Harvard def. UNCW 3–0
Harvard won at UNCW 3-0 (25-21, 25-19, 25-15) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Harvard's Kayla Nwabueze led with 8 kills, and Sophia Wei added 12 digs.
Data through · final Sep 12
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| UNCW | 21 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.8% to Harvard — set 1, HARV 23-20 UNCW. Kill by Kayla Nwabueze (set by Sophia Wei). UNCW win probability 24% → 22%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Harvard wins
UNCW wins
- HARV break %
- 45.2% vs this opp
- UNCW break %
- 41.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Kayla NwabuezeKill+2.8%
Kill by Kayla Nwabueze (set by Sophia Wei)
Set 1 · HARV 23-20 UNCW · HARV 76% → 78%
- 02
- 03UNCWAce+2.6%
UNCW ace on Yvette Easton
Set 2 · HARV 13-13 UNCW · UNCW 17% → 19%
- 04
- 05HarvardAce+2.6%
Harvard ace on Morgan Esmie
Set 2 · HARV 15-13 UNCW · HARV 83% → 85%
- 06
- 07Masina OgbechieKill+2.5%
Kill by Masina Ogbechie (set by Catlin Shao)
Set 1 · HARV 20-17 UNCW · HARV 74% → 76%
- 08Masina OgbechieKill+2.4%
Kill by Masina Ogbechie (set by Catlin Shao)
Set 2 · HARV 13-11 UNCW · HARV 83% → 85%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 20 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 20 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 20 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .714 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 39 | 8 | 85 | .365 | 36 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 17 | .294 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | .250 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -.286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -.429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -.105 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 7 | 1 | 16 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 32 | 25 | 100 | .070 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 55 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-21
Set 2
25-19
Set 3
25-15
Bars above the line = UNCW leads, below = Harvard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Harvard
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%8/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 2 | 100%8/8 | 0%0/8 |
| 3 | 73%8/11 | 68%17/25 |
| 4 | 54%7/13 | 53%8/15 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 33%3/9 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 74%42/57 | 45%33/73 |
UNCW
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89%8/9 | 36%4/11 |
| 2 | 33%8/24 | 0%0/8 |
| 3 | 54%7/13 | 27%3/11 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 42%5/12 |
| 5 | 50%5/10 | 22%2/9 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 17%1/6 |
| All | 55%40/73 | 26%15/57 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
130 rallies
| # | HARV-UNCW | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sophia Wei | set Kayla Nwabueze | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | HARV | UNCW | Serve err | Harvard | +1.7 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNCW | HARV | Attack err | Nadia Wasilewski | +1.7 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | HARV | HARV | Ace | Harvard | aced Meredith Keefer | +2.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | HARV | UNCW | Blocked | Ali Farquhar | blk Courtney Graham, Meredith Keefer | +1.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UNCW | UNCW | Attack err | Ali Farquhar | +2.3 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | UNCW | HARV×3 | Blocked | Nadia Wasilewski | blk Kayla Nwabueze | +1.8 |
| 8 | 5-3 | HARV | HARV×3 | Kill | Kayla Nwabueze | +2.2 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | HARV | HARV×3 | Attack err | Meredith Keefer | +2.0 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | HARV | UNCW | Serve err | Harvard | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | UNCW | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +2.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Kayla Nwabueze | set Catlin Shao | +1.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | HARV | UNCW | Serve err | Harvard | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Masina Ogbechie | set Catlin Shao | +1.8 |
| 15 | 9-6 | HARV | HARV | Blocked | Elaina Murphy | blk Masina Ogbechie, Ryleigh Patterson | +2.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | set Sam Vanda | +1.6 |
| 17 | 10-7 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sofia Rossi | set Catlin Shao | +1.7 |
| 18 | 11-7 | HARV | HARV | Kill | Riley Resmer | set Sophia Wei | +2.0 |
| 19 | 11-8 | HARV | UNCW | Attack err | Ali Farquhar | +1.4 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sofia Rossi | set Sophia Wei | +1.5 |
