Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

Northern Ariz. def. Bradley 3–2

Northern Ariz. beat Bradley 3-2 (25-18, 20-25, 26-24, 17-25, 15-4) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Gigi Greenlee led Northern Ariz. with 16 kills; Bradley's Gracie Furlong had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set12345Sets
BRAD1825242542
NAU25202617153

Win probability

Northern Ariz. above 50 · Bradley below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.6% NAUrally 199 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.6% to Northern Ariz. — set 3, BRAD 24-24 NAU. Lauren Dale stuffed by Laney Wilson & Avery Gottschalk. NAU win probability 40% → 54%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BRAD 41.5%58.5% NAU

Bradley wins

3-0
9.3%
3-1
15.2%
3-2
17.0%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
16.4%
3-1
22.3%
3-2
19.8%
BRAD break %
41.3% vs this opp
NAU break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Lauren Dale stuffed by Laney Wilson & Avery Gottschalk

    Set 3 · BRAD 24-24 NAU · NAU 40% → 54%

  2. 02
    Hanah StoddardKill+13.1%

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Ella Hosfeld)

    Set 3 · BRAD 24-25 NAU · NAU 54% → 67%

  3. 03
    Northern Ariz.Ace+12.6%

    Northern Ariz. ace on Lauren Dale

    Set 3 · BRAD 24-26 NAU · NAU 67% → 79%

  4. 04
    Mairen MannonAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Mairen Mannon

    Set 5 · BRAD 4-6 NAU · NAU 62% → 72%

  5. 05

    Kill by Adeline Goedheer (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 3 · BRAD 23-21 NAU · BRAD 52% → 61%

  6. 06

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Lilly Holmes)

    Set 5 · BRAD 1-2 NAU · NAU 52% → 61%

  7. 07
    Cherlin AntonioAttack error+8.8%

    Attack error by Cherlin Antonio

    Set 5 · BRAD 4-7 NAU · NAU 72% → 81%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gracie Furlong (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 3 · BRAD 21-20 NAU · BRAD 43% → 51%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520854.22202216000022
512535.20000050052.514.5
510422.27300000111.511.5
55624-.042000001438
52416-.1255211140010.53.5
5001.000130710003
5001.0006213310002
5000–0011120000
4000–011100001
39633.091000110009
23510-.20000000010.53.5
1002.000000000000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals6139200.1105996885212896
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516123.6521000006319
515468.16210171212.517.5
56016.375000500639
54310.10001150031.56.5
5103.33328211000003
22115.06711261111.54.5
5205.400000301224
5000–16101000001
5000–2032040000
45421.0481021501016
1225.00000100010.52.5
Team totals5315166.2295051181952015103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 BRAD · NAU 11

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 BRADNAU 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 BRADNAU 3

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 BRADNAU 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 6 BRADNAU 3

Set 5

4-15

Longest run 1 BRADNAU 11

Bars above the line = Northern Ariz. leads, below = Bradley leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bradley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
38%5/13
2
75%9/12
47%8/17
3
64%7/11
50%8/16
4
58%7/12
36%4/11
5
32%6/19
53%8/15
6
67%6/9
0%0/6
All
58%45/78
42%33/78

