Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

New Mexico St. def. Bradley 3–2

New Mexico St. won at Bradley 3-2 (11-25, 25-18, 19-25, 25-20, 15-12) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Ashley Herman led New Mexico St. with 15 kills; Bradley's Gracie Furlong had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set12345Sets
NM ST11251925153
BRAD25182520122

Win probability

Bradley above 50 · New Mexico St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+13.0% NM STrally 195 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.0% to New Mexico St. — set 5, NM ST 9-8 BRAD. Kill by Tess Fuqua (set by Bella Castro). BRAD win probability 50% → 37%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NM ST 54.9%45.1% BRAD

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
19.4%

Bradley wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.7%
3-2
17.8%
NM ST break %
42.7% vs this opp
BRAD break %
41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tess FuquaKill+13.0%

    Kill by Tess Fuqua (set by Bella Castro)

    Set 5 · NM ST 9-8 BRAD · NM ST 50% → 63%

  2. 02
    New Mexico St.Ace+12.6%

    New Mexico St. ace

    Set 5 · NM ST 10-8 BRAD · NM ST 63% → 75%

  3. 03
    Lauren DaleAttack error+11.3%

    Attack error by Lauren Dale

    Set 5 · NM ST 7-7 BRAD · NM ST 39% → 50%

  4. 04
    Lauren DaleKill+10.9%

    Kill by Lauren Dale (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 5 · NM ST 5-7 BRAD · BRAD 58% → 69%

  5. 05
    Katrina CatalanBad set+10.9%

    Bad set by Katrina Catalan

    Set 5 · NM ST 5-6 BRAD · BRAD 47% → 58%

  6. 06
    New Mexico St.Ace+10.7%

    New Mexico St. ace on Ava Patchett

    Set 5 · NM ST 11-8 BRAD · NM ST 75% → 86%

  7. 07
    Lauren DaleAttack error+10.2%

    Attack error by Lauren Dale

    Set 5 · NM ST 5-4 BRAD · NM ST 50% → 61%

  8. 08
    Chloe ParkerKill+9.9%

    Kill by Chloe Parker (set by Eirini Bitsaktsi)

    Set 5 · NM ST 3-4 BRAD · BRAD 47% → 57%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513645.156022100010.515.5
513225.44000310202114
513330.33320020010.513.5
5001.0002412600001
3509.556000000005
1015-.200001000000
515127.51902110010.517.5
5000–2704900000
5000–3011320000
4014-.250000200422
4000–100500000
3017-.143000110000
2115.00000100010.51.5
1001.000000000000
Team totals6016159.27757515596010595
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519852.21221014200020
514025.56000020052.516.5
56721-.048000100639
56112.4174012110010.57.5
54110.30000100010.54.5
5001.0001111110001
56322.13620010010.56.5
51011.0008221910003
5000–101700000
4000–011300001
12021.000000000002
1000–000000000
Team totals5820146.26054686950147100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NM ST · BRAD 7

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 3 NM STBRAD 7

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 NM STBRAD 3

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 2 NM STBRAD 4

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 NM STBRAD 3

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 4 NM STBRAD 3

Bars above the line = Bradley leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%13/24
31%5/16
2
61%11/18
43%9/21
3
56%9/16
41%7/17
4
57%8/14
43%6/14
5
50%8/16
38%5/13
6
67%8/12
43%6/14
All
57%57/100
40%38/95

Bradley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
38%6/16
2
71%12/17
40%8/20
3
50%9/18
42%8/19
4
73%8/11
38%5/13
5
67%8/12
53%9/17
6
47%8/17
47%7/15
All
60%57/95
43%43/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

