UNCW def. N.C. Central 3–1
UNCW beat N.C. Central 3-1 (20-25, 25-13, 25-23, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. UNCW's Nadia Wasilewski led with 16 kills, and Anna Harney added 11 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NC CEN | 25 | 13 | 23 | 20 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 6.8% to UNCW — set 3, UNCW 25-23 NC CEN. Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko). NC CEN win probability 17% → 10%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
UNCW wins
N.C. Central wins
- UNCW break %
- 46.9% vs this opp
- NC CEN break %
- 39.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02N.C. CentralAce+6.2%
N.C. Central ace on Sam Vanda
Set 3 · UNCW 21-21 NC CEN · NC CEN 21% → 27%
- 03
- 04
- 05Courtney GrahamKill+5.3%
Kill by Courtney Graham (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 3 · UNCW 22-21 NC CEN · UNCW 73% → 78%
- 06Meredith KeeferAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by Meredith Keefer
Set 3 · UNCW 17-17 NC CEN · NC CEN 22% → 26%
- 07Aniah BassKill+4.3%
Kill by Aniah Bass (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 3 · UNCW 21-20 NC CEN · NC CEN 17% → 21%
- 08Courtney GrahamKill+4.2%
Kill by Courtney Graham (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 3 · UNCW 19-17 NC CEN · UNCW 77% → 82%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 3 | 32 | .344 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | .429 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 12 | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .545 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | .111 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 16 | 1 | 26 | .577 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 16 | 123 | .325 | 49 | 4 | 7 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 9 | 48 | .083 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 34 | .265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .292 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .400 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 18 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.000 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 21 | 130 | .215 | 44 | 6 | 11 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 81 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
25-13
Set 3
25-23
Set 4
25-20
Bars above the line = N.C. Central leads, below = UNCW leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
UNCW
No clean sets to split.
N.C. Central
No clean sets to split.
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
176 rallies
| # | UNCW-NC CEN | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Jayla Egerton | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NC CEN | UNCW | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UNCW | NC CEN | Attack err | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +1.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +1.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UNCW | NC CEN | Serve err | UNCW | +1.4 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | +1.3 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | UNCW | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | +1.6 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UNCW | NC CEN×5 | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Breylan Fairley | +1.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NC CEN | NC CEN×5 | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Lusiana Damuni | +1.9 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NC CEN | NC CEN×5 | Attack err | Lauren Lewis | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | NC CEN | NC CEN×5 | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Lusiana Damuni | +2.1 |
| 12 | 4-8 | NC CEN | NC CEN×5 | Kill | Jayla Egerton | +2.2 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +1.4 |
| 14 | 6-8 | UNCW | UNCW | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +2.0 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Lusiana Damuni | +1.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +2.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | NC CEN | UNCW | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.4 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +1.8 |
| 19 | 7-12 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Lusiana Damuni | +2.2 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Meredith Keefer | +1.3 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | UNCW | NC CEN | Attack err | Meredith Keefer | set Gaby Zovko | +1.8 |
| 22 | 8-14 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Attack err | Meredith Keefer | +2.0 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | NC CEN | UNCW | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Peyton Jenkins | set Breylan Fairley | +1.6 |
| 25 | 9-16 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Attack err | Sam Vanda | +1.6 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | NC CEN | UNCW | Serve err | N.C. Central | +0.8 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.2 |
| 28 | 11-17 | NC CEN | UNCW×6 | Blocked | Allyson Rouse | blk Lauren Lewis | +0.7 |
| 29 | 12-17 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +1.3 |
| 30 | 13-17 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +1.7 |
| 31 | 14-17 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +2.1 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Anna Harney | +2.5 |
| 33 | 16-17 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Anna Harney | +2.8 |
| 34 | 16-18 | UNCW | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Hailey Gibbons | +2.6 |
| 35 | 16-19 | NC CEN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.4 | |||
| 36 | 16-20 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Ace | N.C. Central | +3.0 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +1.5 |
