UNCW vs Winthrop Volleyball: Winthrop Wins 3-0 (Sep 18)

FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

0:3

Winthrop beat visiting UNCW 3-0 (25-13, 26-24, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Winthrop's KeAra Bowen led with 15 kills, and Lexi Thatcher added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 18

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UNCW	13	24	21	0
WINTHR	25	26	25	3

Win probability

Winthrop above 50 · UNCW below

Biggest swing: 6.0% to Winthrop — set 2, UNCW 24-24 WINTHR. Winthrop ace. WINTHR win probability 82% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNCW 17.4%82.6% WINTHR

UNCW wins

3-0

2.7%

3-1

5.7%

3-2

9.0%

Winthrop wins

3-0

34.3%

3-1

30.9%

3-2

17.5%

UNCW break %: 38.2% vs this opp
WINTHR break %: 45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
WinthropAce+6.0%
Winthrop ace
Set 2 · UNCW 24-24 WINTHR · WINTHR 82% → 88%
02
Paige BennettKill+5.0%
Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Lexi Thatcher)
Set 2 · UNCW 24-25 WINTHR · WINTHR 88% → 93%
03
Meredith KeeferKill+4.9%
Kill by Meredith Keefer (set by Anna Harney)
Set 2 · UNCW 24-22 WINTHR · UNCW 15% → 20%
04
Paige BennettKill+4.3%
Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Alyah Cadavid)
Set 2 · UNCW 24-26 WINTHR · WINTHR 93% → 97%
05
KeAra BowenKill+3.6%
Kill by KeAra Bowen (set by Addison Torain)
Set 2 · UNCW 22-22 WINTHR · WINTHR 84% → 88%
06
Lauren LewisKill+3.3%
Kill by Lauren Lewis (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 2 · UNCW 23-22 WINTHR · UNCW 12% → 15%
07
Meredith KeeferKill+3.0%
Kill by Meredith Keefer (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 2 · UNCW 22-19 WINTHR · UNCW 17% → 20%
08
Teagan SychterzKill+2.8%
Kill by Teagan Sychterz (set by Lexi Thatcher)
Set 2 · UNCW 22-21 WINTHR · WINTHR 82% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNCWaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Gaby ZovkoS	3	7	0	15	.467	21	1	2	7	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
14Courtney GrahamMB	3	6	0	10	.600	0	2	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
3Meredith KeeferOPP	3	7	4	23	.130	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	7
16Elaina MurphyOH	3	5	3	22	.091	3	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	5
18Lauren LewisMB	3	2	0	7	.286	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
7Nadia WasilewskiOH	3	2	0	10	.200	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
12Lilly SullivanMB	3	2	0	5	.400	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2
17Addi VaughnS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
20Anna HarneyDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	4	0	0	0	0
5Morgan EsmieDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
1Sam VandaOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	9	95	.232	29	3	5	38	9	2	4	4	58

Winthrophome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7KeAra BowenOPP	3	15	3	23	.522	0	0	0	2	0	4	2	17
5Paige BennettOH	3	13	6	34	.206	2	1	1	6	0	0	0	14
23Teagan SychterzMB	3	8	2	14	.429	0	2	2	3	0	2	1	11
9Giselle LittleMB	3	7	3	17	.235	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	8.5
4Lexi ThatcherS	3	2	0	9	.222	37	1	1	11	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Alyah CadavidDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	2	5	0	0	0	2
12Reece RhoadsOH	3	8	2	19	.316	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	8
14Addison TorainDS	3	0	0	0	–	6	2	1	7	3	0	0	2
6Lindsay LangnerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	9	0	0	0	1
Team totals		53	16	116	.319	49	9	8	47	3	10	5	76

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UNCW · WINTHR 6

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 UNCWWINTHR 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 6 UNCWWINTHR 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 UNCWWINTHR 6

Bars above the line = Winthrop leads, below = UNCW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNCW

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	13%1/8
2	43%6/14	46%6/13
3	55%6/11	14%1/7
4	50%6/12	33%3/9
5	42%5/12	57%8/14
6	63%5/8	44%4/9
All	47%35/74	38%23/60

