Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

New Mexico St. def. Southern Utah 3–1

New Mexico St. beat Southern Utah 3-1 (25-21, 25-27, 25-17, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. New Mexico St.'s Jaelynn Kohli led with 15 kills, and Makayla Martinez added 9 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
NM ST252525253
S UTAH212717161

Win probability

Southern Utah above 50 · New Mexico St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.5% S UTAHrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Southern Utah — set 2, NM ST 25-27 S UTAH. Lilli Saldivar stuffed by Celeste Uruena Jensen & Natalie Moore. S UTAH win probability 2% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NM ST 99.0%1.0% S UTAH

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
74.0%
3-1
21.2%
3-2
3.8%

Southern Utah wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.7%
NM ST break %
53.3% vs this opp
S UTAH break %
35.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Lilli Saldivar stuffed by Celeste Uruena Jensen & Natalie Moore

    Set 2 · NM ST 25-27 S UTAH · S UTAH 2% → 4%

  2. 02
    Southern UtahAce+1.0%

    Southern Utah ace on Maggie Lightheart

    Set 2 · NM ST 25-26 S UTAH · S UTAH 1% → 2%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kaitlyn Hoelker (set by Celeste Uruena Jensen)

    Set 3 · NM ST 1-3 S UTAH · S UTAH 4% → 5%

  4. 04
    Kaitlyn HoelkerAttack error+0.7%

    Attack error by Kaitlyn Hoelker

    Set 3 · NM ST 3-3 S UTAH · NM ST 95% → 96%

  5. 05
    Maya BanksKill+0.7%

    Kill by Maya Banks (set by Celeste Uruena Jensen)

    Set 3 · NM ST 0-1 S UTAH · S UTAH 4% → 4%

  6. 06

    Lilli Saldivar stuffed by Audrey Atwood & Emilia Linden

    Set 4 · NM ST 9-9 S UTAH · S UTAH 1% → 2%

  7. 07
    Ashley HermanKill+0.6%

    Kill by Ashley Herman (set by Katrina Catalan)

    Set 3 · NM ST 2-3 S UTAH · NM ST 95% → 95%

  8. 08
    Maya BanksKill+0.6%

    Kill by Maya Banks (set by Celeste Uruena Jensen)

    Set 3 · NM ST 1-2 S UTAH · S UTAH 4% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415328.4290003024419
412737.1350324200015
413319.5260003002114
44313.077000300215
4002.0002020500002
34313.077102200004
4608.75000010010.56.5
4104.2501022900003
4017-.1432120700002
3001.000000500000
23031.00000000111.54.5
11011.000000000001
Team totals5920136.28752964253108100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414736.1940105400015
410728.1070010004212
47321.190200401229
47111.54500100031.58.5
4217.143000100635
4118.000220190010.51.5
46215.267000401228
4000–024000002
4002.0001611400001
4000–310810001
4000–000210000
Team totals4722128.19543583792181181

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 NM ST · S UTAH 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 9 NM STS UTAH 4

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 5 NM STS UTAH 4

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 NM STS UTAH 2

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 4 NM STS UTAH 3

Bars above the line = Southern Utah leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
46%6/13
2
60%9/15
67%18/27
3
53%9/17
44%7/16
4
53%8/15
50%9/18
5
58%7/12
56%9/16
6
60%6/10
33%3/9
All
59%48/82
53%52/99