| 38 | 17-21 | UNCW | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Talia Emmen | +2.3 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Attack err | Nadia Wasilewski | +2.2 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +1.2 |
| 41 | 18-23 | NC CEN | UNCW | Serve err | N.C. Central | +0.3 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +0.7 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NC CEN | UNCW | Serve err | N.C. Central | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | UNCW | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | set Anna Harney | +0.4 |
| 45 | 20-25 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +0.7 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Breylan Fairley | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NC CEN | UNCW×5 | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNCW | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.4 | |||
| 4 | 3-1 | UNCW | UNCW×5 | Ace | UNCW | aced Alex Fuller | +2.2 |
| 5 | 4-1 | UNCW | UNCW×5 | Blocked | Talia Emmen | blk Gaby Zovko, Courtney Graham | +2.0 |
| 6 | 5-1 | UNCW | UNCW×5 | Blocked | Talia Emmen | blk Courtney Graham, Gaby Zovko | +1.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | UNCW | NC CEN | Serve err | UNCW | +1.3 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +1.3 |
| 9 | 6-3 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Hailey Gibbons | +1.3 |
| 10 | 6-4 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Lusiana Damuni | +2.0 |
| 11 | 7-4 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | set Talia Emmen | +1.6 |
| 12 | 8-4 | UNCW | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +1.8 |
| 13 | 8-5 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | +1.3 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +1.4 |
| 15 | 10-5 | UNCW | UNCW | Attack err | Kayla Riley | +1.5 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Lusiana Damuni | +1.0 |
| 17 | 10-7 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Attack err | Meredith Keefer | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | NC CEN | UNCW×6 | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +1.5 |
| 19 | 12-7 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +1.6 |
| 20 | 13-7 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Anna Harney | +1.2 |
| 21 | 14-7 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Kill | Meredith Keefer | set Gaby Zovko | +0.8 |
| 22 | 15-7 | UNCW | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.6 | |||
| 23 | 16-7 | UNCW | UNCW×6 | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +0.3 |
| 24 | 16-8 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +0.2 |
| 25 | 17-8 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +0.2 |
| 26 | 17-9 | UNCW | NC CEN | Serve err | UNCW | +0.2 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | NC CEN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.3 | |||
| 28 | 18-10 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | set Jayla Egerton | +0.3 |
| 29 | 18-11 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Peyton Jenkins | set Breylan Fairley | +0.2 |
| 30 | 19-11 | NC CEN | UNCW×3 | Serve err | N.C. Central | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 20-11 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Blocked | Talia Emmen | blk Lily Goyer, Gaby Zovko | +0.2 |
| 32 | 21-11 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Ace | UNCW | aced Alex Fuller | +0.1 |
| 33 | 21-12 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | · |
| 34 | 22-12 | NC CEN | UNCW×3 | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Sam Vanda | · |
| 35 | 23-12 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | · |
| 36 | 24-12 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | · |
| 37 | 24-13 | UNCW | NC CEN | Serve err | UNCW | · | |
| 38 | 25-13 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC CEN | UNCW×3 | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +2.1 |
| 3 | 3-0 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +1.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.5 |
| 5 | 4-1 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +1.5 |
| 6 | 4-2 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Peyton Jenkins | set Breylan Fairley | +1.5 |
| 7 | 5-2 | NC CEN | UNCW | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | UNCW | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.7 | |||
| 9 | 6-3 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Hailey Gibbons | +1.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +1.3 |
| 11 | 7-4 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Lusiana Damuni | +1.3 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Meredith Keefer | set Gaby Zovko | +1.3 |
| 13 | 9-4 | UNCW | UNCW | Ace | UNCW | aced Isabella Rodriguez | +1.5 |
| 14 | 9-5 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | +1.0 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | NC CEN | UNCW | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.1 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | UNCW | UNCW | Ace | UNCW | +1.2 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Hailey Gibbons | +0.8 |
| 18 | 11-7 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Breylan Fairley | +1.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +1.2 |
| 20 | 13-7 | UNCW | UNCW | Attack err | Peyton Jenkins | +1.2 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | UNCW | NC CEN×4 | Attack err | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +0.7 |
| 22 | 13-9 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Blocked | Elaina Murphy | blk Peyton Jenkins, Aniah Bass | +1.3 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Anna Harney | +1.8 |
