Final · 4 setsMon, Sep 7, 2026

AwayCUSA

1:3

HomeMOUNTAIN-WEST

New Mexico def. New Mexico St. 3–1

(25-14, 21-25, 25-20, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
NM ST	14	25	20	19	1
N MEX	25	21	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

N MEX above 50 · NM ST below

Biggest swing: 5.2% to New Mexico — set 3, NM ST 17-20 N MEX. Attack error by Jaelynn Kohli. N MEX win probability 61% → 67%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NM ST 50.3%49.7% N MEX

New Mexico St. wins

3-0

12.6%

3-1

18.9%

3-2

18.8%

New Mexico wins

3-0

12.4%

3-1

18.6%

3-2

18.7%

NM ST break %: 43.5% vs this opp
N MEX break %: 43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Jaelynn KohliAttack error+5.2%
Attack error by Jaelynn Kohli
Set 3 · NM ST 17-20 N MEX · N MEX 61% → 67%
02
N MEX serverService error+4.9%
New Mexico service error
Set 2 · NM ST 23-21 N MEX · NM ST 39% → 44%
03
Mina StanojevicAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Mina Stanojevic
Set 3 · NM ST 16-17 N MEX · NM ST 39% → 44%
04
Reagan MillerAttack error+4.6%
Reagan Miller stuffed by Ashley Herman
Set 2 · NM ST 24-21 N MEX · NM ST 44% → 48%
05
NM ST serverService error+4.6%
New Mexico St. service error
Set 3 · NM ST 20-23 N MEX · N MEX 66% → 71%
06
Lilli SaldivarAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Lilli Saldivar
Set 3 · NM ST 12-13 N MEX · N MEX 50% → 54%
07
Jaelynn KohliAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Jaelynn Kohli
Set 4 · NM ST 12-14 N MEX · N MEX 79% → 84%
08
Maggie LightheartAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Maggie Lightheart
Set 3 · NM ST 12-14 N MEX · N MEX 54% → 59%

Official NCAA box

Box score

New Mexico St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Ashley HermanOH	4	10	2	17	.471	0	0	0	1	0	4	3	5.5	15.5
0Tess FuquaOH	4	10	4	27	.222	0	2	1	2	2	0	2	1	13
11Jaelynn KohliOH	4	9	9	30	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
21Lilli SaldivarOH	4	8	2	13	.462	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	1	9
2Maggie LightheartOH	4	6	4	15	.133	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	6
10Katrina CatalanS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	20	1	2	6	0	0	0	0	1
7Mia FoxMB	4	5	1	7	.571	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	7
5Makayla MartinezL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	1	0	12	1	0	0	0	1
12Paige NelsonS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	20	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
3Bella CastroL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
30Jacqueline CorcoranOH	2	1	0	7	.143	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
16Kate SinclairMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Mia MendozaS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Sadie RossOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	24	118	.212	46	4	6	35	7	7	6	10	78

New Mexicohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Mina StanojevicOH	4	16	3	26	.500	2	1	1	6	2	0	0	17
1Reagan MillerMB	4	15	2	20	.650	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	16
15Addison FranceOPP	4	9	7	34	.059	0	1	1	5	0	3	1.5	11.5
16Madeleine MillerS	4	5	1	8	.500	43	3	3	7	0	1	0.5	8.5
7Uliana YastrubOH	4	6	3	19	.158	1	0	1	8	0	0	0	6
13Zoe LeonardMB	4	5	3	8	.250	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	6
14Camila CanedoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	2	0	13	2	0	0	2
2Ella JoestingL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Amanda TremeroliOH	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
4Campbell HollisterMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		59	19	119	.336	51	7	6	40	4	8	4	96

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 NM ST · N MEX 5

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 NM STN MEX 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 NM STN MEX 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 NM STN MEX 5

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 5 NM STN MEX 5

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

New Mexico St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%9/22	50%9/18
2	44%8/18	36%5/14
3	62%8/13	43%6/14
4	62%8/13	20%2/10
5	73%8/11	43%6/14
6	44%8/18	11%1/9
All	52%49/95	37%29/79

New Mexico

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	59%10/17	64%16/25
2	57%8/14	47%7/15
3	67%8/12	58%11/19
4	62%8/13	20%2/10
5	73%8/11	27%3/11
6	67%8/12	47%7/15
All	63%50/79	48%46/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

