FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Louisville def. Virginia 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Louisville 99.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Louisville won at Virginia 3-0 (25-18, 25-14, 25-17) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Louisville's Kalyssa Blackshear led with 10 kills, and Nayelis Cabello added 14 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
LOUIS2525253
UVA1814170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.450 and 10 kills for Kalyssa Blackshear as Louisville rolled past Virginia.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.1 points. Virginia peaked at <1% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Louisville at >99%.

LouisvilleVirginia
  • Break %+24.1 pts
    54.130.0

    40 of 74 on serve vs 15 of 50, so Virginia's sideout was 45.9%.

  • Hitting+.167
    .329.162

    Kills and errors: 36–8 vs 35–19.

  • Longest run+4
    95

    Louisville scored 9 straight in the first set to turn an 8–10 deficit into a 17–10 lead. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Virginia above 50Louisville belowMax swing 0.1%

LouisvilleVirginia

Aces
Louisville 7·Virginia 4
Serve err
Louisville 2·Virginia 10
Blocks
Louisville 8·Virginia 52 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Louisville 37·Virginia 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Virginia above 50 · Louisville below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 124 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Louisville stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOUIS 99.9%0.1% UVA

Louisville wins

3-0
87.2%
3-1
11.7%
3-2
1.0%

Virginia wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.0%
3-2
0.1%
LOUIS break %
53.5% vs this opp
UVA break %
30.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310120.45000000132.512.5
37416.1880413100011
3506.833000000427
35228.10700030111.56.5
3517.571000000216
3407.57121001400215
3000–021800002
3000–210300001
3001.000300610000
Team totals36885.3292672374212875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310832.0630134100011
3438.125143270010.57.5
35110.400000000427
31210-.100000101012
32021.0001601300002
3001.000002710000
38014.57100000010.58.5
33416-.063000100003
3001.000101800000
2114.000000000212
21011.000000000001
2000–001000000
2000–000100000
Team totals351999.1623141032718549

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 LOUIS · UVA 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 9 LOUISUVA 3

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 6 LOUISUVA 2

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 LOUISUVA 5

Bars above the line = Virginia leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%5/5
43%3/7
2
67%4/6
75%12/16
3
57%4/7
33%2/6
4
100%4/4
56%5/9
5
100%4/4
0%0/4
6
57%4/7
43%3/7
All
76%25/33
51%25/49

Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
43%3/7
2
24%4/17
17%1/6
3
44%4/9
43%3/7
4
100%4/4
20%1/5
5
67%4/6
0%0/4
6
43%3/7
0%0/4
All
49%24/49
24%8/33