195 rallies

#NM ST-BRADSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+1.8
21-1BRADNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.8
31-2NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.9
41-3BRADBRADKillLauren Daleset Eirini Bitsaktsi+2.6
52-3BRADNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.8
63-3NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+2.6
74-3NM STNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+2.6
84-4NM STBRAD×4KillMaria Drappset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.9
94-5BRADBRAD×4BlockedSadie Rossblk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker+2.7
104-6BRADBRAD×4KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.8
114-7BRADBRAD×4AceBradleyaced Maggie Lightheart+2.7
125-7BRADNM STKillMia Foxset Maria Drapp+1.8
135-8NM STBRAD×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+2.0
145-9BRADBRAD×3Attack errTess Fuqua+2.6
155-10BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.3
166-10BRADNM STServe errBradley+1.4
176-11NM STBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.7
186-12BRADBRADKillMairen Mannonset Megan DePoorter+1.9
197-12BRADNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.1
208-12NM STNM STAttack errGracie Furlong+1.9
218-13NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+1.7
228-14BRADBRADBad setKatrina Catalan+1.9
239-14BRADNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.0
249-15NM STBRAD×7KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.4
259-16BRADBRAD×7BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Chloe Parker+1.4
269-17BRADBRAD×7KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.9
279-18BRADBRAD×7KillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.6
289-19BRADBRAD×7KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.3
299-20BRADBRAD×7AceBradleyaced Jacqueline Corcoran+0.2
309-21BRADBRAD×7Bad setJaelynn Kohli+0.1
3110-21BRADNM STServe errBradley·
3211-21NM STNM STAttack errAdeline Goedheer·
3311-22NM STBRAD×4KillTrixie Carrollset Maria Drapp+0.1
3411-23BRADBRAD×4BlockedJacqueline Corcoranblk Chloe Parker, Adeline Goedheer·
3511-24BRADBRAD×4Attack errTess Fuqua·
3611-25BRADBRAD×4KillJacqueline Corcoranset Jacqueline Corcoran·
Set 2
11-0BRADNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.9
21-1NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.9
32-1BRADNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.9
43-1NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.6
54-1NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Herman+2.5
64-2NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.7
75-2BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+1.9
86-2NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Gracie Furlong+2.3
96-3NM STBRADAttack errMaggie Lightheart+1.6
107-3BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.7
117-4NM STBRADKillMaria Drappset Lauren Dale+1.6
128-4BRADNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.8
138-5NM STBRADKillMaria Drappset Gracie Furlong+1.6
149-5BRADNM STServe errBradley+1.8
1510-5NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.2
1610-6NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+1.3
1711-6BRADNM STServe errBradley+1.6
1811-7NM STBRADKillMaria Drappset Gracie Furlong+1.3
1912-7BRADNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+1.6
2012-8NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+1.3
2112-9BRADBRADKillMairen Mannon+2.3
2213-9BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+1.9
2313-10NM STBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.7
2414-10BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.0
2515-10NM STNM STAttack errMairen Mannon+2.2
2615-11NM STBRADBlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Lauren Dale, Mairen Mannon+1.3
2716-11BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.6
2816-12NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.3
2917-12BRADNM STKillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+1.6
3017-13NM STBRAD×3KillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+1.2
3117-14BRADBRAD×3BlockedLilli Saldivarblk Chloe Parker, Adeline Goedheer+2.3
3217-15BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+3.0
3318-15BRADNM ST×4KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.7
3419-15NM STNM ST×4Attack errGracie Furlong+3.0
3520-15NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.2
3621-15NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.aced Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.3
3721-16NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.5
3821-17BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.2
3922-17BRADNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.4
4023-17NM STNM STKillAshley Herman+0.9
4123-18NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.2
4224-18BRADNM STServe errBradley+0.5
4325-18NM STNM STBad setMaria Drapp+0.1
Set 3
10-1NM STBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+2.5
20-2BRADBRADAttack errAshley Herman+3.4
31-2BRADNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.4
41-3NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+2.5
52-3BRADNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.4
62-4NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.6
73-4BRADNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.5
83-5NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.6
93-6BRADBRADKillLauren Daleset Eirini Bitsaktsi+3.5
104-6BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.4
115-6NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+3.5
125-7NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+2.8
135-8BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+3.7
146-8BRADNM STServe errBradley+2.5
157-8NM STNM STBlockedGracie Furlongblk Kate Sinclair, Lilli Saldivar+3.7
167-9NM STBRADKillMaria Drappset Eirini Bitsaktsi+2.9
178-9BRADNM STBlockedGracie Furlongblk Tess Fuqua, Kate Sinclair+2.8
189-9NM STNM STAttack errAdeline Goedheer+4.1
199-10NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Ava Patchett+3.1
