UTRGV def. New Mexico St. 3–2
UTRGV beat New Mexico St. 3-2 (25-22, 14-25, 20-25, 25-19, 15-10) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. UTRGV's Martina Franco led with 20 kills, and Lana Rnjak added 16 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NM ST | 22 | 25 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 2 |
| UTRGV | 25 | 14 | 20 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 13.8% to UTRGV — set 5, NM ST 8-10 UTRGV. UTRGV stuffed by Lana Rnjak & Aaliyah Snead. UTRGV win probability 56% → 69%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
New Mexico St. wins
UTRGV wins
- NM ST break %
- 44.3% vs this opp
- UTRGV break %
- 40.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Lana Rnjak&Aaliyah SneadBlock+13.8%
UTRGV stuffed by Lana Rnjak & Aaliyah Snead
Set 5 · NM ST 8-10 UTRGV · UTRGV 56% → 69%
- 02UTRGVAce+13.1%
UTRGV ace on Jacqueline Corcoran
Set 5 · NM ST 9-12 UTRGV · UTRGV 72% → 85%
- 03Maggie LightheartKill+12.0%
Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Makayla Martinez)
Set 5 · NM ST 8-8 UTRGV · NM ST 42% → 54%
- 04New Mexico St.Service error+11.2%
New Mexico St. service error
Set 5 · NM ST 9-11 UTRGV · UTRGV 61% → 72%
- 05UTRGVAce+10.4%
UTRGV ace on Tess Fuqua
Set 5 · NM ST 4-7 UTRGV · UTRGV 63% → 73%
- 06Ema PetkovicKill+10.3%
Kill by Ema Petkovic (set by Lana Rnjak)
Set 5 · NM ST 3-5 UTRGV · UTRGV 51% → 61%
- 07
- 08New Mexico St.Service error+9.9%
New Mexico St. service error
Set 5 · NM ST 8-9 UTRGV · UTRGV 46% → 56%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 31 | .355 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 17.5 | |
| 5 | 16 | 3 | 25 | .520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 23 | .391 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 25 | .160 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 10 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -.308 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 61 | 24 | 145 | .255 | 57 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 101 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 20 | 4 | 41 | .390 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 36 | .194 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | .250 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -.083 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | .111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 18 | 126 | .246 | 43 | 12 | 9 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 99 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
25-14
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
19-25
Set 5
10-15
Bars above the line = UTRGV leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
New Mexico St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%4/6 | 0%0/4 |
| 2 | 60%3/5 | 33%2/6 |
| 3 | 33%3/9 | 50%3/6 |
| 4 | 38%3/8 | 25%1/4 |
| 5 | 50%3/6 | 50%3/6 |
| 6 | 60%3/5 | 25%1/4 |
| All | 49%19/39 | 33%10/30 |
UTRGV
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 83%5/6 | 43%3/7 |
| 2 | 75%3/4 | 40%2/5 |
| 3 | 50%3/6 | 40%2/5 |
| 4 | 60%3/5 | 63%5/8 |
| 5 | 50%3/6 | 57%4/7 |
| 6 | 100%3/3 | 57%4/7 |
| All | 67%20/30 | 51%20/39 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
200 rallies
| # | NM ST-UTRGV | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UTRGV | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.3 | |||
| 2 | 0-2 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Mia Fox | +2.4 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UTRGV | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Makayla Martinez | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Soukeyna Diouf | +2.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.7 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NM ST | UTRGV×4 | Attack err | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Ace | UTRGV | aced Maggie Lightheart | +2.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Ace | UTRGV | aced Makayla Martinez | +2.6 |
| 11 | 4-7 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +2.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.8 |
| 13 | 5-8 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +2.6 |
| 15 | 5-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +2.4 |
| 16 | 6-10 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Katrina Catalan | +2.3 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +2.0 |
| 19 | 7-12 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +2.5 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | +1.4 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.9 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Kate Sinclair | set Katrina Catalan | +1.4 |
| 23 | 10-13 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | +2.4 | |
| 24–25 | 11-14 | NM ST · UTRGV | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.4 | |||
| 26 | 11-15 | NM ST | UTRGV | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Tess Fuqua | +2.2 |
| 27 | 12-15 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.8 |
| 28 | 12-16 | NM ST | UTRGV | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +2.3 |
| 29 | 12-17 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +2.6 |
| 30 | 13-17 | UTRGV | NM ST | Serve err | UTRGV | +1.4 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.9 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.3 |
| 33 | 15-18 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Julianna Bryant | +2.4 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +2.4 |
| 35 | 15-20 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Jacqueline Corcoran | +2.5 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jacqueline Corcoran | set Katrina Catalan | +1.1 |
| 37 | 17-20 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | +2.2 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | NM ST | UTRGV | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.5 |
| 39 | 17-22 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +2.2 |
| 40 | 18-22 | UTRGV | NM ST | Bad set | Julianna Bryant | +0.8 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.5 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Kate Sinclair | set Katrina Catalan | +0.6 |
| 43 | 20-23 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Ema Petkovic | +1.5 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +2.1 |
