FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

West Florida def. UNCW 3–0

West Florida beat UNCW 3-0 (25-20, 25-15, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Gabi Moulton led West Florida with 6 kills; UNCW's Sam Vanda had a match-high 10.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set123Sets
UNCW2015210
W FLA2525253

Win probability

West Florida above 50 · UNCW below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% W FLArally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to West Florida — set 1, UNCW 18-19 W FLA. Kill by Gabi Moulton (set by Gaby Zovko). W FLA win probability 89% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNCW 8.4%91.6% W FLA

UNCW wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
4.8%

West Florida wins

3-0
47.4%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.9%
UNCW break %
37.5% vs this opp
W FLA break %
48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gabi MoultonKill+2.1%

    Kill by Gabi Moulton (set by Gaby Zovko)

    Set 1 · UNCW 18-19 W FLA · W FLA 89% → 91%

  2. 02
    UNCWAce+2.0%

    UNCW ace

    Set 1 · UNCW 15-13 W FLA · UNCW 11% → 14%

  3. 03
    Nadia WasilewskiAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Nadia Wasilewski

    Set 1 · UNCW 19-21 W FLA · W FLA 91% → 93%

  4. 04

    Kill by Aniston Cochran (set by Madalyn Mire)

    Set 1 · UNCW 15-15 W FLA · W FLA 88% → 90%

  5. 05
    Elaina MurphyKill+1.8%

    Kill by Elaina Murphy (set by Gaby Zovko)

    Set 1 · UNCW 18-17 W FLA · UNCW 11% → 13%

  6. 06

    Emily Breazeale stuffed by Courtney Graham & Nadia Wasilewski

    Set 1 · UNCW 14-13 W FLA · UNCW 10% → 11%

  7. 07
    Elaina MurphyKill+1.7%

    Kill by Elaina Murphy (set by Gaby Zovko)

    Set 1 · UNCW 19-19 W FLA · UNCW 9% → 11%

  8. 08

    Lauren Lewis stuffed by Delaney Hanowell

    Set 1 · UNCW 19-20 W FLA · W FLA 89% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNCWaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310730.10004291010.514.5
33514-.143120330005
33210.100001001225
33611-.27300000111.54.5
3228.000211270111.54.5
20311-.27300000010.50.5
3000–212820001
24111.273000000004
2000–011710001
1112.000000000001
Team totals262797-.010249834936656
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35211.273000301649
36114.3571120600008
35717-.11810010212.57.5
35316.12500010052.57.5
3507.71402001010.57.5
32416-.125011920003
3001.000020510002
3001.000421820002
3102.500900600001
1102.50000001010.51.5
1000–000000000
Team totals301787.14925923993141075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UNCW · W FLA 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 UNCWW FLA 7

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 UNCWW FLA 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 UNCWW FLA 7

Bars above the line = West Florida leads, below = UNCW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNCW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%6/17
50%6/12
2
60%6/10
33%3/9
3
67%6/9
33%3/9
4
38%5/13
60%9/15
5
83%5/6
17%1/6
6
22%4/18
29%2/7
All
44%32/73
41%24/58

West Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
75%15/20
2
55%6/11
60%9/15
3
75%6/8
45%5/11
4
43%6/14
25%2/8
5
71%5/7
55%6/11
6
80%4/5
50%4/8
All
59%34/58
56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#UNCW-W FLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNCWW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Madalyn Mire+0.6
21-1W FLAUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.7
31-2UNCWW FLAServe errUNCW+0.7
42-2W FLAUNCWKillSam Vandaset Anna Harney+0.7
52-3UNCWW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+0.7
63-3W FLAUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.8
74-3UNCWUNCW×3Attack errGabi Moulton+1.2
85-3UNCWUNCW×3AceUNCWaced Camryn Brooks+1.3
95-4UNCWW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+0.9
106-4W FLAUNCWBlockedTalya Sampsonblk Gaby Zovko+1.1
117-4UNCWUNCWBad setKaryna Werley+1.5
127-5UNCWW FLAAttack errGaby Zovko+1.0
138-5W FLAUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+1.2
148-6UNCWW FLA×7KillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+1.0
158-7W FLAW FLA×7Attack errNadia Wasilewski+1.3
168-8W FLAW FLA×7Attack errElaina Murphy+1.3
178-9W FLAW FLA×7AceWest Floridaaced Elaina Murphy+1.2
188-10W FLAW FLA×7KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+1.0
198-11W FLAW FLA×7Attack errLauren Lewis+0.9
208-12W FLAW FLA×7AceWest Floridaaced Elaina Murphy+0.7
219-12W FLAUNCW×4KillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.5
2210-12UNCWUNCW×4BlockedTalya Sampsonblk Lauren Lewis, Sam Vanda+0.9
2311-12UNCWUNCW×4AceUNCW+1.1
2412-12UNCWUNCW×4AceUNCWaced Madalyn Mire+1.4
2512-13UNCWW FLABlockedSam Vandablk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+1.0
2613-13W FLAUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.1
2714-13UNCWUNCW×3BlockedEmily Breazealeblk Courtney Graham, Nadia Wasilewski+1.8
2815-13UNCWUNCW×3AceUNCW+2.0
2915-14UNCWW FLABlockedSam Vandablk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+1.3
3015-15W FLAW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Madalyn Mire+1.8
3116-15W FLAUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Elaina Murphy+1.5
3216-16UNCWW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+1.4
3317-16W FLAUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.7
3417-17UNCWW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley+1.5
3518-17W FLAUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.8
3618-18UNCWW FLAServe errUNCW+1.6
3718-19W FLAW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Gaby Zovko+2.1
3819-19W FLAUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+1.7
3919-20UNCWW FLA×4BlockedLauren Lewisblk Delaney Hanowell+1.7
4019-21W FLAW FLA×4Attack errNadia Wasilewski+2.0
4119-22W FLAW FLA×4BlockedLauren Lewisblk Talya Sampson+1.4
4219-23W FLAW FLA×4KillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+0.8
4320-23W FLAUNCWAttack errTalya Sampson+0.3
4420-24UNCWW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Madalyn Mire+0.5
4520-25W FLAW FLAAttack errLauren Lewis+0.2
Set 2
10-1W FLAW FLA×3KillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+0.6
20-2W FLAW FLA×3BlockedLauren Lewisblk Talya Sampson+0.5
30-3W FLAW FLA×3BlockedNadia Wasilewskiblk Delaney Hanowell, Talya Sampson+0.4
41-3W FLAUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.3
51-4UNCWW FLAAttack errCourtney Graham+0.3
61-5W FLAW FLAAceWest Floridaaced Anna Harney+0.4
72-5W FLAUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.3
83-5UNCWUNCWAceUNCWaced Madalyn Mire+0.5
93-6UNCWW FLA×3Serve errUNCW+0.3
103-7W FLAW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Madalyn Mire+0.4
113-8W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Morgan Esmie+0.3
124-8W FLAUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.2
134-9UNCWW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+0.2
144-10W FLAW FLAAttack errElaina Murphy+0.2
155-10W FLAUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+0.2
165-11UNCWW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley+0.2
