UMES vs Robert Morris Volleyball: Robert Morris Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

0:3

Robert Morris beat visiting UMES 3-0 (25-21, 27-25, 25-18) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Robert Morris' Lauren Decker and Layla Todd led with 15 kills each, and Maddie Siphakongviseth added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UMES	21	25	18	0
ROBMOR	25	27	25	3

Win probability

Robert Morris above 50 · UMES below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Robert Morris — set 2, UMES 25-27 ROBMOR. Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard). ROBMOR win probability 97% → 99%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMES 6.9%93.1% ROBMOR

UMES wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

2.0%

3-2

4.0%

Robert Morris wins

3-0

50.6%

3-1

30.8%

3-2

11.7%

UMES break %: 35.9% vs this opp
ROBMOR break %: 47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lauren DeckerKill+2.0%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · UMES 25-27 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 97% → 99%
02
Dynasty AndrewsKill+2.0%
Kill by Dynasty Andrews (set by Kate - linh Eden)
Set 2 · UMES 23-23 ROBMOR · UMES 3% → 5%
03
Karielys MelendezKill+1.9%
Kill by Karielys Melendez (set by Arianna Warner torres)
Set 1 · UMES 15-11 ROBMOR · UMES 13% → 15%
04
Layla ToddKill+1.8%
Kill by Layla Todd (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · UMES 23-24 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 95% → 97%
05
Robert MorrisService error+1.8%
Robert Morris service error
Set 2 · UMES 24-24 ROBMOR · UMES 3% → 5%
06
Addyson ButtsKill+1.8%
Kill by Addyson Butts (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · UMES 24-25 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 95% → 97%
07
Gabrielle MccoyKill+1.8%
Kill by Gabrielle Mccoy (set by Jaelyn Stewart)
Set 2 · UMES 25-25 ROBMOR · UMES 3% → 5%
08
Lauren DeckerKill+1.8%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · UMES 25-26 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 95% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMESaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Karielys MelendezOH	3	10	4	30	.200	0	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	10
7Jayda HutchinsS	3	8	2	28	.214	1	0	0	9	3	0	1	0.5	8.5
23Malaysia ShawMB	3	5	3	14	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
9Rayah HowellMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
30Dynasty AndrewsMB	3	3	1	5	.400	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
1Arianna Warner torresS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	2	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
8Kyra BradfordOH	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
18Gabrielle MccoyOPP	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Kate - linh EdenOH	3	0	1	2	-.500	11	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
4Jocelyn TorresS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
5Alivia ProctorDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Jaelyn StewartDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Jaslyn DawkinsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Jentle BrannonMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Lila BryantL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	0
19Margarette VasquezDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
12Shayla HenryOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	13	102	.206	32	2	2	42	5	1	12	7	64

Robert Morrishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lauren DeckerOH	3	15	6	37	.243	0	2	3	15	1	1	0.5	17.5
9Layla ToddOH	3	15	6	34	.265	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	15
15Keira HornungMB	3	10	1	23	.391	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	11
5Addyson ButtsMB	3	8	2	12	.500	0	0	2	1	0	2	1	9
1Kenlee BarnardS	3	2	0	7	.286	43	1	1	9	0	2	1	4
10Anahi AlvaradoL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	1
3Tia SchultzOH	3	7	1	13	.462	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
8Maddie SiphakongvisethL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	2	17	1	0	0	1
16Addison FowlerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Brianna BlairMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Caroline HannerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Cat SmithL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Isabelle JacksonS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Natalie FrostOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Natalie StepanovichOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		57	17	127	.315	55	5	10	52	2	8	4	77

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UMES · ROBMOR 8

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 UMESROBMOR 8

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 UMESROBMOR 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 UMESROBMOR 4

Bars above the line = Robert Morris leads, below = UMES leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMES

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	45%5/11	33%3/9
2	63%5/8	17%1/6
3	71%5/7	29%2/7
4	45%5/11	29%2/7
5	56%5/9	44%4/9
6	100%5/5	17%1/6
All	59%30/51	30%13/44

