CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026
UNCW logo

AwayCAA

3:1

UNCW def. Alabama St. 31

(25-12, 25-11, 22-25, 25-22)
Set1234Sets
UNCW252522253
ALA ST121125221

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ALA ST above 50 · UNCW below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100ALA STUNCWBiggest swing +7.1% UNCW · S4 24-22rally 167 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.1% to UNCW — set 4, UNCW 24-22 ALA ST. Kill by Lauren Lewis (set by Anna Harney). ALA ST win probability 11%4%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UNCW 71.4%28.6% ALA ST

UNCW wins

3-0
24.2%
3-1
27.4%
3-2
19.8%

Alabama St. wins

3-0
5.3%
3-1
10.0%
3-2
13.3%
UNCW break %
46.8% vs this opp
ALA ST break %
42.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Lauren LewisKill+7.1%

    Kill by Lauren Lewis (set by Anna Harney)

    Set 4 · UNCW 24-22 ALA ST · UNCW 89%96%

  2. 02
    Taylor WilliamsAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Taylor Williams

    Set 4 · UNCW 23-22 ALA ST · UNCW 83%89%

  3. 03
    ALA ST serverAce+5.8%

    Alabama St. ace on Morgan Esmie

    Set 4 · UNCW 21-21 ALA ST · ALA ST 11%17%

  4. 04

    Kill by Taylor Williams (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 4 · UNCW 22-22 ALA ST · ALA ST 12%17%

  5. 05
    Kaylen HinesAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Kaylen Hines

    Set 4 · UNCW 22-21 ALA ST · UNCW 83%88%

  6. 06
    Lauren LewisAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Lauren Lewis

    Set 4 · UNCW 21-20 ALA ST · ALA ST 7%11%

  7. 07
    Sam VandaKill+3.9%

    Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Anna Harney)

    Set 4 · UNCW 25-22 ALA ST · UNCW 96%100%

  8. 08
    ALA ST serverAce+2.8%

    Alabama St. ace on Sam Vanda

    Set 4 · UNCW 21-19 ALA ST · ALA ST 4%7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UNCWaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413734.17603017102117
48011.72703120275.516.5
49433.1520209000011
411325.3200002000011
45213.23138011300427
45210.300000200005
4003.0007221420002
4001.000221510002
2103.333000000001
13031.000000000003
1206.33300000010.52.5
1000000000000
Team totals5718142.27547125644214997
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419839.28200100052.521.5
44116.188001101015
4203.667301080031.54.5
2215.20000010010.52.5
2049-.444000010000
2014-.250000120000
45115.267200130216
44521-.048000200215
44216.125000110004
4124-.250230910004
4003.0000011510000
3000100600000
21011.000000200001
2000100400000
100000010010.50.5
Team totals4225136.12536435212114870

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 UNCW · ALA ST 7

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 5 UNCWALA ST 2

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 9 UNCWALA ST 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 UNCWALA ST 7

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 UNCWALA ST 5

Bars above the line = Alabama St. leads, below = UNCW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UNCW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
54%7/13
2
64%7/11
61%11/18
3
58%7/12
65%13/20
4
78%7/9
63%12/19
5
35%6/17
60%9/15
6
63%5/8
45%5/11
All
56%40/71
59%57/96

Alabama St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%8/20
42%5/12
2
41%7/17
38%5/13
3
33%7/21
53%8/15
4
55%6/11
22%2/9
5
32%6/19
54%7/13
6
63%5/8
44%4/9
All
41%39/96
44%31/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

