Rice vs South Fla. Volleyball: South Fla. Wins 3-0 (Oct 2)

FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: South Fla. 52.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Fla. beat visiting Rice 3-0 (25-17, 25-15, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. South Fla.'s Paula Tomasa led with 13 kills, and Miya Thomas added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	Sets
RICE	17	15	23	0
USF	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

South Fla. held Rice to .113 hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 4.0 points on one rally; Rice topped out at 54% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had South Fla. at 52%.

RiceSouth Fla.

Break %+17.5 pts
33.951.4
38 of 74 on serve vs 19 of 56, so Rice's sideout was 48.6%.
Hitting+.224
.113.337
42 kills, 9 errors vs 30 kills, 19 errors.
Longest run+1
45
Down 1–2 in the second set, South Fla. scored 5 straight to lead 6–2. That set ended 25–15.

South Fla. above 50Rice belowMax swing 4.0%

RiceSouth Fla.

Aces: Rice 2·South Fla. 8
Serve err: Rice 3·South Fla. 11
Blocks: Rice 4·South Fla. 103 BS · 2 BA vs 4 BS · 12 BA
Digs: Rice 38·South Fla. 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Fla. above 50 · Rice below

Biggest swing: 4.0% to South Fla. — set 3, RICE 23-25 USF. Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Miya Thomas). USF win probability 96% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RICE 56.9%43.1% USF

Rice wins

3-0

15.6%

3-1

21.6%

3-2

19.7%

South Fla. wins

3-0

9.8%

3-1

15.9%

3-2

17.4%

RICE break %: 40.9% vs this opp
USF break %: 39.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Paula TomasaKill+4.0%
Kill by Paula Tomasa (set by Miya Thomas)
Set 3 · RICE 23-25 USF · USF 96% → 100%
02
Amelia Wass de CzegeBlock+3.8%
Sydnee Peterson stuffed by Amelia Wass de Czege
Set 1 · RICE 12-13 USF · USF 52% → 55%
03
South Fla.Ace+3.7%
South Fla. ace on Sydnee Peterson
Set 1 · RICE 12-14 USF · USF 55% → 59%
04
Addy BrusKill+3.6%
Kill by Addy Brus
Set 1 · RICE 12-12 USF · USF 48% → 52%
05
Nina Jioshvili-RavvaAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva
Set 1 · RICE 12-10 USF · RICE 50% → 54%
06
South Fla.Ace+3.5%
South Fla. ace on Sydnee Peterson
Set 1 · RICE 13-16 USF · USF 59% → 63%
07
South Fla.Ace+3.4%
South Fla. ace
Set 1 · RICE 10-10 USF · USF 48% → 52%
08
Stephanie GutierrezKill+3.3%
Kill by Stephanie Gutierrez (set by Savannah Skopal)
Set 1 · RICE 10-8 USF · RICE 50% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Riceaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Sydnee PetersonOH	3	9	3	21	.286	0	1	1	12	4	0	0	0	10
22Amalia SimmonsMB	3	4	0	13	.308	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4
9Jordan HummelL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
21Arissa SmithMB	2	3	2	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Stephanie GutierrezMB	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Savannah SkopalS	2	0	0	1	.000	12	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
4Kellen DorotikOPP	3	5	6	19	-.053	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5
12Ashlyn SeayOH	3	3	4	11	-.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
3Kaia MateoS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
16Mari FuroyamaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0
25Maggie CroftMB	2	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	5
2Bella LopezOH	2	1	3	14	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
10Declan EastmanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
18Zora BelloS	1	0	0	2	.000	7	0	0	4	0	1	0	1	1
6Campbell LoveL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Thea CarterMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	19	97	.113	28	2	3	38	8	3	2	4	55

South Fla.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Paula TomasaOH	3	13	2	29	.379	2	0	3	4	0	0	2	1	14
15Amelia Wass de CzegeMB	3	4	1	7	.429	1	4	1	1	0	3	2	4	12
12Addy BrusOH	3	10	4	32	.188	1	1	2	8	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
2Laila IveyOH	3	9	0	18	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
11Iyanna GarvinMB	3	4	1	6	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	6
5Nina Jioshvili-RavvaS	3	2	1	6	.167	30	1	2	4	0	1	2	2	5
17Ryelle RondoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	6	0	0	0	0	2
3Miya ThomasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	12	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	9	98	.337	38	8	11	37	2	4	12	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rice vs South Fla.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Rice at South Fla. · South Fla. won 3-0This match
Fri, Oct 30, 2026South Fla. at Rice · Rice won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 RICE · USF 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 RICEUSF 4

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 RICEUSF 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 RICEUSF 3

Bars above the line = South Fla. leads, below = Rice leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rice

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	43%3/7
2	42%5/12	29%2/7
3	44%4/9	50%5/10
4	80%4/5	50%4/8
5	38%3/8	0%0/4
6	60%3/5	0%0/3
All	49%24/49	36%14/39