Northern Ariz.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
38%5/13
2
64%9/14
29%4/14
3
41%7/17
38%5/13
4
58%7/12
13%1/8
5
55%6/11
73%16/22
6
75%6/8
25%2/8
All
58%45/78
42%33/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#BRAD-NAUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.8
21-1BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Gigi Greenlee+1.8
32-1NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.9
42-2BRADNAU×4KillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
52-3NAUNAU×4Attack errLauren Dale+2.5
62-4NAUNAU×4AceNorthern Ariz.aced Eirini Bitsaktsi+2.5
72-5NAUNAU×4Attack errChloe Parker+2.3
83-5NAUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+1.6
93-6BRADNAUAttack errLauren Dale+1.7
104-6NAUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.6
114-7BRADNAU×5KillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
124-8NAUNAU×5Attack errLauren Dale+2.2
134-9NAU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
144-10NAUNAU×5Attack errMaria Drapp+1.6
154-11NAUNAU×5BlockedMairen Mannonblk Quincey Coyle, Gigi Greenlee+1.2
165-11NAUBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+0.7
175-12BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.9
186-12NAUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+0.7
196-13BRADNAU×3Attack errMaria Drapp+0.9
206-14NAUNAU×3BlockedGracie Furlongblk Gigi Greenlee, Masina Perez+0.9
216-15NAUNAU×3Attack errAdeline Goedheer+0.6
227-15NAUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+0.3
238-15BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.5
248-16BRADNAUAttack errChloe Parker+0.6
259-16NAUBRAD×3Serve errNorthern Ariz.+0.4
2610-16BRADBRAD×3KillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+0.7
2711-16BRADBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.1
2811-17BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.1
2912-17NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.7
3013-17BRADBRADAceBradley+1.5
3113-18BRADNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+1.5
3213-19NAUNAUAttack errMairen Mannon+1.4
3314-19NAUBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+0.6
3414-20BRADNAU×3KillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+0.9
3514-21NAUNAU×3KillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.7
3614-22NAUNAU×3Attack errLauren Dale+0.3
3715-22NAUBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+0.1
3815-23BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
3916-23NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp·
4016-24BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+0.1
4117-24NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp·
4218-24BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp·
4318-25BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.1
Set 2
10-1BRADNAUAttack errGracie Furlong+1.6
21-1NAUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.6
32-1BRADBRADAceBradley+2.3
42-2BRADNAUServe errBradley+1.7
53-2NAUBRAD×3KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.7
64-2BRADBRAD×3AceBradleyaced Lilly Holmes+2.4
75-2BRADBRAD×3BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Chloe Parker, Mairen Mannon+2.4
85-3BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
96-3NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.8
107-3BRADBRADKillMaria Drappset Eirini Bitsaktsi+2.3
117-4BRADNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+1.5
128-4NAUBRAD×4KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.7
139-4BRADBRAD×4AceBradleyaced Lilly Holmes+2.1
1410-4BRADBRAD×4AceBradleyaced Hanah Stoddard+1.8
1511-4BRADBRAD×4AceBradleyaced Lilly Holmes+1.5
1611-5BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.8
1711-6NAUNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Taryn Davis+1.4
1812-6NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.3
1912-7BRADNAUAttack errAdeline Goedheer+1.0
2013-7NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.3
2114-7BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.4
2214-8BRADNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.7
2314-9NAUNAU×3Attack errGracie Furlong+1.4
2414-10NAUNAU×3BlockedGracie Furlongblk Hanah Stoddard, Avery Gottschalk+1.7
2515-10NAUBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.6
2616-10BRADBRAD×3KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.8
2717-10BRADBRAD×3BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker+1.3
2817-11BRADNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+0.6
2918-11NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.9
3018-12BRADNAUServe errBradley+0.5
3119-12NAUBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+0.8
3219-13BRADNAU×3BlockedAdeline Goedheerblk Peyton Devlin+0.5
3319-14NAUNAU×3AceNorthern Ariz.aced Megan DePoorter+1.0
3419-15NAUNAU×3KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.5
3520-15NAUBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.6
3620-16BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.0
3721-16NAUBRADKillMaria Drappset Ava Patchett+1.5
3821-17BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+0.8
3921-18NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.9
4022-18NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.1
4123-18BRADBRADBlockedPeyton Devlinblk Adeline Goedheer+1.7
4223-19BRADNAUKillMasina Perezset Taryn Davis+0.5
4324-19NAUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.0
4424-20BRADNAUAttack errChloe Parker+0.2
4525-20NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.6
Set 3
10-1NAUNAUKillGigi Greenlee+3.3
20-2NAUNAUBlockedAdeline Goedheerblk Hanah Stoddard+3.2
31-2NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+2.3
41-3BRADNAUServe errBradley+2.3
51-4NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+3.1
62-4NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.1
72-5BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
83-5NAUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+2.1
93-6BRADNAUKillKate Campset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
104-6NAUBRADBlockedPeyton Devlinblk Chloe Parker, Mairen Mannon+2.2
114-7BRADNAUAttack errGracie Furlong+2.4
124-8NAUNAUAttack errMairen Mannon+3.0
