Final · 5 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026 · Neutral site

New Mexico St. def. UC Irvine 3–2

New Mexico St. beat UC Irvine 3-2 (25-19, 22-25, 25-21, 16-25, 15-13) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026 at a neutral site. Tess Fuqua led New Mexico St. with 13 kills; UC Irvine's Taylor Boice had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set12345Sets
NM ST25222516153
UC IRV19252125132

Win probability

UC Irvine above 50 · New Mexico St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+19.7% NM STrally 206 · set 5

Biggest swing: 19.7% to New Mexico St. — set 5, NM ST 15-13 UC IRV. Kill by Lilli Saldivar (set by Paige Nelson). UC IRV win probability 20% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NM ST 58.5%41.5% UC IRV

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
16.4%
3-1
22.3%
3-2
19.8%

UC Irvine wins

3-0
9.2%
3-1
15.2%
3-2
17.0%
NM ST break %
45.0% vs this opp
UC IRV break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lilli SaldivarKill+19.7%

    Kill by Lilli Saldivar (set by Paige Nelson)

    Set 5 · NM ST 15-13 UC IRV · NM ST 80% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Katrina Catalan)

    Set 5 · NM ST 14-12 UC IRV · NM ST 74% → 89%

  3. 03

    Kill by Jacqueline Corcoran

    Set 5 · NM ST 10-9 UC IRV · NM ST 51% → 65%

  4. 04

    Kill by Jacqueline Corcoran (set by Katrina Catalan)

    Set 5 · NM ST 11-9 UC IRV · NM ST 65% → 78%

  5. 05

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Katrina Catalan)

    Set 5 · NM ST 13-11 UC IRV · NM ST 71% → 84%

  6. 06
    Jacqueline CorcoranAttack error+11.7%

    Attack error by Jacqueline Corcoran

    Set 5 · NM ST 12-11 UC IRV · UC IRV 18% → 29%

  7. 07

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Katrina Catalan)

    Set 5 · NM ST 8-8 UC IRV · NM ST 40% → 51%

  8. 08
    New Mexico St.Ace+10.8%

    New Mexico St. ace

    Set 5 · NM ST 12-9 UC IRV · NM ST 78% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513537.216111101010.514.5
59327.22201290212.512.5
512120.55010030010.512.5
58632.063000500008
5007.00021021700000
45314.143000200005
5318.25000000233.56.5
5104.2504321500004
5011-1.0002130110010.53.5
4000–000000000
36315.20010020010.56.5
2011-1.000000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5724166.1994987755488103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518230.5330030004220
512340.22531090010.513.5
511126.3851001000011
55515.00010000153.58.5
54521-.04818001400215
34212.16710000132.56.5
51011.000033210004
52213.000102800002
5106.1672712500002
5000–4022300000
3319.22200000010.53.5
1203.667000010002
1001.000000200000
Team totals6321177.2375651264821610103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NM ST · UC IRV 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 NM STUC IRV 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 NM STUC IRV 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 NM STUC IRV 4

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 2 NM STUC IRV 3

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 4 NM STUC IRV 6

Bars above the line = UC Irvine leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
23%3/13
2
59%10/17
38%6/16
3
50%8/16
64%14/22
4
100%8/8
27%3/11
5
62%8/13
50%8/16
6
57%8/14
20%2/10
All
58%52/90
41%36/88

UC Irvine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%12/15
47%9/19
2
35%8/23
60%15/25
3
57%8/14
38%5/13
4
50%8/16
33%4/12
5
80%8/10
11%1/9
6
80%8/10
33%4/12
All
59%52/88
42%38/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