| 45 | 21-24 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | +0.6 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Ema Petkovic | blk Jaelynn Kohli, Mia Fox | +1.9 |
| 47 | 22-25 | NM ST | UTRGV | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +3.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Martina Franco | +2.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Lana Rnjak | set Martina Franco | +2.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UTRGV | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +2.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Makayla Martinez | +2.6 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Makayla Martinez | +2.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Aaliyah Snead | set Lana Rnjak | +1.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.8 |
| 8 | 6-2 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +2.2 |
| 9 | 6-3 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +1.5 |
| 10 | 7-3 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.6 |
| 11 | 8-3 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Martina Franco | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +1.2 |
| 13 | 9-4 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.4 |
| 14 | 9-5 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Celianiz Cabranes | +1.3 |
| 15 | 10-5 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.4 |
| 16 | 11-5 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Jacqueline Corcoran | +1.6 |
| 17 | 11-6 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.0 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Katrina Catalan | +1.2 |
| 19 | 13-6 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | +1.2 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +0.7 |
| 21 | 13-8 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +1.2 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Blocked | Jacqueline Corcoran | blk Aaliyah Snead, Soukeyna Diouf | +1.7 |
| 23 | 14-9 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.5 |
| 24 | 15-9 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Martina Franco | +1.6 |
| 25 | 15-10 | NM ST | UTRGV | Bad set | Jaelynn Kohli | +0.9 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +1.1 |
| 27 | 17-10 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | Martina Franco | blk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox | +1.0 |
| 28 | 17-11 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +0.5 |
| 29 | 18-11 | UTRGV | NM ST | Serve err | UTRGV | +0.7 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +0.5 |
| 31 | 18-13 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Kill | Julianna Bryant | +1.0 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | UTRGV | NM ST×4 | Attack err | Martina Franco | set Dunja Stankovic | +1.0 |
| 33 | 20-13 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +0.8 |
| 34 | 21-13 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +0.4 |
| 35 | 22-13 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | +0.2 | |
| 36 | 22-14 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | · | |
| 37 | 23-14 | UTRGV | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Julianna Bryant | set Julianna Bryant | +0.1 |
| 38 | 24-14 | NM ST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 39 | 25-14 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Soukeyna Diouf | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UTRGV | NM ST×5 | Serve err | UTRGV | +2.2 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +2.9 |
| 3 | 3-0 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Blocked | Ema Petkovic | blk Tess Fuqua, Mia Fox | +2.7 |
| 4 | 4-0 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +2.4 |
| 5 | 5-0 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Attack err | Soukeyna Diouf | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +1.4 |
| 7 | 6-1 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +1.5 |
| 8 | 7-1 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +1.7 |
| 9 | 7-2 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +1.1 |
| 10 | 8-2 | UTRGV | NM ST | Serve err | UTRGV | +1.3 | |
| 11 | 9-2 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +1.4 |
| 12 | 9-3 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Julianna Bryant | +0.8 |
| 13 | 10-3 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.0 |
| 14 | 10-4 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +0.8 |
| 15 | 11-4 | UTRGV | NM ST | Serve err | UTRGV | +1.0 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | NM ST | UTRGV×4 | Blocked | Jacqueline Corcoran | blk Lana Rnjak, Julianna Bryant | +0.8 |
| 17 | 11-6 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +1.4 |
| 18 | 11-7 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Soukeyna Diouf | set Lana Rnjak | +1.9 |
| 19 | 11-8 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Attack err | Jacqueline Corcoran | +2.4 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.0 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +1.8 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Blocked | Jacqueline Corcoran | blk Soukeyna Diouf | +3.0 |
| 23 | 13-10 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Makayla Martinez | +2.5 |
| 24 | 14-10 | NM ST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.9 | |||
| 25 | 14-11 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +1.8 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Mia Fox | +3.2 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +2.7 |
| 28 | 15-13 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +2.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | +4.0 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +3.2 |
| 31 | 16-15 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +3.1 |
| 32 | 16-16 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Ace | UTRGV | +5.0 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Blocked | Ashley Herman | blk Julianna Bryant | +5.6 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UTRGV | NM ST | Attack err | Martina Franco | set Ema Petkovic | +4.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +4.5 |
| 36 | 17-19 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Jacqueline Corcoran | +6.2 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | UTRGV | NM ST×6 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +3.9 |
