FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026

New Mexico St. def. Delaware 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: New Mexico St. 88.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Mexico St. beat visiting Delaware 3-0 (25-20, 26-24, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Ashley Herman led New Mexico St. with 12 kills; Delaware's Thalia Yancey had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
DEL2024170
NM ST2526253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ashley Herman hit .579 with 12 kills as New Mexico St. rolled past Delaware.

Win probability never moved more than 3.7 points on one rally; Delaware topped out at 20% in Set 1. New Mexico St. went in as RallyIQ's 89% pick.

DelawareNew Mexico St.
  • Break %+12.4 pts
    34.947.3

    Points won on own serve: 35 of 74 vs 22 of 63. Delaware sided out 52.7% of the time.

  • Hitting+.157
    .284.441

    50 kills, 9 errors vs 38 kills, 13 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    57

    7 straight New Mexico St. points in the first set turned a 9–13 deficit into a 16–13 lead. That set ended 25–20.

New Mexico St. above 50Delaware belowMax swing 3.7%

DelawareNew Mexico St.

Aces
Delaware 4·New Mexico St. 8
Serve err
Delaware 4·New Mexico St. 5
Blocks
Delaware 1·New Mexico St. 70 BS · 2 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Delaware 25·New Mexico St. 30

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Mexico St. above 50 · Delaware below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.7% NM STrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.7% to New Mexico St. — set 2, DEL 24-25 NM ST. Kill by Ashley Herman (set by Katrina Catalan). NM ST win probability 92% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DEL 11.1%88.9% NM ST

Delaware wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-2
6.2%

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
42.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.6%
DEL break %
38.9% vs this opp
NM ST break %
48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ashley HermanKill+3.7%

    Kill by Ashley Herman (set by Katrina Catalan)

    Set 2 · DEL 24-25 NM ST · NM ST 92% → 95%

  2. 02

    Kill by Morgan Campbell (set by Kennedi Inman)

    Set 2 · DEL 24-23 NM ST · DEL 8% → 12%

  3. 03
    Tess FuquaKill+3.5%

    Kill by Tess Fuqua (set by Paige Nelson)

    Set 2 · DEL 24-24 NM ST · NM ST 88% → 92%

  4. 04
    Tess FuquaKill+3.2%

    Kill by Tess Fuqua (set by Paige Nelson)

    Set 2 · DEL 23-23 NM ST · NM ST 88% → 92%

  5. 05
    Thalia YanceyAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Thalia Yancey

    Set 2 · DEL 24-26 NM ST · NM ST 95% → 98%

  6. 06
    DelawareAce+2.4%

    Delaware ace

    Set 2 · DEL 21-19 NM ST · DEL 9% → 12%

  7. 07
    Maggie LightheartAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Maggie Lightheart

    Set 2 · DEL 22-19 NM ST · DEL 12% → 14%

  8. 08
    Thalia YanceyAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Thalia Yancey

    Set 2 · DEL 23-22 NM ST · NM ST 86% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314226.4621106200015
310419.3160001000010
34212.167011520005
3305.6003100200003
3117.000000000001
2011-1.00000001010.50.5
36316.18800000010.56.5
3001.000111600001
3000–012400001
3000–000100000
1001.000000000000
Team totals381388.284334425802161
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312119.57900220010.512.5
310011.90900000031.511.5
38116.43812051010.510.5
36420.10012050031.59.5
38215.40000000010.58.5
3000–2220300002
35110.40000000132.57.5
31011.0002022300003
3000–100200000
3000–100900000
2000–000100000
1001.000000000000
1000–001000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals50993.4414685304112776

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Delaware vs New Mexico St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 DEL · NM ST 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 5 DELNM ST 7

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 3 DELNM ST 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 DELNM ST 3

Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Delaware leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Delaware

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
30%3/10
2
67%8/12
43%6/14
3
50%7/14
33%4/12
4
43%6/14
30%3/10
5
63%5/8
40%4/10
6
38%5/13
29%2/7
All
53%39/74
35%22/63