174 rallies

Rally log

#	NM ST-N MEX	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Camila Canedo	+2.4
2	1-1	N MEX	NM ST	Serve err	N MEX server		+1.9
3	1-2	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
4	2-2	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+1.9
5	2-3	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+2.0
6	3-3	N MEX	NM ST	Serve err	N MEX server		+2.0
7	3-4	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.0
8	4-4	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson	+2.0
9	4-5	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Camila Canedo	+2.1
10	5-5	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar	set Paige Nelson	+2.0
11	5-6	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+2.1
12	6-6	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson	+2.1
13	7-6	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Addison France		+2.8
14	7-7	NM ST	N MEX	Serve err	NM ST server		+2.2
15	8-7	N MEX	NM ST	Attack err	Addison France	blk Ashley Herman, Jaelynn Kohli	+2.2
16	8-8	NM ST	N MEX	Serve err	NM ST server		+2.2
17	8-9	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Tess Fuqua	blk Zoe Leonard, Addison France	+3.0
18	9-9	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+2.3
19	9-10	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.4
20	9-11	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard		+3.1
21	10-11	N MEX	NM ST	Attack err	Zoe Leonard		+2.2
22	10-12	NM ST	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.4
23	10-13	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Lilli Saldivar	blk Zoe Leonard, Addison France	+3.0
24	10-14	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic		+2.7
25	11-14	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar	set Makayla Martinez	+1.7
26	11-15	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+2.1
27	12-15	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson	+1.7
28	12-16	NM ST	N MEX	Serve err	NM ST server		+2.2
29	13-16	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson	+1.8
30	13-17	NM ST	N MEX×5	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Mina Stanojevic	+2.2
31	13-18	N MEX	N MEX×5	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli		+2.3
32	13-19	N MEX	N MEX×5	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli	blk Reagan Miller, Addison France	+1.6
33	13-20	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Reagan Miller		+1.0
34	13-21	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+0.6
35	14-21	N MEX	NM ST	Serve err	N MEX server		+0.2
36	14-22	NM ST	N MEX×4	Serve err	NM ST server		+0.3
37	14-23	N MEX	N MEX×4	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Madeleine Miller	+0.2
38	14-24	N MEX	N MEX×4	Ace	N MEX server	aced Jacqueline Corcoran	+0.0
39	14-25	N MEX	N MEX×4	Ace	N MEX server	aced Bella Castro	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
2	1-1	N MEX	NM ST×3	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Makayla Martinez	+1.9
3	2-1	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Makayla Martinez	+2.5
4	3-1	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+2.5
5	3-2	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
6	3-3	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Ashley Herman		+2.6
7	4-3	N MEX	NM ST	Attack err	Uliana Yastrub	blk Tess Fuqua, Ashley Herman	+2.0
8	5-3	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Zoe Leonard	blk Ashley Herman	+2.6
9	5-4	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
10	6-4	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+2.1
11	7-4	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson	+2.6
12	7-5	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Camila Canedo	+1.8
13	8-5	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson	+2.0
14	9-5	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Addison France		+2.4
15	9-6	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+1.7
16	10-6	N MEX	NM ST	Serve err	N MEX server		+1.9
17	11-6	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Madeleine Miller	blk Mia Fox	+2.2
18	11-7	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+1.4
19	12-7	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Maggie Lightheart	+1.7
20	12-8	NM ST	N MEX	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart		+1.4
21	12-9	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+2.2
22	13-9	N MEX	NM ST×3	Attack err	Zoe Leonard	blk Ashley Herman	+2.0
23	14-9	NM ST	NM ST×3	Attack err	Addison France	blk Ashley Herman, Tess Fuqua	+2.2
24	15-9	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+1.8
25	15-10	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Madeleine Miller	+1.0
26	15-11	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli		+1.8
27	16-11	N MEX	NM ST×3	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+1.7
28	17-11	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Lilli Saldivar		+1.7
29	18-11	NM ST	NM ST×3	Ace	NM ST server	aced Camila Canedo	+1.2
30	18-12	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.6
31	19-12	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar	set Katrina Catalan	+0.9
32	19-13	NM ST	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.5
33	19-14	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Tess Fuqua		+1.0
34	19-15	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Paige Nelson		+1.5
35	20-15	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar	set Paige Nelson	+1.7
36	21-15	NM ST	NM ST	Ace	NM ST server	aced Mina Stanojevic	+1.4
37	21-16	NM ST	N MEX×4	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.6
38	21-17	N MEX	N MEX×4	Kill	Reagan Miller		+1.2
39	21-18	N MEX	N MEX×4	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+2.0
40	21-19	N MEX	N MEX×4	Kill	Amanda Tremeroli	set Camila Canedo	+3.0
41	22-19	N MEX	NM ST	Attack err	Reagan Miller	blk Mia Fox	+3.3
42	22-20	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Amanda Tremeroli	set Madeleine Miller	+2.2
43	22-21	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+4.5
44	23-21	N MEX	NM ST×3	Serve err	N MEX server		+4.9
45	24-21	NM ST	NM ST×3	Attack err	Reagan Miller	blk Ashley Herman	+4.6
46	25-21	NM ST	NM ST×3	Ace	NM ST server	aced Camila Canedo	+1.9
Set 3
1	0-1	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Madeleine Miller	+3.3
2	0-2	N MEX	N MEX×3	Ace	N MEX server	aced Maggie Lightheart	+3.3