135-8NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.9
145-9BRADNAUAttack errGracie Furlong+2.2
156-9NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.0
167-9BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Lilly Holmes+3.2
177-10BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.5
187-11NAUNAUBlockedGracie Furlongblk Masina Perez, Gigi Greenlee+3.1
198-11NAUBRAD×3KillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+2.0
209-11BRADBRAD×3AceBradley+3.3
2110-11BRADBRAD×3KillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+3.8
2210-12BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+3.0
2311-12NAUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.9
2411-13BRADNAUKillKate Campset Taryn Davis+3.1
2511-14NAUNAUBlockedLauren Daleblk Kate Camp, Laney Wilson+3.9
2612-14NAUBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.6
2713-14BRADBRAD×3KillLauren Dale+4.2
2814-14BRADBRAD×3Attack errKate Camp+4.8
2914-15BRADNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+3.6
3014-16NAUNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Hanah Stoddard+4.9
3115-16NAUBRAD×4KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+3.3
3216-16BRADBRAD×4Attack errPeyton Devlin+5.3
3317-16BRADBRAD×4KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+5.7
3418-16BRADBRAD×4Attack errKate Camp+5.8
3518-17BRADNAUServe errBradley+3.7
3618-18NAUNAUBlockedMairen Mannonblk Laney Wilson, Gigi Greenlee+6.0
3719-18NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+4.8
3819-19BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+4.6
3919-20NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Ava Patchett+7.0
4020-20NAUBRADAttack errPeyton Devlin+5.0
4121-20BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+7.9
4221-21BRADNAUKillMasina Perezset Taryn Davis+5.6
4322-21NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+6.6
4423-21BRADBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+8.9
4523-22BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+4.6
4624-22NAUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+7.7
4724-23BRADNAU×4BlockedChloe Parkerblk Hanah Stoddard+4.2
4824-24NAUNAU×4BlockedLauren Daleblk Laney Wilson, Avery Gottschalk+13.6
4924-25NAUNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+13.1
5024-26NAUNAU×4AceNorthern Ariz.aced Lauren Dale+12.6
Set 4
10-1BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.2
21-1NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.2
32-1BRADBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+3.2
42-2BRADNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
52-3NAUNAUAttack errChloe Parker+3.2
63-3NAUBRAD×6Attack errAvery Gottschalk+2.3
74-3BRADBRAD×6KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+3.3
85-3BRADBRAD×6BlockedAvery Gottschalkblk Chloe Parker, Cherlin Antonio+3.4
96-3BRADBRAD×6BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Chloe Parker, Mairen Mannon+3.3
107-3BRADBRAD×6BlockedAvery Gottschalkblk Mairen Mannon+3.2
118-3BRADBRAD×6KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+2.9
128-4BRADNAUBlockedCherlin Antonioblk Avery Gottschalk, Laney Wilson+1.8
139-4NAUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.1
149-5BRADNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
1510-5NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.1
1610-6BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
1711-6NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.2
1811-7BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.8
1911-8NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Megan DePoorter+2.9
2012-8NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.5
2113-8BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+3.0
2213-9BRADNAUAttack errGracie Furlong+1.7
2314-9NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.2
2414-10BRADNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.7
2515-10NAUBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+2.2
2616-10BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.4
2716-11BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.2
2817-11NAUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.7
2918-11BRADBRADBlockedQuincey Coyleblk Maria Drapp, Mairen Mannon+1.6
3018-12BRADNAU×3KillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+0.7
3118-13NAUNAU×3KillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+1.5
3218-14NAUNAU×3BlockedMaria Drappblk Quincey Coyle+2.1
3319-14NAUBRAD×3KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+2.2
3420-14BRADBRAD×3Attack errGigi Greenlee+2.1
3521-14BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.2
3621-15BRADNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
3722-15NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.7
3822-16BRADNAUServe errBradley+0.3
3923-16NAUBRADAttack errHanah Stoddard+0.5
4023-17BRADNAUBlockedMaria Drappblk Masina Perez+0.2
4124-17NAUBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.3
4225-17BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Quincey Coyle+1.3
Set 5
11-0NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+6.4
21-1BRADNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Lilly Holmes+6.3
31-2NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Lilly Holmes+8.9
42-2NAUBRADServe errNorthern Ariz.+6.5
52-3BRADNAUServe errBradley+6.7
63-3NAUBRADKillChloe Parkerset Eirini Bitsaktsi+6.8
73-4BRADNAUAttack errCherlin Antonio+7.0
84-4NAUBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+7.0
94-5BRADNAU×11KillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+7.3
104-6NAUNAU×11Attack errMairen Mannon+9.8
114-7NAUNAU×11Attack errCherlin Antonio+8.8
124-8NAUNAU×11Attack errMairen Mannon+7.3
134-9NAUNAU×11KillGigi Greenlee+5.4
144-10NAUNAU×11BlockedCherlin Antonioblk Laney Wilson, Gigi Greenlee+3.5
154-11NAUNAU×11KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.0
164-12NAUNAU×11BlockedCherlin Antonioblk Laney Wilson, Gigi Greenlee+0.9
174-13NAUNAU×11KillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+0.3
184-14NAUNAU×11KillGigi Greenleeset Peyton Devlin+0.1
194-15NAUNAU×11Attack errTrixie Carroll·

Score shown after each rally, Bradley first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).