| 38 | 19-19 | NM ST | NM ST×6 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | +6.2 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | NM ST | NM ST×6 | Attack err | Ema Petkovic | +6.6 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | NM ST | NM ST×6 | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Soukeyna Diouf | +6.1 |
| 41 | 22-19 | NM ST | NM ST×6 | Blocked | Soukeyna Diouf | blk Kate Sinclair, Ashley Herman | +4.9 |
| 42 | 23-19 | NM ST | NM ST×6 | Attack err | Julianna Bryant | +3.1 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +1.1 |
| 44 | 24-20 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Katrina Catalan | +2.0 |
| 45 | 25-20 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | aced Soukeyna Diouf | +0.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Celianiz Cabranes | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +2.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | +2.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +2.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UTRGV | NM ST×4 | Serve err | UTRGV | +2.0 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +2.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Blocked | Ema Petkovic | blk Mia Fox, Tess Fuqua | +2.4 |
| 8 | 6-2 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +2.1 |
| 9 | 6-3 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +1.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Mia Fox | +2.3 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +2.7 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +2.0 |
| 13 | 8-5 | NM ST | NM ST | Ace | New Mexico St. | +2.6 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +1.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +2.8 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Ace | UTRGV | +3.1 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | UTRGV | NM ST×3 | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +3.0 |
| 19 | 11-8 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +2.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Lana Rnjak | +1.9 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +2.1 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NM ST | UTRGV | Blocked | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Julianna Bryant, Soukeyna Diouf | +1.9 |
| 23 | 13-10 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.1 |
| 24 | 13-11 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +2.0 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | UTRGV | NM ST | Bad set | Lana Rnjak | +2.2 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Aaliyah Snead | set Lana Rnjak | +2.0 |
| 27 | 15-12 | UTRGV | NM ST | Serve err | UTRGV | +2.3 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Lana Rnjak | set Celianiz Cabranes | +2.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Blocked | Mia Fox | blk Martina Franco, Julianna Bryant | +3.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Ace | UTRGV | +4.1 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +3.1 |
| 32 | 16-16 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +3.2 |
| 33 | 16-17 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +4.8 |
| 34 | 16-18 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Blocked | Ashley Herman | blk Julianna Bryant | +5.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +3.2 |
| 36 | 17-19 | NM ST | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +4.0 |
| 37 | 17-20 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Ace | UTRGV | aced Makayla Martinez | +4.9 |
| 38 | 17-21 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Julianna Bryant | +4.0 |
| 39 | 17-22 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Ema Petkovic | +2.7 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | UTRGV | NM ST | Bad set | Soukeyna Diouf | +1.0 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +1.8 |
| 42 | 18-24 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Ace | UTRGV | aced Lilli Saldivar | +1.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +0.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | NM ST | UTRGV | Blocked | Tess Fuqua | blk Aaliyah Snead, Soukeyna Diouf | +0.8 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +6.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Aaliyah Snead | +7.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +5.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Ace | UTRGV | aced Tess Fuqua | +8.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +6.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +6.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Blocked | Ashley Herman | blk Julianna Bryant, Martina Franco | +9.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +10.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UTRGV | NM ST | Serve err | UTRGV | +6.8 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Julianna Bryant | +8.0 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Ace | UTRGV | aced Tess Fuqua | +10.4 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | +6.3 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | NM ST | NM ST | Blocked | UTRGV | blk Mia Fox | +10.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +9.0 |
| 15 | 7-8 | UTRGV | NM ST | Attack err | Ema Petkovic | set Celianiz Cabranes | +7.7 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +12.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NM ST | UTRGV | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +9.9 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Blocked | UTRGV | blk Lana Rnjak, Aaliyah Snead | +13.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | UTRGV | NM ST | Kill | Jacqueline Corcoran | set Paige Nelson | +8.5 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NM ST | UTRGV×3 | Serve err | New Mexico St. | +11.2 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Ace | UTRGV | aced Jacqueline Corcoran | +13.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Soukeyna Diouf | +9.2 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | UTRGV | NM ST | Serve err | UTRGV | +3.1 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | NM ST | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Celianiz Cabranes | +6.1 |
| 25 | 10-15 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Ace | UTRGV | aced Tess Fuqua | +2.6 |
Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).