Robert Morris

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%6/7	38%3/8
2	63%5/8	44%4/9
3	100%5/5	38%3/8
4	50%5/10	44%4/9
5	83%5/6	44%4/9
6	63%5/8	38%3/8
All	70%31/44	41%21/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	UMES-ROBMOR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	UMES	UMES	Ace	Arianna Warner torres	aced Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.9
2	1-1	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
3	2-1	ROBMOR	UMES×3	Serve err	Robert Morris		+0.7
4	3-1	UMES	UMES×3	Blocked	Lauren Decker	blk Malaysia Shaw, Rayah Howell	+1.1
5	4-1	UMES	UMES×3	Attack err	Keira Hornung		+1.2
6	4-2	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
7	5-2	ROBMOR	UMES×3	Attack err	Layla Todd	set Tia Schultz	+0.9
8	6-2	UMES	UMES×3	Attack err	Layla Todd		+1.4
9	7-2	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Arianna Warner torres	+1.4
10	7-3	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
11	7-4	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	Robert Morris	aced Jayda Hutchins	+1.2
12	8-4	ROBMOR	UMES	Blocked	Addyson Butts	blk Dynasty Andrews	+1.1
13	8-5	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.8
14	8-6	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Kate - linh Eden		+1.2
15	9-6	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Kyra Bradford	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.1
16	9-7	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.9
17	9-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
18	10-8	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Kyra Bradford	set Kate - linh Eden	+1.1
19	10-9	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.9
20	11-9	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - linh Eden	+1.1
21	11-10	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.9
22	11-11	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
23	12-11	ROBMOR	UMES×4	Kill	Malaysia Shaw		+1.1
24	13-11	UMES	UMES×4	Blocked	Lauren Decker	blk Malaysia Shaw, Rayah Howell	+1.7
25	14-11	UMES	UMES×4	Kill	Karielys Melendez		+1.8
26	15-11	UMES	UMES×4	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Arianna Warner torres	+1.9
27	15-12	UMES	ROBMOR×8	Blocked	Karielys Melendez	blk Tia Schultz, Keira Hornung	+1.0
28	15-13	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×8	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.6
29	15-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×8	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.7
30	15-15	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×8	Ace	Robert Morris	aced Lila Bryant	+1.6
31	15-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×8	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+1.5
32	15-17	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×8	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
33	15-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×8	Kill	Layla Todd	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+1.0
34	15-19	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×8	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+0.7
35	16-19	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Malaysia Shaw	+0.4
36	16-20	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.5
37	17-20	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		+0.4
38	17-21	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
39	17-22	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Blocked	Kyra Bradford	blk Kenlee Barnard, Addyson Butts	+0.4
40	18-22	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Kate - linh Eden	+0.1
41	18-23	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
42	19-23	ROBMOR	UMES	Attack err	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
43	19-24	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
44	20-24	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Kate - linh Eden	·
45	21-24		UMES	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.2
46	21-25	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.4
2	1-1	UMES	ROBMOR	Attack err	Rayah Howell	set Lila Bryant	+0.4
3	1-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
4	2-2	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		+0.4
5	3-2	UMES	UMES	Blocked	Layla Todd	blk Rayah Howell, Dynasty Andrews	+0.6
6	3-3	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.4
7	4-3	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Dynasty Andrews	+0.5
8	4-4	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.4
9	5-4	ROBMOR	UMES	Attack err	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
10	6-4	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Addyson Butts		+0.8
11	6-5	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz		+0.5
12	7-5	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - linh Eden	+0.6
13	7-6	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
14	8-6	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Kyra Bradford	set Kate - linh Eden	+0.6
15	8-7	UMES	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.5
16	8-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.7
17	8-9	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+0.7
18	9-9	ROBMOR	UMES	Attack err	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
19	9-10	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
20	10-10	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.5
21	11-10	UMES	UMES	Blocked	Layla Todd	blk Dynasty Andrews, Rayah Howell	+0.9
22	11-11	UMES	ROBMOR	Serve err	UMES		+0.6
23	12-11	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.7
24	12-12	UMES	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
25	12-13	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Ace	Robert Morris	aced Jayda Hutchins	+0.8
26	12-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+0.7
27	12-15	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Attack err	Dynasty Andrews		+0.6
28	13-15	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		+0.4
29	14-15	UMES	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - linh Eden	+0.7
30	14-16	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
31	14-17	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
32	15-17	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Kate - linh Eden	+0.4
33	15-18	UMES	ROBMOR	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - linh Eden	+0.5
34	16-18	ROBMOR	UMES×3	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Kate - linh Eden	+0.4
35	17-18	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.8
36	18-18	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Arianna Warner torres	+1.2
37	18-19	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
38	19-19	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.9
39	19-20	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.9
40	20-20	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		+1.0
41	20-21	UMES	ROBMOR	Serve err	UMES		+1.0
42	20-22	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+1.3
43	21-22	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.8
44	21-23	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
45	22-23	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Kate - linh Eden	+0.8
46	23-23	UMES	UMES	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Kate - linh Eden	+2.0
47	23-24	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
48	24-24	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		+1.8
49	24-25	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
50	25-25	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Gabrielle Mccoy	set Jaelyn Stewart	+1.8
51	25-26	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
52	25-27	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.0
Set 3
1	1-0	UMES	UMES	Ace	Arianna Warner torres	aced Lauren Decker	+0.3
2	1-1	UMES	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
3	1-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
4	1-3	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+0.2
5	2-3	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.2
6	3-3	UMES	UMES	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.3
7	3-4	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
8	4-4	ROBMOR	UMES	Blocked	Lauren Decker	blk Rayah Howell, Malaysia Shaw	+0.2
9	4-5	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
10	5-5	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		+0.2
11	6-5	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.3
12	6-6	UMES	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
13	6-7	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Blocked	Karielys Melendez	blk Keira Hornung, Lauren Decker	+0.3
14	6-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.3
15	6-9	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Ace	Robert Morris	aced Jayda Hutchins	+0.2
16	7-9	ROBMOR	UMES	Attack err	Layla Todd	set Lauren Decker	+0.2
17	8-9	UMES	UMES	Blocked	Tia Schultz	blk Dynasty Andrews, Jayda Hutchins	+0.3
18	8-10	UMES	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.2
19	8-11	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Keira Hornung		+0.2
20	8-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Ace	Robert Morris	aced Margarette Vasquez	+0.2
21	8-13	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
22	9-13	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		+0.1
23	9-14	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
24	10-14	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Jocelyn Torres	+0.1
25	10-15	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
26	10-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd		+0.1
27	11-16	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Arianna Warner torres	+0.1
28	11-17	UMES	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
29	11-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
30	11-19	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Blocked	Karielys Melendez	blk Kenlee Barnard, Addyson Butts	·
31	12-19	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Arianna Warner torres	·
32	12-20	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	·
33	12-21	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Anahi Alvarado	·
34	13-21	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		·
35	14-21	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Anahi Alvarado		·
36	14-22	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Kenlee Barnard		·
37	15-22	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Kyra Bradford	set Jocelyn Torres	·
38	15-23	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Layla Todd	·
39	16-23	ROBMOR	UMES	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Jocelyn Torres	·
40	17-23	UMES	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins		·
41	17-24	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	·
42	18-24	ROBMOR	UMES	Serve err	Robert Morris		·
43	18-25	UMES	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	·

Score shown after each rally, UMES first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Robert Morris def. UMES 3–0