBlockedMcKenzie Jonesblk Sara Marinkovic, Jovana Antic+1.1
2812-16CHARCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+1.3
2913-16CHARWICHSTServe errSara Marinkovic+0.8
3014-16WICHSTWICHSTAttack errHarper Hall+1.2
3114-17WICHSTCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+1.2
3215-17CHARWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+1.0
3315-18WICHSTCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.2
3415-19CHARCHARAttack errOlivia Cohee+1.4
3516-19CHARWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+0.8
3616-20WICHSTCHAR×3KillSofia Locadiaset Milena Lopez+1.1
3716-21CHARCHAR×3Attack errOlivia Cohee+1.1
3816-22CHARCHAR×3BlockedJanaya Weitkemperblk Sara Marinkovic, Sofia Locadia+0.7
3917-22CHARWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+0.2
4018-22WICHSTWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+0.5
4118-23WICHSTCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Milena Lopez+0.7
4219-23CHARWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+0.3
4319-24WICHSTCHARKillJovana Anticset Milena Lopez+0.6
4420-24CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.1
4521-24WICHSTWICHSTKillEva Krakowskiset Jordan Heatherly+0.4
4621-25WICHSTCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+0.7
Set 4
11-0WICHSTWICHST×3KillJenna Cubbageset Gabi Maas+2.3
22-0WICHSTWICHST×3Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+2.2
33-0WICHSTWICHST×3AceJordan Heatherlyaced Clara Briley+2.0
43-1WICHSTCHARBlockedMaddie Wilsonblk Milan Cannon+1.5
54-1CHARWICHSTAttack errMariam Mushkudiani+1.5
64-2WICHSTCHARKillMilan Cannonset Harper Hall+1.5
75-2CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.6
85-3WICHSTCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+1.6
96-3CHARWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Jordan Heatherly+1.6
107-3WICHSTWICHSTKillJanaya Weitkemperset Gabi Maas+1.9
117-4WICHSTCHARServe errAddie Oeth+1.3
128-4CHARWICHST×3KillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+1.4
139-4WICHSTWICHST×3Attack errElena Kovacevic+1.6
1410-4WICHSTWICHST×3AceGrace Hett+1.3
1510-5WICHSTCHAR×3Serve errGrace Hett+0.8
1610-6CHARCHAR×3BlockedEva Krakowskiblk Sara Marinkovic+1.4
1710-7CHARCHAR×3Attack errOlivia Cohee+1.8
1811-7CHARWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Addie Oeth+1.5
1911-8WICHSTCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Milena Lopez+1.4
2012-8CHARWICHST×3Serve errHarper Hall+1.6
2113-8WICHSTWICHST×3KillOlivia Coheeset Gabi Maas+1.7
2214-8WICHSTWICHST×3BlockedMariam Mushkudianiblk Jenna Cubbage, Maddie Wilson+1.3
2314-9WICHSTCHARKillMilan Cannonset Harper Hall+0.8
2415-9CHARWICHSTKillJenna Cubbageset Jordan Heatherly+1.0
2515-10WICHSTCHARServe errOlivia Cohee+0.8
2616-10CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.0
2716-11WICHSTCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+0.7
2816-12CHARCHARAttack errMcKenzie Jones+1.4
2917-12CHARWICHSTAttack errSofia Locadia+1.3
3017-13WICHSTCHAR×3BlockedMcKenzie Jonesblk Clara Briley, Sofia Locadia+1.0
3117-14CHARCHAR×3AceClara Brileyaced McKenzie Jones+1.9
3217-15CHARCHAR×3KillClara Brileyset Milena Lopez+2.6
3318-15CHARWICHSTKillMcKenzie Jonesset Addie Oeth+2.4
3418-16WICHSTCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Milena Lopez+2.1
3519-16CHARWICHST×3KillJanaya Weitkemperset Addie Oeth+2.5
3620-16WICHSTWICHST×3BlockedElena Kovacevicblk Olivia Cohee, Maddie Wilson+2.5
3721-16WICHSTWICHST×3Attack errElena Kovacevic+1.6
3821-17WICHSTCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Milena Lopez+0.8
3921-18CHARCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Chloe Maughan+1.7
4022-18CHARWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Addie Oeth+1.9
4123-18WICHSTWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+1.3
4223-19WICHSTCHARServe errJordan Heatherly+0.4
4324-19CHARWICHSTKillOlivia Coheeset Jordan Heatherly+0.8
4425-19WICHSTWICHSTKillMaddie Wilsonset Jordan Heatherly+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Wichita St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).