Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 14, 2026Watch on FloSports

UNCW def. Coastal Carolina 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Coastal Carolina 76.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 14, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNCW beat visiting Coastal Carolina 3-1 (17-25, 25-19, 25-19, 25-16) on Wed, Oct 14, 2026. UNCW's Sam Vanda led with 20 kills, and Annie Harney added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 14

Set1234Sets
CO CAR251919161
UNCW172525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

20 kills from Sam Vanda, and UNCW got past Coastal Carolina.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are UNCW's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Coastal Carolina at 76% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Coastal Carolina 13–10 UNCW

    From here UNCW won 15 of 21 rallies to take the set 25–19.

    UNCW 9% → 29%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Coastal Carolina 16–14 UNCW

    Down 14–16, UNCW scored 5 straight to lead 19–16.

    UNCW 24% → 48%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Coastal Carolina 14–15 UNCW

    Up 15–14, UNCW scored 7 straight to make it 22–14.

    UNCW 69% → 99%

UNCW above 50Coastal Carolina belowMax swing 6.7%

Coastal CarolinaUNCW

Sideout %
Coastal Carolina 52.7·UNCW 61.3
Break %
Coastal Carolina 38.8·UNCW 47.3
Hitting
Coastal Carolina .188·UNCW .228
Longest run
Coastal Carolina 5·UNCW 7

Sam Vanda
6 kills inside the turning points, 20 K and .200 for the match (20.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNCW above 50 · Coastal Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.7% UNCWrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.7% to UNCW — set 4, CO CAR 14-17 UNCW. Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Annie Harney). UNCW win probability 74% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO CAR 72.9%27.1% UNCW

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
25.3%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
19.6%

UNCW wins

3-0
5.0%
3-1
9.4%
3-2
12.8%
CO CAR break %
45.2% vs this opp
UNCW break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sam VandaKill+6.7%

    Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Annie Harney)

    Set 4 · CO CAR 14-17 UNCW · UNCW 74% → 81%

  2. 02
    Sam VandaKill+6.4%

    Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Morgan Esmie)

    Set 4 · CO CAR 13-15 UNCW · UNCW 67% → 74%

  3. 03
    Sam VandaKill+6.1%

    Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko)

    Set 4 · CO CAR 14-18 UNCW · UNCW 81% → 87%

  4. 04
    Sam VandaKill+5.8%

    Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Addi Vaughn)

    Set 4 · CO CAR 12-13 UNCW · UNCW 61% → 67%

  5. 05
    Anna RitaBad set+5.6%

    Bad set by Anna Rita

    Set 3 · CO CAR 16-18 UNCW · UNCW 36% → 42%

  6. 06
    Annie HarneyAce+5.4%

    Ace by Annie Harney on Anzley Rinard

    Set 3 · CO CAR 16-19 UNCW · UNCW 42% → 48%

  7. 07
    Elaina MurphyKill+5.3%

    Kill by Elaina Murphy (set by Gaby Zovko)

    Set 3 · CO CAR 16-17 UNCW · UNCW 31% → 36%

  8. 08
    Anzley RinardAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Anzley Rinard

    Set 4 · CO CAR 14-16 UNCW · UNCW 69% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410832.0631018302111
410329.2410001002111
45118.22200010132.57.5
43310.000001101436
4307.42934001001225
4000–010610001
411429.24100000010.511.5
41011.000111500002
4000–5131110001
3000–000120000
1112.000000000001
Team totals4420128.18841364473141079
UNCWhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4201050.20000181010.520.5
414329.37920241010.514.5
411220.4500214002114
49420.25000110132.511.5
4116.00042211603247
41510-.40010000031.52.5
4000–4311810003
4000–100500000
2000–200100000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5625136.22852775734121092

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CO CAR · UNCW 7

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 CO CARUNCW 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 CO CARUNCW 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 CO CARUNCW 5

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 4 CO CARUNCW 7

Bars above the line = UNCW leads, below = Coastal Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
77%10/13
47%7/15
2
39%9/23
41%7/17
3
89%8/9
40%6/15
4
44%7/16
43%6/14
5
50%7/14
13%1/8
6
44%7/16
36%4/11
All
53%48/91
39%31/80