| 21 | 12-9 | HARV | UNCW | Attack err | Ali Farquhar | +1.4 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | UNCW | HARV×4 | Blocked | Meredith Keefer | blk Ali Farquhar, Ryleigh Patterson | +1.6 |
| 23 | 14-9 | HARV | HARV×4 | Attack err | Meredith Keefer | +1.7 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | HARV | HARV×4 | Attack err | Courtney Graham | +1.3 | |
| 25 | 16-9 | HARV | HARV×4 | Attack err | Nadia Wasilewski | +0.9 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | HARV | UNCW×3 | Kill | Meredith Keefer | set Anna Harney | +0.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Meredith Keefer | set Gaby Zovko | +1.0 |
| 28 | 16-12 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Attack err | Kayla Nwabueze | +1.3 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | UNCW | HARV | Attack err | Courtney Graham | +1.3 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | HARV | HARV | Attack err | Meredith Keefer | +1.2 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | HARV | UNCW×4 | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +0.7 |
| 32 | 18-14 | UNCW | UNCW×4 | Ace | UNCW | aced Kayla Nwabueze | +1.3 |
| 33 | 18-15 | UNCW | UNCW×4 | Ace | UNCW | aced Sofia Rossi | +1.8 |
| 34 | 18-16 | UNCW | UNCW×4 | Kill | Gaby Zovko | set Sam Vanda | +2.5 |
| 35 | 19-16 | UNCW | HARV | Serve err | UNCW | +2.4 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +2.0 |
| 37 | 20-17 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Masina Ogbechie | set Catlin Shao | +2.5 |
| 38 | 20-18 | HARV | UNCW | Serve err | Harvard | +2.0 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | UNCW | HARV | Attack err | Sam Vanda | +2.6 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +2.0 |
| 41 | 22-19 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sofia Rossi | set Sophia Wei | +2.7 |
| 42 | 22-20 | HARV | UNCW | Serve err | Harvard | +1.9 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Kayla Nwabueze | set Sophia Wei | +2.8 |
| 44 | 24-20 | HARV | HARV | Bad set | Gaby Zovko | +2.1 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +0.5 |
| 46 | 25-21 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Kayla Nwabueze | set Sophia Wei | +1.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Lilly Sullivan | set Gaby Zovko | +1.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Ali Farquhar | set Yvette Easton | +1.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | HARV | UNCW | Serve err | Harvard | +1.5 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Ryleigh Patterson | set Sophia Wei | +1.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +1.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UNCW | HARV | Serve err | UNCW | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | HARV | UNCW | Serve err | Harvard | +1.6 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UNCW | HARV | Serve err | UNCW | +1.5 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | HARV | HARV | Blocked | Gaby Zovko | blk Riley Resmer | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Sam Vanda | +1.6 |
| 11 | 6-5 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sofia Rossi | set Yvette Easton | +1.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | HARV | HARV | Attack err | Elaina Murphy | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | HARV | UNCW×3 | Kill | Lilly Sullivan | set Gaby Zovko | +1.5 |
| 14 | 7-7 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +2.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Ace | UNCW | aced Bridget Egan | +2.3 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Masina Ogbechie | set Catlin Shao | +1.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | HARV | HARV | Kill | Ryleigh Patterson | +2.2 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +1.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Ali Farquhar | set Yvette Easton | +1.8 |
| 20 | 10-10 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +1.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Kayla Nwabueze | set Sophia Wei | +1.8 |
| 22 | 11-11 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +1.9 |
| 23 | 12-11 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Ali Farquhar | set Sophia Wei | +1.9 |
| 24 | 13-11 | HARV | HARV | Kill | Masina Ogbechie | set Catlin Shao | +2.4 |
| 25 | 13-12 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +1.8 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UNCW | UNCW | Ace | UNCW | aced Yvette Easton | +2.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | UNCW | HARV×3 | Kill | Masina Ogbechie | set Yvette Easton | +2.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | HARV | HARV×3 | Ace | Harvard | aced Morgan Esmie | +2.6 |
| 29 | 16-13 | HARV | HARV×3 | Attack err | Lauren Lewis | +2.3 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | set Morgan Esmie | +1.6 |
