FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayMVC

3:0

HomeAMERICA-EAST

Bradley def. Binghamton 3–0

(25-19, 25-12, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BRAD	25	25	25	3
BINGHA	19	12	20	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BINGHA above 50 · BRAD below

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Bradley — set 1, BRAD 16-15 BINGHA. Kill by Mairen Mannon (set by Maria Drapp). BINGHA win probability 37% → 33%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BRAD 65.0%35.0% BINGHA

Bradley wins

3-0

20.0%

3-1

24.9%

3-2

20.1%

Binghamton wins

3-0

7.2%

3-1

12.6%

3-2

15.3%

BRAD break %: 43.0% vs this opp
BINGHA break %: 40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Mairen MannonKill+3.8%
Kill by Mairen Mannon (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 1 · BRAD 16-15 BINGHA · BRAD 63% → 67%
02
Maya Coblentz-BrownAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Maya Coblentz-Brown
Set 1 · BRAD 17-15 BINGHA · BRAD 67% → 70%
03
Maya Coblentz-BrownKill+3.5%
Kill by Maya Coblentz-Brown (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 1 · BRAD 12-14 BINGHA · BINGHA 39% → 43%
04
BRAD serverAce+3.5%
Bradley ace on Celeste Ocampo
Set 1 · BRAD 14-14 BINGHA · BRAD 60% → 63%
05
Mairen MannonAttack error+3.4%
Mairen Mannon stuffed by Hannah Olmstead & Magi Milicevic
Set 1 · BRAD 18-17 BINGHA · BINGHA 28% → 32%
06
Gracie FurlongKill+3.4%
Kill by Gracie Furlong (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 1 · BRAD 20-17 BINGHA · BRAD 71% → 74%
07
Adeline GoedheerKill+3.2%
Kill by Adeline Goedheer (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 1 · BRAD 12-12 BINGHA · BRAD 60% → 63%
08
Gracie FurlongAttack error+3.2%
Attack error by Gracie Furlong
Set 1 · BRAD 9-11 BINGHA · BINGHA 39% → 42%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Bradleyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Gracie FurlongOH	3	14	1	27	.481	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	14
13Adeline GoedheerMB	3	10	1	17	.529	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	12
4Mairen MannonMB	3	8	5	17	.176	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
5Chloe ParkerMB	3	7	2	18	.278	0	0	0	5	0	0	2	1	8
12Maria DrappS	3	3	0	3	1.000	38	1	1	11	0	0	2	1	5
9Ava PatchettL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	2	6	2	0	0	0	0
3Lauren DaleOH	3	8	4	22	.182	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	8
7Eirini BitsaktsiL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	1	2	13	0	0	0	0	1
6Megan DePoorterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
8Maren OuelletteOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
16Ella NiglOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
1Hayden BoothS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		51	14	107	.346	46	3	8	57	2	1	10	6	75

Binghamtonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Viktoria DimitrovaOH	3	12	4	33	.242	1	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	12.5
24Magi MilicevicOH	3	6	3	25	.120	1	0	0	5	0	2	1	7
9Maia MarinS	3	1	0	1	1.000	6	2	0	4	0	0	0	3
7Eleanor DorritieOH	3	2	2	13	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
23Francesca PierdonatiMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
1Eve RomanL/DS	2	0	0	6	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
8Maya Coblentz-BrownOH	3	3	3	19	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
11Hannah OlmsteadMB	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
2Celeste OcampoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	13	2	0	0	0
4Regan KadelS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
19Selestine Liu AsomuaOH	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
22Briana BinagiOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	14	105	.114	24	2	4	36	3	8	4	51

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 BRAD · BINGHA 3

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 BRADBINGHA 3

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 4 BRADBINGHA 1

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 BRADBINGHA 3

Bars above the line = Binghamton leads, below = Bradley leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Bradley

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	71%12/17
2	75%6/8	33%3/9
3	60%6/10	50%6/12
4	60%6/10	45%5/11
5	86%6/7	45%5/11
6	67%6/9	54%7/13
All	70%37/53	52%38/73