206 rallies

#NM ST-UC IRVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UC IRVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Makayla Martinez+1.8
22-0NM STNM STAttack errAbby Pekrul+2.3
32-1NM STUC IRVAttack errMaggie Lightheart+1.8
43-1UC IRVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.8
53-2NM STUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Jessica Bates+1.8
64-2UC IRVNM STKillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+1.9
74-3NM STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.8
85-3UC IRVNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+1.9
96-3NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.aced Memphis Burnett+2.3
107-3NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.aced Kaia Ciszewski+2.1
118-3NM STNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Jaelynn Kohli+1.9
128-4NM STUC IRVAttack errTess Fuqua+1.3
139-4UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+1.5
149-5NM STUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Angelina Dellutri+1.3
1510-5UC IRVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.5
1610-6NM STUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+1.3
1710-7UC IRVUC IRVBlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Abby Pekrul, Jessica Bates+2.0
1811-7UC IRVNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.8
1911-8NM STUC IRVKillJessica Batesset Nicole Feliciano+1.6
2012-8UC IRVNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.8
2113-8NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+2.0
2214-8NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Tatawan Vongfak+1.6
2314-9NM STUC IRV×5KillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.0
2414-10UC IRVUC IRV×5KillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+1.6
2514-11UC IRVUC IRV×5BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Taylor Boice+2.1
2614-12UC IRVUC IRV×5KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+2.6
2714-13UC IRVUC IRV×5AceUC Irvine+3.0
2815-13UC IRVNM STAttack errMadison Triplett+2.6
2915-14NM STUC IRVKillBrianna Brewerset Angelina Dellutri+2.5
3016-14UC IRVNM ST×5KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.8
3117-14NM STNM ST×5Attack errNicole Feliciano+3.2
3218-14NM STNM ST×5Attack errNicole Feliciano+2.7
3319-14NM STNM ST×5BlockedNicole Felicianoblk Tess Fuqua, Mia Fox+2.0
3420-14NM STNM ST×5AceNew Mexico St.+1.4
3520-15NM STUC IRVAttack errJacqueline Corcoran+0.7
3621-15UC IRVNM STAttack errMadison Triplett+1.0
3721-16NM STUC IRVAttack errMaggie Lightheart+0.5
3822-16UC IRVNM STBlockedIsabella Romeroblk Paige Nelson, Mia Fox+0.9
3922-17NM STUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+0.4
4023-17UC IRVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+0.7
4123-18NM STUC IRVKillBrianna Brewerset Madison Triplett+0.3
4223-19UC IRVUC IRVBlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Taylor Boice, Jessica Bates+0.7
4324-19UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+1.0
4425-19NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+0.3
Set 2
11-0NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.1
21-1NM STUC IRVServe errNew Mexico St.+1.7
32-1UC IRVNM ST×4Serve errUC Irvine+1.7
43-1NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.1
54-1NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.+2.0
65-1NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.+1.9
75-2NM STUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+1.4
86-2UC IRVNM ST×3KillJacqueline Corcoranset Tess Fuqua+1.5
97-2NM STNM ST×3Bad setJessica Bates+1.7
108-2NM STNM ST×3BlockedTaylor Boiceblk Mia Fox+1.4
118-3NM STUC IRV×3KillJessica Batesset Nicole Feliciano+1.0
128-4UC IRVUC IRV×3KillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+1.5
138-5UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errTess Fuqua+1.8
149-5UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+1.6
159-6NM STUC IRVKillAngelina Dellutri+1.4
1610-6UC IRVNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Paige Nelson+1.6
1710-7NM STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.5
1811-7UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+1.7
1912-7NM STNM STAttack errBrianna Brewer+1.8
2012-8NM STUC IRV×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+1.2
2112-9UC IRVUC IRV×3KillBrianna Brewerset Nicole Feliciano+1.9
2212-10UC IRVUC IRV×3KillBrianna Brewerset Whitney Wallace+2.2
2313-10UC IRVNM STBad setBrianna Brewer+2.0
2413-11NM STUC IRVKillJessica Batesset Whitney Wallace+1.8
