Final · 5 setsTue, Oct 20, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Portland St. def. Northern Ariz. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ariz. 77.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 20, 8:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Portland St. won at Northern Ariz. 3-2 (25-21, 17-25, 25-22, 22-25, 15-12) on Tue, Oct 20, 2026. Portland St.'s Maryn Hall led with 26 kills, and Paige Stepaniuk added 27 digs.

Data through · final Oct 20

Set12345Sets
PORTST25172522153
NAU21252225122

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Paige Stepaniuk dug 27 balls to keep Portland St. alive against Northern Ariz.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Portland St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Northern Ariz. went in at 78% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Portland St. 22–21 Northern Ariz.

    Portland St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1. The match swung to Portland St.

    Portland St. 41% → 57%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Portland St. 7–6 Northern Ariz.

    Down 6–7, Northern Ariz. scored 4 straight to lead 10–7.

    Portland St. 50% → 12%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Portland St. 7–10 Northern Ariz.

    From here Portland St. won 8 of 10 rallies to take the set 15–12, and with it the match.

    Portland St. 12% → >99%

Northern Ariz. above 50Portland St. belowMax swing 19.4%

Portland St.Northern Ariz.

Sideout %
Portland St. 55.7·Northern Ariz. 56.3
Break %
Portland St. 43.7·Northern Ariz. 44.3
Hitting
Portland St. .146·Northern Ariz. .156
Longest run
Portland St. 6·Northern Ariz. 6

Maryn Hall
7 of her kills came in the stretches above. 26 K, .169, 29 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northern Ariz. above 50 · Portland St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+19.4% PORTSTrally 209 · set 5

Biggest swing: 19.4% to Portland St. — set 5, PORTST 13-11 NAU. Kill by Maryn Hall (set by Asya Akbulut). NAU win probability 41% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PORTST 26.4%73.6% NAU

Portland St. wins

3-0
4.8%
3-1
9.1%
3-2
12.5%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
25.9%
3-1
28.2%
3-2
19.5%
PORTST break %
40.6% vs this opp
NAU break %
45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maryn HallKill+19.4%

    Kill by Maryn Hall (set by Asya Akbulut)

    Set 5 · PORTST 13-11 NAU · PORTST 59% → 78%

  2. 02

    Kill by Reese Biesemeyer (set by Asya Akbulut)

    Set 5 · PORTST 12-11 NAU · PORTST 40% → 59%

  3. 03

    Masina Perez stuffed by Reese Biesemeyer & Maryn Hall

    Set 5 · PORTST 14-11 NAU · PORTST 78% → 93%

  4. 04
    Hanah StoddardAttack error+14.5%

    Attack error by Hanah Stoddard

    Set 5 · PORTST 11-11 NAU · PORTST 26% → 40%

  5. 05
    Maryn HallKill+11.2%

    Kill by Maryn Hall (set by Paige Stepaniuk)

    Set 5 · PORTST 15-12 NAU · PORTST 89% → 100%

  6. 06
    Ashley RepettiAttack error+11.0%

    Attack error by Ashley Repetti

    Set 5 · PORTST 7-8 NAU · NAU 59% → 70%

  7. 07
    Quincey CoyleAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Quincey Coyle

    Set 5 · PORTST 7-9 NAU · NAU 70% → 80%

  8. 08
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+10.0%

    Point Portland St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · PORTST 5-2 NAU · PORTST 56% → 66%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5261471.16922121002129
57417.17610000111.58.5
54216.125101611648
51011.00029001100001
34513-.077000200004
2000–100400000
59223.3040001004211
5001.0001912800001
5000–6112710001
34019.21100010010.54.5
3409.444000310004
32520-.1501101400003
2228.000100000002
Team totals6334198.14661559872149104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523982.171132132010.526.5
510125.36000000275.515.5
57015.46700130132.59.5
55529.000111801228
52412-.167000300424
5001.00022121500001
5226.000000500213
5000–5212400002
5003.0002100700000
3000–001300000
23213.07700080010.53.5
Team totals5223186.156507889542014105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 PORTST · NAU 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 PORTSTNAU 3

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 PORTSTNAU 6

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 PORTSTNAU 3

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 6 PORTSTNAU 4

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 5 PORTSTNAU 4

Bars above the line = Northern Ariz. leads, below = Portland St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Portland St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%10/24
44%7/16
2
56%10/18
17%2/12
3
64%9/14
55%11/20
4
80%8/10
56%10/18
5
54%7/13
20%2/10
6
50%7/14
46%6/13
All
55%51/93
43%38/89

