Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

UTRGV def. New Mexico St. 3–2

UTRGV beat New Mexico St. 3-2 (25-22, 14-25, 20-25, 25-19, 15-10) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. UTRGV's Martina Franco led with 20 kills, and Lana Rnjak added 16 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set12345Sets
NM ST22252519102
UTRGV25142025153

Win probability

UTRGV above 50 · New Mexico St. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.8% UTRGVrally 200 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.8% to UTRGV — set 5, NM ST 8-10 UTRGV. UTRGV stuffed by Lana Rnjak & Aaliyah Snead. UTRGV win probability 56% → 69%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NM ST 68.6%31.4% UTRGV

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
22.3%
3-1
26.3%
3-2
20.0%

UTRGV wins

3-0
6.1%
3-1
11.1%
3-2
14.2%
NM ST break %
44.3% vs this opp
UTRGV break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    UTRGV stuffed by Lana Rnjak & Aaliyah Snead

    Set 5 · NM ST 8-10 UTRGV · UTRGV 56% → 69%

  2. 02
    UTRGVAce+13.1%

    UTRGV ace on Jacqueline Corcoran

    Set 5 · NM ST 9-12 UTRGV · UTRGV 72% → 85%

  3. 03

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Makayla Martinez)

    Set 5 · NM ST 8-8 UTRGV · NM ST 42% → 54%

  4. 04
    New Mexico St.Service error+11.2%

    New Mexico St. service error

    Set 5 · NM ST 9-11 UTRGV · UTRGV 61% → 72%

  5. 05
    UTRGVAce+10.4%

    UTRGV ace on Tess Fuqua

    Set 5 · NM ST 4-7 UTRGV · UTRGV 63% → 73%

  6. 06
    Ema PetkovicKill+10.3%

    Kill by Ema Petkovic (set by Lana Rnjak)

    Set 5 · NM ST 3-5 UTRGV · UTRGV 51% → 61%

  7. 07
    Mia FoxBlock+10.2%

    Attack stuffed by Mia Fox

    Set 5 · NM ST 6-7 UTRGV · NM ST 33% → 44%

  8. 08
    New Mexico St.Service error+9.9%

    New Mexico St. service error

    Set 5 · NM ST 8-9 UTRGV · UTRGV 46% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516531.35511101010.517.5
516325.52000000010.516.5
512323.39100260010.512.5
57325.160012440219
55410.100000001438
5005.0002633800003
52613-.308110610003
5204.50000000010.52.5
5006.0002311500001
5103.3336022120001
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000110000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
Team totals6124145.2555771151121106101
UTRGVhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520441.3901116202122
513636.1940306000016
59320.3001000024413
5318.25036221600216
52312-.08300013132.54.5
5219.11100000031.53.5
5000–533900003
5000–022500002
5000–010100001
5000–000000000
5000–001100000
12Isa BentoL/DS
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
Team totals4918126.246431294573141099

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NM ST · UTRGV 4

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 NM STUTRGV 4

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 4 NM STUTRGV 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 NM STUTRGV 4

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 NM STUTRGV 4

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 NM STUTRGV 3

Bars above the line = UTRGV leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%4/6
0%0/4
2
60%3/5
33%2/6
3
33%3/9
50%3/6
4
38%3/8
25%1/4
5
50%3/6
50%3/6
6
60%3/5
25%1/4
All
49%19/39
33%10/30

UTRGV

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
43%3/7
2
75%3/4
40%2/5
3
50%3/6
40%2/5
4
60%3/5
63%5/8
5
50%3/6
57%4/7
6
100%3/3
57%4/7
All
67%20/30
51%20/39