167 rallies

Rally log

#UNCW-ALA STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ALA STALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Makeda Edwards+2.1
20-2ALA STALA STKillKamrynn Clayset Taylor Williams+2.2
31-2ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+1.7
42-2UNCWUNCWAceUNCW serveraced Team+2.1
52-3UNCWALA STAttack errSam Vandablk Kaylen Hines, Amaya Robinson+1.8
62-4ALA STALA STAttack errSam Vanda+2.3
73-4ALA STUNCW×5Serve errALA ST server+1.8
84-4UNCWUNCW×5Attack errMakeda Edwards+2.2
95-4UNCWUNCW×5Attack errAlexis Williamsblk Courtney Graham+2.2
106-4UNCWUNCW×5Attack errAmaya Robinsonblk Sam Vanda, Courtney Graham+2.1
117-4UNCWUNCW×5KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+1.9
127-5UNCWALA STKillKamrynn Clay+1.5
138-5ALA STUNCWAttack errMakeda Edwardsblk Addi Vaughn, Courtney Graham+1.5
149-5UNCWUNCWKillAddi Vaughnset Julia Slaughter+1.7
159-6UNCWALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Julia Slaughter+1.3
1610-6ALA STUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+1.4
1710-7UNCWALA STServe errUNCW server+1.3
1811-7ALA STUNCWServe errALA ST server+1.4
1912-7UNCWUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Anna Harney+1.5
2012-8UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Julia Slaughter+1.0
2113-8ALA STUNCW×3Attack errKaylen Hines+1.2
2214-8UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+1.2
2315-8UNCWUNCW×3Attack errKaylen Hines+0.9
2415-9UNCWALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
2516-9ALA STUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Addi Vaughn+0.7
2617-9UNCWUNCWAttack errMakeda Edwards+0.6
2717-10UNCWALA STServe errUNCW server+0.3
2818-10ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.4
2919-10UNCWUNCWAttack errKaylen Hines+0.3
3019-11UNCWALA STAttack errSam Vanda+0.1
3120-11ALA STUNCW×5KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+0.2
3221-11UNCWUNCW×5AceUNCW serveraced Makeda Edwards+0.1
3322-11UNCWUNCW×5AceUNCW serveraced Team+0.0
3423-11UNCWUNCW×5KillAddi Vaughnset Kaylen Hines+0.0
3524-11UNCWUNCW×5AceUNCW serveraced Alexis Williams+0.0
3624-12UNCWALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Addi Vaughn+0.0
3725-12ALA STUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.0
Set 2
10-1UNCWALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+1.4
21-1ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Anna Harney+1.3
32-1UNCWUNCWAttack errTaylor Williams+1.6
42-2UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.4
52-3ALA STALA STAttack errSam Vandablk Nadiyyah Northern, Kaylen Hines+1.8
63-3ALA STUNCWServe errALA ST server+1.4
74-3UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Morgan Esmie+1.7
84-4UNCWALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Kamrynn Clay+1.4
95-4ALA STUNCW×6KillAddi Vaughnset Emani Green+1.4
106-4UNCWUNCW×6KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+1.7
117-4UNCWUNCW×6KillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+1.5
128-4UNCWUNCW×6Attack errDenver Watkinsblk Addi Vaughn, Courtney Graham+1.4
139-4UNCWUNCW×6Attack errDenver Watkinsblk Addi Vaughn, Courtney Graham+1.2
1410-4UNCWUNCW×6KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+1.0
1510-5UNCWALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.7
1611-5ALA STUNCW×9KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.8
1712-5UNCWUNCW×9KillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.7
1813-5UNCWUNCW×9Attack errLyric Edwards+0.5
1914-5UNCWUNCW×9Attack errLyric Edwards+0.4
2015-5UNCWUNCW×9AceUNCW serveraced Alexis Williams+0.2
2116-5UNCWUNCW×9KillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.1
2217-5UNCWUNCW×9KillElaina Murphyset Morgan Esmie+0.1
2318-5UNCWUNCW×9AceUNCW serveraced Denver Watkins+0.0
2419-5UNCWUNCW×9KillLily Goyerset Addi Vaughn+0.0
2519-6UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Emani Green+0.0
2619-7ALA STALA STAttack errAddi Vaughnblk Mikalah Davis+0.0
2720-7ALA STUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.0
2820-8UNCWALA ST×3Attack errElaina Murphy+0.0
2920-9ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Jaci Moore+0.0
3020-10ALA STALA ST×3Attack errElaina Murphyblk Kaylen Hines, Julia Slaughter+0.0
3121-10ALA STUNCW×3KillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.0
3222-10UNCWUNCW×3KillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.0
3323-10UNCWUNCW×3KillLily Goyerset Addi Vaughn+0.0
3423-11UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Addi Vaughn+0.0
3524-11ALA STUNCWKillLily Goyerset Addi Vaughn+0.0
3625-11UNCWUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Anna Harney+0.0
Set 3
11-0ALA STUNCW×6Attack errLyric Edwards+0.7
22-0UNCWUNCW×6KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+0.9
33-0UNCWUNCW×6KillNadia Wasilewskiset Anna Harney+0.8
44-0UNCWUNCW×6Attack errLyric Edwards+0.7
55-0UNCWUNCW×6KillLauren Lewis+0.6
66-0UNCWUNCW×6AceUNCW serveraced Taylor Williams+0.5
76-1UNCWALA STAttack errSam Vanda+0.4
87-1ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.4
98-1UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Mirra Riddle+0.4
108-2UNCWALA STServe errUNCW server+0.3
119-2ALA STUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.3