Northern Ariz.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
50%9/18
2
53%9/17
57%13/23
3
53%8/15
36%5/14
4
57%8/14
43%6/14
5
57%8/14
11%1/9
6
58%7/12
53%8/15
All
57%51/89
45%42/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

209 rallies

#PORTST-NAUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NAUPORTSTKillKatarina Kosicset Asya Akbulut+1.5
21-1PORTSTNAUBad setMaryn Hall+1.4
32-1NAUPORTSTKillKatarina Kosicset Maryn Hall+1.5
43-1PORTSTPORTSTAttack errMasina Perez+2.1
53-2PORTSTNAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+1.5
64-2NAUPORTST×3Attack errQuincey Coyle+1.7
75-2PORTSTPORTST×3Bad setTaryn Davis+2.2
86-2PORTSTPORTST×3KillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+2.2
96-3PORTSTNAUAttack errReese Biesemeyer+1.5
107-3NAUPORTSTAttack errQuincey Coyle+1.8
117-4PORTSTNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.5
127-5NAUNAUAttack errBrenna Coffman+2.1
138-5NAUPORTST×4KillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+1.9
149-5PORTSTPORTST×4Attack errLauren Edlund+2.4
1510-5PORTSTPORTST×4Serve errPortland St.+2.3
1611-5PORTSTPORTST×4KillAlivia Eikenbergset Asya Akbulut+2.1
1711-6PORTSTNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.2
1812-6NAUPORTSTKillAlivia Eikenbergset Asya Akbulut+1.6
1912-7PORTSTNAUAttack errMaryn Hall+1.2
2012-8NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
2113-8NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+1.8
2214-8PORTSTPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Paige Stepaniuk+2.1
2314-9PORTSTNAU×3Attack errMaryn Hall+1.1
2414-10NAUNAU×3Attack errKatarina Kosic+1.9
2514-11NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+2.2
2615-11NAUPORTSTAttack errMasina Perez+2.1
2716-11PORTSTPORTSTBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Willow Watson, Reese Biesemeyer+2.5
2816-12PORTSTNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+1.4
2916-13NAUNAUBlockedMaryn Hallblk Avery Gottschalk, Lauren Edlund+2.2
3017-13NAUPORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+2.2
3118-13PORTSTPORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Paige Stepaniuk+2.5
3218-14PORTSTNAU×3KillLauren Edlundset Taryn Davis+1.3
3318-15NAUNAU×3AceHanah Stoddardaced Alivia Eikenberg+2.2
3418-16NAUNAU×3Attack errWillow Watson+2.8
3519-16NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Reese Biesemeyer+2.8
3619-17PORTSTNAUKillLauren Edlundset Taryn Davis+2.1
3720-17NAUPORTSTKillAlivia Eikenbergset Ava Blascziek+2.9
3821-17PORTSTPORTSTBad setQuincey Coyle+3.2
3921-18PORTSTNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.5
4021-19NAUNAUBlockedKatarina Kosicblk Gigi Greenlee, Quincey Coyle+2.9
4122-19NAUPORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Asya Akbulut+3.3
4222-20PORTSTNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
4323-20NAUPORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Asya Akbulut+3.4
4423-21PORTSTNAUAttack errKatarina Kosic+1.9
4524-21NAUPORTSTServe errNorthern Ariz.+3.6
4625-21PORTSTPORTSTBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Reese Biesemeyer, Willow Watson+2.0
Set 2
10-1PORTSTNAU×6KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
20-2NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+2.4
30-3NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
40-4NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
50-5NAUNAU×6AceKate Federico+1.6
60-6NAUNAU×6KillAvery Gottschalk+1.3
71-6NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+0.9
81-7PORTSTNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.0
92-7NAUPORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+0.9
102-8PORTSTNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.0
112-9NAUNAU×3AceHanah Stoddard+1.0
122-10NAUNAU×3AceHanah Stoddard+0.8
133-10NAUPORTSTServe errHanah Stoddard+0.5
143-11PORTSTNAUAttack errMagdalena Ranitovic+0.6
154-11NAUPORTSTKillMagdalena Ranitovicset Asya Akbulut+0.4
165-11PORTSTPORTSTKillKatarina Kosicset Asya Akbulut+0.8
175-12PORTSTNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.7
185-13NAUNAU×3AceElla Hosfeldaced Paige Stepaniuk+0.7
195-14NAUNAU×3BlockedKatarina Kosicblk Gigi Greenlee, Quincey Coyle+0.5
206-14NAUPORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Asya Akbulut+0.2
217-14PORTSTPORTSTAcePaige Stepaniukaced Hanah Stoddard+0.5
227-15PORTSTNAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+0.5
