Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026 · Neutral site

UNCW def. Alabama St. 3–1

UNCW beat Alabama St. 3-1 (25-12, 25-11, 22-25, 25-22) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026 at a neutral site. Sam Vanda led UNCW with 13 kills; Alabama St.'s Kaylen Hines had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set1234Sets
UNCW252522253
ALA ST121125221

Win probability

Alabama St. above 50 · UNCW below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.0% UNCWrally 167 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.0% to UNCW — set 4, UNCW 24-22 ALA ST. Kill by Lauren Lewis (set by Anna Harney). ALA ST win probability 6% → 2%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNCW 91.9%8.1% ALA ST

UNCW wins

3-0
48.0%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.7%

Alabama St. wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.4%
3-2
4.7%
UNCW break %
48.9% vs this opp
ALA ST break %
38.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lauren LewisKill+4.0%

    Kill by Lauren Lewis (set by Anna Harney)

    Set 4 · UNCW 24-22 ALA ST · UNCW 94% → 98%

  2. 02
    Taylor WilliamsAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Taylor Williams

    Set 4 · UNCW 23-22 ALA ST · UNCW 91% → 94%

  3. 03
    Alabama St.Ace+3.6%

    Alabama St. ace on Morgan Esmie

    Set 4 · UNCW 21-21 ALA ST · ALA ST 6% → 9%

  4. 04

    Kill by Taylor Williams (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 4 · UNCW 22-22 ALA ST · ALA ST 6% → 9%

  5. 05
    Kaylen HinesAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Kaylen Hines

    Set 4 · UNCW 22-21 ALA ST · UNCW 91% → 94%

  6. 06
    Lauren LewisAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Lauren Lewis

    Set 4 · UNCW 21-20 ALA ST · ALA ST 3% → 6%

  7. 07
    Alabama St.Ace+2.0%

    Alabama St. ace on Anna Harney

    Set 4 · UNCW 0-5 ALA ST · ALA ST 12% → 15%

  8. 08
    Lauren LewisAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Lauren Lewis

    Set 4 · UNCW 0-4 ALA ST · ALA ST 11% → 12%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNCWaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413734.17603017102117
48011.72703120275.516.5
49433.1520209000011
411325.3200002000011
45213.23138011300427
45210.300000200005
4003.0007221420002
4001.000221510002
2103.333000000001
13031.000000000003
1206.33300000010.52.5
1000–000000000
Team totals5718142.27547125644214997
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419839.28200100052.521.5
44116.188001101015
4203.667301080031.54.5
2215.20000010010.52.5
2049-.444000010000
2014-.250000120000
45115.267200130216
44521-.048000200215
44216.125000110004
4124-.250230910004
4003.0000011510000
3000–100600000
21011.000000200001
2000–100400000
1000–00010010.50.5
Team totals4225136.12536435212114870

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 UNCW · ALA ST 7

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 5 UNCWALA ST 2

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 9 UNCWALA ST 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 UNCWALA ST 7

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 UNCWALA ST 5

Bars above the line = Alabama St. leads, below = UNCW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNCW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
54%7/13
2
64%7/11
61%11/18
3
58%7/12
65%13/20
4
78%7/9
63%12/19
5
35%6/17
60%9/15
6
63%5/8
45%5/11
All
56%40/71
59%57/96

Alabama St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%8/20
42%5/12
2
41%7/17
38%5/13
3
33%7/21
53%8/15
4
55%6/11
22%2/9
5
32%6/19
54%7/13
6
63%5/8
44%4/9
All
41%39/96
44%31/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