1210-2UNCWUNCWAceUNCW serveraced Julia Slaughter+0.3
1310-3UNCWALA ST×3Serve errUNCW server+0.2
1410-4ALA STALA ST×3Attack errSam Vandablk Kamrynn Clay, Kaylen Hines+0.3
1510-5ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
1611-5ALA STUNCWKillAddi Vaughn+0.4
1711-6UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.4
1811-7ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Addi Vaughn+0.6
1912-7ALA STUNCW×4KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.5
2013-7UNCWUNCW×4Attack errKaylen Hines+0.5
2114-7UNCWUNCW×4KillAddi Vaughnset Julia Slaughter+0.4
2215-7UNCWUNCW×4KillLauren Lewis+0.3
2315-8UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
2416-8ALA STUNCWAttack errMikalah Davis+0.2
2516-9UNCWALA STServe errUNCW server+0.2
2617-9ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.2
2717-10UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
2818-10ALA STUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Addi Vaughn+0.2
2918-11UNCWALA ST×6KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
3018-12ALA STALA ST×6Attack errNadia Wasilewski+0.2
3118-13ALA STALA ST×6KillDenver Watkins+0.4
3218-14ALA STALA ST×6KillAva O'Hareset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
3318-15ALA STALA ST×6KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.8
3418-16ALA STALA ST×6Attack errSam Vandablk Kaylen Hines, Julia Slaughter+1.1
3519-16ALA STUNCWKillMacon Butlerset Addi Vaughn+1.0
3620-16UNCWUNCWAttack errKaylen Hinesblk Courtney Graham, Macon Butler+1.0
3720-17UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay+0.6
3821-17ALA STUNCWKillMacon Butlerset Addi Vaughn+0.8
3921-18UNCWALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.6
4021-19ALA STALA ST×7Attack errElaina Murphy+1.1
4121-20ALA STALA ST×7AceALA ST serveraced Anna Harney+1.6
4221-21ALA STALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.2
4321-22ALA STALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.7
4421-23ALA STALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.8
4521-24ALA STALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Taylor Williams+2.2
4622-24ALA STUNCWKillMeredith Keeferset Addi Vaughn+0.7
4722-25UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.8
Set 4
10-1UNCWALA ST×5Attack errNadia Wasilewski+2.1
20-2ALA STALA ST×5Attack errNadia Wasilewski+2.7
30-3ALA STALA ST×5Attack errAddi Vaughn+2.7
40-4ALA STALA ST×5Attack errLauren Lewis+2.7
50-5ALA STALA ST×5AceALA ST serveraced Anna Harney+2.6
61-5ALA STUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+1.8
72-5UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+2.4
83-5UNCWUNCW×3AceUNCW serveraced Mirra Riddle+2.6
93-6UNCWALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+2.4
104-6ALA STUNCW×6KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+2.1
115-6UNCWUNCW×6AceUNCW serveraced Team+2.8
126-6UNCWUNCW×6Attack errLyric Edwardsblk Courtney Graham+2.8
137-6UNCWUNCW×6KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+2.7
148-6UNCWUNCW×6Attack errMakeda Edwardsblk Courtney Graham, Addi Vaughn+2.6
159-6UNCWUNCW×6Attack errJulia Slaughterblk Courtney Graham, Sam Vanda+2.4
169-7UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay+1.8
1710-7ALA STUNCWKillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+1.9
1810-8UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.9
1911-8ALA STUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+2.0
2012-8UNCWUNCWAceUNCW serveraced Julia Slaughter+2.2
2112-9UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.6
2213-9ALA STUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+1.8
2314-9UNCWUNCWAttack errKaylen Hines+1.8
2414-10UNCWALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+1.2
2514-11ALA STALA STAttack errElaina Murphyblk Kamrynn Clay, Lyric Edwards+2.0
2615-11ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+1.9
2716-11UNCWUNCWAceUNCW serveraced Julia Slaughter+1.9
2816-12UNCWALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+1.2
2917-12ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+1.5
3017-13UNCWALA ST×3KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+1.2
3117-14ALA STALA ST×3KillDenver Watkinsset Kamrynn Clay+2.0
3217-15ALA STALA ST×3Attack errLauren Lewisblk Lyric Edwards, Kamrynn Clay+2.7
3318-15ALA STUNCWKillSam Vandaset Anna Harney+2.6
3419-15UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+2.6
3519-16UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay+1.6
3620-16ALA STUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+2.1
3720-17UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.6
3821-17ALA STUNCWAttack errKaylen Hines+2.1
3921-18UNCWALA ST×4KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.5
4021-19ALA STALA ST×4AceALA ST serveraced Sam Vanda+2.8
4121-20ALA STALA ST×4Attack errLauren Lewis+4.2
4221-21ALA STALA ST×4AceALA ST serveraced Morgan Esmie+5.8
4322-21ALA STUNCWAttack errKaylen Hines+5.3
4422-22UNCWALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+5.3
4523-22ALA STUNCW×3Attack errTaylor Williams+6.3
4624-22UNCWUNCW×3KillLauren Lewisset Anna Harney+7.1
4725-22UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Anna Harney+3.9

Score shown after each rally, UNCW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.