176-11W FLAUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.2
187-11UNCWUNCWAceUNCWaced Emily Breazeale+0.3
197-12UNCWW FLAServe errUNCW+0.2
207-13W FLAW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Talya Sampson+0.2
218-13W FLAUNCWKillMeredith Keeferset Gaby Zovko+0.2
228-14UNCWW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+0.2
238-15W FLAW FLABlockedSam Vandablk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+0.2
249-15W FLAUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.1
259-16UNCWW FLAAttack errSam Vanda+0.1
269-17W FLAW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Madalyn Mire+0.1
2710-17W FLAUNCWKillMeredith Keeferset Gaby Zovko·
2811-17UNCWUNCWBlockedDelaney Hanowellblk Courtney Graham+0.1
2911-18UNCWW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+0.1
3011-19W FLAW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+0.1
3112-19W FLAUNCWBlockedEmily Breazealeblk Gaby Zovko, Courtney Graham·
3213-19UNCWUNCWAttack errEmily Breazeale+0.1
3313-20UNCWW FLAServe errUNCW+0.1
3413-21W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.1
3514-21W FLAUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko·
3614-22UNCWW FLAKillKaryna Werley·
3715-22W FLAUNCWServe errWest Florida·
3815-23UNCWW FLA×3KillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley·
3915-24W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Florida·
4015-25W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Sam Vanda·
Set 3
11-0UNCWUNCWAttack errKumara Flanagain+0.3
21-1UNCWW FLA×4Serve errUNCW+0.2
31-2W FLAW FLA×4Bad setGaby Zovko+0.3
41-3W FLAW FLA×4Attack errLauren Lewis+0.3
51-4W FLAW FLA×4BlockedSam Vandablk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+0.2
62-4W FLAUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.2
73-4UNCWUNCWAttack errKumara Flanagain+0.3
83-5UNCWW FLAKillGabi Moulton+0.2
94-5W FLAUNCWKillMeredith Keeferset Gaby Zovko+0.2
104-6UNCWW FLAServe errUNCW+0.2
115-6W FLAUNCW×3Attack errTalya Sampson+0.2
126-6UNCWUNCW×3AceUNCWaced Aniston Cochran+0.3
137-6UNCWUNCW×3Attack errEmily Breazeale+0.4
147-7UNCWW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+0.3
158-7W FLAUNCWKillGaby Zovko+0.3
168-8UNCWW FLAAttack errElaina Murphy+0.3
179-8W FLAUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+0.3
1810-8UNCWUNCWBad setEmily Breazeale+0.5
1910-9UNCWW FLA×3KillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+0.3
2010-10W FLAW FLA×3BlockedElaina Murphyblk Kumara Flanagain, Delaney Hanowell+0.4
2110-11W FLAW FLA×3Attack errElaina Murphy+0.4
2211-11W FLAUNCW×3KillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+0.3
2312-11UNCWUNCW×3BlockedDelaney Hanowellblk Lauren Lewis+0.5
2413-11UNCWUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Anna Harney+0.6
2513-12UNCWW FLA×4Attack errSam Vanda+0.4
2613-13W FLAW FLA×4KillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+0.5
2713-14W FLAW FLA×4Attack errLilly Sullivan+0.5
2813-15W FLAW FLA×4AceWest Florida+0.4
2914-15W FLAUNCWAttack errKumara Flanagain+0.3
3014-16UNCWW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+0.3
3114-17W FLAW FLAAceWest Floridaaced Elaina Murphy+0.4
3215-17W FLAUNCWServe errWest Florida+0.2
3316-17UNCWUNCWKillMeredith Keeferset Gaby Zovko+0.4
3416-18UNCWW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+0.4
3517-18W FLAUNCW×5Attack errTalya Sampson+0.4
3618-18UNCWUNCW×5Attack errTalya Sampson+0.6
3719-18UNCWUNCW×5Attack errTalya Sampson+0.8
3820-18UNCWUNCW×5AceUNCWaced Emily Breazeale+0.9
3921-18UNCWUNCW×5AceUNCWaced Kennedy Plummer+0.9
4021-19UNCWW FLA×7Serve errUNCW+0.5
4121-20W FLAW FLA×7Attack errMeredith Keefer+0.8
4221-21W FLAW FLA×7Attack errSam Vanda+0.9
4321-22W FLAW FLA×7Attack errGaby Zovko+0.9
4421-23W FLAW FLA×7BlockedCourtney Grahamblk Aniston Cochran, Kennedy Plummer+0.8
4521-24W FLAW FLA×7AceWest Floridaaced Anna Harney+0.5
4621-25W FLAW FLA×7KillKennedy Plummerset Karyna Werley+0.2

Score shown after each rally, UNCW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).