UNCW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
50%8/16
2
47%9/19
47%8/17
3
75%9/12
44%7/16
4
73%8/11
20%2/10
5
70%7/10
65%13/20
6
46%6/13
42%5/12
All
61%49/80
47%43/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#CO CAR-UNCWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UNCWCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.4
21-1CO CARUNCWServe errJonna Spohn+1.4
31-2UNCWUNCWKillCourtney Graham+2.0
42-2UNCWCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
53-2CO CARCO CARBlockedNadia Wasilewskiblk Anzley Rinard, Hatteras Welker+1.9
63-3CO CARUNCWAttack errAnzley Rinard+1.5
74-3UNCWCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
85-3CO CARCO CAR×4KillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.8
96-3CO CARCO CAR×4KillIsabella Loeswickset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
107-3CO CARCO CAR×4KillTalia Johnsonset Abby Bucey+1.4
117-4CO CARUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.0
128-4UNCWCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
138-5CO CARUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+1.0
149-5UNCWCO CARKillIsabella Loeswickset Anzley Rinard+1.1
159-6CO CARUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.1
169-7UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.7
179-8UNCWUNCW×3AceGaby Zovkoaced Anzley Rinard+2.0
1810-8UNCWCO CAR×5Serve errGaby Zovko+1.6
1911-8CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errSam Vanda+1.9
2012-8CO CARCO CAR×5KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
2113-8CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errSam Vanda+1.3
2214-8CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errLauren Lewis+1.0
2314-9CO CARUNCWAttack errAnzley Rinard+0.6
2415-9UNCWCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
2516-9CO CARCO CARAttack errLauren Lewis+0.7
2616-10CO CARUNCW×3Serve errJonna Spohn+0.4
2716-11UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Annie Harney+0.7
2816-12UNCWUNCW×3AceAnnie Harneyaced Julia Rivera+1.0
2917-12UNCWCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
3018-12CO CARCO CAR×4AceAbby Buceyaced Sam Vanda+0.9
3119-12CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedCourtney Grahamblk Hatteras Welker+0.6
3220-12CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errSam Vanda+0.3
3320-13CO CARUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.1
3421-13UNCWCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
3521-14CO CARUNCWServe errAnzley Rinard+0.1
3622-14UNCWCO CARAttack errSam Vanda+0.2
3722-15CO CARUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.1
3822-16UNCWUNCWBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Gaby Zovko+0.2
3923-16UNCWCO CARServe errCourtney Graham+0.2
4023-17CO CARUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.1
4124-17UNCWCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.1
4225-17CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick·
Set 2
10-1CO CARUNCWKillSam Vandaset Elaina Murphy+1.2
21-1UNCWCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
31-2CO CARUNCWBlockedAnna Ritablk Gaby Zovko+1.2
42-2UNCWCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+1.1
52-3CO CARUNCWServe errAbby Bucey+1.3
63-3UNCWCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
73-4CO CARUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.3
83-5UNCWUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Annie Harney+1.8
94-5UNCWCO CARBlockedCourtney Grahamblk Isabella Loeswick+1.2
105-5CO CARCO CARAttack errCourtney Graham+1.7
115-6CO CARUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+1.4
126-6UNCWCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
137-6CO CARCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
148-6CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errCourtney Graham+1.5
158-7CO CARUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.2
169-7UNCWCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
179-8CO CARUNCWBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Sam Vanda, Courtney Graham+1.2
1810-8UNCWCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
1911-8CO CARCO CARAttack errElaina Murphy+1.5
2011-9CO CARUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.1
2112-9UNCWCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
2212-10CO CARUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+1.1
2313-10UNCWCO CARAttack errElaina Murphy+1.2
2413-11CO CARUNCW×4KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.1
2513-12UNCWUNCW×4AceAnnie Harneyaced Jonna Spohn+1.8
2613-13UNCWUNCW×4BlockedHatteras Welkerblk Elaina Murphy, Courtney Graham+2.1
2713-14UNCWUNCW×4Attack errTalia Johnson+2.4
2814-14UNCWCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
2914-15CO CARUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Elaina Murphy+1.9
3015-15UNCWCO CARServe errNadia Wasilewski+1.8
3115-16CO CARUNCW×6KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+2.0
3215-17UNCWUNCW×6KillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+2.8
3315-18UNCWUNCW×6KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.7
3415-19UNCWUNCW×6BlockedNatalie Hughesblk Courtney Graham+2.4
3515-20UNCWUNCW×6KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.9
3615-21UNCWUNCW×6KillGaby Zovko+1.3
3716-21UNCWCO CARAttack errSam Vanda+0.5
3817-21CO CARCO CARBlockedSam Vandablk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+1.1
3917-22CO CARUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.4
4018-22UNCWCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
4118-23CO CARUNCWServe errJonna Spohn+1.2
4218-24UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Annie Harney+0.7
4319-24UNCWCO CARAttack errLauren Lewis+0.1
4419-25CO CARUNCWAttack errNadia Wasilewski+0.3