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#LOUIS-UVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
21-1UVALOUISKillChloe Meester
32-1LOUISLOUISAceLouisville
42-2LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
53-2UVALOUISAttack errCaroline Lang
63-3LOUISUVAKillBecca Wightset Zoey Dood
73-4UVAUVAAceVirginiaaced Payton Petersen
84-4UVALOUISServe errVirginia
94-5LOUISUVAAttack errBrooke Bultema
105-5UVALOUISBad setBecca Wight
115-6LOUISUVAKillBecca Wightset Zoey Dood
126-6UVALOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
137-6LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Payton Petersen
147-7LOUISUVA×3KillZoey Doodset Hannah Scott
157-8UVAUVA×3Attack errChloe Meester
167-9UVAUVA×3Attack errKalyssa Blackshear
178-9UVALOUISServe errVirginia
188-10LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
199-10UVALOUIS×9KillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello
2010-10LOUISLOUIS×9KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
2111-10LOUISLOUIS×9AceLouisvilleaced Meredith Reeg
2212-10LOUISLOUIS×9Attack errZoey Dood
2313-10LOUISLOUIS×9AceLouisville
2414-10LOUISLOUIS×9KillAddison Makun
2515-10LOUISLOUIS×9Attack errReese Wuebker
2616-10LOUISLOUIS×9KillAddison Makun
2717-10LOUISLOUIS×9KillKalyssa Blackshearset Payton Petersen
2817-11LOUISUVAKillHannah Scottset Payton Petersen
2917-12UVAUVAAceVirginiaaced Chloe Meester
3018-12UVALOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
3118-13LOUISUVAKillBecca Wightset Zoey Dood
3219-13UVALOUISServe errVirginia
3319-14LOUISUVAKillElla Brodnerset Zoey Dood
3420-14UVALOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
3520-15LOUISUVAAttack errChloe Meester
3621-15UVALOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
3721-16LOUISUVAKillZoey Doodset Hannah Scott
3821-17UVAUVAKillZoey Doodset Katie Barrier
3922-17UVALOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello
4022-18LOUISUVAKillSkyler Gatesset Hannah Scott
4123-18UVALOUIS×3Serve errVirginia
4224-18LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errReese Wuebker
4325-18LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errZoey Dood
Set 2
11-0UVALOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
21-1LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
32-1UVALOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
42-2LOUISUVAKillZoey Doodset Hannah Scott
52-3UVAUVAKillBecca Wightset Zoey Dood
63-3UVALOUIS×6KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
74-3LOUISLOUIS×6KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
85-3LOUISLOUIS×6BlockedCaroline Langblk Chloe Chicoine
96-3LOUISLOUIS×6AceLouisville
107-3LOUISLOUIS×6Attack errReese Wuebker
118-3LOUISLOUIS×6AceLouisvilleaced Reese Wuebker
128-4LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Zoey Dood
139-4UVALOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
149-5LOUISUVAKillCaroline Langset Zoey Dood
1510-5UVALOUISKillNayelis Cabello
1611-5LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
1711-6LOUISUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Zoey Dood
1812-6UVALOUIS×4KillNayelis Cabello
1913-6LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
2014-6LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errZoey Dood
2115-6LOUISLOUIS×4KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
2215-7LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
2316-7UVALOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
2417-7LOUISLOUISBlockedReese Wuebkerblk Kalyssa Blackshear, Addison Makun
2517-8LOUISUVAKillHannah Scott
2617-9UVAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
2718-9UVALOUIS×3KillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello
2819-9LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand
2920-9LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errLauryn Bowie
3020-10LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
3120-11UVAUVAAceVirginia
3221-11UVALOUISServe errVirginia
3321-12LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Zoey Dood
3422-12UVALOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
3522-13LOUISUVAKillElla Brodnerset Zoey Dood
3623-13UVALOUISServe errVirginia
3724-13LOUISLOUISBlockedElla Brodnerblk Addison Makun, Nayelis Cabello
3824-14LOUISUVAKillElla Brodnerset Nayelis Cabello
3925-14UVALOUISServe errVirginia
Set 3
10-1LOUISUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott
21-1UVALOUIS×5BlockedReese Wuebkerblk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear
32-1LOUISLOUIS×5Bad setHannah Scott
43-1LOUISLOUIS×5AceLouisville
54-1LOUISLOUIS×5KillKalyssa Blackshearset Payton Petersen
65-1LOUISLOUIS×5BlockedReese Wuebkerblk Kalyssa Blackshear
75-2LOUISUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
86-2UVALOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
97-2LOUISLOUISAttack errReese Wuebker
107-3LOUISUVAKillBecca Wightset Zoey Dood
118-3UVALOUISBlockedElla Brodnerblk Kalyssa Blackshear, Brooke Bultema
129-3LOUISLOUISBlockedElla Brodnerblk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema
139-4LOUISUVAServe errLouisville
149-5UVAUVAAttack errChloe Chicoine
1510-5UVALOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
1610-6LOUISUVAKillBecca Wightset Zoey Dood
1711-6UVALOUIS×5KillNayelis Cabelloset Katie Barrier
1812-6LOUISLOUIS×5Attack errElla Brodner
1913-6LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
2014-6LOUISLOUIS×5Attack errEmily Fowler
2115-6LOUISLOUIS×5Bad setHannah Scott
2215-7LOUISUVA×5KillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott
2315-8UVAUVA×5KillEmily Fowler
2415-9UVAUVA×5BlockedChloe Meesterblk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie
2515-10UVA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2615-11UVAUVA×5KillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott
2716-11UVALOUISServe errVirginia
2816-12LOUISUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott
2917-12UVALOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
3018-12LOUISLOUISAttack errReese Wuebker
3118-13LOUISUVA×3Serve errLouisville
3218-14UVAUVA×3Attack errChloe Chicoine
3318-15UVAUVA×3AceVirginia
3419-15UVALOUIS×4Serve errVirginia
3520-15LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand
3621-15LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
3722-15LOUISLOUIS×4AceLouisville
3822-16LOUISUVAKillBecca Wightset Zoey Dood
3923-16UVALOUISServe errVirginia
4024-16LOUISLOUISKillNayelis Cabelloset Katie Barrier
4124-17LOUISUVAKillBecca Wightset Zoey Dood
4225-17UVALOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello

Score shown after each rally, Louisville first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).