FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMAC

3:0

HomeHORIZON

Eastern Mich. def. Robert Morris 3–0

(28-26, 25-19, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
E MICH	28	25	25	3
ROBMOR	26	19	16	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ROBMOR above 50 · E MICH below

Biggest swing: 7.5% to Eastern Mich. — set 1, E MICH 28-26 ROBMOR. Attack error by Natalie Stepanovich. ROBMOR win probability 23% → 15%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E MICH 73.2%26.8% ROBMOR

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0

25.6%

3-1

28.0%

3-2

19.6%

Robert Morris wins

3-0

4.9%

3-1

9.3%

3-2

12.7%

E MICH break %: 45.8% vs this opp
ROBMOR break %: 41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Natalie StepanovichAttack error+7.5%
Attack error by Natalie Stepanovich
Set 1 · E MICH 28-26 ROBMOR · E MICH 77% → 85%
02
Lauren DeckerAttack error+6.5%
Attack error by Lauren Decker
Set 1 · E MICH 23-22 ROBMOR · E MICH 70% → 76%
03
Lauren DeckerAttack error+6.3%
Lauren Decker stuffed by Maddie Herman & Taeley Mahler
Set 1 · E MICH 24-23 ROBMOR · E MICH 71% → 77%
04
Tia SchultzKill+6.3%
Kill by Tia Schultz (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 1 · E MICH 24-24 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 23% → 29%
05
ROBMOR serverService error+6.3%
Robert Morris service error
Set 1 · E MICH 25-24 ROBMOR · E MICH 71% → 77%
06
Olivia BeaudrieAttack error+6.3%
Attack error by Olivia Beaudrie
Set 1 · E MICH 25-25 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 23% → 29%
07
Addyson ButtsAttack error+6.3%
Addyson Butts stuffed by Azra Eriç & Lina Govoni
Set 1 · E MICH 26-25 ROBMOR · E MICH 71% → 77%
08
E MICH serverService error+6.3%
Eastern Mich. service error
Set 1 · E MICH 26-26 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 23% → 29%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Eastern Mich.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Azra EriçMB	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	1	1	0	0	7	3.5	6.5
17Taeley MahlerOH	3	3	0	13	.231	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
1Lina GovoniS	3	2	0	4	.500	21	1	0	11	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
5Maddie HermanMB	3	1	0	5	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	3
12Olivia BeaudrieOH	3	1	3	13	-.154	2	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	1
9Mia SchaeferL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
10Haley TroskyOH	3	15	1	28	.500	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15
3Natalie SlusherOH	3	10	7	31	.097	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	2.5	12.5
6Madelyn SipeDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
16Surabhi SrinivasanDS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	1	0	17	0	0	0	0	1
14Julia JohnsonS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	13	108	.204	34	5	6	54	1	1	22	12	78

Robert Morrishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lauren DeckerOH	3	12	7	34	.147	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	12
15Keira HornungMB	3	7	1	15	.400	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	9
5Addyson ButtsMB	3	7	5	19	.105	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
3Tia SchultzOH	3	5	6	25	-.040	0	0	1	5	0	0	2	1	6
4Natalie StepanovichOH	3	5	5	22	.000	1	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	6
1Kenlee BarnardS	3	2	1	6	.167	32	0	0	8	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Layla ToddOH	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	0	3
10Anahi AlvaradoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	3	13	3	0	0	0	0
8Maddie SiphakongvisethL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
16Addison FowlerDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Isabelle JacksonS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	27	133	.105	36	1	9	53	5	1	6	4	61

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 E MICH · ROBMOR 4

Set 1

28-26

Longest run 5 E MICHROBMOR 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 7 E MICHROBMOR 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 E MICHROBMOR 3

Bars above the line = Robert Morris leads, below = Eastern Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	45%5/11
2	64%7/11	46%6/13
3	50%7/14	30%3/10
4	58%7/12	68%15/22
5	55%6/11	33%3/9
6	83%5/6	55%6/11
All	63%40/63	50%38/76