| 24 | 13-11 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Attack err | Courtney Graham | +2.4 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | set Gaby Zovko | +2.0 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.9 |
| 27 | 15-12 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Meredith Keefer | set Gaby Zovko | +2.0 |
| 28 | 15-13 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.9 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Lily Goyer | +2.1 |
| 30 | 17-13 | UNCW | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +2.3 |
| 31 | 17-14 | UNCW | NC CEN×4 | Blocked | Lily Goyer | blk Allyson Rouse | +1.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Ace | N.C. Central | +2.6 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Anna Harney | +3.5 |
| 34 | 17-17 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Attack err | Meredith Keefer | +4.5 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +3.5 |
| 36 | 19-17 | UNCW | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +4.2 |
| 37 | 19-18 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +3.0 |
| 38 | 20-18 | NC CEN | UNCW | Attack err | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +3.4 |
| 39 | 21-18 | UNCW | UNCW | Blocked | Peyton Jenkins | blk Courtney Graham, Meredith Keefer | +3.6 |
| 40 | 21-19 | UNCW | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +2.1 |
| 41 | 21-20 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +4.3 |
| 42 | 21-21 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Sam Vanda | +6.2 |
| 43 | 22-21 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +5.3 |
| 44 | 23-21 | UNCW | UNCW | Attack err | Kayla Riley | +6.2 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +3.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | NC CEN | UNCW | Attack err | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +5.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +3.2 |
| 48 | 25-23 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +6.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NC CEN | UNCW×3 | Attack err | Kayla Riley | set Breylan Fairley | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Blocked | Talia Emmen | blk Gaby Zovko, Courtney Graham | +1.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UNCW | NC CEN | Serve err | UNCW | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Attack err | Elaina Murphy | +2.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Gaby Zovko | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UNCW | NC CEN | Attack err | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +1.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NC CEN | UNCW×3 | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +1.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +1.9 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | UNCW | UNCW×3 | Kill | Meredith Keefer | +1.6 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Lusiana Damuni | +1.2 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NC CEN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.9 | |||
| 14 | 8-6 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +1.5 |
| 15 | 8-7 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Lusiana Damuni | +1.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Allyson Rouse | +2.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Meredith Keefer | set Elaina Murphy | +1.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | UNCW | UNCW | Attack err | Kayla Riley | +2.1 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | UNCW | NC CEN | Attack err | Meredith Keefer | set Anna Harney | +1.6 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +1.6 |
| 21 | 12-9 | UNCW | UNCW | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +1.9 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Hailey Gibbons | +1.4 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Sam Vanda | set Gaby Zovko | +1.5 |
| 24 | 14-10 | UNCW | UNCW | Blocked | Aniah Bass | blk Courtney Graham, Elaina Murphy | +1.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.1 |
| 26 | 15-11 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +1.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Attack err | Gaby Zovko | +1.9 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | NC CEN | UNCW | Attack err | Allyson Rouse | set Talia Emmen | +1.6 |
| 30 | 17-13 | UNCW | UNCW | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +1.7 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Lusiana Damuni | +1.1 |
| 32 | 18-14 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Lily Goyer | set Gaby Zovko | +1.3 |
| 33 | 19-14 | UNCW | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +1.3 |
| 34 | 19-15 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Lusiana Damuni | +0.7 |
| 35 | 20-15 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Nadia Wasilewski | set Gaby Zovko | +0.9 |
| 36 | 21-15 | UNCW | UNCW | Blocked | Kayla Riley | blk Courtney Graham, Nadia Wasilewski | +0.7 |
| 37 | 21-16 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Kayla Riley | set Lusiana Damuni | +0.3 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Elaina Murphy | +0.7 |
| 39 | 22-17 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Macon Butler | set Gaby Zovko | +0.8 |
| 40 | 22-18 | UNCW | NC CEN | Serve err | UNCW | +0.5 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | set Gaby Zovko | +0.7 |
| 42 | 23-19 | UNCW | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +0.3 |
| 43 | 24-19 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Courtney Graham | +0.6 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | UNCW | NC CEN | Serve err | UNCW | +0.2 | |
| 45 | 25-20 | NC CEN | UNCW | Kill | Elaina Murphy | set Gaby Zovko | +0.3 |
Score shown after each rally, UNCW first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).