Set 3
11-0UNCWCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.0
21-1CO CARUNCWBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Gaby Zovko+2.1
32-1UNCWCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.0
42-2CO CARUNCWAttack errAnzley Rinard+2.2
53-2UNCWCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.1
63-3CO CARUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+2.2
74-3UNCWCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+2.2
84-4CO CARUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+2.3
95-4UNCWCO CAR×3Serve errAnnie Harney+2.2
106-4CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedNadia Wasilewskiblk Talia Johnson, Anna Rita+2.8
117-4CO CARCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+2.5
127-5CO CARUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+1.8
138-5UNCWCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
148-6CO CARUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+1.9
158-7UNCWUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+2.9
169-7UNCWCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
1710-7CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.7
1811-7CO CARCO CAR×3AceJonna Spohnaced Annie Harney+2.3
1911-8CO CARUNCW×4KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.6
2011-9UNCWUNCW×4Attack errHatteras Welker+2.6
2111-10UNCWUNCW×4BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Gaby Zovko, Lauren Lewis+3.2
2211-11UNCWUNCW×4KillSam Vandaset Morgan Esmie+3.7
2312-11UNCWCO CAR×3Attack errLauren Lewis+2.8
2413-11CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedGaby Zovkoblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+3.5
2514-11CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedSam Vandablk Isabella Loeswick, Hatteras Welker+3.1
2614-12CO CARUNCWKillSam Vandaset Lauren Lewis+2.2
2715-12UNCWCO CARBlockedSam Vandablk Hatteras Welker, Isabella Loeswick+2.4
2815-13CO CARUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.2
2915-14UNCWUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+3.6
3016-14UNCWCO CARServe errSam Vanda+3.0
3116-15CO CARUNCW×5Serve errHatteras Welker+2.9
3216-16UNCWUNCW×5BlockedTalia Johnsonblk Courtney Graham, Nadia Wasilewski+4.6
3316-17UNCWUNCW×5KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+5.3
3416-18UNCWUNCW×5Bad setAnna Rita+5.6
3516-19UNCWUNCW×5AceAnnie Harneyaced Anzley Rinard+5.4
3617-19UNCWCO CARAttack errSam Vanda+3.2
3717-20CO CARUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+4.4
3817-21UNCWUNCWAceNadia Wasilewskiaced Viara Parapunova+4.8
3918-21UNCWCO CARBlockedElaina Murphyblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+2.3
4018-22CO CARUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+3.7
4118-23UNCWUNCWAttack errAnzley Rinard+3.0
4219-23UNCWCO CARServe errElaina Murphy+0.9
4319-24CO CARUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.8
4419-25UNCWUNCWBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Gaby Zovko, Lauren Lewis+0.6
Set 4
11-0CO CARCO CARAceJulia Riveraaced Elaina Murphy+3.6
21-1CO CARUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.9
32-1UNCWCO CAR×4KillIsabella Loeswickset Jonna Spohn+2.8
43-1CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnna Rita+3.4
54-1CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+3.1
65-1CO CARCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.7
75-2CO CARUNCWAttack errNatalie Hughes+2.0
86-2UNCWCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+2.1
96-3CO CARUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+2.0
107-3UNCWCO CAR×4KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+2.1
118-3CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedLauren Lewisblk Anna Rita+2.4
129-3CO CARCO CAR×4KillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+1.9
1310-3CO CARCO CAR×4KillAbby Buceyset Gaby Zovko+1.5
1410-4CO CARUNCW×5Attack errTalia Johnson+0.9
1510-5UNCWUNCW×5KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.6
1610-6UNCWUNCW×5KillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+2.2
1710-7UNCWUNCW×5KillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+2.8
1810-8UNCWUNCW×5KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+3.4
1911-8UNCWCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+2.8
2011-9CO CARUNCW×3KillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+2.7
2111-10UNCWUNCW×3AceNadia Wasilewskiaced Viara Parapunova+4.3
2211-11UNCWUNCW×3Attack errHatteras Welker+5.0
2312-11UNCWCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+3.8
2412-12CO CARUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+4.0
2512-13UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+5.8
2613-13UNCWCO CARServe errElaina Murphy+4.2
2713-14CO CARUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+4.7
2813-15UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Morgan Esmie+6.4
2914-15UNCWCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+4.4
3014-16CO CARUNCW×7Attack errAnzley Rinard+5.2
3114-17UNCWUNCW×7KillSam Vandaset Annie Harney+6.7
3214-18UNCWUNCW×7KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+6.1
3314-19UNCWUNCW×7AceGaby Zovkoaced Anzley Rinard+5.0
3414-20UNCWUNCW×7KillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+3.7
3514-21UNCWUNCW×7KillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+2.3
3614-22UNCWUNCW×7Bad setJonna Spohn+1.2
3715-22UNCWCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Isabella Loeswick+0.3
3815-23CO CARUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.6
3915-24UNCWUNCWBlockedIsabele Filardoblk Nadia Wasilewski, Lauren Lewis+0.3
4016-24UNCWCO CARAttack errSam Vanda·
4116-25CO CARUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Coastal Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).