New Mexico St. def. UC Irvine 3–2
New Mexico St. beat UC Irvine 3-2 (25-19, 22-25, 25-21, 16-25, 15-13) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026 at a neutral site. Tess Fuqua led New Mexico St. with 13 kills; UC Irvine's Taylor Boice had a match-high 18.
Data through · final Sep 3
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NM ST | 25 | 22 | 25 | 16 | 15 | 3 |
| UC IRV | 19 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 13 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 19.7% to New Mexico St. — set 5, NM ST 15-13 UC IRV. Kill by Lilli Saldivar (set by Paige Nelson). UC IRV win probability 20% → 0%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
New Mexico St. wins
UC Irvine wins
- NM ST break %
- 45.0% vs this opp
- UC IRV break %
- 43.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Lilli SaldivarKill+19.7%
Kill by Lilli Saldivar (set by Paige Nelson)
Set 5 · NM ST 15-13 UC IRV · NM ST 80% → 100%
- 02Maggie LightheartKill+15.0%
Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Katrina Catalan)
Set 5 · NM ST 14-12 UC IRV · NM ST 74% → 89%
- 03
- 04Jacqueline CorcoranKill+13.0%
Kill by Jacqueline Corcoran (set by Katrina Catalan)
Set 5 · NM ST 11-9 UC IRV · NM ST 65% → 78%
- 05Maggie LightheartKill+12.8%
Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Katrina Catalan)
Set 5 · NM ST 13-11 UC IRV · NM ST 71% → 84%
- 06Jacqueline CorcoranAttack error+11.7%
Attack error by Jacqueline Corcoran
Set 5 · NM ST 12-11 UC IRV · UC IRV 18% → 29%
- 07Maggie LightheartKill+11.6%
Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Katrina Catalan)
Set 5 · NM ST 8-8 UC IRV · NM ST 40% → 51%
- 08New Mexico St.Ace+10.8%
New Mexico St. ace
Set 5 · NM ST 12-9 UC IRV · NM ST 78% → 88%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 37 | .216 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 27 | .222 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 1 | 20 | .550 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 6 | 32 | .063 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 24 | 166 | .199 | 49 | 8 | 7 | 75 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 103 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 18 | 2 | 30 | .533 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 40 | .225 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 1 | 26 | .385 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | -.048 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .167 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 63 | 21 | 177 | .237 | 56 | 5 | 12 | 64 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 103 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-19
Set 2
22-25
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
16-25
Set 5
15-13
Bars above the line = UC Irvine leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
New Mexico St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45%10/22 | 23%3/13 |
| 2 | 59%10/17 | 38%6/16 |
| 3 | 50%8/16 | 64%14/22 |
| 4 | 100%8/8 | 27%3/11 |
| 5 | 62%8/13 | 50%8/16 |
| 6 | 57%8/14 | 20%2/10 |
| All | 58%52/90 | 41%36/88 |
UC Irvine
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%12/15 | 47%9/19 |
| 2 | 35%8/23 | 60%15/25 |
| 3 | 57%8/14 | 38%5/13 |
| 4 | 50%8/16 | 33%4/12 |
| 5 | 80%8/10 | 11%1/9 |
| 6 | 80%8/10 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 59%52/88 | 42%38/90 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
206 rallies
| # | NM ST-UC IRV | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Makayla Martinez | +1.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Abby Pekrul | +2.3 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NM ST | UC IRV | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Jessica Bates | +1.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +1.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +1.8 |
| 8 | 5-3 | UC IRV | NM ST×4 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +1.9 |
| 9 | 6-3 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Memphis Burnett | +2.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Kaia Ciszewski | +2.1 |
| 11 | 8-3 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Jaelynn Kohli | +1.9 |
| 12 | 8-4 | NM ST | UC IRV | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.3 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Memphis Burnett | set Angelina Dellutri | +1.3 |
| 15 | 10-5 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.5 |
| 16 | 10-6 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Memphis Burnett | set Nicole Feliciano | +1.3 |
| 17 | 10-7 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Abby Pekrul, Jessica Bates | +2.0 |
| 18 | 11-7 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.8 |
| 19 | 11-8 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Jessica Bates | set Nicole Feliciano | +1.6 |
| 20 | 12-8 | UC IRV | NM ST×3 | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.8 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Katrina Catalan | +2.0 |
| 22 | 14-8 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Tatawan Vongfak | +1.6 |
| 23 | 14-9 | NM ST | UC IRV×5 | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Nicole Feliciano | +1.0 |
| 24 | 14-10 | UC IRV | UC IRV×5 | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Angelina Dellutri | +1.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | UC IRV | UC IRV×5 | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Taylor Boice | +2.1 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UC IRV | UC IRV×5 | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | UC IRV | UC IRV×5 | Ace | UC Irvine | +3.0 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | UC IRV | NM ST | Attack err | Madison Triplett | +2.6 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.5 |
| 30 | 16-14 | UC IRV | NM ST×5 | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.8 |
| 31 | 17-14 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Attack err | Nicole Feliciano | +3.2 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Attack err | Nicole Feliciano | +2.7 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Blocked | Nicole Feliciano | blk Tess Fuqua, Mia Fox | +2.0 |
| 34 | 20-14 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +1.4 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | NM ST | UC IRV | Attack err | Jacqueline Corcoran | +0.7 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | UC IRV | NM ST | Attack err | Madison Triplett | +1.0 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | NM ST | UC IRV | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +0.5 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | UC IRV | NM ST | Blocked | Isabella Romero | blk Paige Nelson, Mia Fox | +0.9 |
| 39 | 22-17 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Abby Pekrul | set Nicole Feliciano | +0.4 |