Robert Morris

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	13%1/8
2	70%7/10	30%3/10
3	41%7/17	46%6/13
4	38%6/16	42%5/12
5	50%6/12	40%4/10
6	71%5/7	40%4/10
All	50%38/76	37%23/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	E MICH-ROBMOR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+1.5
2	1-1	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.5
3	2-1	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Lina Govoni	+1.5
4	2-2	E MICH	ROBMOR×3	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.6
5	2-3	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.2
6	2-4	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.3
7	3-4	ROBMOR	E MICH×3	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+1.7
8	4-4	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+2.2
9	5-4	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich		+2.1
10	5-5	E MICH	ROBMOR	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.7
11	5-6	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+2.4
12	6-6	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+1.8
13	6-7	E MICH	ROBMOR	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+1.9
14	6-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Natalie Stepanovich	+2.6
15	7-8	ROBMOR	E MICH	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.8
16	7-9	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.1
17	8-9	ROBMOR	E MICH	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.9
18	8-10	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.1
19	9-10	ROBMOR	E MICH×5	Attack err	Keira Hornung		+1.9
20	10-10	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+2.6
21	11-10	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+2.6
22	12-10	E MICH	E MICH×5	Bad set	Kenlee Barnard		+2.4
23	13-10	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+2.2
24	13-11	E MICH	ROBMOR×4	Attack err	Olivia Beaudrie	blk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz	+1.6
25	13-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Natalie Stepanovich	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.4
26	13-13	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Keira Hornung		+2.9
27	13-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+3.2
28	14-14	ROBMOR	E MICH	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+2.3
29	14-15	E MICH	ROBMOR	Serve err	E MICH server		+2.6
30	14-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Olivia Beaudrie		+3.5
31	15-16	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+2.4
32	15-17	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Stepanovich	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.9
33	15-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.6
34	16-18	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+2.2
35	16-19	E MICH	ROBMOR	Serve err	E MICH server		+2.9
36	16-20	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Natalie Slusher	+3.2
37	17-20	ROBMOR	E MICH×5	Attack err	Addyson Butts		+1.7
38	18-20	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+3.0
39	19-20	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Addyson Butts		+3.9
40	20-20	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Addyson Butts		+4.5
41	21-20	E MICH	E MICH×5	Ace	E MICH server	aced Maddie Siphakongviseth	+4.8
42	21-21	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.7
43	21-22	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Natalie Slusher	blk Kenlee Barnard, Keira Hornung	+6.0
44	22-22	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Olivia Beaudrie	+4.3
45	23-22	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+6.5
46	23-23	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+4.9
47	24-23	ROBMOR	E MICH	Attack err	Lauren Decker	blk Maddie Herman, Taeley Mahler	+6.3
48	24-24	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+6.3
49	25-24	ROBMOR	E MICH	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+6.3
50	25-25	E MICH	ROBMOR	Attack err	Olivia Beaudrie		+6.3
51	26-25	ROBMOR	E MICH	Attack err	Addyson Butts	blk Azra Eriç, Lina Govoni	+6.3
52	26-26	E MICH	ROBMOR	Serve err	E MICH server		+6.3
53	27-26	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+6.3
54	28-26	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich		+7.5
Set 2
1	0-1	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
2	1-1	ROBMOR	E MICH×3	Attack err	Tia Schultz		+1.2
3	2-1	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+1.6
4	3-1	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+1.5
5	3-2	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.2
6	4-2	ROBMOR	E MICH	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich	blk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman	+1.2
7	4-3	E MICH	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Azra Eriç	blk Keira Hornung	+1.2
8	4-4	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Natalie Slusher	blk Addyson Butts, Tia Schultz	+1.7
9	4-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts		+1.9
10	5-5	ROBMOR	E MICH	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.4
11	6-5	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Tia Schultz	blk Natalie Slusher, Azra Eriç	+1.8
12	6-6	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.4
13	7-6	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+1.4
14	7-7	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.4
15	7-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.0
16	8-8	ROBMOR	E MICH	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.5
17	8-9	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.6
18	9-9	ROBMOR	E MICH×4	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+1.5
19	10-9	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	Lauren Decker	blk Maddie Herman, Taeley Mahler	+2.0
20	11-9	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+1.9
21	12-9	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Maddie Herman	+1.7
22	12-10	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.2
23	13-10	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+1.3
24	13-11	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.2
25	13-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.0
26	14-12	ROBMOR	E MICH×3	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+1.6
27	15-12	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+1.9
28	16-12	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Tia Schultz	blk Natalie Slusher, Azra Eriç	+1.5
29	16-13	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Stepanovich	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
30	17-13	ROBMOR	E MICH×7	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.2
31	18-13	E MICH	E MICH×7	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich		+1.2
32	19-13	E MICH	E MICH×7	Attack err	Tia Schultz		+0.8
33	20-13	E MICH	E MICH×7	Bad set	Tia Schultz		+0.5
34	21-13	E MICH	E MICH×7	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
35	22-13	E MICH	E MICH×7	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+0.1
36	23-13	E MICH	E MICH×7	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich	blk Azra Eriç, Lina Govoni	+0.0
37	23-14	E MICH	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+0.0
38	23-15	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Natalie Stepanovich	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
39	23-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Natalie Stepanovich	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
40	24-16	ROBMOR	E MICH	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.1
41	24-17	E MICH	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
42	24-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+0.0
43	24-19	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
44	25-19	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Madelyn Sipe	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+0.9
2	1-1	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
3	1-2	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.7
4	2-2	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
5	3-2	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Layla Todd	+0.9
6	3-3	E MICH	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.7
7	3-4	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
8	3-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+1.1
9	4-5	ROBMOR	E MICH	Attack err	Layla Todd	blk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç	+0.8
10	5-5	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Tia Schultz	blk Natalie Slusher, Azra Eriç	+1.0
11	5-6	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.8
12	6-6	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Lina Govoni	set Olivia Beaudrie	+0.8
13	7-6	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Layla Todd		+1.0
14	7-7	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
15	8-7	ROBMOR	E MICH×3	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Mia Schaefer	+0.8
16	9-7	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Madelyn Sipe	+1.0
17	10-7	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Lina Govoni	set Haley Trosky	+0.9
18	10-8	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
19	11-8	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
20	12-8	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Lauren Decker	blk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman	+0.8
21	12-9	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
22	13-9	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
23	13-10	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
24	14-10	ROBMOR	E MICH	Attack err	Tia Schultz	blk Natalie Slusher	+0.6
25	14-11	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
26	15-11	ROBMOR	E MICH×6	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.6
27	16-11	E MICH	E MICH×6	Attack err	Kenlee Barnard		+0.7
28	17-11	E MICH	E MICH×6	Attack err	Addyson Butts	blk Azra Eriç, Lina Govoni	+0.5
29	18-11	E MICH	E MICH×6	Ace	E MICH server	aced Anahi Alvarado	+0.3
30	19-11	E MICH	E MICH×6	Ace	E MICH server	aced Anahi Alvarado	+0.2
31	20-11	E MICH	E MICH×6	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+0.1
32	20-12	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
33	20-13	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+0.1
34	21-13	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+0.1
35	22-13	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Anahi Alvarado	+0.1
36	22-14	E MICH	ROBMOR	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.0
37	23-14	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+0.0
38	23-15	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
39	24-15	ROBMOR	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Mia Schaefer	+0.0
40	24-16	E MICH	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.0
41	25-16	ROBMOR	E MICH	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.