2010-10BRADNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+3.0
2110-11NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+3.2
2210-12BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+4.4
2311-12BRADNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+3.0
2412-12NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+4.5
2512-13NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+3.5
2612-14BRADBRADKillEirini Bitsaktsiset Katrina Catalan+4.7
2713-14BRADNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Jaelynn Kohli+3.2
2813-15NM STBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+3.6
2913-16BRADBRADBad setPaige Nelson+4.6
3014-16BRADNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+2.9
3115-16NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+4.7
3215-17NM STBRAD×4Serve errNew Mexico St.+4.0
3315-18BRADBRAD×4Attack errTess Fuqua+5.0
3415-19BRADBRAD×4Attack errKate Sinclair+4.2
3515-20BRADBRAD×4KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+3.1
3616-20BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.4
3716-21NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.2
3816-22BRADBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+1.7
3917-22BRADNM STServe errBradley+0.5
4017-23NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.0
4118-23BRADNM STAttack errGracie Furlong+0.3
4218-24NM STBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+0.7
4319-24BRADNM STBlockedAdeline Goedheerblk Maggie Lightheart, Ashley Herman+0.1
4419-25NM STBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+0.3
Set 4
11-0BRADNM ST×3Attack errAdeline Goedheer+2.5
22-0NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Gracie Furlong+3.4
33-0NM STNM ST×3BlockedGracie Furlongblk Maggie Lightheart, Kate Sinclair+3.2
43-1NM STBRADBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Chloe Parker, Adeline Goedheer+2.2
54-1BRADNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Maria Drapp+2.4
64-2NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+2.3
74-3BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Makayla Martinez+3.4
85-3BRADNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+2.6
96-3NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+3.5
107-3NM STNM ST×4KillAshley Hermanset Makayla Martinez+3.2
118-3NM STNM ST×4Attack errLauren Dale+2.8
128-4NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+1.8
139-4BRADNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.1
1410-4NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.4
1510-5NM STBRADAttack errTess Fuqua+1.4
1610-6BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Maggie Lightheart+2.4
1711-6BRADNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.1
1811-7NM STBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.8
1911-8BRADBRAD×3AceBradleyaced Makayla Martinez+3.0
2011-9BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+3.5
2112-9BRADNM STAttack errGracie Furlong+2.9
2213-9NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+3.5
2313-10NM STBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.2
2413-11BRADBRAD×3Serve errBradley+3.7
2513-12BRADBRAD×3Bad setPaige Nelson+4.3
2614-12BRADNM STKillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+3.5
2714-13NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+3.3
2815-13BRADNM STBad setMaria Drapp+3.6
2915-14NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+3.4
3016-14BRADNM STServe errBradley+3.8
3116-15NM STBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+3.5
3217-15BRADNM STKillMia Foxset Katrina Catalan+4.0
3317-16NM STBRAD×3KillMaria Drappset Lauren Dale+3.7
3417-17BRADBRAD×3Attack errTess Fuqua+5.9
3517-18BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+6.4
3618-18BRADNM STKillMia Foxset Katrina Catalan+4.6
3719-18NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+6.8
3819-19NM STBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+4.9
3920-19BRADNM ST×3Attack errMaria Drapp+5.4
4021-19NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+7.1
4122-19NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+5.9
4222-20NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+2.8
4323-20BRADNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+4.4
4424-20NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Jaelynn Kohli+3.4
4525-20NM STNM ST×3BlockedGracie Furlongblk Jaelynn Kohli, Kate Sinclair+0.2
Set 5
10-1NM STBRADBlockedTess Fuquablk Adeline Goedheer, Maria Drapp+6.4
21-1BRADNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+6.3
31-2NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+6.7
42-2BRADNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+6.6
53-2NM STNM STAttack errAdeline Goedheer+9.3
63-3NM STBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Adeline Goedheer+6.8
73-4BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Eirini Bitsaktsi+9.9
84-4BRADNM STKillAshley Hermanset Paige Nelson+7.1
95-4NM STNM STAttack errLauren Dale+10.2
105-5NM STBRAD×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+7.4
115-6BRADBRAD×3Bad setKatrina Catalan+10.9
125-7BRADBRAD×3KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+10.9
136-7BRADNM STKillMia Foxset Katrina Catalan+7.2
147-7NM STNM STAttack errLauren Dale+11.3
157-8NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+9.0
168-8BRADNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+8.8
179-8NM STNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Bella Castro+13.0
1810-8NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.+12.6
1911-8NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.aced Ava Patchett+10.7
2011-9NM STBRADServe errNew Mexico St.+5.7
2112-9BRADNM STAttack errAdeline Goedheer+8.2
2212-10NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+5.5
2313-10BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+8.5
2414-10NM STNM STAttack errAdeline Goedheer+6.5
2514-11NM STBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.4
2614-12BRADBRADAceBradley+4.6
2715-12BRADNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+7.9

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).