| 40 | 23-17 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +0.7 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Madison Triplett | +0.3 |
| 42 | 23-19 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Taylor Boice, Jessica Bates | +0.7 |
| 43 | 24-19 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +1.0 | |
| 44 | 25-19 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Makayla Martinez | +0.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NM ST | UC IRV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.7 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | UC IRV | NM ST×4 | Serve err | UC Irvine | +1.7 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +2.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +2.0 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Abby Pekrul | set Nicole Feliciano | +1.4 |
| 8 | 6-2 | UC IRV | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jacqueline Corcoran | set Tess Fuqua | +1.5 |
| 9 | 7-2 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Bad set | Jessica Bates | +1.7 | |
| 10 | 8-2 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Blocked | Taylor Boice | blk Mia Fox | +1.4 |
| 11 | 8-3 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Jessica Bates | set Nicole Feliciano | +1.0 |
| 12 | 8-4 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Angelina Dellutri | +1.5 |
| 13 | 8-5 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Angelina Dellutri | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Jacqueline Corcoran | set Paige Nelson | +1.6 |
| 17 | 10-7 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +1.5 |
| 18 | 11-7 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +1.7 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Brianna Brewer | +1.8 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.2 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Nicole Feliciano | +1.9 |
| 22 | 12-10 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Whitney Wallace | +2.2 |
| 23 | 13-10 | UC IRV | NM ST | Bad set | Brianna Brewer | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Jessica Bates | set Whitney Wallace | +1.8 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Kill | Jessica Bates | set Nicole Feliciano | +2.7 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Katrina Catalan | +2.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NM ST | UC IRV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +2.2 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | UC IRV | NM ST×3 | Blocked | Jessica Bates | blk Maggie Lightheart | +2.4 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +2.8 |
| 30 | 17-13 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Bad set | Taylor Boice | +2.4 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Nicole Feliciano | +1.5 |
| 32 | 17-15 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Attack err | Sadie Ross | +2.5 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Attack err | Mia Fox | +3.1 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Jacqueline Corcoran | set Paige Nelson | +2.8 |
| 35 | 18-17 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.6 |
| 36 | 19-17 | UC IRV | NM ST | Blocked | Madison Triplett | blk Mia Fox | +3.0 |
| 37 | 19-18 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.7 |
| 38 | 20-18 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +3.2 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Abby Pekrul, Jessica Bates | +4.5 |
| 41 | 20-21 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +5.2 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +4.0 |
| 43 | 22-21 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Jessica Bates | +5.8 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | NM ST | UC IRV×4 | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Nicole Feliciano | +4.5 |
| 45 | 22-23 | UC IRV | UC IRV×4 | Bad set | Maggie Lightheart | +7.1 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | UC IRV | UC IRV×4 | Blocked | Tess Fuqua | blk Jessica Bates | +7.0 |
| 47 | 22-25 | UC IRV | UC IRV×4 | Kill | Abby Pekrul | set Madison Triplett | +4.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +3.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Nicole Feliciano | +3.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | NM ST | UC IRV×4 | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.7 |
| 5 | 1-4 | UC IRV | UC IRV×4 | Blocked | Ashley Herman | blk Abby Pekrul, Madison Triplett | +3.3 |
| 6 | 1-5 | UC IRV | UC IRV×4 | Kill | Nicole Feliciano | set Angelina Dellutri | +3.2 |
| 7 | 1-6 | UC IRV | UC IRV×4 | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Nicole Feliciano | +2.9 |
| 8 | 2-6 | UC IRV | NM ST×5 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.0 |
| 9 | 3-6 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Attack err | Isabella Romero | +2.9 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +3.2 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Attack err | Nicole Feliciano | +3.4 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +3.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NM ST | UC IRV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +3.0 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Makayla Martinez | +2.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +3.7 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NM ST | UC IRV | Attack err | Lilli Saldivar | +3.0 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Paige Nelson | +3.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Abby Pekrul | set Nicole Feliciano | +3.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +3.1 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Nicole Feliciano | +3.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +3.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Taylor Boice | blk Ashley Herman, Lilli Saldivar | +4.0 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Nicole Feliciano | set Angelina Dellutri | +3.0 |
| 24 | 13-11 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +3.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +3.1 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Jaelynn Kohli | +4.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Angelina Dellutri | +4.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +3.7 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | NM ST | UC IRV | Blocked | Tess Fuqua | blk Nicole Feliciano, Abby Pekrul | +3.9 |
| 30 | 15-15 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Katrina Catalan | +3.9 |
| 31 | 16-15 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Whitney Wallace | +5.1 |
| 32 | 16-16 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Isabella Romero | +4.0 |
