FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayATLANTIC-10

0:3

HomeASUN

North Florida def. Fordham 3–0

(27-25, 25-20, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FORDHM	25	20	22	0
NO FLA	27	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NO FLA above 50 · FORDHM below

Biggest swing: 9.1% to Fordham — set 1, FORDHM 24-23 NO FLA. Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Sofia Dawson). NO FLA win probability 70% → 61%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FORDHM 27.8%72.2% NO FLA

Fordham wins

3-0

5.1%

3-1

9.7%

3-2

13.0%

North Florida wins

3-0

24.8%

3-1

27.7%

3-2

19.7%

FORDHM break %: 41.9% vs this opp
NO FLA break %: 46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Bridget WoodruffKill+9.1%
Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Sofia Dawson)
Set 1 · FORDHM 24-23 NO FLA · FORDHM 30% → 39%
02
NO FLA serverAce+8.4%
North Florida ace on Team
Set 1 · FORDHM 24-25 NO FLA · NO FLA 68% → 77%
03
Dakota SpurrierKill+7.6%
Kill by Dakota Spurrier (set by Sofia Dawson)
Set 1 · FORDHM 25-27 NO FLA · NO FLA 77% → 84%
04
Kaili DoctorKill+7.3%
Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)
Set 1 · FORDHM 24-24 NO FLA · NO FLA 61% → 68%
05
Bridget WoodruffKill+6.6%
Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Giada Ianuale)
Set 1 · FORDHM 25-25 NO FLA · FORDHM 23% → 30%
06
FORDHM serverService error+6.6%
Fordham service error
Set 1 · FORDHM 25-26 NO FLA · NO FLA 70% → 77%
07
Yarimar Francis GarayKill+5.5%
Kill by Yarimar Francis Garay (set by Sofia Dawson)
Set 1 · FORDHM 21-22 NO FLA · NO FLA 69% → 75%
08
FORDHM serverService error+5.1%
Fordham service error
Set 1 · FORDHM 22-23 NO FLA · NO FLA 70% → 75%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Fordhamaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Mila MicunovicOH	3	13	0	23	.565	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	13.5
33Johanna FranzenOH	3	9	5	32	.125	1	1	1	5	1	0	0	0	10
13Bridget WoodruffOH	3	6	2	18	.222	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
19Giada IanualeS	3	3	0	10	.300	18	2	2	6	0	0	0	0	5
8Sophia KuynMB	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
12Sophia OliveiraMB	3	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
6Ozge OzaslanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	2	12	0	0	0	0	1
7Avery LimS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
2Lola FernandezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
15Ana Del Angel AguilarS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Avery BootheS	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	11	94	.223	26	4	6	36	9	2	4	4	67

North Floridahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Leah McDonaldOH	3	11	3	27	.296	1	3	2	11	0	1	2	2	16
13Kaili DoctorOH	3	12	2	25	.400	1	3	2	9	0	1	0	1	16
3Dakota SpurrierOH	3	12	9	32	.094	2	1	1	6	0	0	2	1	14
11Yarimar Francis GarayMB	3	7	0	10	.700	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
9Haleina BowersMB	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
1Sofia DawsonS	3	1	1	6	.000	36	1	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
8Brooklyn StringfellowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
19Emma PohlmannL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	1	13	0	0	0	0	0
4Lily RodgersOH	1	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
18Julianna SantiagoL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	18	114	.281	46	9	10	47	4	2	10	7	77

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 FORDHM · NO FLA 4

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 5 FORDHMNO FLA 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 FORDHMNO FLA 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 FORDHMNO FLA 3

Bars above the line = North Florida leads, below = Fordham leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Fordham

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	38%5/13
2	50%8/16	33%4/12
3	64%7/11	0%0/8
4	38%6/16	53%8/15
5	67%6/9	57%8/14
6	67%6/9	14%1/7
All	55%41/75	38%26/69

North Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	14%1/7
2	80%8/10	53%9/17
3	80%8/10	47%7/15
4	50%7/14	46%6/13
5	46%6/13	57%8/14
6	60%6/10	33%3/9
All	62%43/69	45%34/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