3	0-3	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Addison France	set Katrina Catalan	+3.2
4	1-3	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+2.3
5	1-4	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+2.5
6	2-4	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+2.3
7	3-4	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar		+3.3
8	3-5	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Mina Stanojevic	+2.7
9	4-5	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Katrina Catalan	+2.6
10	4-6	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.7
11	5-6	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson	+2.6
12	6-6	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Makayla Martinez	+3.6
13	6-7	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.9
14	7-7	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Paige Nelson	+2.9
15	7-8	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+3.0
16	7-9	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Mia Fox		+3.9
17	8-9	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson	+2.8
18	8-10	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+3.0
19	9-10	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Katrina Catalan	+2.9
20	10-10	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Katrina Catalan	+4.1
21	10-11	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Madeleine Miller	+3.3
22	11-11	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+3.2
23	12-11	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Uliana Yastrub	blk Lilli Saldivar	+4.4
24	12-12	NM ST	N MEX×5	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+3.4
25	12-13	N MEX	N MEX×5	Attack err	Lilli Saldivar		+4.6
26	12-14	N MEX	N MEX×5	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart		+4.6
27	12-15	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+4.3
28	12-16	N MEX	N MEX×5	Attack err	Tess Fuqua		+3.8
29	13-16	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+2.3
30	13-17	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.9
31	14-17	N MEX	NM ST×3	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson	+2.3
32	15-17	NM ST	NM ST×3	Ace	NM ST server	aced Mina Stanojevic	+3.9
33	16-17	NM ST	NM ST×3	Attack err	Mina Stanojevic		+4.8
34	16-18	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+4.2
35	17-18	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson	+3.8
36	17-19	NM ST	N MEX×4	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart		+4.5
37	17-20	N MEX	N MEX×4	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli		+5.2
38	17-21	N MEX	N MEX×4	Ace	N MEX server	aced Bella Castro	+4.1
39	17-22	N MEX	N MEX×4	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli	blk Reagan Miller, Madeleine Miller	+2.7
40	18-22	N MEX	NM ST×3	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson	+1.0
41	19-22	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+2.4
42	20-22	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+3.9
43	20-23	NM ST	N MEX×3	Serve err	NM ST server		+4.6
44	20-24	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Ashley Herman		+3.5
45	20-25	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Reagan Miller		+1.1
Set 4
1	0-1	NM ST	N MEX	Attack err	Maggie Lightheart		+2.5
2	1-1	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Katrina Catalan	+2.5
3	1-2	NM ST	N MEX×3	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+2.6
4	1-3	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Tess Fuqua		+3.3
5	1-4	N MEX	N MEX×3	Ace	N MEX server	aced Makayla Martinez	+3.2
6	2-4	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan	+2.3
7	3-4	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Mina Stanojevic		+3.3
8	3-5	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+2.7
9	4-5	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+2.6
10	4-6	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.7
11	5-6	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar	set Paige Nelson	+2.6
12	6-6	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Lilli Saldivar	set Paige Nelson	+3.7
13	6-7	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+2.9
14	7-7	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson	+2.9
15	7-8	NM ST	N MEX×5	Kill	Reagan Miller		+3.0
16	7-9	N MEX	N MEX×5	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli		+3.9
17	7-10	N MEX	N MEX×5	Ace	N MEX server	aced Tess Fuqua	+3.7
18	7-11	N MEX	N MEX×5	Ace	N MEX server	aced Tess Fuqua	+3.4
19	7-12	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+2.9
20	8-12	N MEX	NM ST×5	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson	+1.9
21	9-12	NM ST	NM ST×5	Kill	Jacqueline Corcoran	set Bella Castro	+3.0
22	10-12	NM ST	NM ST×5	Attack err	Uliana Yastrub	blk Ashley Herman	+3.5
23	11-12	NM ST	NM ST×5	Attack err	Mina Stanojevic		+4.0
24	12-12	NM ST	NM ST×5	Attack err	Addison France		+4.4
25	12-13	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+3.5
26	12-14	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli		+4.6
27	13-14	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+3.3
28	13-15	NM ST	N MEX×3	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+3.7
29	13-16	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Campbell Hollister		+4.4
30	13-17	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli		+3.8
31	14-17	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan	+2.3
32	14-18	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+3.0
33	15-18	N MEX	NM ST	Serve err	N MEX server		+2.3
34	16-18	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson	+4.0
35	16-19	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Camila Canedo	+3.8
36	16-20	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Uliana Yastrub	+4.1
37	17-20	N MEX	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson	+2.2
38	17-21	NM ST	N MEX	Serve err	NM ST server		+3.1
39	18-21	N MEX	NM ST	Attack err	Addison France		+2.0
40	18-22	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+3.1
41	18-23	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Jaelynn Kohli		+2.4
42	19-23	N MEX	NM ST	Attack err	Addison France		+0.7
43	19-24	NM ST	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+1.4
44	19-25	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Katrina Catalan		+0.5

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.