| 33 | 17-16 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Lilli Saldivar | +4.2 |
| 34 | 17-17 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Nicole Feliciano | +4.3 |
| 35 | 17-18 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Whitney Wallace | +5.9 |
| 36 | 18-18 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +4.6 |
| 37 | 19-18 | NM ST | NM ST | Bad set | Nicole Feliciano | +6.2 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Lois Hansen | set Nicole Feliciano | +4.9 |
| 39 | 20-19 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +5.3 |
| 40 | 20-20 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Angelina Dellutri | +5.3 |
| 41 | 21-20 | UC IRV | NM ST | Blocked | Abby Pekrul | blk Maggie Lightheart | +5.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | NM ST | UC IRV | Bad set | Jaelynn Kohli | +5.9 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | UC IRV | NM ST×4 | Serve err | UC Irvine | +6.7 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Ashley Herman | +8.1 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Abby Pekrul | +5.8 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +2.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Brianna Brewer | +3.0 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Madison Triplett | +3.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Ashley Herman | +3.0 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Isabella Romero | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Paige Nelson | +2.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NM ST | NM ST | Bad set | Nicole Feliciano | +3.3 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +2.7 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Madison Triplett | +3.5 |
| 15 | 6-9 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Attack err | Lilli Saldivar | +3.4 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +2.5 |
| 17 | 7-10 | NM ST | UC IRV | Blocked | Paige Nelson | blk Abby Pekrul | +2.8 |
| 18 | 7-11 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Bad set | Paige Nelson | +3.3 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +2.3 |
| 20 | 8-12 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Bad set | Makayla Martinez | +2.7 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Nicole Feliciano | set Angelina Dellutri | +3.0 |
| 22 | 8-14 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Nicole Feliciano | set Brianna Brewer | +2.5 |
| 23 | 9-14 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +1.5 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +2.4 |
| 25 | 10-15 | NM ST | UC IRV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +2.4 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Kill | Kaia Ciszewski | set Nicole Feliciano | +2.5 |
| 27 | 11-16 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +1.4 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +1.9 |
| 29 | 12-17 | UC IRV | NM ST | Serve err | UC Irvine | +1.3 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +2.3 |
| 31 | 13-18 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Abby Pekrul | set Angelina Dellutri | +2.4 |
| 32 | 14-18 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +1.7 |
| 33 | 14-19 | NM ST | UC IRV×3 | Kill | Isabella Romero | set Nicole Feliciano | +2.4 |
| 34 | 14-20 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Attack err | Lilli Saldivar | +2.2 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | UC IRV | UC IRV×3 | Ace | UC Irvine | +1.3 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | UC IRV | NM ST | Attack err | Lois Hansen | +0.5 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | NM ST | UC IRV | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +0.9 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Kill | Brianna Brewer | set Whitney Wallace | +0.5 |
| 39 | 16-23 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Angelina Dellutri | +0.2 |
| 41 | 16-25 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +0.8 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UC IRV | NM ST×3 | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Paige Nelson | +6.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NM ST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +8.0 | |||
| 3 | 3-0 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Paige Nelson | +7.5 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +5.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +7.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Makayla Martinez | set Paige Nelson | +6.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NM ST | UC IRV×6 | Kill | Taylor Boice | set Angelina Dellutri | +6.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UC IRV | UC IRV×6 | Kill | Madison Triplett | set Nicole Feliciano | +9.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UC IRV | UC IRV×6 | Ace | UC Irvine | aced Tess Fuqua | +10.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | UC IRV | UC IRV×6 | Blocked | Maggie Lightheart | blk Abby Pekrul, Nicole Feliciano | +10.1 |
| 11 | 4-7 | UC IRV | UC IRV×6 | Ace | UC Irvine | +9.6 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | UC IRV | UC IRV×6 | Ace | UC Irvine | +8.3 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | UC IRV | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Nicole Feliciano | +5.1 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Abby Pekrul | +8.3 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Blocked | Abby Pekrul | blk Mia Fox, Maggie Lightheart | +10.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +11.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NM ST | UC IRV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +10.2 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | UC IRV | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +9.9 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Jacqueline Corcoran | +13.5 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Jacqueline Corcoran | set Katrina Catalan | +13.0 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Ace | New Mexico St. | +10.8 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Lois Hansen | set Nicole Feliciano | +5.9 |
| 23 | 12-11 | UC IRV | UC IRV | Attack err | Jacqueline Corcoran | +11.7 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +12.8 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NM ST | UC IRV | Kill | Lois Hansen | set Abby Pekrul | +9.5 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +15.0 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NM ST | UC IRV | Blocked | Jacqueline Corcoran | blk Taylor Boice, Lois Hansen | +8.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | UC IRV | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Paige Nelson | +19.7 |
Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).