South Fla.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	43%3/7
2	63%5/8	44%4/9
3	44%4/9	60%6/10
4	80%4/5	56%5/9
5	100%4/4	33%2/6
6	75%3/4	63%5/8
All	64%25/39	51%25/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	RICE-USF	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	USF	USF	Kill	Amelia Wass de Czege	set Sydnee Peterson	+2.7
2	1-1	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+1.7
3	1-2	RICE	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
4	2-2	USF	RICE	Kill	Amalia Simmons	set Savannah Skopal	+1.7
5	2-3	RICE	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Amelia Wass de Czege	+1.8
6	3-3		RICE	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.8
7	4-3	RICE	RICE×3	Attack err	Addy Brus		+2.9
8	5-3	RICE	RICE×3	Ace	Rice		+2.9
9	5-4	RICE	USF×3	Kill	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	set Paula Tomasa	+1.7
10	5-5	USF	USF×3	Bad set	Sydnee Peterson		+2.9
11	5-6	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Arissa Smith		+3.0
12	6-6	USF	RICE	Kill	Arissa Smith	set Savannah Skopal	+1.9
13	6-7	RICE	USF	Blocked	Sydnee Peterson	blk Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.9
14	7-7	USF	RICE	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Savannah Skopal	+1.9
15	8-7	RICE	RICE	Bad set	Laila Ivey		+3.2
16	8-8	RICE	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.0
17	9-8	USF	RICE	Kill	Amalia Simmons	set Savannah Skopal	+2.1
18	10-8	RICE	RICE	Kill	Stephanie Gutierrez	set Savannah Skopal	+3.3
19	10-9	RICE	USF	Kill	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	set Mari Furoyama	+1.9
20	10-10	USF	USF	Ace	South Fla.		+3.4
21	11-10	USF	RICE	Bad set	Paula Tomasa		+2.2
22	12-10	RICE	RICE	Attack err	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva		+3.5
23	12-11	RICE	USF×4	Serve err	Rice		+2.0
24	12-12	USF	USF×4	Kill	Addy Brus		+3.6
25	12-13	USF	USF×4	Blocked	Sydnee Peterson	blk Amelia Wass de Czege	+3.8
26	12-14	USF	USF×4	Ace	South Fla.	aced Sydnee Peterson	+3.7
27	13-14	USF	RICE	Kill	Stephanie Gutierrez	set Savannah Skopal	+2.1
28	13-15	RICE	USF×4	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.4
29	13-16	USF	USF×4	Ace	South Fla.	aced Sydnee Peterson	+3.5
30	13-17	USF	USF×4	Blocked	Bella Lopez	blk Iyanna Garvin, Paula Tomasa	+2.9
31	13-18	USF	USF×4	Ace	South Fla.		+2.2
32	14-18	USF	RICE	Kill	Bella Lopez	set Savannah Skopal	+0.9
33	14-19	RICE	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.3
34	14-20	USF	USF	Blocked	Bella Lopez	blk Nina Jioshvili-Ravva, Iyanna Garvin	+1.3
35	15-20	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+0.4
36	15-21	RICE	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Ryelle Rondo	+0.7
37	15-22	USF	USF	Ace	South Fla.	aced Sydnee Peterson	+0.5
38	16-22	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+0.1
39	16-23	RICE	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
40	17-23	USF	RICE	Kill	Kellen Dorotik	set Kaia Mateo	+0.1
41	17-24	RICE	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.1
42	17-25	USF	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	·
Set 2
1	1-0	RICE	RICE	Kill	Ashlyn Seay	set Savannah Skopal	+2.7
2	1-1	RICE	USF	Kill	Amelia Wass de Czege	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
3	2-1	USF	RICE	Kill	Maggie Croft	set Savannah Skopal	+1.7
4	2-2	RICE	USF×5	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
5	2-3	USF	USF×5	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+2.8
6	2-4	USF	USF×5	Attack err	Ashlyn Seay		+2.7
7	2-5	USF	USF×5	Blocked	Stephanie Gutierrez	blk Amelia Wass de Czege	+2.6
8	2-6	USF	USF×5	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Addy Brus	+2.4
9	3-6	USF	RICE	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Savannah Skopal	+1.3
10	3-7	RICE	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.5
11	3-8	USF	USF	Attack err	Kellen Dorotik		+2.1
12	4-8	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+1.1
13	5-8	RICE	RICE	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Mari Furoyama	+2.1
14	5-9	RICE	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.6
15	6-9	USF	RICE	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Kaia Mateo	+1.3
16	6-10	RICE	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.6
17	6-11	USF	USF	Attack err	Kellen Dorotik		+2.1
18	7-11	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+1.1
19	7-12	RICE	USF	Serve err	Rice		+1.3
20	8-12	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+1.1
21	9-12	RICE	RICE	Kill	Ashlyn Seay		+2.2
22	9-13	RICE	USF×3	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