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#NM ST-UTRGVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UTRGV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
20-2UTRGVUTRGVAttack errMia Fox+2.4
31-2UTRGVNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.7
42-2NM STNM ST×3KillMakayla Martinez+2.3
53-2NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Soukeyna Diouf+2.3
63-3NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.+1.7
74-3UTRGVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.7
84-4NM STUTRGV×4Attack errMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.8
94-5UTRGVUTRGV×4AceUTRGVaced Maggie Lightheart+2.5
104-6UTRGVUTRGV×4AceUTRGVaced Makayla Martinez+2.6
114-7UTRGVUTRGV×4KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+2.6
125-7UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.8
135-8NM STUTRGV×3KillMartina Franco+2.0
145-9UTRGVUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+2.6
155-10UTRGVUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+2.4
166-10UTRGVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.4
177-10NM STNM STKillKatrina Catalan+2.3
187-11NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+2.0
197-12UTRGVUTRGVAttack errTess Fuqua+2.5
208-12UTRGVNM STKillAshley Herman+1.4
218-13NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.+1.9
229-13UTRGVNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.4
2310-13NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohli+2.4
24–2511-14NM ST · UTRGV
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
2611-15NM STUTRGVAceNew Mexico St.aced Tess Fuqua+2.2
2712-15UTRGVNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.8
2812-16NM STUTRGVAttack errMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+2.3
2912-17UTRGVUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+2.6
3013-17UTRGVNM STServe errUTRGV+1.4
3113-18NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.+1.9
3214-18UTRGVNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.3
3315-18NM STNM STAttack errJulianna Bryant+2.4
3415-19NM STUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+2.4
3515-20UTRGVUTRGVAttack errJacqueline Corcoran+2.5
3616-20UTRGVNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Katrina Catalan+1.1
3717-20NM STNM STKillAshley Herman+2.2
3817-21NM STUTRGVAttack errTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.5
3917-22UTRGVUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+2.2
4018-22UTRGVNM STBad setJulianna Bryant+0.8
4118-23NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.+1.5
4219-23UTRGVNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+0.6
4320-23NM STNM STAttack errEma Petkovic+1.5
4420-24NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+2.1
4521-24UTRGVNM STKillJaelynn Kohli+0.6
4622-24NM STNM STBlockedEma Petkovicblk Jaelynn Kohli, Mia Fox+1.9
4722-25NM STUTRGVAttack errJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+3.4
Set 2
11-0NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Martina Franco+2.7
21-1NM STUTRGVKillLana Rnjakset Martina Franco+2.0
32-1UTRGVNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.0
43-1NM STNM ST×3KillMakayla Martinez+2.6
54-1NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+2.4
64-2NM STUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+1.7
75-2UTRGVNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.8
86-2NM STNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+2.2
96-3NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.5
107-3UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.6
118-3NM STNM STAttack errMartina Franco+1.9
128-4NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+1.2
139-4UTRGVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.4
149-5NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Celianiz Cabranes+1.3
1510-5UTRGVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.4
1611-5NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Jacqueline Corcoran+1.6
1711-6NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.+1.0
1812-6UTRGVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+1.2
1913-6NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.+1.2
2013-7NM STUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.7
2113-8UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+1.2
2213-9UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedJacqueline Corcoranblk Aaliyah Snead, Soukeyna Diouf+1.7
2314-9UTRGVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.5
2415-9NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Martina Franco+1.6
2515-10NM STUTRGVBad setJaelynn Kohli+0.9
2616-10UTRGVNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.1
2717-10NM STNM STBlockedMartina Francoblk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox+1.0
2817-11NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.5
2918-11UTRGVNM STServe errUTRGV+0.7
3018-12NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.5
3118-13UTRGVUTRGVKillJulianna Bryant+1.0
3219-13UTRGVNM ST×4Attack errMartina Francoset Dunja Stankovic+1.0
3320-13NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+0.8
3421-13NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+0.4
3522-13NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheart+0.2
3622-14NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.·
3723-14UTRGVNM ST×3Attack errJulianna Bryantset Julianna Bryant+0.1
3824-14NM ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3925-14NM STNM ST×3Attack errSoukeyna Diouf·
Set 3
11-0UTRGVNM ST×5Serve errUTRGV+2.2
22-0NM STNM ST×5KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.9
33-0NM STNM ST×5BlockedEma Petkovicblk Tess Fuqua, Mia Fox+2.7
44-0NM STNM ST×5KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+2.4
55-0NM STNM ST×5Attack errSoukeyna Diouf+2.1
65-1NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.4
76-1UTRGVNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.5
87-1NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.7
97-2NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.1
108-2UTRGVNM STServe errUTRGV+1.3
119-2NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+1.4
129-3NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Julianna Bryant+0.8
1310-3UTRGVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.0
1410-4NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.8
1511-4UTRGVNM STServe errUTRGV+1.0
1611-5NM STUTRGV×4BlockedJacqueline Corcoranblk Lana Rnjak, Julianna Bryant+0.8