Winthrop

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	63%10/16
2	55%6/11	54%7/13
3	67%6/9	40%4/10
4	46%6/13	50%6/12
5	67%6/9	50%6/12
6	56%5/9	55%6/11
All	62%37/60	53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#	UNCW-WINTHR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.1
2	1-1	WINTHR	UNCW	Serve err	Winthrop		+1.2
3	1-2	UNCW	WINTHR×3	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.1
4	1-3	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Alyah Cadavid	+1.4
5	1-4	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Ace	Winthrop	aced Anna Harney	+1.3
6	2-4	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+0.9
7	2-5	UNCW	WINTHR×5	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.9
8	2-6	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.1
9	2-7	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+0.9
10	2-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	Lexi Thatcher	set Lindsay Langner	+0.7
11	2-9	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.5
12	3-9	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Meredith Keefer	set Gaby Zovko	+0.3
13	3-10	UNCW	WINTHR×3	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.4
14	3-11	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Teagan Sychterz, Lexi Thatcher	+0.4
15	3-12	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Ace	Winthrop		+0.3
16	4-12	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko		+0.1
17	5-12	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Addison Torain	+0.3
18	5-13	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.3
19	6-13	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+0.2
20	6-14	UNCW	WINTHR×3	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.2
21	6-15	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.2
22	6-16	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.1
23	7-16	WINTHR	UNCW	Serve err	Winthrop		+0.1
24	7-17	UNCW	WINTHR	Serve err	UNCW		+0.1
25	8-17	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Meredith Keefer	set Gaby Zovko	·
26	8-18	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.1
27	9-18	WINTHR	UNCW	Serve err	Winthrop		·
28	10-18	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.1
29	10-19	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Lexi Thatcher	set Lindsay Langner	+0.1
30	11-19	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
31	11-20	UNCW	WINTHR×4	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+0.1
32	11-21	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	·
33	11-22	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Ace	Winthrop	aced Lilly Sullivan	·
34	11-23	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	·
35	12-23	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Lilly Sullivan	·
36	13-23	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Lilly Sullivan	set Gaby Zovko	·
37	13-24	UNCW	WINTHR	Serve err	UNCW		·
38	13-25	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Addison Torain	·
Set 2
1	0-1	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Addison Torain	+1.1
2	1-1	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+0.9
3	1-2	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.8
4	2-2	WINTHR	UNCW	Serve err	Winthrop		+0.9
5	2-3	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.8
6	3-3	WINTHR	UNCW	Blocked	Paige Bennett	blk Gaby Zovko	+0.9
7	3-4	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.9
8	3-5	WINTHR	WINTHR	Ace	Winthrop	aced Anna Harney	+1.1
9	4-5	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Morgan Esmie	+0.8
10	5-5	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Giselle Little		+1.3
11	5-6	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Paige Bennett	+0.9
12	6-6	WINTHR	UNCW	Serve err	Winthrop		+1.0
13	7-6	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Lilly Sullivan	set Lauren Lewis	+1.5
14	7-7	UNCW	WINTHR	Serve err	UNCW		+1.0
15	8-7	WINTHR	UNCW	Serve err	Winthrop		+1.1
16	8-8	UNCW	WINTHR×5	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.1
17	8-9	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.4
18	8-10	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Ace	Winthrop	aced Elaina Murphy	+1.3
19	8-11	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.1
20	8-12	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Ace	Winthrop	aced Anna Harney	+0.9
21	9-12	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Meredith Keefer	set Gaby Zovko	+0.6
22	9-13	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.7
23	9-14	WINTHR	WINTHR	Blocked	Meredith Keefer	blk KeAra Bowen, Giselle Little	+0.7
24	10-14	WINTHR	UNCW	Serve err	Winthrop		+0.4
25	10-15	UNCW	WINTHR	Serve err	UNCW		+0.5
26	11-15	WINTHR	UNCW×3	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Elaina Murphy	+0.4
27	12-15	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Elaina Murphy	+0.9
28	13-15	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+1.2
29	13-16	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.9
30	14-16	WINTHR	UNCW×6	Kill	Meredith Keefer	set Elaina Murphy	+0.9
31	15-16	UNCW	UNCW×6	Attack err	Reece Rhoads		+1.6