23	9-14	USF	USF×3	Blocked	Ashlyn Seay	blk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege	+2.2
24	9-15	USF	USF×3	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.6
25	10-15	USF	RICE	Kill	Maggie Croft	set Savannah Skopal	+0.7
26	10-16	RICE	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Miya Thomas	+1.0
27	10-17	USF	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
28	11-17	USF	RICE×3	Serve err	South Fla.		+0.4
29	12-17	RICE	RICE×3	Kill	Ashlyn Seay	set Kaia Mateo	+1.0
30	13-17	RICE	RICE×3	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Kaia Mateo	+1.5
31	13-18	RICE	USF×4	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.3
32	13-19	USF	USF×4	Ace	South Fla.	aced Sydnee Peterson	+1.4
33	13-20	USF	USF×4	Blocked	Ashlyn Seay	blk Iyanna Garvin, Addy Brus	+0.8
34	13-21	USF	USF×4	Ace	South Fla.	aced Mari Furoyama	+0.4
35	14-21	USF	RICE	Kill	Kellen Dorotik	set Kaia Mateo	+0.1
36	14-22	RICE	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+0.2
37	15-22	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+0.1
38	15-23	RICE	USF×3	Serve err	Rice		+0.1
39	15-24	USF	USF×3	Blocked	Sydnee Peterson	blk Iyanna Garvin, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	·
40	15-25	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Kellen Dorotik		·
Set 3
1	0-1	USF	USF	Blocked	Arissa Smith	blk Amelia Wass de Czege	+1.7
2	1-1	USF	RICE	Kill	Kellen Dorotik	set Kaia Mateo	+1.1
3	1-2	RICE	USF	Kill	Amelia Wass de Czege	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
4	2-2	USF	RICE	Attack err	Addy Brus		+1.1
5	2-3	RICE	USF	Kill	Amelia Wass de Czege	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
6	3-3	USF	RICE	Blocked	Iyanna Garvin	blk Maggie Croft	+1.1
7	3-4	RICE	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
8	4-4	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+1.1
9	4-5	RICE	USF	Kill	Addy Brus		+1.2
10	4-6	USF	USF	Bad set	Kaia Mateo		+1.8
11	5-6	USF	RICE	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+1.1
12	5-7	RICE	USF×3	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.2
13	5-8	USF	USF×3	Attack err	Ashlyn Seay		+1.8
14	5-9	USF	USF×3	Blocked	Kellen Dorotik	blk Amelia Wass de Czege	+1.6
15	6-9	USF	RICE	Kill	Kellen Dorotik	set Kaia Mateo	+0.9
16	7-9	RICE	RICE	Ace	Rice	aced Addy Brus	+1.6
17	7-10	RICE	USF×3	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Miya Thomas	+1.2
18	7-11	USF	USF×3	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.6
19	7-12	USF	USF×3	Kill	Addy Brus	set Paula Tomasa	+1.4
20	8-12	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+0.7
21	9-12	RICE	RICE	Kill	Kellen Dorotik	set Zora Bello	+1.4
22	9-13	RICE	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
23	9-14	USF	USF	Ace	South Fla.		+1.4
24	10-14	USF	RICE	Kill	Maggie Croft	set Zora Bello	+0.7
25	11-14	RICE	RICE	Blocked	Amelia Wass de Czege	blk Maggie Croft	+1.4
26	11-15	RICE	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.1
27	11-16	USF	USF	Attack err	Bella Lopez		+1.4
28	12-16	USF	RICE×4	Kill	Amalia Simmons	set Iyanna Garvin	+0.6
29	13-16	RICE	RICE×4	Blocked	Addy Brus	blk Zora Bello	+1.4
30	14-16	RICE	RICE×4	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Jordan Hummel	+1.8
31	15-16	RICE	RICE×4	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Zora Bello	+2.3
32	15-17	RICE	USF	Kill	Addy Brus	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.7
33	15-18	USF	USF	Bad set	Zora Bello		+2.3
34	16-18	USF	RICE	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Zora Bello	+1.2
35	16-19	RICE	USF	Kill	Iyanna Garvin	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.5
36	16-20	USF	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.9
37	17-20	USF	RICE	Kill	Sydnee Peterson	set Zora Bello	+0.8
38	17-21	RICE	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.2
39	18-21	USF	RICE	Serve err	South Fla.		+0.7
40	18-22	RICE	USF	Attack err	Kellen Dorotik		+1.1
41	19-22	USF	RICE	Kill	Arissa Smith	set Zora Bello	+0.6
42	20-22	RICE	RICE	Bad set	Nina Jioshvili-Ravva		+1.7
43	20-23	RICE	USF	Kill	Laila Ivey	set Nina Jioshvili-Ravva	+1.8
44	20-24	USF	USF	Attack err	Kellen Dorotik		+1.4
45	21-24	USF	RICE×3	Kill	Amalia Simmons	set Zora Bello	+0.2
46	22-24	RICE	RICE×3	Attack err	Paula Tomasa		+0.9
47	23-24	RICE	RICE×3	Attack err	Addy Brus		+2.5
48	23-25	RICE	USF	Kill	Paula Tomasa	set Miya Thomas	+4.0

Score shown after each rally, Rice first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

South Fla. def. Rice 3–0

South Fla. held Rice to .113 hitting.