Southern Utah

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%9/24
42%5/12
2
39%9/23
36%5/14
3
64%9/14
36%5/14
4
53%9/17
44%7/16
5
40%6/15
50%8/16
6
83%5/6
40%4/10
All
47%47/99
41%34/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#NM ST-S UTAHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S UTAHS UTAHBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Emilia Zug+0.2
21-1S UTAHNM ST×9KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.1
32-1NM STNM ST×9AceNew Mexico St.aced Kaitlyn Hoelker+0.1
43-1NM STNM ST×9BlockedEmilia Zugblk Jaelynn Kohli+0.1
54-1NM STNM ST×9KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.1
65-1NM STNM ST×9Attack errEmilia Zug+0.1
76-1NM STNM ST×9BlockedMaya Banksblk Jaelynn Kohli, Ashley Herman+0.1
87-1NM STNM ST×9KillAshley Herman·
98-1NM STNM ST×9BlockedMaya Banksblk Ashley Herman, Jaelynn Kohli·
109-1NM STNM ST×9KillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez·
119-2NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Zorana Stankovska·
1210-2S UTAHNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Makayla Martinez·
1310-3NM STS UTAHBlockedJacqueline Corcoranblk Emilia Linden, Maya Banks·
1411-3S UTAHNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan·
1512-3NM STNM STAttack errKaitlyn Hoelker·
1612-4NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen·
1712-5S UTAHS UTAHAceSouthern Utah·
1813-5S UTAHNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson·
1913-6NM STS UTAHServe errNew Mexico St.·
2013-7S UTAHS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry·
2114-7S UTAHNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson·
2214-8NM STS UTAH×3KillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry·
2314-9S UTAHS UTAH×3KillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry·
2414-10S UTAHS UTAH×3AceSouthern Utah+0.1
2515-10S UTAHNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+0.1
2615-11NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry+0.1
2716-11S UTAHNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.1
2817-11NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.1
2918-11NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan·
3018-12NM STS UTAH×4KillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen·
3118-13S UTAHS UTAH×4KillEmilia Linden·
3218-14S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errJacqueline Corcoran+0.1
3318-15S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errAshley Herman+0.1
3419-15S UTAHNM ST×3KillJacqueline Corcoranset Makayla Martinez+0.1
3520-15NM STNM ST×3Attack errMaya Banks+0.1
3621-15NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Zorana Stankovska·
3721-16NM STS UTAH×3KillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen·
3821-17S UTAHS UTAH×3BlockedLilli Saldivarblk Natalie Moore, Maya Banks+0.1
3921-18S UTAHS UTAH×3AceSouthern Utahaced Maggie Lightheart+0.1
4022-18S UTAHNM STServe errSouthern Utah+0.1
4122-19NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.1
4223-19S UTAHNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.1
4323-20NM STS UTAHAttack errMaggie Lightheart+0.1
4423-21S UTAHS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.2
4524-21S UTAHNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Paige Nelson+0.2
4625-21NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Maggie Lightheart+0.1
Set 2
10-1NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.1
21-1S UTAHNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.1
32-1NM STNM ST×3Attack errMaya Banks+0.1
43-1NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.+0.1
53-2NM STS UTAHServe errNew Mexico St.+0.1
63-3S UTAHS UTAHBad setJaelynn Kohli+0.1
74-3S UTAHNM STServe errSouthern Utah+0.1
84-4NM STS UTAH×4Serve errNew Mexico St.+0.1
94-5S UTAHS UTAH×4KillKaitlyn Hoelker+0.1
104-6S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errAshley Herman+0.2
114-7S UTAHS UTAH×4KillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Talea Berry+0.2
125-7S UTAHNM STAttack errEmilia Zug+0.1
135-8NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Talea Berry+0.2
146-8S UTAHNM ST×3KillJacqueline Corcoranset Paige Nelson+0.1
157-8NM STNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Makayla Martinez+0.2
168-8NM STNM ST×3Bad setEmilia Zug+0.1
178-9NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Zorana Stankovska+0.1
188-10S UTAHS UTAHBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Emilia Linden, Audrey Atwood+0.2
199-10S UTAHNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.1
209-11NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry+0.2
219-12S UTAHS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.3
2210-12S UTAHNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+0.2
2311-12NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.2
2412-12NM STNM ST×3Attack errMaya Banks+0.2
2512-13NM STS UTAHKillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
2613-13S UTAHNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+0.2
2713-14NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
2814-14S UTAHNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+0.2
2914-15NM STS UTAH×3KillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
3014-16S UTAHS UTAH×3KillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+0.3
3114-17S UTAHS UTAH×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+0.4
3215-17S UTAHNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+0.2
3315-18NM STS UTAHAttack errJacqueline Corcoran+0.4
3416-18S UTAHNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.2
3516-19NM STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+0.4
3617-19S UTAHNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.3
3717-20NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry+0.4
3817-21S UTAHS UTAHBad setPaige Nelson+0.5
3918-21S UTAHNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+0.2
4018-22NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
4119-22S UTAHNM ST×5KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+0.2
4220-22NM STNM ST×5Attack errMaya Banks+0.4
4321-22NM STNM ST×5KillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+0.5