2513-12UC IRVUC IRVKillJessica Batesset Nicole Feliciano+2.7
2614-12UC IRVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+2.3
2714-13NM STUC IRVServe errNew Mexico St.+2.2
2815-13UC IRVNM ST×3BlockedJessica Batesblk Maggie Lightheart+2.4
2916-13NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.8
3017-13NM STNM ST×3Bad setTaylor Boice+2.4
3117-14NM STUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.5
3217-15UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errSadie Ross+2.5
3317-16UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errMia Fox+3.1
3418-16UC IRVNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Paige Nelson+2.8
3518-17NM STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+2.6
3619-17UC IRVNM STBlockedMadison Triplettblk Mia Fox+3.0
3719-18NM STUC IRVKillBrianna Brewerset Angelina Dellutri+2.7
3820-18UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+3.2
3920-19NM STUC IRV×3KillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+2.9
4020-20UC IRVUC IRV×3BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Abby Pekrul, Jessica Bates+4.5
4120-21UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errTess Fuqua+5.2
4221-21UC IRVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+4.0
4322-21NM STNM STAttack errJessica Bates+5.8
4422-22NM STUC IRV×4KillBrianna Brewerset Nicole Feliciano+4.5
4522-23UC IRVUC IRV×4Bad setMaggie Lightheart+7.1
4622-24UC IRVUC IRV×4BlockedTess Fuquablk Jessica Bates+7.0
4722-25UC IRVUC IRV×4KillAbby Pekrulset Madison Triplett+4.2
Set 3
10-1UC IRVUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+3.2
20-2UC IRVUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Nicole Feliciano+3.3
31-2UC IRVNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.5
41-3NM STUC IRV×4KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+2.7
51-4UC IRVUC IRV×4BlockedAshley Hermanblk Abby Pekrul, Madison Triplett+3.3
61-5UC IRVUC IRV×4KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+3.2
71-6UC IRVUC IRV×4KillMadison Triplettset Nicole Feliciano+2.9
82-6UC IRVNM ST×5KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.0
93-6NM STNM ST×5Attack errIsabella Romero+2.9
104-6NM STNM ST×5AceNew Mexico St.+3.2
115-6NM STNM ST×5Attack errNicole Feliciano+3.4
126-6NM STNM ST×5KillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+3.6
136-7NM STUC IRVServe errNew Mexico St.+3.0
147-7UC IRVNM STKillLilli Saldivarset Makayla Martinez+2.9
158-7NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+3.7
168-8NM STUC IRVAttack errLilli Saldivar+3.0
179-8UC IRVNM STKillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+3.0
189-9NM STUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+3.1
1910-9UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+3.1
2010-10NM STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+3.2
2111-10UC IRVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+3.2
2212-10NM STNM STBlockedTaylor Boiceblk Ashley Herman, Lilli Saldivar+4.0
2312-11NM STUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+3.0
2413-11UC IRVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+3.3
2513-12NM STUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+3.1
2613-13UC IRVUC IRV×3KillMadison Triplettset Jaelynn Kohli+4.4
2713-14UC IRVUC IRV×3KillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+4.7
2814-14UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+3.7
2914-15NM STUC IRVBlockedTess Fuquablk Nicole Feliciano, Abby Pekrul+3.9
3015-15UC IRVNM STKillLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan+3.9
3116-15NM STNM STKillMia Foxset Whitney Wallace+5.1
3216-16NM STUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Isabella Romero+4.0
3317-16UC IRVNM STKillTess Fuquaset Lilli Saldivar+4.2
3417-17NM STUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Nicole Feliciano+4.3
3517-18UC IRVUC IRVKillBrianna Brewerset Whitney Wallace+5.9
3618-18UC IRVNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+4.6
3719-18NM STNM STBad setNicole Feliciano+6.2
3819-19NM STUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+4.9
3920-19UC IRVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+5.3
4020-20NM STUC IRVKillBrianna Brewerset Angelina Dellutri+5.3
4121-20UC IRVNM STBlockedAbby Pekrulblk Maggie Lightheart+5.9
4221-21NM STUC IRVBad setJaelynn Kohli+5.9
4322-21UC IRVNM ST×4Serve errUC Irvine+6.7
4423-21NM STNM ST×4KillAshley Herman+8.1
4524-21NM STNM ST×4Attack errAbby Pekrul+5.8
4625-21NM STNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+2.3