1711-6UTRGVUTRGV×4KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.4
1811-7UTRGVUTRGV×4KillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+1.9
1911-8UTRGVUTRGV×4Attack errJacqueline Corcoran+2.4
2012-8UTRGVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.0
2112-9NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.+1.8
2212-10UTRGVUTRGVBlockedJacqueline Corcoranblk Soukeyna Diouf+3.0
2313-10UTRGVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+2.5
2414-10NM ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.9
2514-11NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.8
2614-12UTRGVUTRGVAttack errMia Fox+3.2
2715-12UTRGVNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.7
2815-13NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+2.4
2915-14UTRGVUTRGVKillMartina Franco+4.0
3016-14UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+3.2
3116-15NM STUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+3.1
3216-16UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGV+5.0
3316-17UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedAshley Hermanblk Julianna Bryant+5.6
3417-17UTRGVNM STAttack errMartina Francoset Ema Petkovic+4.0
3517-18NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+4.5
3617-19UTRGVUTRGVAttack errJacqueline Corcoran+6.2
3718-19UTRGVNM ST×6KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+3.9
3819-19NM STNM ST×6KillJaelynn Kohli+6.2
3920-19NM STNM ST×6Attack errEma Petkovic+6.6
4021-19NM STNM ST×6AceNew Mexico St.aced Soukeyna Diouf+6.1
4122-19NM STNM ST×6BlockedSoukeyna Dioufblk Kate Sinclair, Ashley Herman+4.9
4223-19NM STNM ST×6Attack errJulianna Bryant+3.1
4323-20NM STUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.1
4424-20UTRGVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+2.0
4525-20NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Soukeyna Diouf+0.8
Set 4
10-1NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Celianiz Cabranes+2.1
21-1UTRGVNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.0
32-1NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohli+2.6
42-2NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+2.0
53-2UTRGVNM ST×4Serve errUTRGV+2.0
64-2NM STNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+2.6
75-2NM STNM ST×4BlockedEma Petkovicblk Mia Fox, Tess Fuqua+2.4
86-2NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+2.1
96-3NM STUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+1.5
106-4UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errMia Fox+2.3
116-5UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+2.7
127-5UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+2.0
138-5NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.+2.6
148-6NM STUTRGV×3Attack errMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+1.8
158-7UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+2.8
168-8UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGV+3.1
179-8UTRGVNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.3
1810-8NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+3.0
1911-8NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+2.8
2011-9NM STUTRGVKillLana Rnjak+1.9
2112-9UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.1
2212-10NM STUTRGVBlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Julianna Bryant, Soukeyna Diouf+1.9
2313-10UTRGVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.1
2413-11NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.+2.0
2514-11UTRGVNM STBad setLana Rnjak+2.2
2614-12NM STUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+2.0
2715-12UTRGVNM STServe errUTRGV+2.3
2815-13NM STUTRGV×3KillLana Rnjakset Celianiz Cabranes+2.1
2915-14UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedMia Foxblk Martina Franco, Julianna Bryant+3.5
3015-15UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGV+4.1
3116-15UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+3.1
3216-16NM STUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+3.2
3316-17UTRGVUTRGV×3KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+4.8
3416-18UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedAshley Hermanblk Julianna Bryant+5.0
3517-18UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+3.2
3617-19NM STUTRGV×4KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+4.0
3717-20UTRGVUTRGV×4AceUTRGVaced Makayla Martinez+4.9
3817-21UTRGVUTRGV×4KillJulianna Bryantset Julianna Bryant+4.0
3917-22UTRGVUTRGV×4KillEma Petkovic+2.7
4018-22UTRGVNM STBad setSoukeyna Diouf+1.0
4118-23NM STUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.8
4218-24UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Lilli Saldivar+1.0
4319-24UTRGVNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.1
4419-25NM STUTRGVBlockedTess Fuquablk Aaliyah Snead, Soukeyna Diouf+0.8
Set 5
11-0UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+6.0
22-0NM STNM STAttack errAaliyah Snead+7.8
32-1NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+5.6
42-2UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Tess Fuqua+8.6
53-2UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+6.5
63-3NM STUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+6.7
73-4UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedAshley Hermanblk Julianna Bryant, Martina Franco+9.9
83-5UTRGVUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+10.3
94-5UTRGVNM STServe errUTRGV+6.8
104-6NM STUTRGVKillJulianna Bryant+8.0
114-7UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Tess Fuqua+10.4
125-7UTRGVNM STKillMaggie Lightheart+6.3
136-7NM STNM STBlockedUTRGVblk Mia Fox+10.2
146-8NM STUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+9.0
157-8UTRGVNM STAttack errEma Petkovicset Celianiz Cabranes+7.7
168-8NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+12.0
178-9NM STUTRGVServe errNew Mexico St.+9.9
188-10UTRGVUTRGVBlockedUTRGVblk Lana Rnjak, Aaliyah Snead+13.8
199-10UTRGVNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Paige Nelson+8.5
209-11NM STUTRGV×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+11.2
219-12UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Jacqueline Corcoran+13.1
229-13UTRGVUTRGV×3KillSoukeyna Diouf+9.2
2310-13UTRGVNM STServe errUTRGV+3.1
2410-14NM STUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Celianiz Cabranes+6.1
2510-15UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Tess Fuqua+2.6

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).