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
57%8/14
2
62%8/13
38%5/13
3
73%8/11
33%4/12
4
55%6/11
57%8/14
5
60%6/10
45%5/11
6
71%5/7
50%5/10
All
65%41/63
47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#DEL-NM STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DELDELKillAnna Logan Gillens+1.3
21-1DELNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.9
31-2NM STNM STAttack errAnna Logan Gillens+1.1
42-2NM STDEL×5KillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+0.9
53-2DELDEL×5KillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+1.3
64-2DELDEL×5AceDelaware+1.5
75-2DELDEL×5KillJayda Reddset Paige Nelson+1.6
86-2DELDEL×5Attack errJaelynn Kohli+1.7
96-3DELNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.1
106-4NM STNM STKillMia Fox+1.5
117-4NM STDELKillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+1.4
128-4DELDELBad setPaige Nelson+1.8
138-5DELNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.2
148-6NM STNM STAttack errAnna Logan Gillens+1.6
159-6NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+1.5
1610-6DELDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+1.9
1710-7DELNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.2
1810-8NM STNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.7
1911-8NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+1.6
2012-8DELDELAceDelawareaced Tess Fuqua+2.0
2112-9DELNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.3
2213-9NM STDELServe errNew Mexico St.+1.7
2313-10DELNM ST×7KillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.3
2413-11NM STNM ST×7BlockedJayda Reddblk Jaelynn Kohli, Mia Fox+1.8
2513-12NM STNM ST×7KillMaggie Lightheartset Tess Fuqua+1.9
2613-13NM STNM ST×7BlockedAsia Murrayblk Mia Fox, Maggie Lightheart+1.9
2713-14NM STNM ST×7KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.8
2813-15NM STNM ST×7AceNew Mexico St.+1.6
2913-16NM STNM ST×7KillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+1.3
3014-16NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+1.0
3114-17DELNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.0
3214-18NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Carolina Sayeg Blak+1.0
3315-18NM STDELKillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+0.7
3415-19DELNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.8
3516-19NM STDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.7
3616-20DELNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.8
3716-21NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Thalia Yancey+0.7
3816-22NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Jayda Redd+0.4
3917-22NM STDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Thalia Yancey+0.1
4018-22DELDELAttack errKate Sinclair+0.3
4118-23DELNM STServe errTaylor Holly+0.4
4219-23NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+0.2
4320-23DELDELAttack errAshley Herman+0.5
4420-24DELNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.7
4520-25NM STNM STBlockedMorgan Campbellblk Maggie Lightheart, Kate Sinclair+0.3
Set 2
10-1NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Thalia Yancey+0.7
20-2NM STNM STBad setAsia Murray+0.7
31-2NM STDELAttack errJaelynn Kohli+0.5
41-3DELNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.5
51-4NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.+0.6
62-4NM STDELKillKennedi Inman+0.5
72-5DELNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.5
83-5NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+0.5
93-6DELNM STKillAshley Hermanset Paige Nelson+0.5
103-7NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+0.5
114-7NM STDEL×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+0.4
125-7DELDEL×3KillJayda Reddset Kennedi Inman+0.6
136-7DELDEL×3KillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+0.8
146-8DELNM STKillKatrina Catalan+0.6
157-8NM STDEL×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+0.6
168-8DELDEL×3KillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+1.0
179-8DELDEL×3Bad setKatrina Catalan+1.1
189-9DELNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.8
1910-9NM STDELServe errNew Mexico St.+0.9
2011-9DELDELAttack errMaggie Lightheart+1.3
2111-10DELNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+0.9
2212-10NM STDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+1.1
2312-11DELNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+0.9
2412-12NM STNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.2
2513-12NM STDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+1.1
2614-12DELDELBad setPaige Nelson+1.5
2714-13DELNM STServe errTaylor Holly+1.0
2815-13NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+1.3
2915-14DELNM STKillAshley Hermanset Paige Nelson+1.1
3016-14NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+1.3
3116-15DELNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+1.1
3217-15NM STDELKillJayda Reddset Kennedi Inman+1.4
3317-16DELNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.2
3417-17NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Bella Castro+1.6
3517-18NM STNM ST×3BlockedAsia Murrayblk Kate Sinclair+1.6
3618-18NM STDELServe errNew Mexico St.+1.3
3719-18DELDELBad setKatrina Catalan+2.0
3819-19DELNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+1.4
3920-19NM STDEL×3KillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+1.7
4021-19DELDEL×3AceDelaware+2.4
4122-19DELDEL×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+2.3
4222-20DELNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.2
4323-20NM STDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+2.0
4423-21DELNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.1
4523-22NM STNM ST×3Attack errThalia Yancey+2.2
4623-23NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+3.2
4724-23NM STDELKillMorgan Campbellset Kennedi Inman+3.5
4824-24DELNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+3.5
4924-25NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+3.7
5024-26NM STNM ST×3Attack errThalia Yancey+3.0
Set 3
10-1DELNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Maggie Lightheart+0.3
20-2NM STNM STBlockedAnna Logan Gillensblk Tess Fuqua, Mia Fox+0.3
31-2NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+0.3
41-3DELNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+0.3
52-3NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+0.3
63-3DELDELAceTaylor Holly+0.4
73-4DELNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.3
84-4NM STDELAttack errTess Fuqua+0.3
94-5DELNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.3
104-6NM STNM ST×3BlockedJayda Reddblk Ashley Herman, Kate Sinclair+0.4
114-7NM STNM ST×3AceTess Fuquaaced Jayda Redd+0.3
125-7NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+0.2
135-8DELNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.2
146-8NM STDELKillJayda Reddset Emily Zgonc+0.3
156-9DELNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+0.3
167-9NM STDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.3
177-10DELNM STServe errDelaware+0.3
188-10NM STDELKillKennedi Inman+0.3
198-11DELNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+0.3
208-12NM STNM STAttack errAnna Logan Gillens+0.3
219-12NM STDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.2
229-13DELNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Paige Nelson+0.2
239-14NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.2
249-15NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+0.2
2510-15NM STDELServe errKatrina Catalan+0.1
2611-15DELDELBad setKatrina Catalan+0.2
2711-16DELNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.2
2811-17NM STNM ST×3AceTess Fuqua+0.2
2911-18NM STNM ST×3Attack errCarolina Sayeg Blak+0.1
3012-18NM STDELKillKennedi Inman+0.1
3112-19DELNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.1
3212-20NM STNM ST×3KillKate Sinclairset Kate Sinclair+0.1
3312-21NM STNM ST×3BlockedAsia Murrayblk Maggie Lightheart, Kate Sinclair·
3413-21NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman·
3513-22DELNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan·
3614-22NM STDELBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Asia Murray, Carolina Sayeg Blak·
3714-23DELNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson·
3815-23NM STDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman·
3915-24DELNM STServe errDelaware·
4016-24NM STDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman·
4117-24DELDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman·
4217-25DELNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson·

Score shown after each rally, Delaware first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).