Set 4
10-1NM STUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+2.4
20-2UC IRVUC IRV×3KillBrianna Brewer+3.0
30-3UC IRVUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Madison Triplett+3.0
41-3UC IRVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.2
52-3NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Ashley Herman+3.0
62-4NM STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+2.5
73-4UC IRVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.4
83-5NM STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+2.6
94-5UC IRVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.5
104-6NM STUC IRVKillIsabella Romeroset Angelina Dellutri+2.7
115-6UC IRVNM STKillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+2.5
126-6NM STNM STBad setNicole Feliciano+3.3
136-7NM STUC IRV×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+2.7
146-8UC IRVUC IRV×3KillBrianna Brewerset Madison Triplett+3.5
156-9UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errLilli Saldivar+3.4
167-9UC IRVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+2.5
177-10NM STUC IRVBlockedPaige Nelsonblk Abby Pekrul+2.8
187-11UC IRVUC IRVBad setPaige Nelson+3.3
198-11UC IRVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.3
208-12NM STUC IRV×3Bad setMakayla Martinez+2.7
218-13UC IRVUC IRV×3KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+3.0
228-14UC IRVUC IRV×3KillNicole Felicianoset Brianna Brewer+2.5
239-14UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+1.5
2410-14NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+2.4
2510-15NM STUC IRVServe errNew Mexico St.+2.4
2610-16UC IRVUC IRVKillKaia Ciszewskiset Nicole Feliciano+2.5
2711-16UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+1.4
2811-17NM STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.9
2912-17UC IRVNM STServe errUC Irvine+1.3
3013-17NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.3
3113-18NM STUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Angelina Dellutri+2.4
3214-18UC IRVNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.7
3314-19NM STUC IRV×3KillIsabella Romeroset Nicole Feliciano+2.4
3414-20UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errLilli Saldivar+2.2
3514-21UC IRVUC IRV×3AceUC Irvine+1.3
3615-21UC IRVNM STAttack errLois Hansen+0.5
3715-22NM STUC IRVAttack errJaelynn Kohli+0.9
3815-23UC IRVUC IRVKillBrianna Brewerset Whitney Wallace+0.5
3916-23UC IRVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.1
4016-24NM STUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+0.2
4116-25UC IRVUC IRVAttack errJaelynn Kohli+0.8
Set 5
11-0UC IRVNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Paige Nelson+6.5
22-0NM ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+8.0
33-0NM STNM ST×3KillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+7.5
43-1NM STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+5.4
53-2UC IRVUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+7.9
64-2UC IRVNM STKillMakayla Martinezset Paige Nelson+6.8
74-3NM STUC IRV×6KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+6.5
84-4UC IRVUC IRV×6KillMadison Triplettset Nicole Feliciano+9.3
94-5UC IRVUC IRV×6AceUC Irvineaced Tess Fuqua+10.0
104-6UC IRVUC IRV×6BlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Abby Pekrul, Nicole Feliciano+10.1
114-7UC IRVUC IRV×6AceUC Irvine+9.6
124-8UC IRVUC IRV×6AceUC Irvine+8.3
135-8UC IRVNM ST×4Attack errNicole Feliciano+5.1
146-8NM STNM ST×4Attack errAbby Pekrul+8.3
157-8NM STNM ST×4BlockedAbby Pekrulblk Mia Fox, Maggie Lightheart+10.1
168-8NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+11.6
178-9NM STUC IRVServe errNew Mexico St.+10.2
189-9UC IRVNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+9.9
1910-9NM STNM ST×4KillJacqueline Corcoran+13.5
2011-9NM STNM ST×4KillJacqueline Corcoranset Katrina Catalan+13.0
2112-9NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.+10.8
2212-10NM STUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+5.9
2312-11UC IRVUC IRVAttack errJacqueline Corcoran+11.7
2413-11UC IRVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+12.8
2513-12NM STUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Abby Pekrul+9.5
2614-12UC IRVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+15.0
2714-13NM STUC IRVBlockedJacqueline Corcoranblk Taylor Boice, Lois Hansen+8.9
2815-13UC IRVNM STKillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+19.7

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).