144 rallies

Rally log

#	FORDHM-NO FLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	FORDHM	NO FLA×4	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.5
2	0-2	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Attack err	Sophia Oliveira	blk Leah McDonald, Yarimar Francis Garay	+1.8
3	0-3	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Mila Micunovic	+1.7
4	0-4	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+1.5
5	1-4	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+1.1
6	2-4	FORDHM	FORDHM	Kill	Bridget Woodruff	set Ozge Ozaslan	+1.7
7	2-5	FORDHM	NO FLA	Attack err	Johanna Franzen		+1.4
8	3-5	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Bridget Woodruff	set Giada Ianuale	+1.4
9	3-6	FORDHM	NO FLA	Attack err	Johanna Franzen	blk Leah McDonald, Yarimar Francis Garay	+1.4
10	4-6	NO FLA	FORDHM×3	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier	blk Bridget Woodruff	+1.4
11	5-6	FORDHM	FORDHM×3	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+2.0
12	6-6	FORDHM	FORDHM×3	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+2.3
13	6-7	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+1.8
14	7-7	NO FLA	FORDHM	Serve err	NO FLA server		+1.9
15	7-8	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+1.8
16	7-9	NO FLA	NO FLA	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Team	+2.2
17	8-9	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Giada Ianuale		+1.7
18	8-10	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.8
19	9-10	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+1.8
20	9-11	FORDHM	NO FLA	Bad set	Giada Ianuale		+1.8
21	9-12	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+2.1
22	10-12	NO FLA	FORDHM	Serve err	NO FLA server		+1.6
23	10-13	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+1.7
24	10-14	NO FLA	NO FLA	Attack err	Bridget Woodruff		+1.9
25	11-14	NO FLA	FORDHM	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+1.3
26	11-15	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+1.5
27	12-15	NO FLA	FORDHM×5	Kill	Sophia Kuyn	set Giada Ianuale	+1.3
28	13-15	FORDHM	FORDHM×5	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+2.1
29	14-15	FORDHM	FORDHM×5	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Ozge Ozaslan	+2.7
30	15-15	FORDHM	FORDHM×5	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Lola Fernandez	+3.1
31	16-15	FORDHM	FORDHM×5	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier	blk Sophia Kuyn	+3.5
32	16-16	FORDHM	NO FLA×4	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+2.7
33	16-17	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Team	+3.4
34	16-18	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Attack err	Sophia Kuyn	blk Haleina Bowers, Dakota Spurrier	+3.2
35	16-19	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Attack err	Johanna Franzen	blk Haleina Bowers, Sofia Dawson	+2.8
36	17-19	NO FLA	FORDHM×4	Kill	Giada Ianuale		+1.9
37	18-19	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Bad set	Leah McDonald		+3.2
38	19-19	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+4.0
39	20-19	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Kill	Giada Ianuale	set Kaili Doctor	+4.7
40	20-20	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+3.5
41	21-20	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+4.2
42	21-21	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+3.9
43	21-22	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+5.5
44	22-22	NO FLA	FORDHM	Attack err	Kaili Doctor		+4.4
45	22-23	FORDHM	NO FLA	Serve err	FORDHM server		+5.1
46	23-23	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+5.1
47	24-23	FORDHM	FORDHM	Kill	Bridget Woodruff	set Sofia Dawson	+9.1
48	24-24	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+7.3
49	24-25	NO FLA	NO FLA	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Team	+8.4
50	25-25	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Bridget Woodruff	set Giada Ianuale	+6.6
51	25-26	FORDHM	NO FLA	Serve err	FORDHM server		+6.6
52	25-27	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+7.6
Set 2
1	1-0	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Ozge Ozaslan	+1.4
2	1-1	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+1.3
3	2-1	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+1.4
4	2-2	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+1.3
5	3-2	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+1.4
6	3-3	FORDHM	NO FLA×3	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+1.4
7	3-4	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+1.7
8	3-5	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Johanna Franzen	+1.6
9	4-5	NO FLA	FORDHM	Serve err	NO FLA server		+1.3
10	4-6	FORDHM	NO FLA	Serve err	FORDHM server		+1.3
11	5-6	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Ozge Ozaslan	+1.3
12	5-7	FORDHM	NO FLA×3	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Emma Pohlmann	+1.3
13	5-8	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Mila Micunovic	+1.5
14	5-9	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Attack err	Sophia Oliveira		+1.4
15	6-9	NO FLA	FORDHM	Serve err	NO FLA server		+1.0
16	6-10	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+1.1
17	7-10	NO FLA	FORDHM×3	Serve err	NO FLA server		+1.0
18	8-10	FORDHM	FORDHM×3	Attack err	Kaili Doctor		+1.5
19	9-10	FORDHM	FORDHM×3	Ace	FORDHM server	aced Team	+1.8
20	9-11	FORDHM	NO FLA×4	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+1.5
21	9-12	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+1.7