237-16NAUNAUBlockedMaryn Hallblk Masina Perez, Gigi Greenlee+0.4
248-16NAUPORTST×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+0.2
259-16PORTSTPORTST×3KillMaryn Hallset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
2610-16PORTSTPORTST×3BlockedGigi Greenleeblk Reese Biesemeyer+0.6
2710-17PORTSTNAUServe errPortland St.+0.7
2811-17NAUPORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+0.5
2911-18PORTSTNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+0.6
3011-19NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.5
3112-19NAUPORTSTAttack errHanah Stoddard+0.2
3213-19PORTSTPORTSTBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Brenna Coffman+0.5
3313-20PORTSTNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.5
3413-21NAUNAUServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.4
3514-21NAUPORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Ava Blascziek+0.1
3615-21PORTSTPORTSTAttack errQuincey Coyle+0.3
3715-22PORTSTNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+0.4
3816-22NAUPORTSTServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.2
3917-22PORTSTPORTSTAceMagdalena Ranitovic+0.4
4017-23PORTSTNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+0.6
4117-24NAUNAU×3BlockedKatarina Kosicblk Quincey Coyle+0.2
4217-25NAUNAU×3Attack errMaryn Hall·
Set 3
10-1NAUNAUBlockedMaryn Hallblk Gigi Greenlee+2.6
20-2NAUNAUAceQuincey Coyle+2.4
31-2NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+1.9
42-2PORTSTPORTSTAttack errHanah Stoddard+2.7
52-3PORTSTNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Asya Akbulut+2.0
63-3NAUPORTST×3KillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+2.2
74-3PORTSTPORTST×3KillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+3.1
85-3PORTSTPORTST×3KillReese Biesemeyerset Ava Blascziek+3.3
95-4PORTSTNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
106-4NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+2.6
117-4PORTSTPORTSTAttack errQuincey Coyle+3.5
127-5PORTSTNAUAttack errMagdalena Ranitovic+2.4
138-5NAUPORTSTKillMagdalena Ranitovicset Maryn Hall+2.8
148-6PORTSTNAUAttack errMagdalena Ranitovic+2.4
159-6NAUPORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+2.9
169-7PORTSTNAU×3Attack errMaryn Hall+2.5
179-8NAUNAU×3BlockedBrenna Coffmanblk Gigi Greenlee, Georgi Stein+3.5
189-9NAUNAU×3Bad setMagdalena Ranitovic+3.5
1910-9NAUPORTST×3KillBrenna Coffmanset Asya Akbulut+2.9
2011-9PORTSTPORTST×3Attack errMasina Perez+4.0
2112-9PORTSTPORTST×3KillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+4.1
2212-10PORTSTNAU×3KillGeorgi Steinset Kate Federico+2.7
2312-11NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+3.8
2412-12NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+3.9
2513-12NAUPORTSTBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Katelyn Davey, Brenna Coffman+3.2
2613-13PORTSTNAU×3Attack errMaryn Hall+3.0
2713-14NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+4.0
2813-15NAUNAU×3AceKate Federicoaced Reese Biesemeyer+3.7
2914-15NAUPORTST×3KillMaryn Hallset Paige Stepaniuk+2.7
3015-15PORTSTPORTST×3KillMaryn Hall+4.3
3116-15PORTSTPORTST×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+4.9
3216-16PORTSTNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+3.5
3317-16NAUPORTSTBlockedLauren Edlundblk Reese Biesemeyer, Maryn Hall+4.0
3417-17PORTSTNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Hanah Stoddard+3.7
3518-17NAUPORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+4.3
3618-18PORTSTNAUKillGeorgi Steinset Taryn Davis+4.0
3719-18NAUPORTSTKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+4.6
3819-19PORTSTNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+4.3
3920-19NAUPORTSTKillKatelyn Daveyset Asya Akbulut+5.0
4021-19PORTSTPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+7.0
4121-20PORTSTNAUKillGeorgi Steinset Ella Hosfeld+4.3
4222-20NAUPORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Asya Akbulut+5.9
4322-21PORTSTNAUAttack errMaryn Hall+4.5
4423-21NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+6.8
4524-21PORTSTPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+7.0
4624-22PORTSTNAUServe errPortland St.+2.0
4725-22NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+5.1
Set 4
11-0PORTSTPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+4.0
21-1PORTSTNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.9
32-1NAUPORTSTKillKatelyn Daveyset Asya Akbulut+3.1