32	16-16	UNCW	UNCW×6	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+2.0
33	17-16	UNCW	UNCW×6	Ace	UNCW	aced Addison Torain	+2.4
34	18-16	UNCW	UNCW×6	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+2.6
35	19-16	UNCW	UNCW×6	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Meredith Keefer	+2.5
36	19-17	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.4
37	19-18	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.3
38	20-18	WINTHR	UNCW	Blocked	Teagan Sychterz	blk Lauren Lewis	+2.2
39	20-19	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.7
40	21-19	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+2.4
41	22-19	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Meredith Keefer	set Gaby Zovko	+3.0
42	22-20	UNCW	WINTHR×3	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.3
43	22-21	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.8
44	22-22	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Addison Torain	+3.6
45	23-22	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+3.3
46	24-22	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Meredith Keefer	set Anna Harney	+4.9
47	24-23	UNCW	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Addison Torain	+1.9
48	24-24	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Ace	Winthrop		+6.0
49	24-25	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+5.0
50	24-26	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Alyah Cadavid	+4.3
Set 3
1	0-1	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.4
2	0-2	WINTHR	WINTHR	Blocked	Meredith Keefer	blk KeAra Bowen, Giselle Little	+0.5
3	1-2	WINTHR	UNCW×5	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+0.4
4	2-2	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.6
5	3-2	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	Giselle Little		+0.7
6	4-2	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	KeAra Bowen		+0.8
7	5-2	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	KeAra Bowen		+0.8
8	5-3	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.5
9	6-3	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Meredith Keefer	set Gaby Zovko	+0.6
10	6-4	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.5
11	6-5	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Addi Vaughn		+0.7
12	7-5	WINTHR	UNCW	Serve err	Winthrop		+0.6
13	8-5	UNCW	UNCW	Blocked	Reece Rhoads	blk Gaby Zovko, Courtney Graham	+0.9
14	8-6	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.5
15	9-6	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+0.7
16	9-7	UNCW	WINTHR×6	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Addison Torain	+0.6
17	9-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×6	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Addison Torain	+0.8
18	9-9	WINTHR	WINTHR×6	Ace	Winthrop	aced Meredith Keefer	+0.8
19	9-10	WINTHR	WINTHR×6	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Gaby Zovko	+0.8
20	9-11	WINTHR	WINTHR×6	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.7
21	9-12	WINTHR	WINTHR×6	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Paige Bennett	+0.6
22	10-12	WINTHR	UNCW×3	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Reece Rhoads	+0.4
23	11-12	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+0.7
24	12-12	UNCW	UNCW×3	Attack err	KeAra Bowen		+0.9
25	12-13	UNCW	WINTHR	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+0.6
26	12-14	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz		+0.8
27	13-14	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+0.6
28	13-15	UNCW	WINTHR×3	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.6
29	13-16	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Blocked	Meredith Keefer	blk KeAra Bowen, Giselle Little	+0.7
30	13-17	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Ace	Winthrop	aced Anna Harney	+0.5
31	14-17	WINTHR	UNCW	Blocked	Paige Bennett	blk Lauren Lewis, Nadia Wasilewski	+0.3
32	15-17	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Giselle Little		+0.6
33	15-18	UNCW	WINTHR×3	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.5
34	15-19	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.6
35	15-20	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.4
36	16-20	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+0.2
37	16-21	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.3
38	17-21	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+0.2
39	17-22	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.2
40	18-22	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Courtney Graham	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
41	18-23	UNCW	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.2
42	19-23	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
43	20-23	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Addison Torain	+0.3
44	20-24	UNCW	WINTHR	Serve err	UNCW		+0.3
45	21-24	WINTHR	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
46	21-25	UNCW	WINTHR	Blocked	Meredith Keefer	blk KeAra Bowen, Teagan Sychterz	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, UNCW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Winthrop def. UNCW 3–0