4422-22NM STNM ST×5Serve errNew Mexico St.+0.5
4523-22NM STNM ST×5KillKatie Funkset Katrina Catalan+0.5
4623-23NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
4724-23S UTAHNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+0.5
4824-24NM STS UTAHKillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.5
4925-24S UTAHNM STServe errSouthern Utah+0.5
5025-25NM STS UTAH×3KillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.5
5125-26S UTAHS UTAH×3AceSouthern Utahaced Maggie Lightheart+1.0
5225-27S UTAHS UTAH×3BlockedLilli Saldivarblk Celeste Uruena Jensen, Natalie Moore+1.5
Set 3
10-1S UTAHS UTAHKillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.7
21-1S UTAHNM STServe errSouthern Utah+0.5
31-2NM STS UTAHKillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.6
41-3S UTAHS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.9
52-3S UTAHNM ST×4KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.6
63-3NM STNM ST×4Attack errKaitlyn Hoelker+0.7
74-3NM STNM ST×4Attack errMaya Banks+0.6
85-3NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+0.5
95-4NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Zorana Stankovska+0.5
106-4S UTAHNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.4
117-4NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+0.4
128-4NM STNM ST×3Attack errKaitlyn Hoelker+0.3
138-5NM STS UTAHBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Maya Banks, Natalie Moore+0.3
148-6S UTAHS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Emilia Zug+0.5
159-6S UTAHNM ST×3Serve errSouthern Utah+0.4
1610-6NM STNM ST×3BlockedKaitlyn Hoelkerblk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli+0.4
1711-6NM STNM ST×3KillLilli Saldivarset Makayla Martinez+0.3
1811-7NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Talea Berry+0.2
1911-8S UTAHS UTAHBlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Natalie Moore, Emilia Zug+0.4
2012-8S UTAHNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.3
2112-9NM STS UTAHAttack errPaige Nelson+0.3
2213-9S UTAHNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.3
2314-9NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.3
2414-10NM STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+0.2
2514-11S UTAHS UTAHAttack errAshley Herman+0.4
2615-11S UTAHNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+0.4
2715-12NM STS UTAHKillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
2816-12S UTAHNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+0.4
2917-12NM STNM STAttack errKaitlyn Hoelker+0.3
3017-13NM STS UTAHServe errNew Mexico St.+0.2
3117-14S UTAHS UTAHAceSouthern Utah+0.5
3218-14S UTAHNM STServe errSouthern Utah+0.4
3319-14NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+0.3
3419-15NM STS UTAHBad setMaggie Lightheart+0.2
3520-15S UTAHNM STAttack errNatalie Moore+0.3
3621-15NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Kaitlyn Hoelker+0.2
3721-16NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Talea Berry+0.1
3822-16S UTAHNM ST×3KillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+0.1
3923-16NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.1
4024-16NM STNM ST×3KillKate Sinclairset Jacqueline Corcoran·
4124-17NM STS UTAHServe errNew Mexico St.·
4225-17S UTAHNM STKillKate Sinclairset Paige Nelson·
Set 4
10-1NM STS UTAHKillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
20-2S UTAHS UTAHKillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.6
31-2S UTAHNM ST×3KillLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan+0.4
42-2NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+0.5
53-2NM STNM ST×3BlockedEmilia Lindenblk Kate Sinclair+0.4
63-3NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Emilia Zug+0.4
73-4S UTAHS UTAHBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Maya Banks, Natalie Moore+0.6
84-4S UTAHNM STServe errSouthern Utah+0.4
94-5NM STS UTAHKillCeleste Uruena Jensenset Talea Berry+0.5
105-5S UTAHNM ST×3Attack errKaitlyn Hoelker+0.4
116-5NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Kaitlyn Hoelker+0.5
127-5NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+0.4
137-6NM STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+0.4
147-7S UTAHS UTAHAttack errJaelynn Kohli+0.6
158-7S UTAHNM STBlockedCeleste Uruena Jensenblk Lilli Saldivar, Jaelynn Kohli+0.4
169-7NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.4
179-8NM STS UTAHServe errNew Mexico St.+0.4
189-9S UTAHS UTAHBlockedLilli Saldivarblk Audrey Atwood, Emilia Linden+0.6
1910-9S UTAHNM STKillMakayla Martinez+0.5
2010-10NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.6
2111-10S UTAHNM ST×4KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.5
2212-10NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.+0.5
2313-10NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.+0.4
2414-10NM STNM ST×4KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.3
2514-11NM STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
2615-11S UTAHNM STBlockedKaitlyn Hoelkerblk Lilli Saldivar, Kate Sinclair+0.2
2715-12NM STS UTAHKillMaya Banksset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
2816-12S UTAHNM STServe errSouthern Utah+0.3
2917-12NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Kaitlyn Barnes+0.2
3017-13NM STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
3118-13S UTAHNM ST×4KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.2
3219-13NM STNM ST×4KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.1
3320-13NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.aced Kaitlyn Hoelker+0.1
3421-13NM STNM ST×4BlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Jaelynn Kohli·
3521-14NM STS UTAH×3BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Audrey Atwood·
3621-15S UTAHS UTAH×3BlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Natalie Moore, Emilia Zug·
3721-16S UTAHS UTAH×3KillAudrey Atwoodset Zorana Stankovska+0.1
3822-16S UTAHNM ST×4KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.1
3923-16NM STNM ST×4KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson·
4024-16NM STNM ST×4Attack errAudrey Atwood·
4125-16NM STNM ST×4KillLilli Saldivar·

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).