167 rallies

#UNCW-ALA STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ALA STALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Makeda Edwards+1.0
20-2ALA STALA STKillKamrynn Clayset Taylor Williams+1.1
31-2ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.8
42-2UNCWUNCWAceUNCW+1.0
52-3UNCWALA STBlockedSam Vandablk Kaylen Hines, Amaya Robinson+0.9
62-4ALA STALA STAttack errSam Vanda+1.2
73-4ALA STUNCW×5Serve errAlabama St.+0.8
84-4UNCWUNCW×5Attack errMakeda Edwards+1.0
95-4UNCWUNCW×5BlockedAlexis Williamsblk Courtney Graham+1.0
106-4UNCWUNCW×5BlockedAmaya Robinsonblk Sam Vanda, Courtney Graham+0.8
117-4UNCWUNCW×5KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+0.7
127-5UNCWALA STKillKamrynn Clay+0.6
138-5ALA STUNCWBlockedMakeda Edwardsblk Addi Vaughn, Courtney Graham+0.6
149-5UNCWUNCWKillAddi Vaughnset Julia Slaughter+0.6
159-6UNCWALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Julia Slaughter+0.5
1610-6ALA STUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.5
1710-7UNCWALA STServe errUNCW+0.5
1811-7ALA STUNCWServe errAlabama St.+0.5
1912-7UNCWUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Anna Harney+0.5
2012-8UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Julia Slaughter+0.3
2113-8ALA STUNCW×3Attack errKaylen Hines+0.4
2214-8UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+0.4
2315-8UNCWUNCW×3Attack errKaylen Hines+0.2
2415-9UNCWALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
2516-9ALA STUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Addi Vaughn+0.2
2617-9UNCWUNCWAttack errMakeda Edwards+0.1
2717-10UNCWALA STServe errUNCW+0.1
2818-10ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.1
2919-10UNCWUNCWAttack errKaylen Hines+0.1
3019-11UNCWALA STAttack errSam Vanda·
3120-11ALA STUNCW×5KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn·
3221-11UNCWUNCW×5AceUNCWaced Makeda Edwards·
3322-11UNCWUNCW×5AceUNCW·
3423-11UNCWUNCW×5KillAddi Vaughnset Kaylen Hines·
3524-11UNCWUNCW×5AceUNCWaced Alexis Williams·
3624-12UNCWALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Addi Vaughn·
3725-12ALA STUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn·
Set 2
10-1UNCWALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
21-1ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Anna Harney+0.5
32-1UNCWUNCWAttack errTaylor Williams+0.6
42-2UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
52-3ALA STALA STBlockedSam Vandablk Nadiyyah Northern, Kaylen Hines+0.7
63-3ALA STUNCWServe errAlabama St.+0.5
74-3UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Morgan Esmie+0.6
84-4UNCWALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
95-4ALA STUNCW×6KillAddi Vaughnset Emani Green+0.5
106-4UNCWUNCW×6KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.6
117-4UNCWUNCW×6KillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.5
128-4UNCWUNCW×6BlockedDenver Watkinsblk Addi Vaughn, Courtney Graham+0.4
139-4UNCWUNCW×6BlockedDenver Watkinsblk Addi Vaughn, Courtney Graham+0.3
1410-4UNCWUNCW×6KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.2
1510-5UNCWALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
1611-5ALA STUNCW×9KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.2
1712-5UNCWUNCW×9KillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.2
1813-5UNCWUNCW×9Attack errLyric Edwards+0.1
1914-5UNCWUNCW×9Attack errLyric Edwards+0.1
2015-5UNCWUNCW×9AceUNCWaced Alexis Williams·
2116-5UNCWUNCW×9KillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn·
2217-5UNCWUNCW×9KillElaina Murphyset Morgan Esmie·
2318-5UNCWUNCW×9AceUNCWaced Denver Watkins·
2419-5UNCWUNCW×9KillLily Goyerset Addi Vaughn·
2519-6UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Emani Green·
2619-7ALA STALA STBlockedAddi Vaughnblk Mikalah Davis·
2720-7ALA STUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn·
2820-8UNCWALA ST×3Attack errElaina Murphy·
2920-9ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Jaci Moore·
3020-10ALA STALA ST×3BlockedElaina Murphyblk Kaylen Hines, Julia Slaughter·
3121-10ALA STUNCW×3KillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn·
3222-10UNCWUNCW×3KillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn·
3323-10UNCWUNCW×3KillLily Goyerset Addi Vaughn·
3423-11UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Addi Vaughn·
3524-11ALA STUNCWKillLily Goyerset Addi Vaughn·
3625-11UNCWUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Anna Harney·
Set 3
11-0ALA STUNCW×6Attack errLyric Edwards+0.2
22-0UNCWUNCW×6KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+0.2
33-0UNCWUNCW×6KillNadia Wasilewskiset Anna Harney+0.2
44-0UNCWUNCW×6Attack errLyric Edwards+0.2
55-0UNCWUNCW×6KillLauren Lewis+0.1
66-0UNCWUNCW×6AceUNCWaced Taylor Williams+0.1
76-1UNCWALA STAttack errSam Vanda+0.1
87-1ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.1
98-1UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Mirra Riddle+0.1
108-2UNCWALA STServe errUNCW+0.1
119-2ALA STUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.1
1210-2UNCWUNCWAceUNCWaced Julia Slaughter+0.1
1310-3UNCWALA ST×3Serve errUNCW·