42-2PORTSTNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.9
53-2NAUPORTST×3KillKatelyn Daveyset Asya Akbulut+3.2
64-2PORTSTPORTST×3Bad setTaryn Davis+4.5
75-2PORTSTPORTST×3AceAva Blascziekaced Hanah Stoddard+4.7
85-3PORTSTNAUAttack errMaryn Hall+3.1
96-3NAUPORTST×6KillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+3.7
107-3PORTSTPORTST×6Attack errGeorgi Stein+4.8
118-3PORTSTPORTST×6KillReese Biesemeyerset Ava Blascziek+4.6
129-3PORTSTPORTST×6AceMaryn Hall+4.3
1310-3PORTSTPORTST×6BlockedGeorgi Steinblk Willow Watson, Reese Biesemeyer+3.8
1411-3PORTSTPORTST×6AceMaryn Hall+3.2
1511-4PORTSTNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+1.7
1612-4NAUPORTSTServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.4
1712-5PORTSTNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.6
1813-5NAUPORTSTServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.3
1914-5PORTSTPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Paige Stepaniuk+2.3
2014-6PORTSTNAUAttack errMagdalena Ranitovic+1.1
2115-6NAUPORTSTServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.7
2215-7PORTSTNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.0
2315-8NAUNAU×4BlockedBrenna Coffmanblk Avery Gottschalk, Hanah Stoddard+1.8
2415-9NAUNAU×4Attack errMaryn Hall+2.4
2515-10NAUNAU×4Attack errMaryn Hall+3.1
2616-10NAUPORTSTKillAsya Akbulutset Brenna Coffman+3.3
2716-11PORTSTNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.2
2816-12NAUNAU×4KillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+3.8
2916-13NAUNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+4.7
3016-14NAUNAU×4Attack errReese Biesemeyer+5.5
3117-14NAUPORTSTKillKatelyn Daveyset Asya Akbulut+5.3
3217-15PORTSTNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+4.2
3317-16NAUNAUBlockedMaryn Hallblk Avery Gottschalk, Lauren Edlund+6.5
3418-16NAUPORTSTBlockedQuincey Coyleblk Willow Watson, Reese Biesemeyer+5.9
3518-17PORTSTNAUServe errPortland St.+5.0
3619-17NAUPORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+6.3
3719-18PORTSTNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+5.3
3819-19NAUNAUAttack errMagdalena Ranitovic+8.0
3920-19NAUPORTSTServe errNorthern Ariz.+7.0
4020-20PORTSTNAU×4Serve errPortland St.+6.5
4120-21NAUNAU×4Bad setPaige Stepaniuk+9.1
4220-22NAUNAU×4KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+8.3
4320-23NAUNAU×4BlockedBrenna Coffmanblk Gigi Greenlee+6.0
4421-23NAUPORTSTKillAshley Repettiset Asya Akbulut+2.7
4522-23PORTSTPORTSTServe errPortland St.+6.8
4622-24PORTSTNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+8.0
4722-25NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+4.5
Set 5
11-0NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+6.6
21-1PORTSTNAUBlockedMaryn Hallblk Gigi Greenlee, Masina Perez+6.1
32-1NAUPORTSTKillReese Biesemeyerset Asya Akbulut+6.8
43-1PORTSTPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Xanthe Ocampo+9.5
53-2PORTSTNAUAttack errWillow Watson+6.4
64-2NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Ashley Repetti+7.6
75-2PORTST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+10.0
85-3PORTSTNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+6.3
95-4NAUNAU×3Attack errAshley Repetti+9.4
105-5NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+9.8
116-5NAUPORTSTServe errNorthern Ariz.+8.3
126-6PORTSTNAUServe errPortland St.+7.7
137-6NAUPORTSTKillAshley Repettiset Ava Blascziek+8.8
147-7PORTSTNAU×4KillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+8.2
157-8NAUNAU×4Attack errAshley Repetti+11.0
167-9NAUNAU×4Attack errQuincey Coyle+10.1
177-10NAUNAU×4KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+8.3
188-10NAUPORTSTKillKatarina Kosicset Asya Akbulut+5.1
199-10PORTSTPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+9.7
209-11PORTSTNAUServe errPortland St.+8.8
2110-11NAUPORTST×5KillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+7.8
2211-11PORTSTPORTST×5Attack errHanah Stoddard+14.5
2312-11PORTSTPORTST×5KillReese Biesemeyerset Asya Akbulut+18.3
2413-11PORTSTPORTST×5KillMaryn Hallset Asya Akbulut+19.4
2514-11PORTSTPORTST×5BlockedMasina Perezblk Reese Biesemeyer, Maryn Hall+15.3
2614-12PORTSTNAUServe errPortland St.+4.5
2715-12NAUPORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Paige Stepaniuk+11.2

Score shown after each rally, Portland St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).