22	9-13	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Team	+1.5
23	9-14	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Team	+1.2
24	10-14	NO FLA	FORDHM	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.8
25	10-15	FORDHM	NO FLA×3	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Emma Pohlmann	+1.0
26	10-16	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Attack err	Sophia Kuyn	blk Dakota Spurrier, Haleina Bowers	+0.9
27	10-17	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Attack err	Johanna Franzen	blk Leah McDonald	+0.6
28	11-17	NO FLA	FORDHM×3	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+0.3
29	12-17	FORDHM	FORDHM×3	Ace	FORDHM server	aced Team	+0.6
30	13-17	FORDHM	FORDHM×3	Attack err	Leah McDonald	blk Mila Micunovic, Sophia Kuyn	+0.9
31	13-18	FORDHM	NO FLA×3	Serve err	FORDHM server		+1.0
32	13-19	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Team	+0.8
33	13-20	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Emma Pohlmann	+0.5
34	14-20	NO FLA	FORDHM	Bad set	Haleina Bowers		+0.2
35	15-20	FORDHM	FORDHM	Attack err	Sofia Dawson		+0.5
36	15-21	FORDHM	NO FLA×3	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+0.6
37	15-22	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Dakota Spurrier	+0.4
38	15-23	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Sofia Dawson	set Avery Lim	+0.1
39	16-23	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Avery Lim	+0.0
40	16-24	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+0.1
41	17-24	NO FLA	FORDHM×4	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.0
42	18-24	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Attack err	Lily Rodgers		+0.0
43	19-24	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+0.1
44	20-24	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Attack err	Lily Rodgers	blk Sophia Oliveira, Bridget Woodruff	+0.2
45	20-25	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Lily Rodgers	set Leah McDonald	+0.4
Set 3
1	1-0	FORDHM	FORDHM	Ace	FORDHM server	aced Team	+1.0
2	1-1	FORDHM	NO FLA	Serve err	FORDHM server		+0.7
3	2-1	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Bridget Woodruff	set Giada Ianuale	+0.8
4	2-2	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Emma Pohlmann	+0.7
5	3-2	NO FLA	FORDHM	Attack err	Leah McDonald		+0.8
6	3-3	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+0.8
7	3-4	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+0.9
8	4-4	NO FLA	FORDHM	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.8
9	4-5	FORDHM	NO FLA×3	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+0.8
10	4-6	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+0.9
11	4-7	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Ozge Ozaslan	+0.8
12	5-7	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+0.6
13	6-7	FORDHM	FORDHM	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+0.9
14	6-8	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+0.8
15	7-8	NO FLA	FORDHM	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.8
16	8-8	FORDHM	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+1.1
17	8-9	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+0.9
18	9-9	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Sofia Dawson	+0.9
19	9-10	FORDHM	NO FLA×3	Attack err	Bridget Woodruff	blk Kaili Doctor	+0.9
20	9-11	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Attack err	Johanna Franzen		+1.1
21	9-12	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.0
22	10-12	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Ozge Ozaslan	+0.7
23	10-13	FORDHM	NO FLA×3	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Leah McDonald	+0.8
24	10-14	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Emma Pohlmann	+0.8
25	10-15	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Dakota Spurrier		+0.7
26	11-15	NO FLA	FORDHM	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.4
27	11-16	FORDHM	NO FLA	Serve err	FORDHM server		+0.5
28	12-16	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Bridget Woodruff	set Emma Pohlmann	+0.4
29	12-17	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+0.5
30	12-18	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+0.5
31	13-18	NO FLA	FORDHM×4	Attack err	Haleina Bowers		+0.3
32	14-18	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Attack err	Leah McDonald		+0.5
33	15-18	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+0.7
34	16-18	FORDHM	FORDHM×4	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Johanna Franzen	+1.0
35	16-19	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+1.0
36	17-19	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+0.8
37	17-20	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+1.0
38	18-20	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+0.8
39	19-20	FORDHM	FORDHM	Ace	FORDHM server	aced Team	+1.5
40	19-21	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.4
41	20-21	NO FLA	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+1.3
42	20-22	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Emma Pohlmann	+1.6
43	20-23	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Dakota Spurrier	+1.5
44	21-23	NO FLA	FORDHM	Bad set	Sofia Dawson		+0.7
45	21-24	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Kaili Doctor	+1.2
46	22-24	NO FLA	FORDHM	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+0.5
47	22-25	FORDHM	NO FLA	Kill	Leah McDonald	set Sofia Dawson	+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Fordham first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.