1410-4ALA STALA ST×3BlockedSam Vandablk Kamrynn Clay, Kaylen Hines+0.1
1510-5ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
1611-5ALA STUNCWKillAddi Vaughn+0.1
1711-6UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
1811-7ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Addi Vaughn+0.1
1912-7ALA STUNCW×4KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.1
2013-7UNCWUNCW×4Attack errKaylen Hines+0.1
2114-7UNCWUNCW×4KillAddi Vaughnset Julia Slaughter+0.1
2215-7UNCWUNCW×4KillLauren Lewis+0.1
2315-8UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay·
2416-8ALA STUNCWAttack errMikalah Davis·
2516-9UNCWALA STServe errUNCW·
2617-9ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn·
2717-10UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay·
2818-10ALA STUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Addi Vaughn·
2918-11UNCWALA ST×6KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
3018-12ALA STALA ST×6Attack errNadia Wasilewski·
3118-13ALA STALA ST×6KillDenver Watkins+0.1
3218-14ALA STALA ST×6KillAva O'Hareset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
3318-15ALA STALA ST×6KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
3418-16ALA STALA ST×6BlockedSam Vandablk Kaylen Hines, Julia Slaughter+0.3
3519-16ALA STUNCWKillMacon Butlerset Addi Vaughn+0.3
3620-16UNCWUNCWBlockedKaylen Hinesblk Courtney Graham, Macon Butler+0.3
3720-17UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
3821-17ALA STUNCWKillMacon Butlerset Addi Vaughn+0.2
3921-18UNCWALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
4021-19ALA STALA ST×7Attack errElaina Murphy+0.3
4121-20ALA STALA ST×7AceAlabama St.aced Anna Harney+0.5
4221-21ALA STALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.8
4321-22ALA STALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.1
4421-23ALA STALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.2
4521-24ALA STALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Taylor Williams+1.1
4622-24ALA STUNCWKillMeredith Keeferset Addi Vaughn+0.3
4722-25UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.8
Set 4
10-1UNCWALA ST×5Attack errNadia Wasilewski+1.1
20-2ALA STALA ST×5Attack errNadia Wasilewski+1.6
30-3ALA STALA ST×5Attack errAddi Vaughn+1.8
40-4ALA STALA ST×5Attack errLauren Lewis+1.9
50-5ALA STALA ST×5AceAlabama St.aced Anna Harney+2.0
61-5ALA STUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+1.2
72-5UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+1.7
83-5UNCWUNCW×3AceUNCWaced Mirra Riddle+1.7
93-6UNCWALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+1.6
104-6ALA STUNCW×6KillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+1.3
115-6UNCWUNCW×6AceUNCW+1.7
126-6UNCWUNCW×6BlockedLyric Edwardsblk Courtney Graham+1.6
137-6UNCWUNCW×6KillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+1.5
148-6UNCWUNCW×6BlockedMakeda Edwardsblk Courtney Graham, Addi Vaughn+1.3
159-6UNCWUNCW×6BlockedJulia Slaughterblk Courtney Graham, Sam Vanda+1.1
169-7UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay+0.8
1710-7ALA STUNCWKillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+0.8
1810-8UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.9
1911-8ALA STUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.9
2012-8UNCWUNCWAceUNCWaced Julia Slaughter+0.9
2112-9UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.7
2213-9ALA STUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Addi Vaughn+0.7
2314-9UNCWUNCWAttack errKaylen Hines+0.7
2414-10UNCWALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
2514-11ALA STALA STBlockedElaina Murphyblk Kamrynn Clay, Lyric Edwards+0.9
2615-11ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.8
2716-11UNCWUNCWAceUNCWaced Julia Slaughter+0.8
2816-12UNCWALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
2917-12ALA STUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Addi Vaughn+0.6
3017-13UNCWALA ST×3KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
3117-14ALA STALA ST×3KillDenver Watkinsset Kamrynn Clay+0.9
3217-15ALA STALA ST×3BlockedLauren Lewisblk Lyric Edwards, Kamrynn Clay+1.4
3318-15ALA STUNCWKillSam Vandaset Anna Harney+1.2
3419-15UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Addi Vaughn+1.2
3519-16UNCWALA STKillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay+0.7
3620-16ALA STUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Addi Vaughn+0.9
3720-17UNCWALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.7
3821-17ALA STUNCWAttack errKaylen Hines+0.9
3921-18UNCWALA ST×4KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.7
4021-19ALA STALA ST×4AceAlabama St.aced Sam Vanda+1.5
4121-20ALA STALA ST×4Attack errLauren Lewis+2.4
4221-21ALA STALA ST×4AceAlabama St.aced Morgan Esmie+3.6
4322-21ALA STUNCWAttack errKaylen Hines+3.0
4422-22UNCWALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+3.3
4523-22ALA STUNCW×3Attack errTaylor Williams+3.6
4624-22UNCWUNCW×3KillLauren Lewisset Anna Harney+4.0
4725-22UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Anna Harney+1.9

Score shown after each rally, UNCW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).