Binghamton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%6/15	22%2/9
2	50%6/12	25%2/8
3	60%6/10	40%4/10
4	46%6/13	40%4/10
5	55%6/11	14%1/7
6	42%5/12	33%3/9
All	48%35/73	30%16/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	BRAD-BINGHA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BINGHA	BRAD×3	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.6
2	2-0	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+2.2
3	3-0	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.1
4	3-1	BRAD	BINGHA×3	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Maia Marin	+1.4
5	3-2	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Attack err	Chloe Parker		+2.2
6	3-3	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Celeste Ocampo	+2.4
7	4-3	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Ava Patchett	+1.7
8	4-4	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Eleanor Dorritie	set Celeste Ocampo	+1.8
9	4-5	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Lauren Dale		+2.7
10	5-5	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.8
11	5-6	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+2.0
12	5-7	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Lauren Dale		+2.8
13	6-7	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Lauren Dale	set Maria Drapp	+1.9
14	7-7	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon		+2.8
15	7-8	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Viktoria Dimitrova	+2.1
16	8-8	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+2.0
17	8-9	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Regan Kadel	+2.1
18	9-9	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+2.1
19	9-10	BRAD	BINGHA	Attack err	Ava Patchett	blk Hannah Olmstead, Eleanor Dorritie	+2.2
20	9-11	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+3.2
21	10-11	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.1
22	10-12	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Maia Marin	+2.4
23	11-12	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+2.1
24	12-12	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+3.2
25	12-13	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+2.5
26	12-14	BINGHA	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Maria Drapp	+3.5
27	13-14	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+2.3
28	14-14	BRAD	BRAD	Ace	BRAD server	aced Celeste Ocampo	+3.5
29	14-15	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+2.7
30	15-15	BINGHA	BRAD×4	Kill	Lauren Dale	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+2.6
31	16-15	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+3.8
32	17-15	BRAD	BRAD×4	Attack err	Maya Coblentz-Brown		+3.6
33	18-15	BRAD	BRAD×4	Bad set	Regan Kadel		+3.1
34	18-16	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+1.9
35	18-17	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Mairen Mannon	blk Hannah Olmstead, Magi Milicevic	+3.4
36	19-17	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Lauren Dale	set Maria Drapp	+2.8
37	20-17	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+3.4
38	20-18	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+1.9
39	21-18	BINGHA	BRAD×4	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Celeste Ocampo	+2.5
40	22-18	BRAD	BRAD×4	Attack err	Eleanor Dorritie		+2.5
41	23-18	BRAD	BRAD×4	Attack err	Eleanor Dorritie	blk Maria Drapp, Adeline Goedheer	+1.3
42	24-18	BRAD	BRAD×4	Ace	BRAD server	aced Team	+0.5
43	24-19	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Maia Marin	+0.1
44	25-19	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Adeline Goedheer		+2.0
2	2-0	BRAD	BRAD×3	Attack err	Maya Coblentz-Brown		+1.9
3	3-0	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.8
4	3-1	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Regan Kadel	+1.2
5	4-1	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.3
6	4-2	BRAD	BINGHA	Attack err	Lauren Dale		+1.2
7	5-2	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.3
8	6-2	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Magi Milicevic		+1.7
9	6-3	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+1.1
10	7-3	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Lauren Dale	set Maria Drapp	+1.2
11	8-3	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Viktoria Dimitrova	blk Mairen Mannon, Maria Drapp	+1.5
12	8-4	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+0.9
13	9-4	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
14	9-5	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+0.9
15	10-5	BINGHA	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
16	11-5	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.2
17	12-5	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+0.9
18	12-6	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+0.5
19	13-6	BINGHA	BRAD×4	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+0.6