| 31 | 17-14 | UNCW | HARV | Serve err | UNCW | +1.8 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Lilly Sullivan | set Gaby Zovko | +1.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Ryleigh Patterson | set Catlin Shao | +1.9 |
| 34 | 18-16 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Lilly Sullivan | set Gaby Zovko | +1.6 |
| 35 | 19-16 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Ali Farquhar | set Ryleigh Patterson | +2.0 |
| 36 | 19-17 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Lilly Sullivan | set Gaby Zovko | +1.7 |
| 37 | 20-17 | UNCW | HARV | Serve err | UNCW | +2.1 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | HARV | HARV | Kill | Kayla Nwabueze | set Sophia Wei | +2.0 |
| 39 | 21-18 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +1.1 |
| 40 | 22-18 | UNCW | HARV×3 | Kill | Riley Resmer | set Sophia Wei | +1.5 |
| 41 | 23-18 | HARV | HARV×3 | Attack err | Sam Vanda | +1.1 | |
| 42 | 24-18 | HARV | HARV×3 | Ace | Harvard | aced Anna Harney | +0.4 |
| 43 | 24-19 | HARV | UNCW | Attack err | Kayla Nwabueze | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 25-19 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Kayla Nwabueze | set Bridget Egan | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sofia Rossi | set Sophia Wei | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Anna Harney | +0.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNCW | HARV×8 | Attack err | Elaina Murphy | +0.8 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | HARV | HARV×8 | Attack err | Sam Vanda | +1.0 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | HARV | HARV×8 | Kill | Kayla Nwabueze | set Jordan Shelor | +1.0 |
| 6 | 5-1 | HARV | HARV×8 | Kill | Riley Resmer | set Sophia Wei | +0.9 |
| 7 | 6-1 | HARV | HARV×8 | Attack err | Lilly Sullivan | +0.8 | |
| 8 | 7-1 | HARV | HARV×8 | Blocked | Sam Vanda | blk Ali Farquhar, Riley Resmer | +0.6 |
| 9 | 8-1 | HARV | HARV×8 | Ace | Harvard | aced Sam Vanda | +0.5 |
| 10 | 9-1 | HARV | HARV×8 | Kill | Ali Farquhar | set Sophia Wei | +0.4 |
| 11 | 9-2 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Lilly Sullivan | set Addi Vaughn | +0.2 |
| 12 | 10-2 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sophia Wei | set Sofia Rossi | +0.3 |
| 13 | 10-3 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Addi Vaughn | +0.2 |
| 14 | 11-3 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Riley Resmer | set Catlin Shao | +0.3 |
| 15 | 11-4 | HARV | UNCW | Attack err | Sofia Rossi | +0.2 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | UNCW | UNCW | Bad set | Catlin Shao | +0.4 | |
| 17 | 12-5 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sofia Rossi | set Catlin Shao | +0.4 |
| 18 | 12-6 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Macon Butler | set Addi Vaughn | +0.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | UNCW | UNCW | Ace | UNCW | aced Bridget Egan | +0.5 |
| 20 | 13-7 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Ryleigh Patterson | set Catlin Shao | +0.5 |
| 21 | 13-8 | HARV | UNCW×3 | Serve err | Harvard | +0.4 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Lora Cole | set Addi Vaughn | +0.7 |
| 23 | 13-10 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Attack err | Ali Farquhar | +0.9 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Ryleigh Patterson | set Sophia Wei | +0.8 |
| 25 | 14-11 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Lilly Sullivan | set Addi Vaughn | +0.7 |
| 26 | 15-11 | UNCW | HARV×5 | Attack err | Sam Vanda | +0.8 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | HARV | HARV×5 | Attack err | Sam Vanda | +0.9 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | HARV | HARV×5 | Attack err | Sam Vanda | +0.6 | |
| 29 | 18-11 | HARV | HARV×5 | Blocked | Sam Vanda | blk Ali Farquhar, Riley Resmer | +0.4 |
| 30 | 19-11 | HARV | HARV×5 | Kill | Ali Farquhar | set Jordan Shelor | +0.3 |
| 31 | 19-12 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +0.1 |
| 32 | 20-12 | UNCW | HARV×3 | Kill | Ali Farquhar | set Sophia Wei | +0.2 |
| 33 | 21-12 | HARV | HARV×3 | Attack err | Macon Butler | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 22-12 | HARV | HARV×3 | Ace | Harvard | aced Morgan Esmie | · |
| 35 | 22-13 | HARV | UNCW | Serve err | Harvard | · | |
| 36 | 22-14 | UNCW | UNCW | Kill | Macon Butler | set Gaby Zovko | · |
| 37 | 23-14 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Riley Resmer | set Catlin Shao | · |
| 38 | 23-15 | HARV | UNCW | Kill | Macon Butler | set Gaby Zovko | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | UNCW | HARV | Kill | Sofia Rossi | set Catlin Shao | · |
| 40 | 25-15 | HARV | HARV | Attack err | Lora Cole | · | |
Score shown after each rally, Harvard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).