20	14-6	BRAD	BRAD×4	Attack err	Maya Coblentz-Brown	blk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker	+0.6
21	15-6	BRAD	BRAD×4	Attack err	Magi Milicevic	blk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker	+0.4
22	16-6	BRAD	BRAD×4	Ace	BRAD server	aced Celeste Ocampo	+0.2
23	16-7	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Regan Kadel	+0.1
24	17-7	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.2
25	18-7	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Megan DePoorter	+0.1
26	18-8	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+0.0
27	19-8	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+0.1
28	19-9	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Maia Marin	+0.0
29	20-9	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Lauren Dale	set Maria Drapp	+0.0
30	21-9	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Viktoria Dimitrova	blk Mairen Mannon	+0.0
31	21-10	BRAD	BINGHA	Attack err	Mairen Mannon	blk Hannah Olmstead, Viktoria Dimitrova	+0.0
32	22-10	BINGHA	BRAD	Serve err	BINGHA server		+0.0
33	22-11	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+0.0
34	23-11	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Hayden Booth	+0.0
35	23-12	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Selestine Liu Asomua	set Regan Kadel	+0.0
36	24-12	BINGHA	BRAD	Attack err	Magi Milicevic	blk Adeline Goedheer, Hayden Booth	+0.0
37	25-12	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Ella Nigl	set Hayden Booth	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Adeline Goedheer		+1.3
2	1-1	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.9
3	1-2	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Maia Marin	set Magi Milicevic	+0.9
4	2-2	BINGHA	BRAD	Serve err	BINGHA server		+0.9
5	3-2	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.2
6	3-3	BRAD	BINGHA×3	Attack err	Lauren Dale		+0.9
7	3-4	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Maria Drapp	+1.3
8	3-5	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+1.4
9	4-5	BINGHA	BRAD	Serve err	BINGHA server		+0.9
10	4-6	BRAD	BINGHA×3	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+1.0
11	4-7	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Attack err	Chloe Parker		+1.4
12	4-8	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Attack err	Mairen Mannon	blk Magi Milicevic, Selestine Liu Asomua	+1.3
13	5-8	BINGHA	BRAD	Attack err	Viktoria Dimitrova		+0.8
14	6-8	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Regan Kadel	+1.3
15	6-9	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Regan Kadel	+1.1
16	7-9	BINGHA	BRAD	Bad set	Regan Kadel		+0.9
17	8-9	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Hannah Olmstead		+1.4
18	8-10	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+1.1
19	8-11	BINGHA	BINGHA	Ace	BINGHA server	aced Ava Patchett	+1.6
20	9-11	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
21	9-12	BRAD	BINGHA	Kill	Eleanor Dorritie	set Maia Marin	+1.2
22	10-12	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
23	10-13	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+1.2
24	11-13	BINGHA	BRAD×4	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
25	12-13	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Lauren Dale	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.6
26	13-13	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Lauren Dale	set Maria Drapp	+1.7
27	14-13	BRAD	BRAD×4	Attack err	Viktoria Dimitrova		+1.8
28	14-14	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+1.3
29	15-14	BINGHA	BRAD×3	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.3
30	16-14	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.8
31	17-14	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Mairen Mannon		+1.6
32	17-15	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+0.9
33	17-16	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Mairen Mannon		+1.7
34	18-16	BINGHA	BRAD	Kill	Lauren Dale	set Maria Drapp	+1.4
35	18-17	BRAD	BINGHA	Serve err	BRAD server		+1.3
36	19-17	BINGHA	BRAD×4	Serve err	BINGHA server		+1.5
37	20-17	BRAD	BRAD×4	Attack err	Francesca Pierdonati		+1.8
38	21-17	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.3
39	22-17	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.8
40	22-18	BRAD	BINGHA×3	Attack err	Mairen Mannon		+0.3
41	22-19	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Ace	BINGHA server	aced Ava Patchett	+0.7
42	22-20	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Kill	Francesca Pierdonati	set Maia Marin	+1.3
43	23-20	BINGHA	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.4
44	24-20	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.1
45	25-20	BRAD	BRAD×3	Bad set	Maia Marin		+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Bradley first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.